EconP2 M25
EconP2 M25
Markscheme
May 2025
Economics
Paper 2
29 pages
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1. (a) (i) Define the term inflation indicated in bold in the text (Text A, paragraph 3). [2]
Level Marks
0 The work does not meet a standard described by the 0
descriptors below.
1 Vague definition 1
The idea that it is an increase in prices
2 Accurate definition 2
An understanding that it is a sustained/persistent/continuous
increase in the (average/general) price level
(ii) Define the term foreign aid indicated in bold in the text (Text B, paragraph 2). [2]
Level Marks
0 The work does not meet a standard described by the descriptors below. 0
1 Vague definition 1
The idea that it is assistance from overseas or giving money to poor
countries/countries in need.
2 Accurate definition 2
An understanding that it flows from other countries/multilateral agencies to
developing countries/ELDCs/countries in need
AND
that it is a concessional transfer of resources
OR
it consists of any two from the following:
• grants
• low-interest/soft loans
• technical support
• humanitarian assistance
• development support
• debt relief.
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(b) (i) Using information from Table 1, calculate the price elasticity of supply for
tea when the price changes from 324 KES per kilogram (kg) in 2021 to
340 KES per kg in 2022. [2]
1100 324
16
× 3700
OR
1100
3700
× 100 = 29.73
or 0.2973
16
324
× 100 = 4.94
or 0.0494
OR
29.73
4.94
Any valid working (correct percentage change for Qd or P, provided the formula is not
inverted) is sufficient for [1].
= 6.02 [1]
For full marks to be awarded, the response must provide valid working
(ii) Using information from Table 1, calculate the total revenue earned by tea
growers in Kenya in 2022 in millions of KES. [1]
An answer of 1.63 trillion or 1632 billion or 1 632 000 000 000 without working or
units is sufficient for [1]. Scientific notation is accepted e.g. 1.63 x 10¹²
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(iii) Sketch a demand and supply diagram to indicate how droughts caused the
price of food to rise in Kenya (Text A, paragraphs 2 and 3). [2]
Level Marks
0 The work does not meet a standard described by the 0
descriptors below.
1 There is a correct demand and supply diagram showing the 1
supply curve shifting left BUT incorrect labelling.
2 For sketching a correctly labelled demand and supply diagram 2
showing the supply curve shifting left and the equilibrium price
rising.
The vertical axis may be price or P. The horizontal axis may be quantity or Q.
A title is not necessary.
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(c) Using an international trade diagram, explain how the quantity demanded of rice in
Kenya will change if the tariff on imports of rice is reduced (Text A, paragraph 2). [4]
Level Marks
0 The work does not meet a standard described by the 0
descriptors below.
1 There is a correct diagram OR an accurate written response. 1–2
For a correctly labelled international trade diagram, showing
the Sw + tariff line moving down and an increase in the
quantity demanded OR for an explanation that the reduction of
the tariff on rice will lower its price causing an increase in the
(quantity) demand(ed).
2 There is a correct diagram AND an accurate written response. 3–4
For a correctly labelled international trade diagram, showing
the Sw + tariff line moving down and an increase in the
quantity demanded AND for an explanation that the reduction
of the tariff on rice will lower its price causing an increase in
the (quantity) demand(ed).
The use of P and Q on the axes is sufficient for an international trade diagram.
The world price line may be labelled as S(World), Sw, Pworld, or any similar label
indicating the horizontal line is the world price/supply, either on the y-axis or the end
of the line. Domestic can be omitted on the other curves. The increase in the quantity
demanded of rice can be shown in different ways. A title is not necessary.
–7– 2225 – 5206M
Alternatively, the diagram may have three horizontal price/supply lines to show the
effect of the tariff, a reduced tariff, and no tariff. If the explanation is valid, this can be
fully rewarded.
(d) Using an exchange rate diagram, explain how a contractionary monetary policy could
prevent the depreciation of the Kenyan currency (KES) (Text A, paragraph 3). [4]
Level Marks
0 The work does not meet a standard described by the 0
descriptors below.
1 There is a correct diagram OR an accurate written response. 1–2
For a correctly labelled exchange rate diagram showing demand
shifting right and the exchange rate increasing
OR
for an explanation that a contractionary monetary policy means
higher interest rates, which cause inward portfolio/financial
investment/increased foreigners' saving in Kenyan banks and,
therefore, more demand for/purchase of KES, leading to a rise
in the exchange rate/appreciation.
2 There is a correct diagram AND an accurate written response. 3–4
For a correctly labelled exchange rate diagram, showing
demand shifting right and the exchange rate increasing
AND
for an explanation that a contractionary monetary policy means
higher interest rates which cause inward portfolio/financial
investment/increased foreigners’ saving in Kenyan banks and
therefore more demand for/purchase of KES, leading to a rise in
the exchange rate/appreciation.
Alternatively, the supply curve may be shown shifting left, as there is less
outward portfolio investment/lower imports (purchased with borrowed funds). If
correctly explained, this can be fully rewarded. (VAM)
The diagram may also show the supply curve shifting right (or the demand curve
shifting left) to cause the depreciation, which is countered by the demand curve
shifting right. If properly explained, this approach can be fully rewarded.
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(e) Using an AD/AS diagram, explain the likely effect of the improvement in the level
of education on Kenya’s full employment level of output (potential output) (Text B,
paragraph 2). [4]
Level Marks
0 The work does not meet a standard described by the 0
descriptors below.
1 There is a correct diagram OR an accurate written response. 1–2
For a correctly labelled AD/AS diagram with LRAS (no AD or
SRAS required) shifting to the right and an increase in full
employment (potential) level of output
OR
for an explanation that increased education would lead to an
increase in efficiency/productivity and/or increase in the
quantity/quality of labour/human capital/resources/factors of
production. This would lead to an increase in full employment
level of output/potential output.
2 There is a correct diagram AND an accurate written response. 3–4
For a correctly labelled AD/AS diagram with LRAS (no AD or
SRAS required) shifting to the right and an increase in full
employment (potential) level of output
AND
for an explanation that increased education would lead to an
increase in efficiency/productivity and/or increase in the
quantity/quality of labour/human capital/resources/factors of
production. This would lead to an increase in full employment
level of output/potential output.
For an AD/AS diagram, the vertical axis may be Average (General) Price Level or
Price Level or CPI. The horizontal axis may be real output, real national output, real
income, real national income, real GDP or real Y. All abbreviations are acceptable.
A Keynesian AS is acceptable. A title is not necessary.
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(f) Using a Lorenz curve diagram, explain what happened to the distribution of income in
Kenya between 2015 and 2022 (Table 3). [4]
Level Marks
0 The work does not meet a standard described by the 0
descriptors below.
1 There is a correct diagram OR an accurate written response. 1–2
For a correctly labelled Lorenz curve diagram showing two
curves with the curve for 2022 being closer to the line of
(perfect/absolute) equality than the curve for 2015
OR
an explanation that a lower Gini coefficient implies that the
distribution of income became more equal.
2 There is a correct diagram AND an accurate written response. 3–4
For a correctly labelled Lorenz curve diagram showing two
curves with the curve for 2022 being closer to the line of
(perfect/absolute) equality than the curve for 2015
AND
an explanation that a lower Gini coefficient implies that the
distribution of income became more equal.
For the vertical axis, the label may be cumulative percentage of income or
percentage (%) of income (GDP and GNI are valid alternatives to income but
wealth is not acceptable). For the horizontal axis, the label may be cumulative
percentage of population/households or percentage of population/households. All
abbreviations are acceptable. The diagonal line need not be labelled. A title is
not necessary.
(g) Using information from the text/data and your knowledge of economics, discuss the
likely impact of high economic growth on environmental sustainability in Kenya. [15]
0 • The work does not meet a standard described by the descriptors below.
1–3 • The response indicates little understanding of the specific demands of the question.
• Economic theory is stated but it is not relevant.
• Economic terms are stated but they are not relevant or are used incorrectly.
• The response contains no evidence of synthesis or evaluation.
• The response contains no use of text/data or it is merely copied.
4–6 • The response indicates some understanding of the specific demands of the question.
• Relevant economic theory is described.
• Some relevant economic terms are included.
• The response contains evidence of relevant but superficial synthesis or evaluation.
• The response contains limited use of text/data.
7–9 • The response indicates understanding of the specific demands of the question, but
these demands are only partially addressed.
• Relevant economic theory is partly explained.
• Some relevant economic terms are used appropriately.
• Where appropriate, relevant diagram(s) are included.
• The response contains evidence of appropriate synthesis or evaluation but lacks
balance.
• The response includes some relevant information from the text/data.
10–12 • The specific demands of the question are understood and addressed.
• Relevant economic theory is explained.
• Relevant economic terms are used appropriately.
• Where appropriate, relevant diagram(s) are included and explained.
• The response contains evidence of appropriate synthesis or evaluation that is mostly
balanced.
• The use of information from the text/data is generally appropriate, relevant, and
applied correctly.
13–15 • The specific demands of the question are thoroughly understood and addressed.
• Relevant economic theory is fully explained.
• Relevant economic terms are used appropriately throughout the response.
• Where appropriate, relevant diagram(s) are included and fully explained.
• The response contains evidence of effective and balanced synthesis or evaluation.
• The use of information from the text/data is appropriate, relevant, and is used to
formulate a reasoned argument supported by analysis/evaluation.
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Command term
“Discuss” requires candidates to offer a considered and balanced review that includes
a range of arguments, factors or hypotheses. Opinions or conclusions should be
presented clearly and supported by appropriate evidence.
N.B. It should be noted that diagrams that have already been given in answers to parts
(b), (c), (d), (e) or (f), and then referred to in part (g), should be rewarded.
High economic growth High economic growth High economic growth may
improves sustainability damages sustainability not impact sustainability
• Growth in the secondary • Low productivity and Students may discuss that
economic growth may have
and tertiary sectors, which limited access to
little or no impact because of
may damage the technology in agriculture, policies/practices in place to
environment less than if neglected may lead to protect sustainability
agriculture (Text A, unsustainable practices or including:
paragraph 1) external costs of • Use of renewable
• Employment increasing production resources (Text C –
due to economic growth (Text B, paragraph 1). paragraph 1)
may increase education • Ability to obtain finance and
technology for climate-
which may lead to more related projects (Text C,
understanding about paragraph 4)
environmental • Revenue from tradeable
sustainability (Text A, permits (Text C, para 2)
paragraph 1) or • Reforestation programmes
• More employment could (Text C, paragraph 2)
lead to higher levels of • World Bank programme
aimed at green energy
income and allow for
(Text A, paragraph 4)
more environmentally • Use of carbon taxes as
sustainable living (Text A, suggested by IMF (Text C,
paragraph 1). paragraph 1)
– 14 – 2225 – 5206M
Examiners should be aware that candidates may take a different approach which,
if appropriate, should be rewarded.
– 16 – 2225 – 5206M
2. (a) (i) Define the term economic growth indicated in bold in the text (Text D,
paragraph 2). [2]
Level Marks
0 The work does not meet a standard described by the 0
descriptors below.
1 Vague definition 1
The idea that output of a country increases.
2 Accurate definition 2
An increase in (an economy’s) real GDP/total real output
(over time).
(ii) Define the term resources indicated in bold in the text (Text D, paragraph 3). [2]
Level Marks
0 The work does not meet a standard described by the 0
descriptors below.
1 Vague definition 1
The idea they are factors of production/inputs
OR
Goods/raw materials needed to produce/manufacture.
2 Accurate definition 2
Factors of production/inputs required/used to produce goods
(and services)/output
OR
The idea that they are factors of production/inputs AND one
example, such as land, labour, capital, entrepreneurship.
(b) (i) Using information from Table 4, calculate Bhutan’s real gross domestic product
(GDP) in USD in 2021. [2]
= 910 232 974.91 or 910 232 975 or 910.23 million or 9.1 x 108 [1]
Any valid working is sufficient for [1] (e.g. if x100 has been neglected).
For full marks to be awarded, the response must provide valid working and
include correct units where necessary.
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(ii) Using information from Table 4, calculate Bhutan’s nominal GDP per capita in
USD in 2021. [1]
= 3245.62
(iii) Using information from Table 4, calculate the change in Bhutan’s nominal gross
national income (GNI) in USD between 2008 and 2021. [2]
Any valid working (either value for 2021 or 2008) is sufficient for [1]
An answer of 1190.12 million without any valid working is sufficient for [1]
For full marks to be awarded, the response must provide valid working.
– 18 – 2225 – 5206M
(c) Using an AD/AS diagram, explain the likely effect on Bhutan’s real GDP of a large
increase in sales of electricity, produced in Bhutan, to India (Text D, paragraph 4). [4]
Level Marks
0 The work does not meet a standard described by the 0
descriptors below.
1 There is a correct diagram OR an accurate written response. 1–2
For a correctly labelled AD/AS diagram, with AD shifting to the
right with an increase in real GDP
OR
for an explanation that increased sales of electricity to India
would raise exports/X/X-M/government spending, causing
AD/expenditure to increase and a higher real GDP.
2 There is a correct diagram AND an accurate written response. 3–4
For a correctly labelled AD/AS diagram, with AD shifting to the
right with an increase in real GDP
AND
for an explanation that increased sales of electricity to India
would raise exports/X/X-M/government spending, causing
AD/expenditure to increase and a higher real GDP.
Candidates who label diagrams incorrectly can be awarded a maximum of [3]. For
AD/AS, the vertical axis may be Average (General) Price Level, CPI, or Price Level.
The horizontal axis may be real output, real national output, real income, real national
income, real GDP or real Y. A Keynesian AS is permissible. Abbreviations are
acceptable. A title is not necessary.
– 19 – 2225 – 5206M
(d) Using a demand and supply diagram, explain the likely effect of improved road
networks on the price of rice that is sold in Bhutan’s towns (Text D, paragraph 7). [4]
Level Marks
0 The work does not meet a standard described by the 0
descriptors below.
1 There is a correct diagram OR an accurate written response. 1–2
For a correctly labelled demand and supply diagram, showing
an increase in supply and fall in price
OR
for an explanation that an improvement in road networks will
cause one of the following:
• Reduction in costs
• Increase in productivity/efficiency
Thus, increasing supply/production and reducing the price (of
rice).
2 There is a correct diagram AND an accurate written response. 3–4
For a correctly labelled demand and supply diagram, showing
an increase in supply and fall in price
AND
for an explanation that an improvement in road networks will
cause one of the following:
• Reduction in costs
• Increase in productivity/efficiency
Thus, increasing supply/production and reducing the price (of
rice).
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(e) Using an exchange rate diagram, explain how the central bank of Bhutan could
maintain its fixed exchange rate during a period of falling demand from India for
metals and cement produced in Bhutan (Text F). [4]
Level Marks
0 The work does not meet a standard described by the 0
descriptors below.
1 There is a correct diagram OR an accurate written response. 1–2
For a correctly labelled exchange rate diagram, showing
demand shifting right and either:
• the exchange rate increasing
• the exchange rate being maintain/returned to its original
value
N.B. Candidates need not draw the decrease in demand
resulting from the decrease in demand for Bhutan’s metals
and cements.
OR
for an explanation that the central bank could (one of the
following):
• sell foreign currencies/assets/reserves
• purchase ngultrums
• increase the interest rate
to prevent the depreciation/put upward pressure on the
exchange rate.
2 There is a correct diagram AND an accurate written response. 3–4
For a correctly labelled exchange rate diagram, showing
demand shifting right and either:
• the exchange rate increasing
• the exchange rate being maintain/returned to its original
value
N.B. Candidates need not draw the decrease in demand
resulting from the decrease in demand for Bhutan’s metals
and cements.
AND
for an explanation that the central bank could (one of the
following):
• sell foreign currencies/assets/reserves
• purchase ngultrums
• increase the interest rate
to prevent the depreciation/put upward pressure on the
exchange rate.
– 22 – 2225 – 5206M
Alternatively, the diagram could show a shift left in the supply curve because the
central bank could decrease supply of the BTN by using forex restrictions or
restrictions on financial capital outflows. If correctly drawn and explained, this can
be fully rewarded. (VAM)
– 23 – 2225 – 5206M
Level Marks
0 The work does not meet a standard described by the 0
descriptors below.
1 There is a correct diagram OR an accurate written response. 1–2
Award [2] for a correctly labelled positive externality of
consumption diagram with a shift in supply/MPC or
demand/MPB, the social optimal output
Either
• For an explanation (for a supply curve shift), that
government provision/investment increases number of
education institutions/supply
or
• For an explanation (for a demand curve shift), that
government investment can involve measures that
encourage more participation in education
Candidates who label diagrams incorrectly can be awarded a maximum of [3]. The
vertical axis may be labelled Price, P, Costs or Benefits. The horizontal axis may
be labelled Quantity or Q. A title is not necessary. If a candidate interprets “could
achieve allocative efficiency” as “an improvement in allocative efficiency”, both the
optimal output AND the new output must be shown.
(g) Using information from the text/data and your knowledge of economics, evaluate
the strengths and limitations of Bhutan’s economic development strategy. [15]
0 • The work does not meet a standard described by the descriptors below.
1–3 • The response indicates little understanding of the specific demands of the question.
• Economic theory is stated but it is not relevant.
• Economic terms are stated but they are not relevant or are used incorrectly.
• The response contains no evidence of synthesis or evaluation.
• The response contains no use of text/data or it is merely copied.
4–6 • The response indicates some understanding of the specific demands of the question.
• Relevant economic theory is described.
• Some relevant economic terms are included.
• The response contains evidence of relevant but superficial synthesis or evaluation.
• The response contains limited use of text/data.
7–9 • The response indicates understanding of the specific demands of the question, but
these demands are only partially addressed.
• Relevant economic theory is partly explained.
• Some relevant economic terms are used appropriately.
• Where appropriate, relevant diagram(s) are included.
• The response contains evidence of appropriate synthesis or evaluation but lacks
balance.
• The response includes some relevant information from the text/data.
10–12 • The specific demands of the question are understood and addressed.
• Relevant economic theory is explained.
• Relevant economic terms are used appropriately.
• Where appropriate, relevant diagram(s) are included and explained.
• The response contains evidence of appropriate synthesis or evaluation that is mostly
balanced.
• The use of information from the text/data is generally appropriate, relevant, and
applied correctly.
13–15 • The specific demands of the question are thoroughly understood and addressed.
• Relevant economic theory is fully explained.
• Relevant economic terms are used appropriately throughout the response.
• Where appropriate, relevant diagram(s) are included and fully explained.
• The response contains evidence of effective and balanced synthesis or evaluation.
• The use of information from the text/data is appropriate, relevant, and is used to
formulate a reasoned argument supported by analysis/evaluation.
Command term
“Evaluate” requires candidates to make an appraisal by weighing up the
strengths and limitations. Opinions and conclusions should be presented clearly
and supported with appropriate evidence and sound argument.
– 27 – 2225 – 5206M
N.B. diagrams that have already been given in answers to parts (c), (d), (e) or (f),
and then referred to in part (g), should be rewarded.
• Helps to finance
government spending
Utilising foreign aid by Fills the savings gap (in the • loans taken from India
accepting grants and loans poverty cycle), allowing for need to be repaid with
from India (Text D, increased investment interest
paragraph 3). spending by government. • implications for the BOP
current account (Table 4).
State control of production Ensures access to electricity Public control may reduce
and distribution of electricity in vulnerable communities efficiency and lead to
(Text D, paragraph 3). (Text D, paragraphs 2&3). financial losses (Text D,
paragraph 3).
Investment in healthcare and • Adds to human capital • Opportunity cost of
education (Text D, paragraph and therefore government spending
3). productivity/potential • Lack of job opportunities
output and lack of access to
• Provision of education finance for
may help reduce the high entrepreneurship still exist
youth unemployment, (Text E, paragraph 2)
especially for women • Progress on gender
(Text E, paragraph 1) equality (Text D,
• Better healthcare leads to paragraph 1) is
increase in life expectancy questionable, given the
(Table 5). high rate of female youth
unemployment, (Text E)
• Will place burdens on
healthcare sector as
population ages.
externalities, resulting in a
conflict with GNH aims.
Examiners should be aware that candidates may take a different approach which,
if appropriate, should be rewarded.