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Decision Making

The document discusses decision-making strategies in logistics management, emphasizing the importance of mission statements and organizational effectiveness. It outlines key components of logistics mission statements, decision-making processes, and factors that influence organizational effectiveness. The document concludes that there is no single ideal decision strategy, and firms must adapt to their specific situations to develop efficient logistics organizations.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
24 views35 pages

Decision Making

The document discusses decision-making strategies in logistics management, emphasizing the importance of mission statements and organizational effectiveness. It outlines key components of logistics mission statements, decision-making processes, and factors that influence organizational effectiveness. The document concludes that there is no single ideal decision strategy, and firms must adapt to their specific situations to develop efficient logistics organizations.

Uploaded by

karinethomas
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Decision Making

Strategies in
Organising for
Logistics
Strategic Logistics
Management

1
Areas examined will cover…

 Mission Statements

 Components of an optimal Logistics


organisation
 Organisational characteristics, environmental
characteristics, employee characteristics,
managerial policies & practices

 An approach to developing an optimal


logistics organisation
2
Introduction
 Organisations are facing;
 higher operation costs,
 increasing demands from customers for higher service levels

 Logistics executives must understand WHAT makes an


organisation effective…… & HOW these factors inter-
relate…
 … then take decisions about developing an optimal system

 3 Cornerstones of Decision Making ….


 The Decision, The Decision Maker, The Process of
Deciding. (Leigh, A (1983) Decisions Decisions: A practical guide to problem
solving and decision making)
3
Mission Statements –
Personal Mission Statements
 Individuals & organisations should establish a
mission statement to define its overall purpose
for existence

 A personal mission statement sets a persons


overall guidelines for living
 Organisations are encouraging individuals to
find personal fulfilment
4
Mission Statements –
The Logistics Mission Statement
 Corporate Mission Statements;
 provide a foundation which firms develop
strategies, plans & tactics
 defines the basic purpose of an organisation
 provide the starting point for developing goals &
objectives

 Logistics Mission Statements – will provide


direction for developing business strategies
5
Mission Statements –
The Logistics Mission Statement
 With a corporate or logistics mission statement,
…..
 … the mechanics of a statement will be similar
 … will vary in specific content
 A Logistics Mission Statement is only one
element of a firms overall mission
 Typical mission statements contains 8 key
components

6
8 Key Components of Mission
Statements
(Source: Stock & Drőge, ‘Logistics Mission Statements’,1990)
 1. Specification of  5. express commitment
targeted customers & to Survival, growth &
markets profitability
 2. Identification of  6. Specify key elements
Principle products & of the Company
services Philosophy
 3. Specify  7. Identification of
Geographic Domain Company self concept
 4. Identification of  8. Identification of
Core technologies Desired Public Image
7
Awareness of where the organisation is
in the Supply Chain?
 Understanding an organisations location within a supply chain – will
impact on ALL decisions.
 An organisation may deal with multiple suppliers, manufacturers and
distributors.
 To become more optimised - should consider changing suppliers to a more efficient one
regarding …location, production capacity, service levels.

8
The Decision Maker

 ‘In any moment of decision the best thing you can


do is the right thing, the next best thing is the wrong
thing, and the worst thing you can do is nothing’
 Theodore Roosevelt, 26th President of the United States of
America

 ‘Standing in the middle of the road is very


dangerous; you get knocked down from the traffic
at both sides’
 Margaret Thatcher, Ex British Prime Minister
9
Place of Logistics Strategy in Organisational Decisions.
(Waters, D (2007) Global Logistics New Directions in Supply Chain
Management,)

For the whole organisation


Mission or vision

Corporate strategy

Business Strategy
For each business in the organisation

Logistics strategy Other functional


strategies
For each function

Logistics tactics Other functional tactics

Logistics operations Other functional


operations
10
Decision Making Strategies
 A decision? …… is the process of examining your possible options,
comparing them, and choosing a course of action.

 On a strategic level, Michael Porter defines three strategies open to


a firm to maximise competitive advantage.
1. Cost differentiation – competing on the basis of cost.
2. Product/Process differentiation – competing on better product quality.
3. Niche Market – competing by targeting a specific market segment.

 According to Skinner, an organisations ‘Strategic Focus’ involves


clearly defining certain characteristics which will add value to the
customer.
 Some typical examples which impact logistics strategies include:
• Innovation, Price, Customisation, Quality, Lead times, Product Reliability

11
12
Decision Making Process
 Six C’s of decision making:  Factors to
1) Construct – clear vision of what must be Consider:
decided 1) Perception
2) Compile – a list of requirements must be 2) Priority
meet 3) Goals
3) Collect – info an alternative that meet
4) Values
requirements
5) Risk
4) Compare – alternatives that meet
6) Resources
requirements
7) Demands
5) Consider – ‘what might go wrong’ for each
alternative 8) Judgement

6) Commit – to decide and fully follow through

13
Decision Making Process
Source: Shawanta & Scott, (1981) – ‘A conceptual framework for
integrating six-sigma and strategic management methodologies to quantify
decision making’

14
Some Approaches to
Decision Making
 Optimising
 Satisficing
 Mixed scanning

 (Source: Leigh, A (1983) Decisions Decisions: A practical guide


to problem solving and decision making)

15
Optimising
(Source: Leigh, A (1983) Decisions Decisions: A practical guide to problem
solving and decision making)

 Maxi-min: a conservative rule under conditions of uncertainty…


 “the decision maker should select the course of action whose worst (maximum)
loss is better than the least (minimum) loss of all other courses of action possible
in given circumstances.”

 Maxi-max: the optimistic (aggressive) decision making rule under


conditions of uncertainty.
 “the decision maker should select the course of action whose best (maximum)
gain is better than the best gain of all other courses of action possible in given
circumstances.”

 Probability: the decision maker considers the likelihood of a


desirable outcome as the consideration of choice.
 Usually displayed as a figure between 0 and 1, impossible to certain respectively.

16
Optimising
(Leigh, A (1983) Decisions Decisions: A practical guide to problem solving and
decision making)

 EMV (expected monetary value): respective pay offs are


considered by attaching a monetary value to each alternative.
 Probability of occurrence is also considered, to avoid blind decisions based
solely on highest pay off.

 Utility: in contrast to EMV, this criterion focuses on the decision


maker’s preference of outcome and ranks them before considering
other criteria.

 In summary, the decision maker is trying to produce the best possible


result.
 What determines the best result ….. is down to the decision makers
attitude and selected criteria.
17
Satisficing – 3 Types
(Leigh, A (1983) Decisions Decisions: A practical guide to problem solving and
decision making)

 The single decision rule: quick and simple it is attractive in achieving the
aim. ….“if it worked last time, do it again.”

 Elimination by aspect: using multiple single decision rules, alternatives are


narrowed to meet the minimal satisficing criteria.
 E.g. renting a house, you eliminate first by area, then price, number of rooms etc.

 Incrementalism: it implies we should do what we can, with what we have,…


… is aimed at solving immediate problems,
 No goals are set, nor ways to reach them, but rather outcomes are determined by the readily
available means.
 Schwartz (2000) describes the process as “muddling through” and Leigh as “fire fighting.”
 Incrementalism is based on easing the problem rather than solving it,
 with the assumption that continued Incrementalism will eventually lead to a solution

through compromise.

 18
Mixed Scanning
(Leigh, A (1983) Decisions Decisions: A practical guide to problem solving and
decision making)

 Mixed Scanning seen as a more attractive form of decision


making strategy
 combining both optimising and satisficing,

 generally more acceptable to decision makers.

 Mixed scanning attempts to strike the balance between extreme


rationalism and the laid back style of incrementalism.

 There is a realisation that a decision must be made ….


 … but also that there are constraints and so one can use
elimination by aspect to achieve minimal standards and from
these alternatives optimise (whilst considering constraints).
19
Factors influencing the Effectiveness
of a Logistics Organisation

 Four main factors can influence the effectiveness of


a logistics organisation
 (Source: R. Steers, ‘Organisational Effectiveness’, 1977)

1. Organisational Characteristics

2. Environmental Characteristics
3. Employee Characteristics
4. Managerial Policies & Practices

20
Organisational Characteristics
 Structure & Technology main elements of a firms
organisational characteristics
 Structure;
 the relationship that exits between various functions
 relationship often represented on an organisation chart
 e.g. structural variables …...decentralisation, specialisation,
span of control, organisation size
 Technology – mechanism to transform raw inputs into
finished outputs
 Technology several forms …
 Variations in materials used
 Variations in knowledge brought to the activities

21
Environmental Characteristics
 Effectiveness is influenced by internal & external
factors

 Internal factors
 In general, are controllable by the logistics executive,

called organisational climate, or corporate culture

 External factors,
 referred to as uncontrollable factors,

 include,
political, legal, economic, cultural & social
& competitive environments

22
Employee Characteristics
 Key to effective organisations, employees who carry
out their jobs responsibly
 All employees have different outlooks, goals, needs &
ambitions
 People will behave differently, even when placed in the
same work environment
 Individual differences have a direct impact on
effectiveness
 1. Organisational attachment
 The extent to which individuals identify with their employer
 2. Job performance
 Without organisation attachment & job performance –
organisation effectiveness becomes almost impossible
23
Managerial Policies &
Practices
 Organisational effectiveness – which is
determined by planning, co-ordinating &
facilitating of goal directed activities
 Depend on the macro & micro policies adopted by
the firm
 6 Factors which can help the logistics
executive in improving effectiveness of the
organisation
 (Source: R. Steers, ‘Organisational Effectiveness’, 1977)
24
6 Factors which help the logistics
executive in improving
effectiveness of the organisation
(Source: R. Steers, ‘Organisational Effectiveness’, 1977)

 1 Strategic Goal Setting


 2. Resource Acquisition & Utilisation
 3. Performance Environment
 4. Communication Process
 5. Leadership & Decision Making
 6. Organisational Adaptation & Innovation

25
1. Strategic Goal Setting

 Two sets of goals,


 the organisations goal
 & the individual employees goal

 Both sets must be;


 compatible
 & targeted at maximising company & employee
effectiveness
 E.g. company has overall goal, of reducing order cycle
time by 10%, but it is the attempt of each individual trying
to improve his individual component is what will achieve
the organisation goal

26
2. Resource Acquisition &
Utilisation
 The use of human, financial & technological
resources to achieve corporate goals &
objectives…. example …
 Having properly trained people operating the
truck fleet,
 Proper storage & retrieval systems for the firms
warehouses
 Having capital available to take advantage of
buying forward opportunities
27
3. Performance Environment

 Having proper org. climate to motivate employees &


maximise their effectiveness …. therefore the
effectiveness of the logistics function
 Strategies can include;
 Proper employee selection & placement
 Training & development
 Task design
 Performance evaluation, combined with a reward
structure which promotes goal orientated behaviour
28
4. Communication Process
 Communication – one of the most important factors
influencing logistics effectiveness
 With poor communication – logistics policies &
procedures are not transmitted throughout the firm
 feed back of information on the effectiveness of the
policies, the successes or failures will not happen
 communication flows can be,
 downward (boss to employee)

 upward (employee – to boss)


 horizontal (boss to boss, or employee to employee)

29
5. Leadership & Decision
Making
 Very important – the quality of leadership & decision
making expertise exercised by the logistics executive

 Logistics department – is often a mirror image of the


senior logistics executive in the firm
 if the top logistics executive is capable & respected, who
makes logical & consistent decisions, then the logistics
department which report to him will also likely be highly
effective
 The reverse is also true

30
“We want to include you in this decision
without letting you affect it!”

31
Comparison of Three Leadership
Approaches (Source: J. Tompkins, Revolution:
Take Charge Strategies for Business Success’, 1994)

32
6. Organisational Adaptation
& Innovation
 The environment surrounding logistics activities
requires constant monitoring
 As conditions change, logistics must adapt to provide an
optimal service mix
 E.g., transport regulations, customers service
requirements, degree of competition in target markets,
economic or financial changes in market place,
technological advances in the distribution sector
 Important that adaptation & innovation is not
haphazard
 Effective organisation must show stability & continuity

33
Summary
 First and foremost there is no single ideal decision strategy.
 Adopting the right strategy is situation dependant.
 The art lies in finding the best fit.

 Research shows that people tend to move toward more


simplistic approaches.
 To adapt a simplistic approach may lead to misjudging the situation and
result in a worthless decision & similarly processing all available
information and their complexities is usually too much for the decision
maker.

 Schwarz (2000) supports this by stating that by trying to


optimise and explore all alternatives you may not be able to
find information, thus it is too time consuming.
34
Summary
 In today’s increasingly competitive & changing
business environment, firms must develop the most
effective logistics organisation and ensure it is as
efficient as possible.

 A logistics mission statement can act as a guide for


a logistics executive when developing the logistics
function.

 Various factors have been identified as contributing


to, and helping improving organisational
effectiveness,
35

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