My new book:
The Great Holocene Transformation:
What Complexity Science Tells Us about the Evolution of Complex Societies
api.omarshehata.me/substack-proxy…
No Cliodynamics or Structural Demographic Theories from @Peter_Turchin?
Besides predicting the rise of someone like Trump, his models have ODEs and are based on historical data, which makes them very falsifiable, maybe more than some of the other theories.
@ClearerThinkng
Good grief. As well as being flat out wrong, the person you cite as an example of how to do it, @Peter_Turchin, also uses ODEs in his mathematical modelling of history! We are kindred spirits in that sense, and here you are portraying us as opposites.