Eternal LTD
Eternal LTD
4
www.safalniveshak.com
IMPORTANT INSTRUCTIONS
1. Ensure that the company whose data you are downloading has numbers at least starting from FY08 (March 2008). This is be
from, say, FY10, you will see incorrect data for FY08 and FY09 (which will be of Hero Motocorp on whose financials I have crea
2. All financial data of your chosen company will be automatically updated in the sheet you download, except "Cash and Bank"
which you must update manually from the company's annual reports. Don’t forget to make these changes as these numbers are
3. You may update the sheet and add your own analysis, formulae etc. and then upload again to Screener.in site using the Ste
Sheet" because this will cause errors in your future downloads.
4. DON’T touch any cell except the black ones, where you are required to update the numbers manually from Annual Reports (
growth assumptions etc.
4. I have added Comments and Instructions wherever necessary so as to explain the concepts. Read those carefully before wo
5. This sheet is not a replacement of the work required to read annual reports as part of the analysis process. So please do tha
some discrepancy in numbers (though rare), but you will know this only when you read annual reports.
6. I could not find a bug/errors in this spreadsheet, but if you notice some, please email me at - [email protected] - and
7. I will keep on updating the sheet from time to time and will update the same on the website. I invite you to share your feedba
together.
8. This excel won't work for banking and financial services companies.
Please! It's your money. Please don't blame me if results of this excel
cause you to lose it all! I've designed this excel to aid your own thinking,
but you alone are responsible for your actions. I want to live peacefully
ever after! I am not a sadist who wants you to do the hard work by
analyzing companies on your own. But I'd rather give you a compass
instead of a map, for you can confuse map with territory and lose it all. All
the best!
Buffett Checklist - Read, Remember, Follow!
Source - Buffettology by Mary Buffett & David Clark
Parameter
Conclusion
Never Forget
Buffett Checklist - Read, Remember, Follow!
Source - Buffettology by Mary Buffett & David Clark
Explanation
Seek out companies that have no or less competition, either due to a patent or brand name or similar intangible that
makes the product unique. Such companies will typically have high gross and operating profit margins because of their
unique niche. However, don't just go on margins as high margins may simply highlight companies within industries with
traditionally high margins. Thus, look for companies with gross, operating and net profit margins above industry norms.
Also look for strong growth in earnings and high return on equity in the past.
Try to invest in industries where you possess some specialized knowledge (where you work) or can more effectively
judge a company, its industry, and its competitive environment (simple products you consume). While it is difficult to
construct a quantitative filter, you should be able to identify areas of interest. You should "only" consider analyzing
those companies that operate in areas that you can clearly grasp - your circle of competence. Of course you can
increase the size of the circle, but only over time by learning about new industries. More important than the size of the
circle is to know its boundaries.
Seeks out companies with conservative financing, which equates to a simple, safe balance sheet. Such companies
tend to have strong cash flows, with little need for long-term debt. Look for low debt to equity or low debt-burden ratios.
Also seek companies that have history of consistently generating positive free cash flows.
Rising earnings serve as a good catalyst for stock prices. So seek companies with strong, consistent, and expanding
earnings (profits). Seek companies with 5/10 year earnings per share growth greater than 25% (along with safe balance
sheets). To help indicate that earnings growth is still strong, look for companies where the last 3-years earnings growth
rate is higher than the last 10-years growth rate. More important than the rate of growth is the consistency in such
growth. So exclude companies with volatile earnings growth in the past, even if the "average" growth has been high.
Like you should stock to your circle of competence, a company should invest its capital only in those businesses within
its circle of competence. This is a difficult factor to screen for on a quantitative level. Before investing in a company,
look at the company’s past pattern of acquisitions and new directions. They should fit within the primary range of
operations for the firm. Be cautious of companies that have been very aggressive in acquisitions in the past.
Buffett prefers that firms reinvest their earnings within the company, provided that profitable opportunities exist. When
companies have excess cash flow, Buffett favours shareholder-enhancing maneuvers such as share buybacks. While
we do not screen for this factor, a follow-up examination of a company would reveal if it has a share buyback plan in
place.
Seek companies where earnings have risen as retained earnings (earnings after paying dividends) have been
employed profitably. A great way to screen for such companies is by looking at those that have had consistent earnings
and strong return on equity in the past.
Consider it a positive sign when a company is able to earn above-average (better than competitors) returns on equity
without employing much debt. Average return on equity for Indian companies over the last 10 years is approximately
16%. Thus, seek companies that earn at least this much (16%) or more than this. Again, consistency is the key here.
That's what is called "pricing power". Companies with moat (as seen from other screening metrics as suggested above
(like high ROE, high grow margins, low debt etc.) are able to adjust prices to inflation without the risk of losing
significant volume sales.
Companies that consistently need capital to grow their sales and profits are like bank savings account, and thus bad for
an investor's long term portfolio. Seek companies that don't need high capital investments consistently. Retained
earnings must first go toward maintaining current operations at competitive levels, so the lower the amount needed to
maintain current operations, the better. Here, more than just an absolute assessment, a comparison against
competitors will help a lot. Seek companies that consistently generate positive and rising free cash flows.
Sensible investing is always about using “folly and discipline” - the discipline to identify excellent businesses, and wait
for the folly of the market to drive down the value of these businesses to attractive levels. You will have little trouble
understanding this philosophy. However, its successful implementation is dependent upon your dedication to learn and
follow the principles, and apply them to pick stocks successfully.
Net Block - - 190 389 1,591 1,539 1,404 6,344 6,448 9,532
Capital Work in Progress - - 1 1 1 0 1 7 18 51
Investments - - 829 2,145 324 2,205 4,718 6,765 11,645 13,192
Other Assets - - 354 879 985 4,959 11,204 8,483 5,245 12,848
Total - - 1,374 3,413 2,900 8,704 17,327 21,599 23,356 35,623
Working Capital - - 202 169 -1,132 4,427 10,453 6,851 3,051 9,587
Debtors - - 26 70 123 130 160 457 794 1,946
Inventory - - - 2 4 15 40 83 88 176
Cash & Bank** 4,735 3,367 3,190 3,393 2,605 3,546 4,739 5,829
** Manually enter this number; Convert to Rs Crore if not already done in the Annual Reports; Use Cash+Bank+Current Investments from Consolidated Balance Sheet in Annual Reports
Debtor Days - - 20 20 17 24 14 24 24 35
Inventory Turnover - - - 616 698 135 106 85 138 115
Fixed Asset Turnover #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 2.5 3.4 1.6 1.3 3.0 1.1 1.9 2.1
Debt/Equity #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 0.2 0.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
Return on Equity -10% -43% -522% -11% -7% -5% 2% 2%
Return on Capital Employed #DIV/0! #DIV/0! -8% -37% -303% -10% -7% -5% 2% 3%
Profit & Loss Account / Income Statement
ETERNAL LTD
Rs Cr Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24 Mar-25 Trailing
Sales - - 466 1,313 2,605 1,994 4,192 7,079 12,114 20,243 31,995
% Growth YOY #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 182% 98% -23% 110% 69% 71% 67%
Expenses - - 558 3,556 4,909 2,461 6,043 8,290 12,071 19,595 31,407
Material Cost (% of Sales) #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 0% 1% 4% 10% 13% 20% 24% 28% Check for wide fluctuations in key
Power and Fuel #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% expense items. For manufacturing firms,
Other Mfr. Exp #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 11% 102% 81% 4% 4% 5% 4% 5% check their material costs etc. For
Employee Cost #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 62% 46% 31% 37% 39% 21% 14% 13% services firms, look at employee costs.
Selling and Admin Cost #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 39% 115% 67% 72% 87% 70% 57% 51%
Operating Profit - - -92 -2,243 -2,305 -467 -1,851 -1,211 43 648 588
Operating Profit Margin #DIV/0! #DIV/0! -20% -171% -88% -23% -44% -17% 0% 3% 2%
Other Income - - 21 1,285 16 -200 793 682 846 1,066 1,326
Other Income as % of Sales #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 4.5% 97.9% 0.6% -10.0% 18.9% 9.6% 7.0% 5.3% 4.1%
Depreciation - - 29 43 84 138 150 437 526 863 1,224
Interest - - 6 9 13 10 12 49 72 154 252
Interest Coverage(Times) #DIV/0! #DIV/0! -16 -115 -188 -80 -101 -20 5 6 3
Profit before tax (PBT) - - -107 -1,010 -2,386 -815 -1,221 -1,015 291 697 438
% Growth YOY #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 845% 136% -66% 50% -17% -129% 140%
PBT Margin #DIV/0! #DIV/0! -23% -77% -92% -41% -29% -14% 2% 3% 1%
Tax - - - - - 1 2 -44 -60 170 250
Net profit - - -107 -1,010 -2,386 -816 -1,223 -971 351 527 188
% Growth YOY #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 845% 136% -66% 50% -21% -136% 50%
Net Profit Margin #DIV/0! #DIV/0! -23% -77% -92% -41% -29% -14% 3% 3% 1%
EPS - - -3,564.0 ### ### ### -1.6 -1.1 0.4 0.5 0.2
% Growth YOY #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 845% 136% -74% -100% -27% -135% 37%
Price to earning -53.0 -44.9 457.6 369.4 1,677.6
Price - - - - - - 82 51 182 202 327
Dividend Payout 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Market Cap - - - - - - 64,786 43,623 ### ###
Retained Earnings - - -107 -1,010 -2,386 -816 -1,223 -971 351 527
Buffett's $1 Test -34.5
Check for long term vs short term trends here. Check if the growth over
past 3 or 5 years has slowed down / improved compared to long term (7 to
10 years) growth numbers.
Cash Flow Statement
ETERNAL LTD
Rs Cr Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24 Mar-25 Total
Cash from Operating Activity (CFO) - - - - -2,144-1,018 -693 -844 646 308 -3,745
% Growth YoY #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! -53% -32% 22% -177% -52%
Cash from Investing Activity - - - - 1,740-5,245 -7,971 797 -348 -7,993 -19,020
Cash from Financing Activity - - - - 359 6,402 8,750 -127 -207 8,042 23,219
Net Cash Flow - - - - -45 139 86 -174 91 357 454
CFO/Sales #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 0% 0% -82% -51% -17% -12% 5% 2%
CFO/Net Profit #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 0% 0% 90% 125% 57% 87% 184% 58%
Capex** 315 212 364 565 607 937 1,156 1,638 1,238 824
FCF -315 -212 -364 -565 -2,751 -1,955 -1,849 -2,482 -592 -516 -11,600
Average FCF (3 Years) -1,197
FCF Growth YoY -33% 72% 55% 387% -29% -5% 34% -76% -13%
FCF/Sales #DIV/0! #DIV/0! -78% -43% -106% -98% -44% -35% -5% -3%
FCF/Net Profit #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 351% 59% 116% 241% 153% 256% -169% -98%
Operating Margin #DIV/0! #DIV/0! -19.8% ### -88.5% -23.4% -44.1% -17.1% 0.4%
PBT Margin #DIV/0! #DIV/0! -22.9% -77.0% -91.6% -40.9% -29.1% -14.3% 2.4%
Net Margin #DIV/0! #DIV/0! -22.9% -77.0% -91.6% -40.9% -29.2% -13.7% 2.9%
3.2%
3.4%
2.6%
35.1
115.0
2.1
0.1
5.7%
5.5
1.7%
2.6%
-516
What to look for?
Higher is better, but also look for long term stability and consistency
Higher is better, but also look for long term stability and consistency
Higher is better, but also look for long term stability and consistency
Higher isn't always better, esp. when the company is generating high ROE, which means the management is allocating capital
Higher is better, but also look for long term stability and consistency
Higher is better, but also look for long term stability and consistency
Higher is better, but also look for long term stability and consistency, plus the nature of the industry. Also compare with industry
Higher is better, but also look for long term stability and consistency, plus the nature of the industry. Also compare with industry
Higher is better, but also look for long term stability and consistency, plus the nature of the industry. Also compare with industry
09 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 09 11 13 15
-1,000n/ n/ n/ n/ n/ n/ n/ n/ n/ -1,000n/ n/ n/ n/
Ja Ja Ja Ja Ja Ja Ja Ja Ja Ja Ja Ja Ja
-2,000 -2,000
-3,000 -3,000
Management Effectiveness
Mar/09 Mar/10 Mar/18 Mar/19 Mar/20 Mar/21 Mar/22 Mar/23 Mar/24
ROE -10% -43% -522% -11% -7% -5% 2%
ROCE #DIV/0! #DIV/0! -8% -37% -303% -10% -7% -5% 2%
Cash Flows
Mar/09 Mar/10 Mar/18 Mar/19 Mar/20 Mar/21 Mar/22 Mar/23 Mar/24
Operating Cash Flow - - - - -2,144 -1,018 -693 -844 646
Free Cash Flow -315 -212 -364 -565 -2,751 -1,955 -1,849 -2,482 -592
% Capital Allocation Quality
Check for a rising trend and/or consistency.
% Numbers > 20% long term are good. Also check if the
% company
09 1 has zero/marginal
3 5 debt.
7 Compare
9 1with a 3close25 Note: Please ignore the dates
n n/1
/competitor n/1 n/1 n/1 n/1 n/2 n/2 n/ on the X-axis. The figures are
% Ja Ja Ja Ja Ja Ja Ja Ja for/as on the year ending date,
% which for most Indian
companies would be 31st
% March of that year
%
%
ROE ROCE
10 /1
2
/1
4
/1
6
/1
8
/2
0
/2
2
/2
4
n/ n n n n n n n
Ja Revenue
Ja Ja
Growth Ja JaPBT Growth
Ja Ja
Net Profit Growth
09 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25
0n/ n/ n/ n/ n/ n/ n/ n/ n/
a Ja Ja Ja Ja Ja Ja Ja Ja
0
Mar/25
2%
3%
Mar/25
20,243
697
527
Mar/25
308
-516
Common Size P&L
Rs Cr Mar-08 Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-11 Mar-12 Mar-13 Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17
Sales 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Raw Material Cost #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 0% 1% 4% 10% 13% 20% 24% 28%
Change in Inventory #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0%
Power and Fuel #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1%
Other Mfr. Exp #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 11% 102% 81% 4% 4% 5% 4% 5%
Employee Cost #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 62% 46% 31% 37% 39% 21% 14% 13%
Selling and Admin Cost #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 39% 115% 67% 72% 87% 70% 57% 51%
Other Expenses #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 7% 6% 5% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0%
Operating Profit #DIV/0! #DIV/0! -20% -171% -89% -25% -45% -18% 0% 2%
Other Income #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 5% 98% 1% -10% 19% 10% 7% 5%
Depreciation #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 6% 3% 3% 7% 4% 6% 4% 4%
Interest #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1%
Profit Before Tax #DIV/0! #DIV/0! -23% -77% -92% -41% -29% -14% 2% 3%
Tax #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% -1% 0% 1%
Net Profit #DIV/0! #DIV/0! -22% -74% -91% -41% -29% -14% 3% 3%
Dividend Amount #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
P.S. In case of companies earning negative FCF, where this model will not work, you must use a normalized positive FCF as th
number. This number is your assumption of FCF the business will earn in a normal year, without capex. Check the history
business while arriving at your assumption, and use your judgment wisely without twisting the model to fit your version of r
Calculation
by Mohnish Pabrai
ETERNAL LTD
Dhandho IV - Higher Range
FCF (Rs Cr) PV of FCF (Rs Cr) Assumed FCF Growth
Excess Cash (Latest) 5,829 Year 1-3 20%
(1,436) (1,282) Year 4-6 15%
(1,723) (1,374) Year 7-10 10%
(2,068) (1,472) Discount Rate 12%
(2,378) (1,511)
(2,735) (1,552)
(3,145) (1,593)
(3,460) (1,565)
(3,806) (1,537)
(4,186) (1,510)
(4,605) (1,483)
(69,070) (22,239)
Intrinsic Value (31,289)
Current Mkt. Cap. 315,390
Premium/(Discount) to IV -1108%
Avg 5-Yr Net Profit (Rs Crore) (426.4) Avg 5-Yr Net Profit (Rs Crore)
PE Ratio at 0% Growth 8.5 PE Ratio at 0% Growth
Long-Term Growth Rate (87.0) Long-Term Growth Rate
Ben Graham Value (Rs Crore) 70,538 Ben Graham Value (Rs Crore)
Current Market Cap (Rs Crore) 315,390 Current Market Cap (Rs Crore)
EXPLANATION
Ben Graham's Original Formula: Value = EPS x (8.5 + 2G)
Here, EPS is the trailing 12 month EPS, 8.5 is the P/E ratio of a stock with 0% growth and g is the growth rate for the next 7-10
(426.4)
8.5
(173.9)
144,699
315,390
of around 1962 when Graham was publicizing his works, the risk free interest rate was 4.4% but to adjust to the present, we divide this num
present, we divide this number by today’s AAA corporate bond rate, represented by Y in the formula above.
Dicounted Cash Flow Valuation
ETERNAL LTD
Final Calculations
Terminal Year (4,327)
PV of Year 1-10 Cash Flows (13,311)
Terminal Value (13,931)
Total PV of Cash Flows (27,242)
Current Market Cap (Rs Cr) ###
META
Number of shares 965.68
Face Value 1
Current Price 326.6
Market Capitalization 315389.91
Quarters
Report Date Jun-23 Sep-23 Dec-23 Mar-24 Jun-24 Sep-24
Sales 2416 2848 3288 3562 4206 4799
Expenses 2464 2895 3237 3476 4029 4573
Other Income 181 212 219 235 236 221
Depreciation 130 128 128 140 149 180
Interest 18.00 16.00 18.00 20.00 25.00 30.00
Profit before tax -15 21 124 161 239 237
Tax -17 -15 -14 -14 -14 61
Net profit 2 36 138 175 253 176
Operating Profit -48 -47 51 86 177 226
BALANCE SHEET
Report Date Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21
Equity Share Capital 0.03 0.03 0.03
Reserves 1036.06 2355.61 457.35 7643.8
Borrowings 186.23 347.94 325.58 527.40
Other Liabilities 152.17 709.3 2117.43 532.3
Total 1374.49 3412.88 2900.39 8703.5
Net Block 189.8 389.08 1590.55 1539
Capital Work in Progress 1.29 0.74 0.96 0.1
Investments 829.23 2144.55 323.92 2205.2
Other Assets 354.17 878.51 984.96 4959.2
Total 1374.49 3412.88 2900.39 8703.5
Receivables 26.08 70.34 123.12 129.9
Inventory 2.13 3.73 14.80
Cash & Bank 208.07 238.69 359.88 903.6
No. of Equity Shares 337694 337694 337694 309711
New Bonus Shares
Face value 1 1 1
CASH FLOW:
Report Date Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21
Cash from Operating Activity -2143.63 -1017.9
Cash from Investing Activity 1739.51 -5244.6
Cash from Financing Activity 358.91 6401.9
Net Cash Flow -45.22 139.4
PRICE:
DERIVED:
Adjusted Equity Shares in Cr 3.25 3.25 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04
DO NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES TO THIS SHEET
TESTING:
This is a testing feature currently.
You can report any formula errors on the worksheet at: [email protected]
… do ANYTHING.
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