INTRODUCTION TO RISK BASED INSPECTION
WHAT IS RISK?
Risk may be characterized as the product of probability of a given failure event (likelihood of failure, LOF) and the consequences of that event if it were to occur (COF). Risk = COF x LOF The consequences of failure can be expressed in terms of the physical damages, production delays or shortfalls, casualties, or the monetary equivalents of these items.
RISK BASED INSPECTION
Risk Based Inspection1 (RBI) is a risk assessment and management process that is focused on loss of containment of pressurized equipment in processing facilities, due to material deterioration. These risks are managed primarily through equipment inspection. RBI can be used to continuously improve the inspection of facilities and systematically reduce the risk associated with pressure boundary failures. It offers the added advantage of identifying gaps or shortcomings in the effectiveness of commercially available inspection technologies and applications.
[1] API Recommended Practice 580 Risk Based Inspection, pg. 6.
RISK BASED INSPECTION
RBI
produces Inspection and Maintenance Plans for equipment that identifies the actions that should be implemented to provide reliable and safe operation. factoring risk into inspection and maintenance decision making, the RBI process is focused on maintaining the mechanical integrity of pressure equipment items and minimizing the risk of loss of containment due to material deterioration.
By
RISK BASED INSPECTION
LIKELIHOOD OF EVENT CONSEQUENCE OF EVENT
RISK
IDENTIFY AND QUANTIFY THE RISK:
Risks considered are: * * * Safety Environmental Business
The inspection is planned to reduce the risk based on the factors creating the risk.
Why Do We Need RBI?
Most inspection codes/standards based on LOF, not COF Reduce risk of high consequence failures Improve the cost effectiveness of inspection and maintenance resources Provide a basis for shifting resources from lower to higher risk equipment Measure and understand the risks associated with current inspection programs Measure risk reduction as a result of inspection practices
QUANTIFYING INSPECTABLE RISK
RISK
LIKELIHOOD OF EVENT
Generic Failure Frequency Damage Factor
CONSEQUENCE
Injury ($) Env. clean up ($) Item repair ($)
Age
Damage Mechanism(s) & Rates
Inspection Effectiveness
Adjacent repairs ($)
Downtime ($) TOTAL ($)
Un-Inspectable Contributors to Risk
Human error Natural disasters External events (e.g. collisions or falling objects) Secondary effects from nearby units Deliberate acts (e.g. sabotage) Inherent risk in handling hazardous materials Inspection method detectability
Management of Risk using RBI
Risk with typical inspection program RISK Risk using RBI Un-inspectable risk Level of Inspection Activity
TYPES OF RBI ANALYSIS
Level 0
Level I Level II Level III
Qualitative Risk Analysis Simple, Brief Prioritization of Plants, Units or Sub Units Qualitative Risk Analysis Simple, Brief Prioritization of Equipment Semi-Quantitative Risk Analysis More Detailed Prioritization of Equipment Quantitative Risk Analysis Most in Depth Analysis and Prioritization of Equipment
QUALITATIVE APPROACH TO RBI
This approach requires data inputs based on descriptive information using engineering judgment and experience as the basis for the analysis of probability and consequence of failure. Inputs are often given in data ranges instead of discrete values. Results are typically given in qualitative terms such as high, medium and low, or low numerical values may be associated with these categories.
SEMI-QUANTITATIVE RISK MATRIX LEVEL II
5 LIKELIHOOD CATEGORY 4 3 2 1
Medium-High Risk
High High Risk Risk
Med . High Risk
Medium Risk Medium Risk Low Risk A B C D E
CONSEQUENCE CATEGORY
QUANTITATIVE RISK BASED INSPECTION
PSM / PHA ASSESSMENTS PROCESS CONDITIONS MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS EQUIPMENT EVALUATION INSPECTION PROGRAM
GENERIC EQUIPMENT FAILURE DATA BASE
PLANT EQUIPMENT DATA FILE
CONSEQUENCE ANALYSIS
PROBABILITY OF FAILURE ANALYSIS
RISK PRIORITIZATION
CONSEQUENCE MITIGATION INSPECTION PROGRAM IMPROVEMENTS
PROCESS SAFETY MANAGEMENT IMPROVEMENTS
RELATIONSHIP WITH API INSPECTION CODES AND STANDARDS
API-RP
580 Risk Based Inspection
Recommended Practice is integrated with:
API-510 Pressure Vessel Inspection Code
API-570 In-Service Piping Inspection Code
API-653 Storage Tank Inspection Standard
RBI Covers
Pressure Vessels all pressure containing components Process Piping pipe and piping components Storage Tanks atmospheric and pressurized Rotating Equipment pressure containing components Boilers & Heaters pressurized components Heat Exchangers (shells, heads, channels and bundles) Pressure Relief Devices
RBI Does Not Cover
Instrument & Control systems Structural systems Electrical systems Machinery components (except pump and compressor casings)
Cause of Failures
WHERE INSPECTION CAN HELP 50
40 30 20 10 0 Mech. Fail.
Percentage
Operator Process Unknown error upsets
Natural hazards
Design Sabotage/ errors arson
43
21
14
11
WHERE DOES RBI FIT INTO OUR CURRENT INSPECTION PRACTICES?
RISK REDUCTIONS RISK BASED PRIORITIZATION INSPECTION PLANNING
RECORDS UPDATING
INSPECTION EXECUTION
FITNESS FOR SERVICE
INSPECTION RESULTS