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ARDL

The document presents the results of an ECM regression analysis with a focus on population growth rate variables. It includes coefficients, standard errors, t-statistics, and probabilities for various ARDL models, indicating significant relationships between the variables. The R-squared value suggests a strong fit of the model to the data.

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Avishakerai
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16 views3 pages

ARDL

The document presents the results of an ECM regression analysis with a focus on population growth rate variables. It includes coefficients, standard errors, t-statistics, and probabilities for various ARDL models, indicating significant relationships between the variables. The R-squared value suggests a strong fit of the model to the data.

Uploaded by

Avishakerai
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Akaike Information Criteria

4.6

4.5

4.4

4.3

4.2

4.1

4.0

3.9
ARDL(1, 3)
ARDL(2, 3)
ARDL(1, 4)
ARDL(3, 3)
ARDL(2, 4)
ARDL(4, 3)
ARDL(3, 4)
ARDL(4, 4)
ARDL(2, 2)
ARDL(1, 2)
ARDL(2, 1)
ARDL(1, 0)
ARDL(3, 2)
ARDL(2, 0)
ARDL(1, 1)
ARDL(3, 1)
ARDL(4, 2)
ARDL(3, 0)
ARDL(4, 1)
ARDL(4, 0)
ECM Regression
Case 2: Restricted Constant and No Trend

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

D(POP_GROWTH_RATE) 7.045051 1.842254 3.824148 0.0009


D(POP_GROWTH_RAT... -12.35134 3.021938 -4.087223 0.0005
D(POP_GROWTH_RAT... 8.564945 2.175586 3.936846 0.0007
CointEq(-1)* -1.387958 0.181769 -7.635852 0.0000

R-squared 0.735441 Mean dependent var 0.146071


Adjusted R-squared 0.702371 S.D. dependent var 2.783473
ECM Regression
Case 2: Restricted Constant and No Trend

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

D(POP_GROWTH_RATE) 7.045051 1.842254 3.824148 0.0009


D(POP_GROWTH_RAT... -12.35134 3.021938 -4.087223 0.0005
D(POP_GROWTH_RAT... 8.564945 2.175586 3.936846 0.0007
CointEq(-1)* -1.387958 0.181769 -7.635852 0.0000
ARDL(4, 2)
ARDL(3, 0)
ARDL(4, 1)
ARDL(4, 0)

on
t and No Trend

d. Error t-Statistic Prob.

842254 3.824148 0.0009


021938 -4.087223 0.0005
175586 3.936846 0.0007
181769 -7.635852 0.0000

n dependent var 0.146071


dependent var 2.783473
istic Prob.

148 0.0009
223 0.0005
846 0.0007
852 0.0000

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