Drew Linzer (@DrewLinzer) / X

Drew Linzer

2,784 posts

Drew Linzer

@DrewLinzer

Pollster, statistician, political scientist. VP of Research at Murmuration. Cofounder, @Civiqs. Daily polling updates: civiqs.com

Oakland, CA

Joined January 2012

Drew Linzer
@DrewLinzer
Jul 22, 2024
We @Civiqs started tracking Trump vs. Harris two weeks ago. Normally this info is paywalled, but this deserves sharing: - Through 7/21, Biden trailed Trump 46-44 nationally; Harris was ahead 48-46. Trump is stuck at a ceiling of 46. Harris gains from 3rd party/undecided voters.
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Drew Linzer
@DrewLinzer
Jan 3, 2019
Paul Ryan leaves office with a 12% favorable rating. civiqs.com/results/ryan_f…
Drew Linzer
@DrewLinzer
Nov 10, 2022
An incredible look at the PA-Sen race based on daily tracking of Fetterman & Oz favorable ratings by @Civiqs that we can now release. That "disastrous" debate? In reality, it helped Fetterman and stalled out Oz's improving favorable ratings. @kerryeleveld
Analysts entirely misread the Fetterman-Oz debate. These graphs show how wrong they were
From dailykos.com
Drew Linzer
@DrewLinzer
Jul 22, 2024
Replying to @DrewLinzer
Digging into the pres vote crosstabs: - Young voters (18-34) go from Biden 44-36 (+8) to Harris 57-37 (+20) - Independents go from Trump 48-32 (+16) to Trump 49-41 (+8) - Harris picks up 7pp among Black voters and 8pp among Hispanic voters, almost all from 3rd party/undecideds
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Drew Linzer
@DrewLinzer
Dec 9, 2022
Kyrsten Sinema has an 18% favorable rating in Arizona right now. Democrats: 5% fav, 82% unfav Independents: 25% fav, 56% unfav Republicans: 25% fav, 45% unfav (Normally this is paywalled here so just screenshots)
Drew Linzer
@DrewLinzer
Jul 22, 2024
Replying to @DrewLinzer
Reminder this polling is from *before* Biden announced that he was exiting the race.
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Drew Linzer
@DrewLinzer
Sep 2, 2020
Replying to @DrewLinzer
We polled belief in the #QAnon conspiracy theory. Fully 33% of Republicans say it is mostly true. 23% think some parts are true. Only 13% say it's not true at all. In contrast, 72% of Democrats say the QAnon theory isn't true. Only 14% of Americans have never heard of QAnon.
Drew Linzer
@DrewLinzer
May 19, 2020
New Georgia poll, May 16-18 @Civiqs President: Biden (D) 48% Trump (R) 47% Senate: Ossoff (D) 47% Perdue (R) 45% Special runoff: Warnock (D) 45% Collins (R) 44% N=1339 RV civiqs.com/documents/Civi…
Drew Linzer
@DrewLinzer
Feb 23, 2021
Coronavirus vaccine skepticism has come way down for Black and Hispanic people since last fall. Where skepticism remains high is among white Republicans. Nearly 60% of white Rs will either not take the vaccine or are unsure. @Civiqs tracking: civiqs.com/results/corona…
Drew Linzer
@DrewLinzer
Jan 11, 2019
Nancy Pelosi favorable ratings keep climbing. Since Election Day, she's up 13 points among Democrats, 9 points among Independents, and even 2 points among Republicans. @Civiqs tracking polls as of 1/10/19. civiqs.com/results/favora…
Drew Linzer
@DrewLinzer
Jun 3, 2020
Support for the #BlackLivesMatter movement is the highest it has ever been in over three years of polling @Civiqs. This weekend was the single most significant shift in Americans' racial attitudes since we began asking the question in April 2017. civiqs.com/results/black_…
Drew Linzer
@DrewLinzer
Nov 9, 2018
Replying to @DrewLinzer
Interestingly, the largest/highest profile misses were almost all in races where the Republican beat the polls: - IN-Sen: polls D+2; actual R+8 - OH-Gov: polls D+3; actual R+4 - SD-Gov: polls D+3; actual R+3 - TN-Sen: polls R+5; actual R+11 - IA-Gov: polls D+2; actual R+3
Drew Linzer
@DrewLinzer
Nov 16, 2022
Remarkable. The 2022 election sent Trump's favorable rating from an already low 38% down to 33%. Among Republicans, Trump's favorable rating went from 81% to 71%, the lowest it's been since before the 2016 election. civiqs.com/results/trump_…
Drew Linzer
@DrewLinzer
Mar 14, 2020
The coronavirus partisan divide is real. Twice as many Democrats (60%) are changing plans or taking precautions than Republicans (31%). 88% of Republicans are satisfied with the government's response. Among Democrats? 11%. Survey report @Civiqs 3/8-11: civiqs.com/reports/2020/3…