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Chapter 4 Project

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debesay
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CHAPTER 4: PROJECT COSTS &BENEFITS

1 06/05/2024
At the end of this chapter student will be able to explain:
Objectives ,Costs & Benefits
Financial & Economic Analysis of the
project
Intangible Costs & Benefits
Tangible Benefits of projects

2 06/05/2024
 To compare costs with benefits & determine which among alternative

projects have an acceptable financial & economic return

 the costs and benefits of a project must be identified

 Once costs and benefits are known

 they must be priced and their economic value can be determined.

3 06/05/2024
4.1: Objectives, cost and benefits
 In identifying costs & benefits of the project’s, objectives play an
important role.

 In project analysis, the objectives of the project provide


 the standard against which cost & benefits are defined.

 Cost is anything:- that reduces an objective &

 benefit is anything that contributes to an objective.

 The problem with such simplicity, however, is that:

 each participant in the project has many objectives.

 E.g.- A private business firm can have objectives such as:

Maximizing net income (profit), Increasing market share, Improving


4 06/05/2024
customer satisfaction , Reducing risk, etc.
 A society /nation as a whole may want to achieve the f/f objectives as:

 Increasing national income

 Ensuring equitable distribution b/n persons, regions, generations, etc.

 Improving balance of payments

 Improving regional integrity

 Reducing inflation

 Reducing unemployment

 Maintaining environment etc.

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 However, the problem with such a number of objectives is

 there is no formal analytical system for project analysis :-

o that could possibly take into account all the various objectives of

the society & private business firm &


 it is not possible to address the objectives of d/t stakeholders at the

same time
 Thus, we will take

 Maximization of net incremental income (profit) for a private firm &

 Maximization of national income for a nation as the fundamental

objectives in the analysis of a project.

6
 In financial analysis:-

 the project will be evaluated in terms of its contribution

o to net income (profit) of the private owner.

 The project that will generate the highest profit for the owner

will be given priority than other alternative projects.

 In economic analysis:-

 Evaluation of project is made by its contribution to national income.

o Projects that contributes the highest to the national income & which

makes a significant contribution to other social objectives will be


selected.
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 E.g. If two projects contribute equal income to national income, we

will choose:-

o the one that favor equitable distribution or the one that creates

the most jobs, etc.

 In the economic analysis we will assume that:

 all financing for a project comes from domestic sources &

 all returns from the project go to domestic residents,

o thus we identify cost & benefits in terms of GDP instead of GNP

8 06/05/2024
4.2: Costs & benefits: In financial and economic analysis.
 Financial revenues and cost of the project are good starting point for

identifying economic benefits and costs.

 But two types of adjustments are necessary.

 adjustments necessary for identifying economic benefits & costs are:

1. to include (or exclude) some costs and benefits.

2. to revalue inputs & outputs at their opportunity cost.

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 Financial analysis: looks the project from the perspective of the
implementing agency and it used to identifies:-

1. the project’s net money flows to the implementing entity

2. the entities ability to meet its financial obligations and

3. the entities ability to finance future investments.

 Economic analysis: by contrast, looks the project from perspective of


the entire economy (“society”) and

 Measures the effects of a project on the economy as a whole.

10 06/05/2024
 These d/c viewpoints require that analyst:-

 have to take into consideration d/t items when looking at the

costs of a project,
 use d/t valuations for the item considered, and

 use d/t rates to discount the streams of costs and benefits.

 In financial analysis we are interested in the items that entail/ need

monetary outlays.
 In economic analysis, we are interested in the opportunity costs for

the country.
 Even if the project entity does not pay for the use of resources,

this does not mean that the resource is free good.


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 If a project diverts resources from other activities that produce goods

or services:-

 the value of what is given up represents an opportunity cost of the

project to society.

 The important d/c b/n financial and economic analysis is:

 the price that the project entity uses to value the inputs & outputs.

 Financial analysis is simply based on:-

 the actual prices that the project entity pays for inputs and receives for
outputs.

 The prices used for economic analysis, however, are based on :-

12  the opportunity costs to the country. 06/05/2024


 The economic values of both inputs & outputs usually differ from

their financial value (market prices) b/c:

o There are different market imperfections

o There are government interventions for various kinds (taxes,


subsidies, tariff, price control, etc…) and;

o Some goods are public goods by their nature.

 The divergence b/n financial & economic prices show

o the extent to which someone in society, other than the project

entity, enjoys a benefit or pays a cost of the project.

 hence it enable the analyst to identify ‘gainers’ and ‘losers’.

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4.3: Categories of Costs and Benefits
1. Direct transfer payments
o Taxes

o Subsidies

o Credit transactions

o Depreciation allowances

2. Costs of inputs

3. Contingency allowance

4. Sunk costs

5. Tangible benefits of projects

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4.3.1: Direct transfer payments
 Some entries in financial accounts really represents shifts in claims to

goods & services from one entity to another (a transfer of the control
over resources from one group in society to another).

 It does not reflect changes in national income.

 These are called direct transfer payments.

 It appear in cost streams of financial analysis but don’t in economic

costs.

 Common transfer payments in projects are:

 taxes, subsidies, loans & debt services (the payment of interest

15 and repayment of principal). 06/05/2024


I. Taxes
 Payment of taxes is cost in financial analysis.

 When a firm pays a tax, it’s net benefit is reduced.

o But the firm’s payment of tax doesn’t reduce the national income.

 Thus, in economic analysis we would not treat the payment of taxes as a cost

in project accounts.

II. Subsidies
 Is direct transfer payment that flow in the opposite direction of taxes.

 If a farmer is able to purchase fertilizer at a subsidized price:-

 that will reduce his costs & thereby increase his net benefits.
o thus it is a benefit but the cost of the fertilizer in the use of the
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society’s real resources remain the same.
III. Credit transactions

o From the standpoint of the project owner:- receipt of a loan increases

the production resources s/he has.

o But from the standpoint of the economy:- these are merely transfers

of control over resources from the lender to the borrower.

 Financial analysis of projects is based on cash flow analysis.

 For every period during the expected life of the project, the financial

analyst estimates:-

o the cash likely generated by the project and subtracts the cash

likely to be needed to sustain the project.

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 In economic analysis, debt service is treated as a transfer within the

economy even if the project will actually be financed by a foreign loan


& debt service will be paid abroad.

 This is b/c of the convention of assuming that:-

 all financing for a project will come from domestic sources and

 returns from the project will go to domestic residents.

IV. Depreciation allowances: is the amount in decreasing of the total

(initial) value of a material due to its service value.

 Depreciation may not correspond to actual use of resources.

 therefore be excluded from the cost stream in economic analysis.

o But it is cost in financial analysis.


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4.3.2 Costs of inputs
 This includes costs of:

 Physical goods

 Labor

 Land

 In financial analysis, we directly take the market price if the use of

these inputs involves cash outlays.


 If there are no cash payments for these inputs, it will not

considered as a cost.
 In economic analysis:-Since the use of these inputs is related with the

use of real resources,


 they will be valued at their economic price & entered into economic
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accounts.
4.3.3. Contingency allowance
 Sound project planning requires that:- provision be made in advance for

possible adverse changes in physical conditions or prices that would add to


the baseline costs.
 Contingency allowance may be divided into
1. Those that provide for physical contingencies &
2. Those for price contingencies.
 In turn, price contingency allowances comprise two categories,
1. Those for relative changes in price and
2. Those for general inflation.
I. Physical contingency allowance: it increase the use of real goods & services.
 It is a real cost & reduce final goods & services available for other purposes.

 It included as a regular part of the project cost estimates.

20  It will reduce the national income and, hence, is a cost to the06/05/2024


society.
II. Price contingency (Change in price): In most practical cases, in
project cost estimation it is assumed that
1. There will be no relative changes in domestic or international prices &
2. No inflation during the investment period.

 It is unrealistic to estimate project cost on assumptions of stable price

1. Relative changes in price .


 The change in the price of a commodity relative to the other.
o A rise in the relative cost of an item implies that:- its productivity

elsewhere in the society has increased, that is,


• its potential contribution to national income has risen.
o Thus, costs that may be incurred due to possible relative changes in prices

will be considered as a cost in both financial & economic analysis.

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II. General change in price (inflation): it assumed that all prices will be

affected equally by any rise in the general price level.


 It does not affect national income in real terms &

 in project analysis the most common means of dealing with it is to


work in constant prices,

o on the assumption that :- all prices will be affected equally by any


rise in the general price level.

 If inflation is expected to be significant:- provision for its effects on project

costs needs to be made in project financial plan

o Therefore an adequate budget is obtained.

o Do not affect national income thus it is not considered in economic


22 06/05/2024
analysis because it is not real change it is simply a nominal
4.3.4 Sunk costs
 Are those costs incurred in the past upon which a proposed new

investment will be based.


 When we analyze a proposed investment, we consider only future

returns to future costs;


o expenditure in the past, or sunk costs, do not appear in both

financial and economic accounts.

23 06/05/2024
4.4 Tangible benefits of projects

I. Increased production: - increased physical production is the most


common benefit of projects.

 Whether the increased output is marketed or consumed at

home, it represents the benefit of a project.

II. Quality improvement: - to account as a benefit in both financial &


economic analysis

 this must be reflected in the market price of the good.

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III. Change in time of sale: - In some projects, especially in agriculture,

benefits will arise from improved marketing facilities

 allow the product to be sold at a time when prices are more favorable.

 Benefits of these projects arise out of the change in “temporal value”.

IV. Change in location of sale: - Projects on transport facilities to carry

products from where price are low to where prices are higher.

 Benefits of such projects arise from the change in “location value”.

25 06/05/2024
V. Change in product form:- Projects involving agricultural processing
industries expect benefits to arise from a change in the form of the
agricultural products.

VI. Cost reduction:- The classical example of a benefit arising from cost

reduction in projects is gained by

 investment in agricultural machinery to reduce labor costs.

VII. Losses avoided: - The ‘with and’ without’ project analysis tends to point

out such costs avoided by the project.

 Similarly risks avoided or reduced can be considered as benefits;


sometimes such benefits are reflected by output increment through loss
reduction.

 26Since all these benefits are real increase in value of commodities


06/05/2024 or
4.5 : Externalities
4.5.1 Secondary costs and benefits
o Projects can lead to benefits created or costs incurred outside the

project itself.
o Economic analysis must take account of these external or secondary

costs & benefits so they can be properly attributed to the project


investment.
 It is not necessary to add on the secondary costs &benefits separately;

 to do so would constitute double counting.

 Thus, instead of adding on secondary costs and benefits,

 we have to adjust the market prices into ‘economic’ prices.


27 06/05/2024
 Although by using efficiency prices based on opportunity cost or

willingness to pay we can deal with secondary costs and benefits.

 However there still many valuation problems related to goods and

services not commonly traded in competitive markets.

 Price effects caused by a project are also part of externalities.

 The project may lead to higher prices for inputs it requires and

lower price for the outputs it produces.

 Generally:-Project may have wide-ranging consequences on demands

of inputs and outputs and


 cause losses and gains for producers and consumers and other

than those involved in the project itself.


28 06/05/2024
Examples of such costs and benefits are:
 Technological spill-over or technological externalities

 Negative or positive ecological effects in construction of dam:

 Multiplier effects of projects - if there had been excess capacity

29 06/05/2024
4.5.2: Intangible costs and benefits
 Almost all projects have costs & benefits that are intangible.

 These may include

creation of job opportunities,

better health and reduced infant mortality,

better nutrition,

reduced incidence of disease,

national security, etc.


 These benefits do not, however, provide themselves to valuation.

30 06/05/2024
 Likewise in the cost side, a project may

Displace workers

It may increase disease incidences

It may increase regional income inequality

It may destroy or reduce the scenic beauty of an area, etc.


 All these are intangible costs of the project, which are not captured by

market prices.
 All these intangible benefits & costs must be carefully identified &

where possible, be quantified although valuation is impossible.


 These costs and benefits will not usually appear in financial accounts

and are excluded from financial analysis


31 06/05/2024
 However, they should be included in the economic analysis.
pt e r
c ha n! !
h e nt i o
o f t t t e
d r a
En y ou
f o r
yo u
nk
T ha
32 06/05/2024

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