It seems @SecScottBessent’s “quick face-saving deals” strategy isn’t working even with close allies who appear unwilling to fulfill their roles in the Kabuki theatre.
All around the world, people are engaged in difficult labor to produce goods for American consumers.
And in exchange they get pieces of paper that we can basically print as many as we want of.
And yet some claim that we’re the ones getting ripped off.
Nice try.
You won’t have the same rate on a 50 vs a 30.
1. 50 is way more duration. Duration ain’t free. You gotta pay for it.
2. The short call (prepayment) option stapled on to the 50y mortgage is much more expensive so your spread over treasuries will wider.
Trump inherited an economy with 3% inflation, 3% real growth and 4% unemployment
Plus a very real chance of a massive AI boom
And now he's put all of that at risk
I still can't believe he bungled things this badly 4 months in
The dumbest shit I’ve come across all morning are all these calculations on 50 vs 30 using the same interest rate.
There’s this thing called the term structure of rates.
Then there’s mortgage finance with crazy things called prepayments options and spreads.
Nice try.
You won’t have the same rate on a 50 vs a 30.
1. 50 is way more duration. Duration ain’t free. You gotta pay for it.
2. The short call (prepayment) option stapled on to the 50y mortgage is much more expensive so your spread over treasuries will wider.
If you were dooming about the U.S. economy, retail sales just said hold my beer.
Try next month folks. Bc without the consumer rolling over it is very very hard for the economy or the labor mkt to roll over.
Sell more shit. Hire more people. That’s it.
Someone said the Fed was being irresponsibly dovish.
Reasonable people can disagree and make a mkt.
The real irresponsibility is leaving free money on the table bc your political biases cause you to make moral judgements that keep you from taking the cash.
Today I blocked six people. A record. Commonalities:
Anon.
Young.
Angry.
Probably celibate; not by choice.
Don’t seem very optimistic.
Their parents fucked up.
9.5mm views for something I learned like in 3rd grade.
That’s how this stupid place has become.
My cue to go do something else with my life on this Saturday.
Have a good day folks!