$CRWV 5Y CDS ~1,140bp, ~60% implied 5Y default prob.
For context:
• Lehman days before BK: ~790bp
• HY index peak 2002: ~1,010bp
• WorldCom weeks before BK: ~2,100bp
Past the ~1,000bp distress line, not yet in the 2,000bp+ pre-default zone.
Everyone's buying AI optics stocks. ($SIVE, $AAOI, $AXTI)
Here's the entire AI interconnect (electrical, pluggable, CPO) supply chain — switch ASIC down to the wafer — and who actually makes each piece: