Solving Routine and
Non-Routine Problems
Involving
Experimental and
Theoretical Probability
- Define experimental and theoretical
Define probability
Lesson
Compa
Objective - Compare and solve routine and non-
re and routine probability problems
solve
s
- Apply probability concepts in real-life
Apply situations
1. Theoretical probability is based
on experiments.
2. A coin has an equal chance of
landing on heads or tails.
True or 3. Experimental probability always
False matches theoretical probability.
4. Rolling an even number on a die
has a 1/2 probability.
5. The sum of all probabilities in an
event is always 1.
• Probability is the chance
that a particular event will
occur.
• It is expressed as a fraction,
decimal, or percentage.
• Probability values range
from 0 (impossible) to 1
(certain).
• Theoretical
Probability - Based on
mathematical
calculations.
• Experimental
Probability - Based on
actual trials and
collected data.
How to
1. 2. Plan –
Solve Understand – Choose the
Probabili Identify probability
given data. formula.
ty
Problem
3. Solve – 4. Check –
s (Four- Compute Verify your
Step probabilities. answer.
Plan)
Group Activity: Dice Rolling
Experiment
Group #1: Spin the color wheel 20 times and
records how often each number appears.
Group #2: Draw a marble 20 times and record
how often each color appears.
Group #3: Draw a ball 20 times and record how
often each color appears.
Compare your experimental probability with the
theoretical probability.
Discuss: How do the results compare?
If a fair die is rolled 60 times and the number 3 appears 12 times, what is the experimental probability of rolling a 3?
Options:
A) 1/6
B) 1/5
C) 1/4
D) 1/3
shows that 40 out
of 100 students
prefer Math.
What is the
probability that a
randomly chosen
student prefers
Math?"
- Experimental uses trials,
theoretical is based on
math formulas.
- Games, weather
forecasts, decision-
making.
1. What is the theoretical
probability of rolling a 6 on a
fair six-sided die?
Quick • A) 1/2 B) 1/3 C) 1/6 D) 1/12
2. A bag contains 5 red balls, 3
Quiz blue balls, and 2 yellow balls.
(Multipl What is the probability of
drawing a blue ball?
e- • A) 1/2 B) 1/5 C) 3/10 D) 3/5
Choice) 3. A coin lands on heads 22
times out of 50 flips. What is
the experimental probability of
getting heads?
• A) 22/50 B) 1/2 C) 25/50 D) 28/50
Assignment:
Probability Experiment at Home
• Flip a coin **20 times** and record
your results.
• Compare your experimental
probability with the theoretical
probability.
• Reflect: How does probability affect
real-life decisions?
Thank You!
• Reflection Question:
• What is one real-life situation where
probability has helped you make a decision?