Andy Hall (@ahall_research) / X

Andy Hall

1,542 posts

Andy Hall

@ahall_research

Building free systems. Prof @StanfordGSB, Senior Fellow @HooverInst. Advisor, @a16zcrypto, @ByForumAI. Writing at freesystems.substack.com

andrewbenjaminhall.com

Joined January 2022

Pinned
Andy Hall
@ahall_research
May 13
My new research piece: what the politics of jobless prosperity might look like in an AGI world, why the real political backlash to AI hasn’t started yet, and how the labs should prepare. 1. The backlash to AI isn’t here yet. There is anxiety among American voters, but there is
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Andy Hall
@ahall_research
Oct 7, 2025
Think lobbying and campaign contributions are the key to how companies navigate American politics? Wrong. Corporate policy teams are where the real action is! Our new paper offers the first ever systematic, quantitative study of corporate policy teams, based on LinkedIn data on
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Andy Hall
@ahall_research
Oct 23, 2025
Prediction markets for elections are a huge deal today and have long been beloved by political economists---but I had no appreciation for how deep their historical roots go. Did you know that there were large betting markets for American elections long before polling, with
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Andy Hall
@ahall_research
Oct 1, 2025
For decades, American legislators have enjoyed a huge financial edge over their challengers when running for reelection. But our new paper shows that this advantage has eroded sharply—falling 25–50% over the last decade as elections have polarized and nationalized. Key
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Andy Hall
@ahall_research
Nov 11, 2025
I'm hiring a senior RA for part-time, extremely experimental work studying market-making, liquidity dynamics, pricing efficiency, and information aggregation on prediction markets, especially political markets. Ideal candidate has a strong software engineering and trading
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Andy Hall
@ahall_research
Nov 11, 2025
This January I'm teaching a new MBA class entitled "AI & Power: Five Big Questions." Each week tackles a big question about who controls AI, how it shapes institutions, and whether it can strengthen or undermine a free society. My initial sketch is below, and I would very much
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Andy Hall
@ahall_research
Oct 2, 2025
Which crypto tokens should have governance rights? This question is important to builders and policymakers today. Legislators and regulators are trying to decide when a blockchain is truly decentralized vs. when it’s still controlled by a small group of people. Builders are
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Andy Hall
@ahall_research
Oct 29, 2025
When should groups deliberate—and when should they vote? That question sounds abstract, but it shapes how we govern everything—from ancient Athens to modern legislatures and even open-source software communities. As more of our decision-making moves online, it’s becoming one of
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Andy Hall
@ahall_research
Nov 9, 2025
Grok just told me Kamala Harris is president and the Dems control the House and Senate...lol
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Andy Hall
@ahall_research
Oct 10, 2025
GPT5 remains left-wing slanted according to Americans—substantially more so than Anthropic’s Claude or Google’ Gemini, according to our newly updated research. Yesterday, OpenAI released fascinating new research suggesting that ChatGPT no longer provides left-slanted responses
This post is unavailable.
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Andy Hall
@ahall_research
Nov 13, 2025
Asking an AI to grade itself for political bias is not the right way to assess political bias.
Anthropic
@AnthropicAI
Nov 13, 2025
We’re open-sourcing an evaluation used to test Claude for political bias. In the post below, we describe the ideal behavior we want Claude to have in political discussions, and test a selection of AI models for even-handedness: anthropic.com/news/political…
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Andy Hall
@ahall_research
Nov 4, 2025
An underappreciated potential value of prediction markets for elections is that they directly provide a probability of victory, though it's an open question whether these are better than what you could create with polling right now. Polls provide an expected vote share, which is
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Andy Hall
@ahall_research
Oct 24, 2025
Another extremely interesting paper on prediction markets before and after polling
Christopher Wlezien
@CBWlezien
Oct 24, 2025
Replying to @ahall_research
Thx, and here's another paper in the space that might interest! sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
3.4K
Andy Hall
@ahall_research
Oct 7, 2025
Super exciting summer internship opportunity for PhD students interested in decentralized governance
Tim Roughgarden
@Tim_Roughgarden
Oct 7, 2025
We've had 25 research interns over the past four summers @a16crypto, many of whom are now among the most visible researchers in the space. If you'd like to be a part of the summer '26 cohort, apply here: a16z.com/about/jobs/?gh…
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