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Luke Muehlhauser
3,400 posts
user avatar
Luke Muehlhauser
@lukeprog
Coefficient Giving, AI Governance and Policy
USA East Coast
lukeprog.com
Joined March 2009
332
Following
8,994
Followers
  • user avatar
    Luke Muehlhauser
    @lukeprog
    Apr 4, 2022
    Google's new 540B language model:
  • user avatar
    Luke Muehlhauser
    @lukeprog
    Apr 16, 2025
    Tyler Cowen: "I've seen enough, I'm calling it, o3 is AGI" Meanwhile, o3 in response to the first prompt I give it:
    437K
  • user avatar
    Luke Muehlhauser
    @lukeprog
    Apr 29, 2020
    Elon Musk: not a superforecaster.
    user avatar
    Elon Musk
    X
    @elonmusk
    Mar 19, 2020
    Replying to @elonmusk and @PPathole
    Based on current trends, probably close to zero new cases in US too by end of April
  • user avatar
    Luke Muehlhauser
    @lukeprog
    Jun 5, 2020
    As the years go by, Wikipedia seems increasingly anomalous and worth preserving. It will be a dark day when it falls to ideology/etc. like almost every other major editorial website.
  • user avatar
    Luke Muehlhauser
    @lukeprog
    Apr 27, 2017
    "The real problem of humanity is [that] we have Paleolithic emotions, medieval institutions, and god-like technology." - EO Wilson
  • user avatar
    Luke Muehlhauser
    @lukeprog
    May 16, 2025
    This is very funny, and good advertising for shrimpwelfareproject.org and effective altruism. youtube.com/watch?v=VNbIKt…
    shrimpwelfareproject.org
    Shrimp Welfare Project
    150K
  • user avatar
    Luke Muehlhauser
    @lukeprog
    Nov 20, 2023
    New theory: The OpenAI Board became resentful of superforecasters' arrogance, and set out to permanently destroy their Brier scores in a single weekend.
    37K
  • user avatar
    Luke Muehlhauser
    @lukeprog
    Apr 25, 2020
    Superforecasters think there's only a 6% chance we'll have a widely-distributed COVID-19 vaccine by April 2021. goodjudgment.io/covid/dashboar…
  • user avatar
    Luke Muehlhauser
    @lukeprog
    Feb 26, 2024
    Here is your regular reminder that many of the indisputably top experts in AI think that AI poses a credible risk of literal, no-kidding, full-blown human extinction, and that it should be a top global priority to mitigate that risk. safe.ai/statement-on-a…
    28K
  • user avatar
    Luke Muehlhauser
    @lukeprog
    Aug 18, 2021
    Replying to @jachiam0
    One of my favorite lifehacks! lesswrong.com/posts/xg3hXCYQ…
  • user avatar
    Luke Muehlhauser
    @lukeprog
    Apr 6, 2024
    Published in Science, coauthors include a Turing Award winner (for co-inventing deep learning) and a co-author of the world's leading AI textbook: science.org/doi/10.1126/sc…
    70K
  • user avatar
    Luke Muehlhauser
    @lukeprog
    Nov 28, 2020
    Human civilization is mostly China, India, and lots of coastline. Also, Canada and Australia (approximately) don't exist. visualcapitalist.com/3d-mapping-the…
  • user avatar
    Luke Muehlhauser
    @lukeprog
    Apr 29, 2023
    If ever a bill was self-recommending, here is the "Block Nuclear Launch by Autonomous Artificial Intelligence Act":
    An AI-generated image of a nuclear mushroom cloud.
    Nuke-launching AI would be illegal under proposed US law
    From arstechnica.com
    93K
  • user avatar
    Luke Muehlhauser
    @lukeprog
    Jun 24, 2025
    Reminder that the nonprofit AI safety field (or "industrial complex" lol) is massively, massively outgunned by, well… The Actual AI Industry. archive.is/DFvLR
    31K

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