Joao Wedson (@joao

Joao Wedson

6,126 posts

Joao Wedson

@joao_wedson

💎Founder & CEO of @Alphractal 🏅Verified Author at @CryptoQuant_com & @CoinMarketCap ⚙MSc in Data Science & AI 🦾Engineer in Robotics & Automation ₿itcoin OG

Alpha

Joined December 2019

Pinned
Joao Wedson
@joao_wedson
Dec 26, 2025
Bitcoin’s fractal suggests the next cycle bottom may form around October 4, 2026. Based on historical cycle symmetry, the most favorable time window for accumulation would likely be concentrated between: 🗓 October 6, 2026 and October 16, 2026 📉 Estimated price range: $41,500
Joao Wedson
@joao_wedson
Oct 16, 2025
🚨Today marks the key day that closes Bitcoin’s fractal cycle! If the price drops significantly from here, it will prove that everyone who believed the 4-year Bitcoin cycle wouldn’t work anymore was wrong! In my last post, I share a bit more openly about what I truly believe!👇
177K
Joao Wedson
@joao_wedson
Mar 30, 2025
🔥 Binance is dominating the crypto market like never before! 📈 Binance's spot volume is once again surpassing ALL other exchanges combined and is 8x larger than Coinbase's! Even with the total spot volume declining, Binance's dominance remains evident. 💡 In Jan/24, when
181K
Joao Wedson
@joao_wedson
Oct 5, 2025
Our most precise Bitcoin top indicator has now crossed $60K. Once the Smart Model (blue line) hits $69K, it will flash a sell signal, calling the exact cycle top. Many are already bearish and doubtful, while others believe $125K will be the true ATH of this cycle. So, what do
Joao Wedson
@joao_wedson
Sep 14, 2025
Wondering if Bitcoin has already hit its ATH? Look no further than the most accurate BTC chart ever — the only one that has called every single ATH, in every cycle, to the exact day. Max Intersect SMA Model hasn’t signaled this cycle’s top yet, but it’s getting very close. Right
98K
Joao Wedson
@joao_wedson
Sep 30, 2025
Bitcoin is currently 528 days past its last halving (which occurred on April 19, 2024), and when analyzing the history of previous cycles, we notice a slight variation in the number of days between each halving and their respective ATHs: 371 days in 2012, around 525 days in 2016,
Joao Wedson
@joao_wedson
Feb 4, 2025
If BTC were to repeat the same performance as in previous cycles after the halving, this would be the Top and Bottom Price of the current cycle. 📈Top: $143.7k ~ 146.3k in Q4 2025 📉Bottom: $41.2k in Q4 2026 Analysis based on Exponential Curve Adjustment. Chart: @Alphractal
80K
Joao Wedson
@joao_wedson
Oct 22, 2025
When the Buy/Sell Pressure Delta turns red, it means the bottom has already happened. At least, that’s how it’s been throughout the current bull cycle. I hope you’re seeing this. Chart: @Alphractal
36K
Joao Wedson
@joao_wedson
Sep 14, 2025
Wondering if Bitcoin has already hit its ATH? Look no further than the most accurate BTC chart ever — the only one that has called every single ATH, in every cycle, to the exact day. Max Intersect SMA Model hasn’t signaled this cycle’s top yet, but it’s getting very close. Right
Joao Wedson
@joao_wedson
Aug 1, 2025
Replying to @joao_wedson
Ah, I believe what will spark the most curiosity was the last chart. Yes, that's the Max Intersect SMA Model, a proprietary, alpha-level algorithm developed by myself and the Alphractal Research Team. Here are some screenshots. It nailed the exact day of every previous cycle top.
175K
Joao Wedson
@joao_wedson
Oct 11, 2025
I want to be completely honest and straightforward about what I think: has the Bitcoin cycle and the market ended or not? The first thing I want to share is a reflection on whether the 4-year BTC cycle is really repeating. We've gone through many moments, and a lot of people say
105K
Joao Wedson
@joao_wedson
Oct 18, 2025
Bitcoin Top: projected between $143.7K and $146.3K That’s the target based on Bitcoin’s cycle pattern and its performance decay over time. If BTC is in reaccumulation, mark my words — that’s where we’re heading. But if it’s distribution, the top is already behind us at $126K.
Joao Wedson
@joao_wedson
May 10, 2025
The Bitcoin Top Prediction Remains Intact! Three months later, the analysis based on cycle performance decay still holds strong. If the pattern continues, this cycle’s top could reach between $143K and $146K. See the full chart now at Alphractal.com — it speaks for
37K
Joao Wedson
@joao_wedson
Oct 20, 2025
Many altcoins have just completed their final accumulation phase! Now — going against everyone who still believes in more downside — I honestly think many memecoins, game tokens, and DeFi projects are about to outperform almost every other asset in the world. An accumulation
19K
Joao Wedson
@joao_wedson
Oct 16, 2025
🚨Today marks the key day that closes Bitcoin’s fractal cycle! If the price drops significantly from here, it will prove that everyone who believed the 4-year Bitcoin cycle wouldn’t work anymore was wrong! In my last post, I share a bit more openly about what I truly believe!👇
Joao Wedson
@joao_wedson
Oct 11, 2025
I want to be completely honest and straightforward about what I think: has the Bitcoin cycle and the market ended or not? The first thing I want to share is a reflection on whether the 4-year BTC cycle is really repeating. We've gone through many moments, and a lot of people say
252K
Joao Wedson
@joao_wedson
Oct 18, 2025
Historic Opportunity: Trade Gold for Bitcoin. 🟡⮕₿ Bottom signals in the BTC/Gold ratio are extremely rare, and they tend to appear during high-volatility moments and sharp BTC drawdowns. Well, we’re exactly there right now. The blue signal marks the current bottom, revealed
115K
Joao Wedson
@joao_wedson
Sep 22, 2025
Bitcoin is already showing signs of cycle exhaustion — and very few are seeing it. The SOPR Trend Signal is excellent at signaling when blockchain profitability is drying up. Never in Bitcoin’s history have investors accumulated BTC so late and at such high prices. Maybe only
25K
Joao Wedson
@joao_wedson
Oct 28, 2025
The Bitcoin Top That Never Came (Yet) Unlike past cycles, this time few people bought the top out of euphoria. In previous ATHs, Bitcoin barely had time to breathe above new highs — it would surge with pure excitement… and then crash just as fast. The result? Thousands of
18K
Joao Wedson
@joao_wedson
May 10, 2025
🔥The Bitcoin cycle remains intact and is likely to peak in October — but expect major volatility before that! I'm one of the few who speaks openly about this, but I've seen many posts claiming that Bitcoin's predictable cycle has ended due to the rise of institutions, ETFs, and
14K