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Conjecture Institute
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Conjecture Institute
@ConjectureInst
conjectureinstitute.org Applied Optimism. Co-founded by President @ChipkinLogan and Board Members @DKedmey & @astupple.
Joined December 2024
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  • Pinned
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    Conjecture Institute
    @ConjectureInst
    Oct 27, 2025
    Article
    The West, Institutions, and Applied Optimism
    There’s a difference between right and wrong, better and worse, progress and stasis, truth and falsehood. Everyone says that these dichotomies are obvious, but few take them seriously. For instance,...
    28K
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    Conjecture Institute
    @ConjectureInst
    Oct 23, 2025
    Conjecture Institute is honored to announce our Senior Scientist, Oxford physicist Chiara Marletto! Dr. Marletto leads a new research group that is developing constructor theory, a new theory that aims to express all laws of physics in terms of possible and impossible tasks.
    23K
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    Conjecture Institute
    @ConjectureInst
    Oct 15, 2025
    Conjecture Institute's third book: Bold Conjectures, Volume I: Select Interviews of David Deutsch We expect it to be available for purchase in Q1 2026 🙂📚
    21K
  • user avatar
    Conjecture Institute
    @ConjectureInst
    Sep 4, 2025
    Conjecture Institute Advisor David Deutsch @DavidDeutschOxf talks to @ToKTeacher about how to reverse academia’s stagnation. (2:34) Bureaucracy vs Science (30:30) Tyranny of Checkboxes (37:40) Manhattan Project (46:56) QM Textbooks (55:57) Constructor Theory (1:04:35) $7M Bet
    00:00
    27K
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    Conjecture Institute
    @ConjectureInst
    Oct 7, 2025
    Lords of the Cosmos: From Stasis to Stars, by Conjecture Institute Fellow @arjunkhemani & President @ChipkinLogan is available now in Kindle, paperback, and hardback! This book is Conjecture Institute's second of the year.
    99K
  • user avatar
    Conjecture Institute
    @ConjectureInst
    Sep 26, 2025
    Conjecture Institute is honored to announce our second Advisor, computer scientist and philosopher @yudapearl! His books, including Causality and The Book of Why, have influenced fields ranging from epidemiology to economics.
    41K
  • user avatar
    Conjecture Institute
    @ConjectureInst
    Oct 20, 2025
    Conjecture Institute Advisor @DavidDeutschOxf's second book, The Beginning of Infinity, explores and establishes deep connections between the laws of nature, the human condition, knowledge, and the possibility for progress.
    6.3K
  • user avatar
    Conjecture Institute
    @ConjectureInst
    Oct 12, 2025
    Conjecture Institute is honored to announce our third Advisor, @DanielJHannan! Lord Hannan of Kingsclere is an author, columnist, President of the Institute for Free Trade, and former Member of the European Parliament.
    38K
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    Conjecture Institute
    @ConjectureInst
    Mar 8, 2025
    We're proud to support Conjecture Institute Fellow Arjun Khemani @arjunkhemani! Arjun is a high school dropout who launched and helped lead support at Naval Ravikant's @naval Airchat. He is currently creating a documentary about our deepest theory of knowledge.👇
    12K
  • user avatar
    Conjecture Institute
    @ConjectureInst
    Oct 17, 2025
    British politician and Conjecture Institute Advisor @DanielJHannan's Inventing Freedom is an ambitious account of the historical origin and spread of the principles that have made America great, and their role in creating a sphere of economic and political liberty.
    8.2K
  • user avatar
    Conjecture Institute
    @ConjectureInst
    Sep 4, 2025
    We (Founders @ChipkinLogan, @astupple, @DKedmey, and all of our Fellows) are enormously grateful to the generosity of Naval Ravikant @naval, without which Conjecture Institute would not exist.
    user avatar
    Conjecture Institute
    @ConjectureInst
    Sep 4, 2025
    Conjecture Institute Advisor David Deutsch @DavidDeutschOxf talks to @ToKTeacher about how to reverse academia’s stagnation. (2:34) Bureaucracy vs Science (30:30) Tyranny of Checkboxes (37:40) Manhattan Project (46:56) QM Textbooks (55:57) Constructor Theory (1:04:35) $7M Bet
    00:00
    9.8K
  • user avatar
    Conjecture Institute
    @ConjectureInst
    Mar 13, 2025
    Meet Conjecture Institute Fellow Sam Kuypers @Sam_kuyp! Sam is a quantum physicist interested in foundational questions. In his research, published in reputable scientific journals, he explores the quantum theory of time, the many-worlds interpretation, and locality.
    15K
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    Conjecture Institute
    @ConjectureInst
    Sep 30, 2025
    Thanks to everyone who came to Rat Fest 2025! At 78 attendees, it was by far our biggest in-person event yet. Our goal for next year's Conjecture Con (we're renaming the event) is to have 100 attendees. Stay tuned!
    13K
  • user avatar
    Conjecture Institute
    @ConjectureInst
    Aug 22, 2025
    "If altruism morality is taken to its logical conclusion, then everyone would be trying to solve everyone else's problems. How could that possibly be more effective than everyone trying to solve their own problems?” ~Conjecture Institute President @ChipkinLogan
    6.7K