Rorry Daniels (@rorrydaniels) / X

Rorry Daniels

1,432 posts

Rorry Daniels

@rorrydaniels

Managing Director @AsiaPolicy and Asia security specialist. Opinions my own. She/her. Crossposting @ rorrydaniels.bsky.social

Princeton, NJ

Joined April 2009

Pinned
Rorry Daniels
@rorrydaniels
Jan 9, 2025
🚨NEW: As Trump begins a second term, the policy landscape is marked by heightened U.S.-China competition, shifting alliances, and new alignments. Explore expert recommendations in @asiapolicy’s new briefing: ASPI Notes for the Trump Administration: asiasociety.org/aspi-notes-tru… 🧵⬇️
ASPI Notes for the Trump Administration
From asiasociety.org
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Rorry Daniels
@rorrydaniels
Nov 6, 2024
What does Trump 2.0 mean for Asia? Some thoughts: 1. The biggest whiplash will be on the role and value of U.S. alliances. Moving from central to U.S. strategy to questioned as a value at all will accelerate trends in cooperation. 1/
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Rorry Daniels
@rorrydaniels
Mar 1, 2023
An existential struggle—by definition—means that one side must disappear for the other side to survive. This committee is not just “sketching the threat” to U.S interests, they are using American tax dollars to build the case for war with China.
Jonathan Cheng
@JChengWSJ
Mar 1, 2023
A new U.S. House committee on China held its first hearing, sketching out the threat it says Beijing poses to U.S. interests and calling for a concerted response. "This is not a polite tennis match. This is an existential struggle.” @charleshutzler on.wsj.com/3xWTfFL
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Rorry Daniels
@rorrydaniels
Mar 10, 2022
It also begs an alternate analysis to the ‘China got played’ argument: it’s possible that an autocracy’s poor information environment compounds exponentially when coordinating with other autocracies.
Bryce C. Barros 白若詩
@barros_bryce
Mar 10, 2022
This is a very telling data point, confirms confusion amongst 🇨🇳PRC leadership on the broader implications of the 🇷🇺Russian invasion of 🇺🇦Ukraine and expectations of the war.
Rorry Daniels
@rorrydaniels
Dec 12, 2024
Will Xi Jinping attend Donald Trump's inauguration? I doubt it, but interesting opening move. My thoughts: 1) Xi and Trump do need to meet early to set the tone of the bilateral relationship over the next 4 years. No other channel will be authoritative enough for either side 1/6
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Rorry Daniels
@rorrydaniels
Feb 3, 2023
The postponement of Blinken's trip to China over the balloon incident is disappointing but not surprising in the current state of US-China relations and domestic politics 🧵👇
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Rorry Daniels
@rorrydaniels
Jun 22, 2022
I’m delighted to start today as Managing Director of @AsiaPolicy, a terrific global team with a track record of high quality work and a lot of exciting projects on the horizon.
Rorry Daniels
@rorrydaniels
Sep 15, 2021
Seeing tweets expressing surprise that Gen. Milley felt it necessary to reassure the Chinese last fall—but anyone who talked to the Chinese about security issues at that time could corroborate these concerns. 1/5
Rorry Daniels
@rorrydaniels
May 23, 2024
The PLA has started large military drills in and around the Taiwan Strait—what’s happening? A thread 1/
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Rorry Daniels
@rorrydaniels
Mar 10, 2022
Replying to @rorrydaniels
If no one would tell Putin he is miscalculating, and no one would tell Xi that Putin is miscalculating, then no surprise that China miscalculated. In other words, rather than China getting played by Russia, both leaders were played by their own sycophantic systems…
Rorry Daniels
@rorrydaniels
Feb 14, 2020
Seems like we're careening toward a choice between an unknown risk (the global spread/fatality rate of COVID-19) and a known risk (the economic effects of pandemic responses like quarantines). Who gets to decide what to prioritize?
Rorry Daniels
@rorrydaniels
Nov 16, 2023
Re Xi-Biden meeting, I think both sides got what they wanted…for now. Mtg very focused on benefits of coordination/cooperation rather than areas of competition/conflict. Short 🧵👇
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Rorry Daniels
@rorrydaniels
Feb 3, 2023
Replying to @rorrydaniels
But we should all be concerned that an essential tool of crisis management-diplomacy-is held hostage to the political mood in DC and hamstrung by predictable types of events. This is not a sustainable way to responsibly manage the most important relationship in the world. END
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Rorry Daniels
@rorrydaniels
Nov 6, 2024
Replying to @rorrydaniels
Meanwhile, pressure is likely off India for its support of Putin and off North Korea for supporting the war in Ukraine. Trump is going to put some new creases and wrinkles in this multipolar world. 5/
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