STEP 4
Conduct Climate Change
Vulnerability Assessment
STEP 4: CLIMATE CHANGE
VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT
• The objective is to establish the degree of vulnerabilities
as basis for evaluation and prioritization.
• Outputs:
– CCVA Summary Table
– CCVA Vulnerability Assessment Map
CLIMATE CHANGE VULNERABILITY
ASSESSMENT (CCVA)
• CCVA is a tool which assesses the vulnerabilities of the
locality to the various climate related stimuli.
• The tool is qualitative in approach and hopes to
determine the level of vulnerability of identified areas
or sectors of interest.
Vulnerability: the degree to which a system is susceptible to,
or unable to cope with adverse effects of climate change,
including climate variability and extremes
CLIMATE CHANGE VULNERABILITY
ASSESSMENT (CCVA)
• Vulnerability shall be based on the extent of exposure,
and an analysis of the sensitivities and adaptive
capacities.
• This will inform the identification of decision areas and
be the subject of further detailing for the identification
of area specific for planning implications and policy
interventions.
IDENTIFY THE SYSTEM OF INTEREST
AND CLIMATE STIMULUS
• Based on the initial scoping of climate change projections
and its potential impacts (steps 1-2), identify the system
of interest and enumerate the various climate change
projections and the associated climate change effects.
CCVA SUMMARY TABLE
STEP 4
ENUMERATE THE POSSIBLE IMPACTS AND
RATE THE DEGREE OF IMPACT/THREAT LEVEL
• Based on the estimated exposure and the degree of
sensitivities of the exposed units, identify and describe
the various impacts. Impact chains prepared in Step 2 can
be used to facilitate the identification of potential impacts
of the system.
ENUMERATE THE POSSIBLE IMPACTS AND
RATE THE DEGREE OF IMPACT/THREAT LEVEL
• Given the list of impacts, qualitatively determine the
degree of impact score using the suggested rating scale.
The impact rating represents the level and kind of
impacts the system is likely to experience, and time and
resources needed for interventions to return to pre-
impact levels.
ENUMERATE THE POSSIBLE IMPACTS
AND RATE THE DEGREE OF
IMPACT/THREATS
• Impacts/threats are considered HIGH when the interventions
needed to return to pre-impact levels require national or
international interventions and/or the period to return to pre-
impact levels will range from medium to long-term.
• Impacts/threats are considered LOW when exposed units will
be able to return to pre-impact levels without government
intervention within a short-term period.
DEGREE OF IMPACT SCORE
(THREAT LEVEL)
EVALUATE ADAPTIVE CAPACITY
• Enumerate the various adaptive capacities of the system by
referring to the adaptive capacity indicators in the exposure
database.
• These indicators of adaptive capacities indicate whether the
system is able to accommodate or cope with the impacts
with very minimal disruption or short to long term
detrimental effects/impacts.
• Given adaptive capacities, qualitatively score the adaptive
capacity of the system using the suggested scoring system.
EVALUATE ADAPTIVE CAPACITY
• Low adaptive capacities can be described as
systems/areas where the transformation/adaption
process will be medium to long term and far exceeds
local capacities requiring national to international
intervention.
• High adaptive capacities are areas where transformation
can be implemented on the short term where the
costs/resources, knowledge are within the capacities of
the element exposed requiring minimal intervention
from the local government.
ADAPTIVE CAPACITY SCORE AND DESCRIPTION
COMPUTING FOR
VULNERABILITY INDICES
COMPUTE FOR THE
VULNERABILITY INDEX AND
FINALIZE THE CCVA SUMMARY
TABLE
• Compute for the vulnerability index by multiplying the
Impact and Adaptive Capacity Scores.
• The vulnerability index shall indicate whether the
vulnerability of the system is high or low.
COMPUTE FOR THE VULNERABILITY INDEX
AND FINALIZE THE CCVA SUMMARY TABLE
• Areas with HIGH VULNERABILITY can be described as areas
where the expected impacts of the climate stimuli is high,
due to the exposure and sensitivities, and the adaptive
capacities are low to accommodate or cope with the
expected impacts.
• Systems with LOW VULNERABILITY can be described as
systems where the impacts are considered high but
adaptive capacities are also high.
VULNERABILITY INDEX
CCVA SUMMARY TABLE
PREPARE A VULNERABILITY
ASSESSMENT MAP
• Prepare map/s indicating vulnerable areas to
climate change in the City. This will indicate
the decision areas which should be the
subject of land use related policy and
program interventions.
THANK YOU
