(1) New Working Paper: the fundamental driver of growth in modern economies, Total Factor Productivity (TFP), is linear, not exponential.
This is a paper I did not expect to write...
Germany’s Greek crisis.
11 years ago Greece faced a sovereign debt crisis because of:
- irresponsible fiscal policy
- bad luck
Today Germany faces a geopolitical crisis because of:
- irresponsible energy policy
- bad luck
We need a centrist rebellion. Wokism was insufferable. trumpisn is 10 times worse.
The trouble with us centrists is that we give people the benefit of the doubt. It’s also our greatest quality. We are aware that we don’t know everything. But we also know BS when we see it.
Economists and pol scientists study all kinds of things--but do they have an answer/hypothesis why is the outcome of democracy so different in South Africa and Poland?
President Trump paid $750 in federal income taxes in 2016, and nothing in 10 of the prior 15 years — largely because he reported losing much more money than he made.
Read the takeaways from our exclusive look at decades of Trump’s tax records. nyti.ms/3czAqNn
Greece’ s bad luck was a global financial crisis triggered in the US housing market.
Germany’s bad luck came in the form of erratic decisions from an entrenched tyrant.
But, as German officials liked to remind their Greek counterparts, bad luck is no excuse for bad policy.
Germany did the same with its energy policy. It was a bet that the gaz would keep flowing.
Germany is depended on gaz inflows just as Greece was on financial ones.
It refused to pay the cost of insurance in the form of diversification.
Exemple parfait d’incompétence et de malhonnêteté intellectuelle
La somme des mesures qu’il propose c’est quelques milliards au max
Pour faire 120 milliards il faut toucher aux retraites mais ça fait peur à notre petit Éric avec sa tronçonneuse en plastique
Notre loi tronçonneuse, c’est :
- La suppression de 25 % des normes
- La suppression de 1/3 des agences
- La suppression des régions, des métropoles et des départements
➡️Objectifs :
- Une baisse dépense publique de 120 milliards par an
- 600 milliards en 5 ans
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