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An Enhanced Risk of Severe Thunderstorms is Forecast Today and/or Tonight

Severe thunderstorms with large hail, damaging wind gusts and an isolated tornado threat are expected today across parts of the northern Plains. An isolated threat for tornadoes and severe wind gusts will be possible from parts of eastern Oklahoma and southeastern Kansas eastward across the Ozarks. Strong wind gusts will also be possible in the mid Mississippi Valley and in the Mid-Atlantic.

For additional details, see the latest Day 1 Convective Outlook.

Critical fire weather conditions are forecast today. See details...

Critical fire weather conditions are forecast on Mon (06/08). See details...

SPC Products Overview

Hazard	Sun (06/07)	Mon (06/08)	Tue (06/09)	Wed (06/10)	Thu (06/11)	Fri (06/12)	Sat (06/13)	Sun (06/14)
Severe	Enhanced	Slight	Enhanced	Severe	Severe	No Area	No Area	No Area
Fire	Critical	Critical	Critical	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area

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Severe Weather Climatology (1994-2024)

Any Severe Probabilities: 07 Jun

Sig Severe Probabilities: 07 Jun

Tornado Probabilities: 07 Jun

Damaging Wind Probabilities: 07 Jun

Severe Hail Probabilities: 07 Jun

Significant Tornado Probabilities: 07 Jun

Significant Wind Probabilities: 07 Jun

Significant Hail Probabilities: 07 Jun

More climatology data here.

2026 Tornado Watch Summary

Page last modified: June 06 2026 12:26 UTC

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2026 Severe Thunderstorm Watch Summary

Page last modified: June 06 2026 12:26 UTC

Wildfire Climatology (1992-2020)

100 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 07 Jun

300 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 07 Jun

1000 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 07 Jun

5000 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 07 Jun

More climatology data here.

Latest SPC Publications

Lyons, A. D., R. L. Thompson, B. T. Smith, H. G. Weinman, and A. R. Dean, 2026: Convective Mode Classification and Distribution of Contiguous U.S. Tornado Events from 2003 to 2023. Published in Wea. Forecasting. [19600 PDF]
Harrison, D.R., A. McGovern, C.D. Karstens, A. Bostrom, I.L. Jirak, and P.T. Marsh, 2025: Leveraging Coproduction to Bridge Research and Operations in Operational Meteorology. Published in Wea. Forecasting. [6601K PDF]
Harrison, D.R., A. McGovern, C.D. Karstens, A. Bostrom, I.L. Jirak, and P.T. Marsh, 2025: An Assessment of How Domain Experts Evaluate Machine Learning in Operational Meteorology. Published in Wea. Forecasting. [16916K PDF]
Squitieri, B.J., A.R. Wade, and I.L. Jirak, 2025: On a Modified Definition of a Derecho. Part II: An Updated Spatial Climatology of Derechos across the Contiguous United States. Published in Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.. [3250K PDF]
Squitieri, B.J., A.R. Wade, and I.L. Jirak, 2025: On a Modified Definition of a Derecho. Part I: Construction of the Definition and Quantitative Criteria for Identifying Future Derechos over the Contiguous United States. Published in Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.. [5585K PDF]
Moore, A., 2024: Investigating the Near-Surface Wind Fields of Downbursts Using a Series of High-Resolution Idealized Simulations. Published in Wea. Forecasting. [6768K PDF]
Edwards, R., and R.L. Thompson, 2024: Right-Moving Supercell Tornadogenesis during Interaction with a Left-Moving Supercell's Rear-Flank Outflow. Published in Wea. Forecasting. [15153K PDF] (supplemental radar loop, standard enhancements [27170K MP4]), (supplemental radar loop, colorblind enhancements [33950K MP4])
Squitieri, B.J., A.R. Wade, and I.L. Jirak, 2023: A Historical Overview on the Science of Derechos. Part II: Parent Storm Structure, Environmental Conditions, and History of Numerical Forecasts. Published in Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.. [10595K PDF]
Squitieri, B.J., A.R. Wade, and I.L. Jirak, 2023: A Historical Overview on the Science of Derechos. Part I: Identification, Climatology, and Societal Impacts. Published in Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.. [6899K PDF]
Thompson, R.L., 2023: A Comparison of Right-Moving Supercell and Quasi-Linear Convective System Tornadoes in the Contiguous United States 2003-21. Published in Wea. Forecasting. [4539K PDF]
Find more research articles at the SPC publication archive.

Latest SPC Case Archive

Jun 01, 2026	Tornado: 1	Wind: 272	Hail: 85

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