Topic Five: Risk Assessment & Management
Topic Five: Risk Assessment & Management
Topic Five
RISK REDUCTION
RISK ASSESSMENT
Activity Option Analysis Implementation
Characterisation
Monitoring
Hazard Identification
Decision Making Audit or Review
Risk Estimation
RISK EVALUATION
RISK ANALYSIS
Regulation 3(1) of the ‘Management of Health
and Safety at Work Regulations 1992 states:-
Hazard Identification
Hazard :
The potential to cause harm. Harm including ill
health and injury, damage to property, plant,
products or the environment, production losses
or increased liabilities.
Hazard Identification
Risk:
The likelihood that a specified undesired
event will occur due to the realisation of a
hazard by, or during work activities or by
the products and services created by
work activities.
Assessing the Risks
Quantitative risk assessment
• Commonly used in the high technology
industries
• QRA tends to deal with the avoidance of
low probability events with serious
consequences to the plant and the
surrounding environment.
Assessing the Risks
1. Major
Death or major injury or illness causing long term disability
2. Serious
Injuries or illness causing short-term disability
3. Slight
All other injuries or illnesses
Assessing the Risks
Risk
=
Severity of Harm
x
Likelihood of occurrence
• This simple computation gives a risk value of between 1 and 9
enabling a rough and ready comparison of risks.
• In this case the lower the number, the greater the risk, and so
prioritises the hazards so that control action can be targeted at
higher risks.
Controlling Risk
• Societal Risk
Usually expressed as risk contours:
0.3*10-6/year
VILLAGE risk contour
10-5/year
risk contour
CHLORINE
INSTALLATION
1 km
Quantitative Risk Assessment:
Acceptance Criteria
A typical format:
Guideword Definitions
AS WELL AS All the design intentions are fulfilled and something happens
in addition
PART OF Only part of the design intention is fulfilled
V3
V4
B
A
V2
V1
V5
A < B = Explosion C
Example from Harms Ringdahl L (1995), Safety Analysis: Principals and Practice in
Occupational Safety, Elsevier Applied Science.
The HAZOP sheet for the section of the plant from A to C will be as
follows:
Guide Word Deviation Possible Causes Consequences Proposed
Measures
NO, NOT No A Tank containing A is empty. Not enough A = Indicator for low
V1 or V2 closed. Explosion level.
Pump does not work. Monitoring of flow
Pipe broken
MORE Too much A Pump too high capacity C contaminated by Indicator for high
Opening of V1 or V2 is too A. Tank overfilled. level.
large. Monitoring of flow
LESS Not enough V1,V2 or pipe are partially Not enough A = See above
A blocked. Pump gives low flow or Explosion
runs for too short a time.
Example from Harms Ringdahl L (1995), Safety Analysis: Principals and Practice in
Occupational Safety, Elsevier Applied Science.
Fault Tree Analysis
POWER
UNIT
+ BATTERY
-
FUSE SWITCH
Example from Harms Ringdahl L (1995), Safety Analysis: Principals and Practice in
Occupational Safety, Elsevier Applied Science.
Fault Tree Analysis
• The corresponding fault tree for the above circuit, with the top
event (or hazard) being the lamp not working is as follows:
Lamp does not
light
No current
through the lamp
Example from Harms Ringdahl L (1995), Safety Analysis: Principals and Practice in
Occupational Safety, Elsevier Applied Science.
Practical Risk Assessment
(from BS8800)
Classify work activities
Identify hazards
Determine risk
BS8800:1996
Identify Hazards
BS8800:1996
Determine risk
– 2) Harmful, e.g.
• Lacerations; burns; concussion; serious sprains; minor
fractures.
• Deafness; dermatitis; asthma; work related upper limb
disorders; ill-health leading to permanent minor disability.
– 3) Extremely harmful, e.g.
• Amputations; major fractures; poisonings; multiple
injuries; fatal injuries.
• Occupational cancer; other severely life shortening
diseases; acute fatal diseases.
BS8800:1996
Likelihood of harm
When seeking to establish likelihood of harm
the adequacy of control measures already
implemented and complied with needs to be
considered.
Issues considered:
•Number of personnel exposed.
•Frequency and duration of exposure to the hazard.
•Failure of services e.g. electricity and water.
•Failure of plant and machinery components and safety devices.
•Exposure to the elements.
BS8800:1996
Likelihood of harm
• Protection afforded by personal protective equipment
and usage rate of personal protective equipment;
• Unsafe acts (unintended errors or intentional
violations of procedures) by persons, for example,
who:
– 1) May not know what the hazards are.
– 2) May not have the knowledge, physical capacity, or skills
to do the work.
– 3) Underestimate risks to which they are exposed.
– 4) Underestimate the practicality and utility of safe working
methods.
BS8800:1996
Decide if risk is tolerable
One simple method for estimating risk levels and for
deciding whether risks are tolerable. Risks are
classified according to their estimated likelihood and
potential severity of harm.
Slightly harmful Harmful Extremely
harmful
Highly unlikely TRIVIAL RISK TOLERABLE MODERATE
RISK RISK
Unlikely TOLERABLE MODERATE SUBSTANTIAL
RISK RISK RISK
Likely MODERATE SUBSTANTIAL INTOLERABLE
RISK RISK RISK
BS8800:1996
Prepare risk control action plan
BS8800:1996
A simple risk-based control plan.
RISK LEVEL ACTION AND TIMESCALE
MODERATE Efforts should be made to reduce the risk, but the costs of
prevention should b e carefully measured and limited. Risk
reduction measures should be implemented within a defined time
period.
Where the moderate risk is associated with extremely harmful
consequences, further assessment may be necessary to establish
more precisely the likelihood of harm as a basis for determining the
need for improved control measures.
SUBSTANTIAL Work should not be started until the risk has been reduced.
Considerable resources may have to be allocated to reduce the risk.
Where the risk involves work in progress, urgent action should be
taken.
INTOLERABLE Work should not be started or continued until the risk has been
reduced. If it is not possible to reduce risk even with unlimited
resources, work has to remain prohibited.
BS8800:1996
Prepare risk control action plan
BS8800:1996
Qualitative risk assessment involves making a formal judgment on consequences and probability using criteria such as risk = severity x likelihood, often resulting in subjective judgment. It is typically applied in general workplace assessments . In contrast, Quantitative Risk Assessment (QRA) involves numerical estimations of the probability that a defined harm will result from the occurrence of a particular event and is commonly used in high-tech industries, such as the nuclear or chemical industries, where major hazards need to be quantified .
Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) focuses on identifying and analyzing conditions and factors causing the top adverse event (e.g., system failure) through logical relationships, typically using Boolean algebra. It visually maps causes leading to the top event, useful for complex system analysis . Failure Modes and Effects Analysis (FMEA) identifies conceivable failure modes of components and their effects on systems, often ranking them by failure rates and criticality to prioritize control measures, more commonly applied to improve reliability and safety of individual components .
Organizations can categorize hazards by topic, such as mechanical, electrical, radiation, chemical substances, fire, and explosion, or by assessing their presence during specific activities or locations within a system. These categorizations help streamline the risk assessment process by focusing analysis on specific hazard types, ensuring comprehensive identification, evaluation, and prioritization of risks associated with each category, thereby facilitating targeted and effective control actions .
ALARP, which stands for 'As Low As Reasonably Practicable,' is crucial in risk management as it demands that risks be mitigated to a level where the cost, time, and effort of further reduction are disproportionate to the benefit gained. It influences organizations by requiring them to balance the degree of risk against the resources needed for mitigation, often mandating that only economically viable safety measures are adopted, thus avoiding disproportionate use of resources where not justified .
FMEA plays a critical role in safety systems by systematically identifying potential failure modes of components and assessing their impacts on the overall system. It helps in understanding the causes of failure, assessing failure modes' likelihood and effects, and documenting preventative measures to mitigate these risks. This proactive approach allows organizations to prioritize interventions, ensuring critical areas are fortified against failures, ultimately reducing the probability and impact of failures in safety systems .
HAZOP studies are conducted as a systematic, team-based approach for identifying hazards by analyzing deviations in process parameters such as flow, temperature, and pressure. They involve brainstorming using guidewords to stimulate discussion on potential deviations and their consequences. They play a critical role in ensuring safe process design in the chemical industry by foreseeing potential issues and ensuring the design accommodates them, thus preventing dangerous operational anomalies .
Risk retention with knowledge implies that an organization consciously accepts certain risks, prepared to handle the consequences, often due to an informed cost-benefit analysis. Risk retention without knowledge, however, implies unconscious acceptance due to lack of awareness, which can lead to unexpected consequences. Informed retention enables strategic resource deployment, aligning with ALARP to focus on more critical risks, whereas uninformed retention poses a threat to organizational safety and financial stability due to unanticipated risks .
BS8800:1996 suggests that risks be classified according to their estimated likelihood and potential severity of harm. Risks are deemed tolerable if the level of control is commensurate with the risks posed, factoring in the likelihood and potential severity. This classification affects decision-making as it dictates the required level of intervention: trivial risks might require no action, tolerable risks require monitoring, while substantial and intolerable risks demand immediate and significant control measures .
Factors to consider when determining the likelihood of harm according to BS8800:1996 include the number of personnel exposed, the frequency and duration of exposure, potential failures of services like electricity and water, the failure of plant machinery components and safety devices, exposure to elements, adequacy of personal protective equipment, and unsafe acts due to lack of knowledge or underestimation of risks by personnel .
The principal components of risk management in the context of health and safety include identifying hazards, evaluating associated risks, controlling the risks, implementing safety measures, monitoring their effectiveness, and auditing or reviewing the entire process. It involves a comprehensive approach that starts with hazard identification through comparative or fundamental methods and ends with risk reduction through control measures such as risk avoidance, transfer, retention, and reduction .