Lisan al Gaib (@scaling01) / X

Lisan al Gaib

21.9K posts

Lisan al Gaib

@scaling01

lead them to paradise LisanBench: lisanbench.com Impressum & Datenschutz: lisanbench.com/legal

substack.com/@scaling01

Joined August 2024

Pinned
Lisan al Gaib
@scaling01
Jan 1
My predictions for 2026: Coding and Mathematics AGI - METR 50% time horizons above 24 hours - my mean estimate is 30.8 hours, 2 day time horizons possible within frontier labs when accounting for 60 day lag - if 2025 was the year of agents, then 2026 will be the year of
415K
Lisan al Gaib
@scaling01
Oct 31, 2025
PewDiePie just vibe-coded his own Chat UI, built an army of chatbots for majority voting and gave them all RAG, DeepResearch and audio output naturally, he only uses chinese Qwen models and runs them on his local PC with 8x modded chinese 48GB 4090s and 2x RTX 4000 Ada his army
6.9M
Lisan al Gaib
@scaling01
Nov 3, 2025
> freeze hiring > start firing > invest in AI infrastructure > deploy "AI software engineers" > wait 3 years > ... > ... > ... > AI introduced more technical debt than a fresh mathematics PhD > software becomes more and more buggy > slowly lose customers > hire consultants to fix
Steve Hou
@stevehou
Nov 2, 2025
A non-obvious second effect of the enormous AI capex spend may be that it's masking the deterioration of the US economy under the surface. While the aggregate economic stats may look just fine, economy is becoming ever more K-shaped with the lower half of th economy struggling
1.4M
Lisan al Gaib
@scaling01
Oct 31, 2025
256GB storage in 2025 is criminal even my fridge has more than that
Vadim Yuryev
@VadimYuryev
Oct 30, 2025
That $800 M4 MacBook Air deal on Amazon is quite literally killing all of the Windows laptop competition..
852K
Lisan al Gaib
@scaling01
Jul 6, 2025
I don't think Americans understand how far ahead Chinas infrastructure is
00:00
19M
Lisan al Gaib
@scaling01
Nov 3, 2025
guess who will bail out all those companies in 1-3 years
GIF
The Kobeissi Letter
@KobeissiLetter
Nov 3, 2025
OpenAI has now: 1. Signed $500 billion Stargate deal 2. Signed $100 billion Nvidia deal 3. Signed $100 billion AMD deal 4. Signed $38 billion Amazon deal 5. Signed $25 billion Intel deal 6. Signed $20 billion TSMC deal 7. Signed $13 billion Microsoft deal 8. Signed $10 Billion
335K
Lisan al Gaib
@scaling01
Sep 30, 2025
Jeff Bezos: "I only buy stuff from Amazon. It's amazing!"
Sam Altman
@sama
Sep 30, 2025
I mostly buy stuff from ChatGPT now, so I am excited for this new feature!
280K
Lisan al Gaib
@scaling01
Oct 31, 2025
PewDiePie knows ball > buys 8x 4090Ds 48GB from china instead of the more expensive 4090s 24GB from the US
Lisan al Gaib
@scaling01
Oct 31, 2025
PewDiePie just vibe-coded his own Chat UI, built an army of chatbots for majority voting and gave them all RAG, DeepResearch and audio output naturally, he only uses chinese Qwen models and runs them on his local PC with 8x modded chinese 48GB 4090s and 2x RTX 4000 Ada his army
1M
Lisan al Gaib
@scaling01
Oct 17, 2025
Andrej Karpathy calls AI Agents slop "Overall, the models they are not there. And I feel like the industry [...] it's making too big of a jump and it's trying to pretend that this is amazing. And it's not—it's slop! And I think they are not coming to terms with it. And maybe
00:00
3.1M
Lisan al Gaib
@scaling01
Apr 10, 2025
The average IQ of Tsinghua PhD students is 150. The average IQ of Harvard PhD students is 120. Let that sink in.
Jack Morris
@jxmnop
Apr 10, 2025
this guy invented VLLM. he's basically the john wick of CUDA kernels
1.2M
Lisan al Gaib
@scaling01
Jan 7, 2025
Nvidia marketing: "5070 has 4090 performance" vs reality:
723K
Lisan al Gaib
@scaling01
Jul 11, 2025
what a joke xAI valued at 200B Anthropic latest valuation was 61.5B xAI revenue ~0B Anthropic revenue ~4B
593K
Lisan al Gaib
@scaling01
Aug 6, 2025
absolute banger from r/locallama
194K
Lisan al Gaib
@scaling01
Dec 13, 2024
META JUST KILLED TOKENIZATION !!! A few hours ago they released "Byte Latent Transformer". A tokenizer free architecture that dynamically encodes Bytes into Patches and achieves better inference efficiency and robustness! (I was just talking about how we need dynamic
490K