Nate Cohn (@Nate

Nate Cohn

50.8K posts

Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn

chief political analyst, @nytimes. writing about elections, public opinion and demographics for @UpshotNYT. polling and needling. PNW expat.

Washington, DC

nytimes.com/by/nate-cohn

Joined January 2012

Nate Cohn
@Nate_Cohn
Nov 13, 2020
It's final: Joe Biden 306, Donald Trump 232 Biden wins Georgia. Trump wins North Carolina.
Nate Cohn
@Nate_Cohn
Feb 10, 2020
One interesting twist in New Hampshire is that the candidate who receive the most votes is considered the winner
Nate Cohn
@Nate_Cohn
Dec 15, 2020
A record-shattering first day of early voting in the Georgia runoff: 168k vote in-person yesterday, up from 136k on day one of in-person early voting for the general election
Nate Cohn
@Nate_Cohn
Nov 6, 2020
Biden now leads in states worth 306 electoral votes. Here's how the map will probably finish
Nate Cohn
@Nate_Cohn
Nov 4, 2020
Biden has taken the lead in Michigan, according to the AP Along with AZ, NV and WI, he now leads in states worth 270 electoral votes--the number needed to win
Presidential Election Results 2020: Biden Wins (Published 2020)
From nytimes.com
Nate Cohn
@Nate_Cohn
Nov 16, 2020
Biden now leads by a full percentage point in Pennsylvania, as absentee and provisional ballots continue to add his tallies
Nate Cohn
@Nate_Cohn
Nov 11, 2022
The path for Republicans to win the Senate is getting... awfully thin, as Democrats post strong showings in mail ballots tonight in Arizona and Nevada.
Nate Cohn
@Nate_Cohn
Nov 5, 2020
If you stop the count, right now, Biden wins with 270 electoral votes--with leads in AZ/NV, plus the states where he's already the projected winner.
Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump
Nov 5, 2020
STOP THE COUNT!
Nate Cohn
@Nate_Cohn
Nov 9, 2022
Fetterman on track to win in Pennsylvania, with a greater than 95% chance to win, according to our estimates (this is not a projection)
Nate Cohn
@Nate_Cohn
Nov 6, 2020
New Clark County ballots expand Biden's lead in Nevada. I am not aware of a reason to believe that Trump can overcome his deficit in the state
Nate Cohn
@Nate_Cohn
Nov 12, 2022
With Catherine Cortez Masto consistently winning the mail ballots in Nevada by a two-to-one margin, Democrats might just be one large Washoe County mail ballot drop away from holding the Senate
Nate Cohn
@Nate_Cohn
Nov 4, 2020
At this point, Biden's path to over 300 electoral votes is a lot, lot clearer than the president's path to 270.
Nate Cohn
@Nate_Cohn
Dec 12, 2020
So a majority of House Republicans and AGs asked the Supreme Court to nullify the result of the presidential election--and bring about a constitutional crisis with untold risks to the country--in a case that the Court dismissed in a couple of paragraphs
Nate Cohn
@Nate_Cohn
Aug 3, 2022
It'll be a while until we get voter file data on this election, but I think there's a chance this was the largest partisan turnout advantage in a high turnout election that Democrats have enjoyed as long as I've followed election data