John Couvillon (@WinWithJMC) / X

John Couvillon

56.4K posts

John Couvillon

@WinWithJMC

JMC Analytics & Polling Founder/Owner Award winning pollster/4x finalist (C&Es Reed Awards) Political strategist/Numbers guy

Louisiana

Joined October 2012

John Couvillon
@WinWithJMC
Nov 3, 2020
ONE. HUNDRED. MILLION. HAVE. VOTED The California update was sent an hour ago, bringing the nationwide total to 100,573,905.
John Couvillon
@WinWithJMC
Apr 13, 2020
CALLING IT: MIlwaukee 95% in. It gave Dems a 31K margin in 2016. Tonight, it's 63K. And Im not seeing offsetting GOP margins in other counties other than Dane or Milwaukee. Karofsky by 20-30K.
John Couvillon
@WinWithJMC
Oct 29, 2020
MAHALO, HAWAII! You're the first state to exceed 2016 turnout...just got confirmation from a Honolulu reporter.
John Couvillon
@WinWithJMC
Jun 6, 2018
2018 PRIMARY TURNOUT (EXCLUDING CALIFORNIA): Democratic turnout up 69% from 2014, Republican turnout up 4%.
John Couvillon
@WinWithJMC
Nov 4, 2020
NATIONAL POPULAR VOTE: Biden 57.3M (50%) Trump 55.6M (48,5%) As those mail ins from the Wet Coast come in, that lead will likely expand to 4-5M.
John Couvillon
@WinWithJMC
Jun 25, 2025
MAMDANI WILL WIN He's holding onto an 8+% lead even with 270K EDay votes in.
95K
John Couvillon
@WinWithJMC
Nov 8, 2022
MARICOPA COUNTY ARIZONA UPDATE II Since I'm an "apples to apples" kind of guy :) Baseline: 930K, 37.5-37.4% R/D EDAY: 103K, 57-14% R/D NOW: 1033K, 39.5-35.1% R/D
John Couvillon
@WinWithJMC
Nov 5, 2020
ARIZONA VOTE UPDATED Biden lead 887-802K over Trump
John Couvillon
@WinWithJMC
Oct 25, 2020
And now, we're up to 61 million voted.
John Couvillon
@WinWithJMC
Nov 3, 2020
99,719,397 voted. That's with CT and KY added in.
John Couvillon
@WinWithJMC
Nov 5, 2020
Replying to @WinWithJMC
This was the Maricopa number. According to @SteveKornacki , Trump got 59% of the 74K new votes
John Couvillon
@WinWithJMC
Aug 15, 2018
WISCONSIN PARTISAN TURNOUT: Trump carried Kenosha County 47-47% in 2016. Tonight, 56-44% preference for Democrats in primary.
John Couvillon
@WinWithJMC
Oct 28, 2020
TEASER: HI and TX closing in on 100% of the 2016 vote.
John Couvillon
@WinWithJMC
Nov 2, 2020
CALLING IT A DAY. 95.5M votes (+1.35M) (44-34% Dem/Rep) There will obviously be a volume of last minute mail (and some in person) tomorrow. Rest assured I'll grab what I can, in the hopes of tweeting at the point we reach 100 million votes.