HUMAN RESOURCE
PLANNING
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INTRODUCTION
Human resource planning is a process by which an
organization ensures that
it has the right number and kinds of people
at the right place
at the right time
capable of effectively and efficiently completing those tasks that will
help the organization achieve its overall strategic objectives
Human Resource Planning
HR planning must be
linked to the organization’s overall strategy to
compete domestically and globally.
translated into the number and types of workers
needed
Senior HRM staff need to lead top management in planning
for HRM issues.
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Objectives of human resource planning
Forecast personnel requirements
Cope with changes
Use existing manpower productively
Promote employees in a systematic way
Human Resource Planning
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Importance of human resource planning
Create a talent pool
Prepare people for future
Cope with organizational changes
Cut costs
Help succession planning
Human Resource Planning
THE HR PLANNING PROCESS
Environment
Organizational
objectives and
policies
HR Needs Forecast HR Supply Forecast
HR programming
HRP
Implementation
Control and
Evaluation of
Programme
Surplus
restricted hiring Shortage
reduced hours Recruitment and
Selection
Figure 2–4 Model of HR Forecasting
FORECASTING
FORECASTINGDEMAND
DEMAND
Considerations
Considerations Techniques
Techniques BALANCING
BALANCING
• •Product/service • •Trend SUPPLY
SUPPLYAND
Product/servicedemand
demand Trendanalysis
analysis DEMAND
AND
• •Technology • •Managerial DEMAND
Technology Managerialestimates
estimates
• •Financial
Financialresources
resources • •Delphi technique
Delphi technique
• •Absenteeism/turnover
Absenteeism/turnover (Shortage)
(Shortage)
• •Organizational
Organizationalgrowth
growth Recruitment
Recruitment
• •Management philosophy
Management philosophy • •Full-time
Full-time
• •Part-time
Part-time
• •Recalls
Recalls
Techniques
Techniques External
ExternalConsiderations
Considerations
• •Staffing
Staffingtables
tables • •Demographic
Demographicchanges
changes
(Surplus)
(Surplus)
• •Markov • •Education Reductions
Markovanalysis
analysis Educationof
ofthe
theworkforce
workforce Reductions
• •Skills inventories • •Labor mobility • •Layoffs
Layoffs
Skills inventories Labor mobility
• •Replacement • •Government • •Terminations
Replacementcharts
charts Governmentpolicies
policies Terminations
• •Succession planning • •Unemployment • •Demotions
Succession planning Unemploymentraterate Demotions
• •Retirements
Retirements
FORECASTING
FORECASTINGSUPPLY
SUPPLY
7
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Forecasting techniques
Management Forecasts
The opinions (judgments) of supervisors, department managers, experts, or
others knowledgeable about the organization’s future employment needs.
Delphi Technique
An attempt to decrease the subjectivity of forecasts by soliciting and
summarizing the judgments of a preselected group of
individuals.The final forecast represents a composite group
judgment.
Human Resource Planning
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Forecasting techniques
Trend Analysis: This is based on the assumption that the future is
an extrapolation from the past. Human resource needs, as such, can
be estimated by examining pas trends.
An example of trend analysis
2012-013 Production of Units : 5,000
2012-013 No. of Workers : 100
Ratio : 100:5000
2013-14 Estimated Production : 8,000
No. of Workers required : 8000 × = 160
If supervisors have a span of 20 workers, 8 supervisors are also needed in
2013-14 100
5000
Human Resource Planning
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Supply Forecasting
Internal labour supply: a manpower inventory in terms of
the size and quality of personnel available (their age, sex,
education, training, experience, job performance, etc) is usually
prepared by HR departments
Several techniques are used while ascertaining the internal supply
of manpower (a supply of employees to fill projected
vacancies can come from within the firm or from new hires )
Human Resource Planning
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Estimated internal labour supply
for a given firm
S o u r c e s o f In flo w s T h e F ir m P r o je c te d O u t f lo w s
P r o m o t io n s
T r a n s fe rs Q u its
C u r r e n t S ta ffin g
P r o m o t io n s Level Te r m in a t io n s
E m p lo y e e s I n E m p lo y e e s O u t
N e w R e c ru its R e t ir e m e n t s
R e c a lls D e a th s
L a y o ffs
C u rre n t P r o je c t e d P r o je c t e d F ir m ’s in t e r n a l
s ta ffin g – o u tflo w s + in f lo w s = s u p p ly fo r th is
le v e l th is y e a r t h is y e a r tim e n e x t y e a r
Human Resource Planning
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Supply Forecasting Techniques
Staffing table: Shows the number of employees in each job,. It tries
to classify employees on the basis of age, gender, positions,
experience, qualification, skills etc. how they are utilised and the
future employment needs for each type of job.
Marcov analysis: Uses historical information from personnel
movements of the internal labour supply to predict what will happen
in the future
Human Resource Planning
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Marcov analysis for a hypothetical
retail company
2 0 0 3 -2 0 0 4 S to re A s s t. S to r e S e c tio n D e p t. S a le s E x it
M a n a g e rs M a n a g e rs H eads H eds E x e c u tiv e s
S to re M a n a g e rs 80% 20%
(n = 1 5 )
12 3
A s s t. S to re 11 % 83% 6%
M a n a g e rs
4 30 2
(n = 3 6 )
S e c t io n 15%
11 % 66% 8%
H eads
(n = 9 4 ) 11 63 8 14
D e p a r tm e n ta l
10% 72% 2% 16%
H eads
(n = 2 8 8 ) 29 207 6 46
S a le s
E x e c u tiv e s 6% 74% 20%
(n = 1 4 4 0 ) 86 1066 288
F o re c a s te d
S u p p ly 16 41 92 301 1072 353
F ig u r e s in c ir c le s s h o w t h e t r a n s it i o n p e r c e n t a g e s
Human Resource Planning
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Supply Forecasting
Skills inventory: It is a summary of the skills and abilities of non
managerial employees used in forecasting supply. Such a record helps
an organization to quickly match forthcoming job opening with
employee background.
Human Resource Planning
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Skills inventory: an example
N a m e : A .K . S e n D a te p r in t e d : 1 -4 -2 0 0 4
N um ber : 429 D e p a r tm e n t : 41
K e y w o rd s W o rk e x p e rie n c e
W o rd D e s c r ip tio n A c t iv ity F ro m To
A c c o u n t in g Ta x S u p e r v is io n 1998 2000 Ta x c le r k ABC C om pany
a n d a n a ly s is
B o o k K e e p in g Ledger S u p e r v is io n 2000 2002 A c c o u n ta n t XYZ Co.
A u d itin g C o m p u te r A n a ly s is 2002 2003 C h ie f A c c o u n t s T T B a n k
re c o rd s O ffic e r
E d u c a tio n S p e c ia l Q u a lific a tio n s M e m b e rs h ip s
D e g re e M a jo r Ye a r C o u rse D a te 1 . A IM A
M BA F in a n c e 1998 D BF 1996 2 . IS T D
B .C o m A c c o u n ts 1995 R is k M a n a g e m e n t 1999 3 . IC A
C o m p u te r Languages P o s it io n L o c a tio n H o b b ie s
L ite r a c y p re fe re n c e c h o ic e
Ta ll y F re n c h A c c o u n tin g K o lk a t a C hess
B a n k in g A u d it in g D e lh i F o o t b a ll
S o ftw a re B a n g a lo r e B o a t in g
E m p lo y e e s S ig n a tu re _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ H R D e p a rtm e n t_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
D a te _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ D a te _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
Human Resource Planning
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Supply Forecasting
Replacement chart: It is a visual representation of who will replace
whom in the event of a job opening.
Human Resource Planning
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Replacement chart
G e n e ra l M a n a g e r Key
V. K . G a rg N a m e s g i v e n a r e r e p la c e m e n t
A /2 c a n d id a te s
P A to A . P r o m o t a b le n o w
G e n e ra l M a n a g e r B . N e e d in g d e v e l o p m e n t
L . M a th e w s C . N o t s u it a b l e t o p o s it io n
B /1 1 . S u p e rio r p e rfo rm a n c e
2 . A b o v e A v e ra g e p e rfo rm a n c e
A s s is t a n t G e n e r a l M a n a g e r 3 . A c c e p ta b le p e r f o rm a n c e
R .K . A ro ra A /2 4 . P o o r p e rfo rm a n c e
B .K . N e h ru B /3
D iv is io n : D iv is io n : D iv is io n :
A c c o u n t in g & P la n n i n g M a n a g e r Te c h n ic a l A d v is o r
H R M anager
Ta x a t io n M a n a g e r A .N . G u p ta A /1 N .R . M u rth y B /3
C .P. T h a k u r A /1
A .T. R o y C /2 K . P. R a o B /1
N o r t h e r n R e g io n C e n t r a l R e g io n S o u t h e r n R e g io n M a n a g e r E a s te rn R e g io n
M anager M anager A . S u b ra m a n y a m B /2 M anager
L . C . S r iv a t s a v A / 2 S .P. K u m a r A /1 B .K . M e n o n B /1 R . K r is h n a B /3
A. Thapar C /4 R . P andey B /3
Human Resource Planning
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Supply Forecasting
B) External Labour supply: External hires need to be contacted
when suitable internal replacements are not available. A growing
number of firms are now using computerised human resource
information systems to track the qualifications of hundreds or
thousands of employees. HRIS can provide managers with a
listing of candidates with required qualifications after scanning the
data base.
Human Resource Planning
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Manpower Gap Analysis
This is used to reconcile the forecasts of labour demand and supply.
This process identifies potential skill shortages or surpluses of
employees, skills and jobs
Human Resource Planning
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Formulating HR Plans
Once supply and demand for labour is known adjustments can be
made formulating requisite HR plans
A variety of HR plans
Recruitment plan
Redeployment plan
Redundancy plan
Training plan
Productivity plan
Retention plan
Human Resource Planning
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Responsibility For Human Resource
Planning
HRP is a top management job. HR plans are usually made by the
HR division in consultation with other corporate heads. Any
deviations from the formulated plans and their causes must be
looked into, from time to time in order to assess whether the plans
require revision or modification.
Human Resource Planning
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Limitations Of Human Resource
Planning
HR professionals are basically confronted with three problems while
preparing and administering HR plans:
Accuracy
Resistance by employees
Inadequate top management support
focus on quantitative aspects.
Human Resource Planning
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Effective Human Resource Planning
HR plans must fit in with overall objectives of a firm. They must get
consistent support from top management. Computerised human resource
information systems must be used for applicant tracking, succession
planning, building skills inventories etc. The whole exercise must be
carried out in coordination with operating managers.
Human Resource Planning