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David Sumpter
10.3K posts
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David Sumpter
@Soccermatics
Professor of Applied Maths and Author. Co-founder and data scientist at Twelve football.
Uppsala, Sweden
twelve.football
Joined January 2015
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  • user avatar
    David Sumpter
    @Soccermatics
    Aug 30, 2022
    Do you want to learn football analytics? 🤔 You have come to the right place! ✅ My course 'Soccermatics: mathematical modelling of football' is available now. AND IT IS FREE.🤗 soccermatics.readthedocs.io
  • user avatar
    David Sumpter
    @Soccermatics
    Oct 1, 2022
    Look in the bottom right corner of this graph. 👀 The two teams with the lowest xG/shot against and highest xG/shot for are owned by professional gamblers who made their fortunes using expected goals. Football analytics really does work...
  • user avatar
    David Sumpter
    @Soccermatics
    Sep 18, 2022
    Expected Threat (xT) is one of the most important (but least well-understood) statistics in football. ⚽️⚽️ It was used by Liverpool (they call it Goals Added) to do some of their best scouting. 📈 And now, YOU can learn all about it...🧵
  • user avatar
    David Sumpter
    @Soccermatics
    Oct 1, 2022
    Arsenal are very good this season. Here is a thread with the numbers which explain why... (Yes, of course being 1st in the league is also an important number😉) Before today they have outperformed their opponents on xG in every match.
  • user avatar
    David Sumpter
    @Soccermatics
    Sep 4, 2022
    A thread on Liverpool using numbers. Six games is great for using expected goals and expected threat to find out what is going on. First of all they have 'won' all six on xG.
  • user avatar
    David Sumpter
    @Soccermatics
    Feb 8, 2024
    Hammarby are doing something of a first in football analytics. The club has set up metrics for their style of play, which will be communicated throughout the season with fans, the board and players alike.
    222K
  • user avatar
    David Sumpter
    @Soccermatics
    Oct 19, 2020
    The complete guide course to football analytics is now available for free. Covering everything from getting started in python, through expected goals, simulating matches and evaluating players, to tracking data and expected possession value. Enjoy! uppsala.instructure.com/courses/28112
  • user avatar
    David Sumpter
    @Soccermatics
    Mar 31, 2023
    The Future of Life Institute is a problem. Being in same age-group (lower end maybe😃)/cultural background (8-bit programming📼⌨️) as these men, makes me feel uncomfortable and embarrassed for them. Here they (Musk, Hassabis, Tegmark, Bostrom etc.) are in 2017.
    395K
  • user avatar
    David Sumpter
    @Soccermatics
    Mar 5, 2023
    How should we do mathematical modelling? With more and more strange ideas flying about AI (It can read minds! it is truly intelligent and might take over the world!) we need to refocus. This is what I do in this paper with Linnea Gyllingberg and @Abebab.
    114K
  • user avatar
    David Sumpter
    @Soccermatics
    Oct 10, 2021
    Almost twenty thousand fans welcome @Hammarbyfotboll women’s team on to the pitch.
    00:00
  • user avatar
    David Sumpter
    @Soccermatics
    Jul 21, 2020
    Mathematical modelling in football course starts 31st of August. Free to all EU citizens. Full syllabus and details how to register here: uppsala.instructure.com/courses/28112/…
  • user avatar
    David Sumpter
    @Soccermatics
    Jul 1, 2021
    You might not be interested in football or maths, but you HAVE to watch @maramperninety here. A 20-year-old Muslim woman, she is one of the absolute best at combining these two (otherwise) male-dominated areas. She talks so eloquently about her journey.
    Maram AlBaharna: Visualising and clustering passes
    From youtube.com
  • user avatar
    David Sumpter
    @Soccermatics
    Mar 30, 2022
    If we are going to be able to scout players using data, we have to use an understanding of the game. I explain how to do this using Professor Paco Seirul·lo’s zonal method. barcainnovationhub.com/the-three-zone…
  • user avatar
    David Sumpter
    @Soccermatics
    Mar 29, 2022
    It never ceases to amaze me how close goal distributions are to Poisson. This is distribution of number of goals in a match since 2005 in the Premier League. Bars are histogram. Line is Poisson distribution. 0-0 draws are the only outlier.