Betfair Horse Racing Trading: How to win

money trading on horses

Last update July 23, 2018

That's it, you read our previous article - theGuide to Betfair Trading for

Beginnersand now you are ready to become a real negotiator!

If you don't have it, do you know what to do now.

From now on, let's assume that you have the basic principles.

This means that you should have:

A Betfair account (sign up here,if not).

Good trading software (like theGeeks Toyfor Windows or theBetTraderfor

Mac)

Familiarize yourself with the Betfair interface and the concept of backing and laying.

Yes?

Good.

So, before we start, let's just take a moment to see how

let's break all this.

First of all, in this article, we will only analyze how to negotiate races.

of horses on Betfair.

This does not mean that there is no crossover with other sports ...

… But we will only be connecting what we do here to how this affects the sport of

own horse race.

Secondly, we will divide this guide into two distinct sections:

Part 1: Pre-Breeding Horse Negotiation

 Parte 2: Horse Trading During the Game

This means the following:

The first section will address the negotiation strategies that are related

specifically with the markets before the horses have left the line

start.

The second section will address the most appropriate negotiation techniques for

when the horses are really in motion.

Markets operate in fundamentally different ways:

In the pre-race negotiation, the market behaves much more like an exchange.

values of real life, although in a very condensed form over time.

The main approach to negotiating these markets is called analysis.

technique.

Don't worry, we will discuss this concept in more detail later.

For the horse trading in the game, when the horses leave the stocks and

they are competing against each other, the price movements are

determined, mainly, by the positions of the horses relative to each other.

Here, a concept known as fundamental analysis can be useful for

us. Once again, we will discuss this further later.

Trust us: all of this sounds much more complicated than it is when you get

it gets used to.

Pre-race negotiation
Below, we will explain the things you need to look out for when changing the pre-trip.

two horses through Betfair:

Support and Resistance Points
We will begin our overview of pre-race trading strategies with

something known as support and resistance trading.

Resistance negotiation is one of those techniques that have come to us.

directly from the financial markets of Wall Street and the Stock Exchange of

London.

To summarize, a resistance point is a price value, or value of

probability, in which the market does not go beyond. And, conversely, a point of

support is a price level below which the market will not fall.

So, what are the implications of this? Well, when we try to negotiate a

race, we can determine these support and resistance points of our

trading software, and they can inform us about the best way to do it

a negotiation.

Example:

We noticed that, in the last few minutes, the price of a particular horse has been

"jumped" between two points: a high price (of resistance) of 5.9 and a low price

(supporting) of 5.1.

Assuming that these two prices are indeed points of resistance and support,

we can make a profitable trade by supporting the high price when it

approximately 5.9 - let's say, at 5.8 - and then when it approaches its price of

support, let's say at 5.2.

It is important to remember that these points do not always need to be static:

There can be a trend line of resistance points and support points.

but the principle, in this case, remains the same - back to the high, stays low.
Leaks
All right simple, I hear you say ...

Well, not necessarily.

Support and resistance points can sometimes be violated - an event of

break - establishing new support and resistance points in the process.

Breakout prices are not a rare occurrence; they happen quite often and

they offer a good negotiation opportunity.

When you negotiate resistance and support points, always be aware of

that breakout prices may be around the corner.

Crossover Points
One of the most important peculiarities of online betting exchanges comes in

form of something known as 'key prices'.

As you were reading the previous section about points of resistance, you stopped.

to think about why certain probabilities would be resistant to violations?

If you haven't done it, take a look back now, and all you have to do is

start to ask oneself.

Is it simply psychology?

Well, psychology is part of it.

However...

There is something else happening.

Something very fundamental - algo crucial for your future success as a trader.
Differential Increments
OK, let's stop with the enigmatic tone.

What we are seeing here are the differences in the increments at which the prices are changing.

the probabilities change in the market, depending on the price range

specific.

Let's start by looking at the 'key prices'.

The main prices in the market are: 2, 3, 4, 6, 10, 20, 30, 50, and 100.

Why?

This happens because price increases change as follows:

Between the prices 1.01 and 2.0, the probability movements occur at

increments of 0.01

Between prices 2.0 and 3.0, the probability movements occur at

increments of 0.02

Between prices 3.0 and 4.0, probability movements occur in

increments of 0.05

Between prices 4.0 and 6.0, probability movements occur in

increments of 0.10

Between the prices 6.0 and 10.0, the probability movements occur at

increments of 0.20

Between the prices 10.0 and 20.0, the probability movements occur in

increments of 0.50

Between the prices 20.0 and 30.0, the probability movements occur at

increments of 1.00
Between the prices of 30.0 and 50.0, the probability movements occur at

increments of 2.00

...You understood the idea.

So, what are the implications of this?

It's not always so obvious, but if you consider each price change, or

increment, like a 'tick', you start to understand the idea.

Example:

You place a bet of £100 at 2.0. Two things can happen:

an increase of an increment to 2.02, and you earn 2 pounds

a tick down from an increase to 1.99, and you lose £1

As you can see, by setting this cross price, you made it so that the

return against the loss of a ticket in any direction was in your favor. In

several random selections, you will earn more money than you earn over the

time.

The opposite of this is true if you had backed up in 2.0:

You automatically commit because a tick-tock means that you

loses £2, while a negative tick would mean that you only earn £1.

Due to this inequality of return in the changes of scale at these points of

crossing, it makes more sense to set these prices instead of retreating.

So, back to those points of resistance and support; now it is clear that these

Key prices can act to prevent price breakdowns, because it is necessary to

large number of sponsors to violate a price where there are many

layers.

A good negotiator must always be aware of these key prices and negotiate from

agreement.
In addition, if a price surpasses one of these crossover points, you must

expect that the resistance and support points will also be altered.

You will have to assess your position and, depending on how exposed you are, close.

the business or to let it operate at a profit.

It is important to note that simply putting it at 2.0 - or any other point

price key - without considering other factors, it probably will not be one

profitable long-term strategy on your own.

Weight of money
When we negotiate in sports betting markets, we are

essentially buying and selling probabilities.

And the most fundamental aspect of any type of negotiation - be it in betting

sports, in the stock market, in the real estate sector or in retail - it is the
the idea that the price of the good that is bought and sold fluctuates.

But where does this price volatility come from?

What is driving the volatility?

Specifically, why do the odds of a particular horse change with the

time?

Well, one answer to that is due to the weight of money.

The weight of money, or weight of movement, relates to the quantity of

demand that the market has for the support or placement of a horse:

If many people want to support a horse, its price decreases or diminishes.

If many people want to buy a horse, its price goes up, or goes up.
The beauty of online betting exchanges is that we, the operators, can see

exactly how much money is in the market for a specific selection, and

how this money is changing in real time.

This allows us to predict the price variation, considering the weight of money in the

back direction or posture.

Example:

On Betfair, we can see exactly how much money is on the side of the current price.

and how much is on the back side.

If there is a significant difference in money between the back side and the side of

price, we can use this information to predict the price trend, and return

or set this price to close when the price moves in our direction

forecast.

Be careful!

Just like with other negotiation strategies, the weight approach

Money is not free of traps.

Online betting markets have become more efficient, and if the analysis of

if the weight of money was all you needed to succeed, then, well,

we would all be successful. But unfortunately, that is not the case.

The problem with calculating the weight of money is that the market can, in

essence, being manipulated.

A merchant with a large bank of money can create the illusion that a

the horse is very favored, but in reality they are just scaring the

market, attracting supporters or layers, just so they can withdraw their

market orders at the right moment. Time.

That said, the weight of money can be a good indicator of trends in

market in strongly negotiated events.

It is unlikely that the Cheltenham Festival and the Grand National will be disrupted by

a single operator, and in these cases, the weight of money can be a good friend.

Learning from pro traders

To deepen your knowledge, you won't go too wrong in learning

directly with professional traders themselves.

Peter Webb shares a wealth of great tips onBet canal

Angel on YouTubeand Caan Berry shares good information onyours

channelalso.

However, the best information out there does not come for free.

After all, why would professionals donate their advantage to you - a stranger -

for free?

The tutorials and courses you can obtain are very good, however.

Thepre-race negotiation guideCaan (RRP £ 39) and itsvideo package

advanced(RRP £ 147) are two of the best guides money can buy

if you are looking to win the pre-race trading market.

In-Race Negotiation
There are many more pre-race negotiation techniques available to us than

running techniques when looking for tips on negotiating with Betfair.

As we mentioned earlier, pre-race approaches for races

horses depend on something known as technical analysis: this is a term for

financial negotiation that implies that our negotiation decisions are

taken only in relation to market price and volume.

The opposite of technical analysis is known as fundamental analysis.

This is the type of analysis we use when we focus on negotiation.

in races.

New Views
When the online betting industry exploded onto the gambling scene in the early years

In 2000, in-race commerce was something new and exciting.

It is still exciting, but the optimism of the early days has been overshadowed by the

recognition that the same old rules apply to this type of

negotiation, as it happened in the days leading up to Betfair and the connections of

internet was common.

But, despite this, in-race trading definitely opened some

special opportunities; those with knowledge of race peculiarities

handicap ratings can have an advantage in the market - and not just

in the minutes before the end, but while the race is really in flow.

It is worth getting to know horse racing when you want to exchange races in

game.

Holding your nerve

The beauty of in-race commerce lies, ultimately, in the ability to do

use of knowledge of certain conditions and scenarios against odds fluctuations

temporary while the race is on.

Example:

Imagine that we know a horse runs well in the first half of a

running, but in the last half its performance is highly unpredictable.

In this case, we would expect your chances to decrease in the first half of the

running in relation to its price prior to the run, which means that we could

go back in the pre-race with higher odds and bet with shorter odds on

middle of the race.

This is known as "back-to-lay".

Alternatively, we could meet halfway with low chances,

with the horse in front, knowing that there was a good chance he would come back

back and then returned to higher bets.

Agora, o exemplo acima pode parecer uma abordagem excessivamente simplista,

too dependent on a series of "ifs" and "buts".

However, consider the number of factors that can be considered and that

can affect a horse's performance:

Racetrack layout: the race ends on a slope or with a curve

particularly difficult?

Weather conditions: a horse favors wet soil or

dry? Or is it susceptible to slowing down in hot or cold conditions?

Number of horses in the field: where some horses are scared by

many knights, others are motivated by competition.

Handicap: without a certain handicap some horses fly, while

others do not perform differently - the initial price reflects this and, if

No, can this be exploited in exchange for profit?

Choice of jockey: will a good jockey get more out of the horse or not?

There are many variables here, and a good operator can use all or any

knowledge to enter or exit the market at the right time to have

success.
With horse trading underway, all of this is now possible.

Conclusion
Thus, we conclude this small excursion with just a few tips and

Betfair horse racing betting strategies that you can use when

negotiate.

Until next time, good luck!

3 simple running strategies

horses (for Betfair)
POSTED1º DE AGOSTO DE 2015 CAAN
Spread the love...
Racing negotiation strategies
horses: Where do you start?!
Of all the trading opportunities on the stock exchange, horse racing is the one that
but holds back. With so many races, day after day, week after week, you only
needs a small average return to be successful.

But where the hell do you start?

Often it is quite scary at the beginning, but one thing is certain: it will never be
chat. That's why I was immediately drawn to the development of
profitable horse racing betting strategies. But if I
truly honest, the huge sums of money to be made
they probably have more to do with that!

With 15 - 40 races per day, an average of just £10 per race soon becomes
soma.

Building a selection of horse racing betting strategies was not

so easy. Although it was absolutely worth it, it took some time (and
a bunch of errors on the route).

Throughout this post; I want to give you the shortcut to develop your own
horse racing betting strategies. But before we start, it is
It's important to realize that focusing on one at a time increases your chances of
success ... and reduces the feeling that new operators are confronted.

Mastering just one of these three is more than enough to earn an income.
stable lateral

Successful scalping before the start

Backing to Lay for a quick win
Swing Trading a large price movement

So let's divide them, one by one ...

Want more running strategies? Sign up here. Get information.

directly to your inbox now...
Horse racing betting strategies: 1.
SCALING successfully pre-race
If you are not familiar, scalping is a trading technique.
in which small profits are obtained quickly and consistently.

It is important to be at the top of your own mindset when scalping.

for hesitation can quickly undo previous progress. Changes
sudden changes in the market may mean that several previous "scalps" that
they were profitable, are quickly eliminated. However, the quick execution
allows profitable operators to stay on top.

Of all the horse racing betting strategies, this one has been the
my favorite approach. Consistently turning a small profit increases
quickly, and does not require a large bankroll or much knowledge of
market. It is the logical place to start in my opinion. Discipline and method
of execution will determine how successful you are when it comes to
scalping. But it's not always easy ...

Did you try? Do you think scalping is frustrating? If so, the chances
you are

1. Operating in the wrong environment

Slow to react (poor discipline)
3.Not doing well
4. Excessive trading

Or all the above. For most people, the main problem is discipline.
to start (I have been through this too). However, with management and the
patience is correct, it is totally possible. Generally, I think that followers
they start to fight after having had some success in scalping.

Why?

Because when you earn some money, the desire is to try to invest it in everything,
in all races and in all situations. That simply does not work. That
also leads to excessive trading ...

Here is a clip of me scalping on YouTube from some time ago ...

If you are not familiar with the interface in the video above, consultthis link.

Increasing your chances:

Shortening the path to success means that you will need to find
situations where the price is reasonably stable, and the volume of bets
combined that enter the markets is the highest possible.

Depending on the size of the stake you want to use, you will need
consider more the stability of the situations. It may be more difficult to achieve.
big bets quickly (I'm talking about £500 to £1,000+).

Being the simplest of horse racing trading strategies,

it means that you can implement this strategy in practically any
market at one point or another. Although the key to success is choosing the
set deadline. The more money circulates in the market, the easier it is to make it
your bets match - limiting your risk in the process.

Think about peak periods in the market, where most of the money is
. a subtle hint.

Full publication:Beginner's Guide to Scalping

Horse racing negotiation strategies: 2.

How to RETURN TO LEIGA For a quick victory
If you follow me on Twitter or Facebook (links in the sidebar), you will have me
I saw posting pointers back to the position from time to time.

There are far fewer opportunities to use this strategy every

days. Mainly because the usage criteria are much more specific than
scalping or swing trading. But, given the right selection and execution, your
seriously fast money.

The Sporting Lifeit is my preferred resource to see how the horses already
they ran. Many others are also useful, but they don't provide much written history.
about previous presentations.

Several followers have sent me messages since I introduced them to him.

saying what is the easiest way of race betting strategies
horse. The only potential disadvantage is; there may be one or two opportunities
really good per day. The advantage is; returns are high when considered
the profit sharing ratio compared to other strategies
of horse racing betting. Having a smaller bankroll, but still
achieving good results makes it attractive to those who are entering the
game.

Be warned that it can be quite addictive!(Making a profit is always).

Other horse racing negotiation strategies usually bring a
lower participation rate, although more usage opportunities
balance any type of comparison.

One thing to keep in mind with the video above is that you won't want to have a
great responsibility at the first obstacle in show jumping. It's a good
the idea is to compensate for your responsibility up to this point, only in the case of the horse
fall. The best horse racing betting strategies limit your
potential disadvantage, leaving room for profit, and not the other way around.

Extra: In depth Back to the article Lay Here

Horse racing betting strategies: 3.

SWING TRADING the price change (before the
start)
Of all the horse racing betting strategies (pre-race), this is
one of the most excited people.

It's easy to see why...

If you can predict a big swing in price, you have much more
opportunity to win. In addition, this trading strategy is quite
scalable. When you are confident, it is possible to use much larger bets of
what other running strategies. If there was a disadvantage, the negotiation of
swing requires the patience of a saint sometimes.

The natural tendency is to close a deal when it is winning, but

Let it run if you are losing. We have all been there, right?

When you read this out loud, it is easy to see - you should be aiming exactly
the opposite. It's this kind of thing that makes negotiation harder, but the funny thing is that
it has very little to do with the market. And a lot to do with the merchant!

However, as always, knowledge is power.

To have the knowledge to give you a little more confidence in what you are
doing is the only difference. Feeling like you really know where
the price would go, it's much easier to let the profits. More importantly, it is still
it's easier to avoid that horrible feeling of falling if something goes wrong...

Above: Swing Trading will only show how you don't need a huge bank
to earn pleasant amounts

Most popular:£ 40.26 In ten minutes Swing Trading

Horse racing betting strategies:
SUMMARY
Since I was twenty years old, I have spent a huge amount of time in the markets.
of horse racing.

On the way I did all this. I made many mistakes and found many points.
sweets too! But why is that?

I have always been one of those annoying people, but why?

which initially led me to success, however I also realized something else
early ... Mastering yourself and your own emotional reactions is a
big piece of the puzzle. You need to be able to stay calm when
the temperature is rising!

Avoiding mistakes before they happen makes a big difference. The markets of
horse races are fluid, they behave differently from others
on Betfair. There is a lot of money lost and won every day through mistakes and
irrational reactions. Not all are scalable, but the strategies of
horse racing negotiations offer a huge amount of
opportunities. And there are so many ways to negotiate - until now I am still
finding points of interest to adapt and evolve.

I am sure that the strategies shared above will be sufficient to

make most traders think, old or new. But if you were already aware,
just think; How can you improve?

Over the years, I have learned that if I have a reasonable advantage, I usually
there are half a dozen other ideas that can arise from it ... some of the
the best were stumbled upon while searching for something completely different!

For additional information and to exchange videos and help, check out this link.
Bonus suggestion:
Think about who you are negotiating with. Consistent winning requires a
advantage of some kind ...

If you intend to build a multitude of trading strategies

horse races with a significant advantage for yourself - the value has
that comes from somewhere.

Why and how do other Exchange users lose?

Can you access information that the masses do not have?
Where are the bets placed that do not matter the price?

Beginner's Guide to Scalping

Betfair (Video Post)
POSTEDAUGUST 20, 2016CAAN

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As a beginner, you probably just stumbled upon the gold mine that is
to scalp Betfair. Like anysuccessful betting exchange traderwill say
to you; you just need to find one or two ticks regularly to generate a
stable income flow.

But is knowing this enough?

Unfortunately, it is not.

To join the5-9% of betting exchange users that win

Regularly, you will need to do better than this.
For every hour you invest in the markets, you need a return. The
the best returns come from knowledge, I cannot emphasize enough. The
the problem is being; beginners generally seek instant gratification. Play the
long game, be smart.

It's not just about making money on site, in fact it's not. Use your time.
with wisdom.

In this post, I will share some things you should know to have
success in scalping Betfair. Just like;

What is a scalp trade?

How can you scale a price on Betfair
When is it better to be scalping a market?
Limiting your risk

Let’s start with my definition of scalping ...

Betfair Scalping Effectively

Scalping is a technique that relies on small short-term price changes.
deadline within any betting exchange market.
To execute a profitable negotiation, it is always better to start with the
objective in mind. Considering the possible outcomes even before a
placing a bet is the best way to do this.

The sound is annoying, right?

Good. Boring usually means safety, and no one wants to learn by losing.
money. That's not why we are here.

New to Scalping?Obtain the Scalping Module

(11) of the Video Course in your Own HERE

The image below shows a winning 'scalp' in its most

simple.
Although it may not seem so appealing now, think further ahead. You know, the
long game I mentioned earlier. Honesty, when you start to
looking at the scalping of Betfair this way, it doesn't take long until the
profits begin to roll in.

Just think if this small profit of £3.03 was replicated in 30 races at that
day, one day a week. You would have a good £363.60 in the bank per month.

Insufficient?

How about you double the bets and stay busy scalping for two days for
week? £360.60 has just become £1,442.40 if you can keep the
consistency. I think my points are clear, however, scalping can be
lucrative, as long as you are consistent.

The best thing about scalping on Betfair; you only need to be right for
a very short period of time. Most of the time you don't even need to anticipate
that a price will move.

Placing Your Bets

So, how is a 'scalping' trade actually executed?

To successfully complete your first scalp, all you need to

What needs to be done is to place two opposing bets against each other. Usually, one or two.
touches are separated. Once both are fully married, we can
use our betting software to make a profit, also known as
'coverage'. The key is to ensure that they are fully matched.
as fast as possible. More about that in a moment.

Play the clip to see a successful scalp in action:

Video Player
00:00

00:25

See how fast it was? Magic.

It's not as easy as it seems, it will take time to perfect your skills.
scalpelation. More pointers at a moment ...

If you still haven't understood how a negotiation works, there is

a longer explanation here.

It doesn't matter which bet is placed first, only the two are.
completely matched. To have a preference about the way the price
moving is useful, of course. If the price moves against you, it's time to close
quickly. It will not be possible to win 100% of the time, but by doing your...
bets are matched more often than not, it is perfectly
possible to reach the top.

The business of placing your bets and managing your position is very important. There is
an entire section about this in the pre-race video package.

How do you scalp a price:

What factors are important for success?

The first thing to remember is; scalping is often a maneuver

very fast. For this reason, it is only better to use betting exchange software,
we want speed on our side. Personally, I useabout GeeksToy Pro. The
the main benefits are once the bets are on clicks and the speed with which
market information is displayed (milliseconds), as well as
some extravagant graphs and indicators.

The second thing is; you are not the only person to do this! Scalping A
Betfair requires a good dose of discipline and self-control. When both your
bets were not agreed upon, you may need to 'scrape' or cancel the leather
hairy, placing the exit bet at the same price as your bet
initial.Remember: scratching is not a lost bet.
Once you are prepared and ready to go, it's time to think about the
real execution of your business. Always start with the end in mind.

What will you do if things don't go as planned?

Not having a plan is the sure route to losing. Successful negotiation is

everything about risk management, when you do it correctly, the profits
they take care of themselves.

The best tip I can give you when it comes to scalping

ofBetfairthat's it; always offer a price when opening a leather
hairy. When you think about it, you are already at an advantage when the
the price did not change if you offered a price. In fact, in many cases, you
you won't need to move in the market. By offering a price at the entry and
exit of a scalp leather trade, you can make money
exclusively with the market's business volume. Corresponding bets
on both sides of the book (spine and laymen).

When trying to scalp Betfair ...

We know what a scalp is, how it works, and what we need to
execute it. But like everything in life, there is a time and a place. So, when this
which technique is better employed?

If you are like me, you won't like risk. It can limit when you can do it.
However, scalping is ideal for the risk-averse trader (in the situation
certain).

As I suggested above, the market's turnover can be of great help.

for the currency exchangers. The exposure time is limited in situations of greater
liquidity, limiting our risk in the process. Therefore, it is logical to ensure that
you are just trying to make a skin swap in the best
the conditions. The better the conditions, the higher the bets will be that
You can use it, but it is a bit more advanced.

To find the best situations to employ this technique, you should

search for higher quality runs.A Sporting Lifeit is a useful tool
for this, it will show the horse races offered that day, coverage of the
media and other things that contribute to a good betting market, such as
number of horses in the race, cash prize and quality of
running.

Limiting your risk

Scalping Betfair appeals more than other methods due to the low
risk involved. Even so, it is important to know your limits.

Poor staking is the biggest problem for most. Adding to a trade

of the scalp that is wrong, it is almost always a bad idea. Even if I
I have told you, it is more or less guaranteed that you will do this in a
point or another.

Unmatched money can disappear from the market at any moment,

Although it is a good idea to make sure you are betting in tune.
with the market.

For example; the image below shows a bet of £100 placed at 5.1
(view in the central column). The size of the participation is quite disproportionate to
this market if we were scalping.

Where, how would you get away with significantly larger bets in this type?
of situation. Purely because of the unparalleled amount of money
available.
Why is this important?

Remember that we want to limit the downside. Therefore, if the business is

against us in the first example and if we had bet 100 pounds, we would have to
equal the money up to 5 ticks away, incurring a loss
significant. Where, as if you had used double the amount staked on
In the second example, you would only have to match your bet with the back/lay price.
available from 3.4. Despite the double-stakes, the risk is lower in the second example.

Remember that it's not just about losing less! If you put on a leather.
victorious long-haired one, there is less money flowing through the market, which means
it would take longer for your winning bet to be matched. And,
Sure, the longer the store is open, the more risk there will be of something going wrong.
wrong.

Conclusion
Scalping Betfair is often as difficult as you make it.
the majority of people enter into betting exchange negotiations through
combined or simple bets. This is good, but the desire is to have this compulsion
to bet again and again without any real advantage over the
market. It doesn't matter if you are scalping or swing trading, you do not
you will get rich behaving like this.

Don't waste time, check out the features mentioned in this post andfree videos
no YouTube. Knowledge is essential.
Once you are comfortable with the markets and how they work,
your chances of success are dramatically increased. As they say,
Saying: the more you learn, the more you earn. Good luck!