2/8/2017 Six Sigma ­ ­ Unit 4 ­ Week 3

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Unit 4 ­ Week 3

Course
outline Week 3: Assignment
Due date for this assignment: 2017­02­15, 23:59 IST.
How to access I. Total No. of Questions: 25. Each question carries one point.
the portal II. All questions are objective type. Only one answer is correct per numbered item.

Week 1 1.1) What is the probability that a person scored A if he/she is a Female? 1 point
Use the following data.
Week 2 Scored A Scored < A
Male 45 70
Week 3
Female 80 55
Lecture 7:
Review of
Probability a) 0.59
and Statistics
­ III
b) 0.18
Lecture 8:
Review of
Probability c) 0.64
and Statistics
­ IV

Quiz : Week d) 0.11

3:
2) Which statement is correct regarding conditional probability between 1 point
Assignment
two events (say A and B)?
a) Probability of event A is happening and probability of event B is
happening
b) Probability of event A is happening or probability of event B is
happening
c) Probability of event A is happening that event B has happened
d) Probability of event A is happening when event B is not happening
3) What is the condition for mutually exclusive events? 1 point

a)P (A ∪ B) = P (A) + P (B) − P (A ∩ B)

b)P (A ∪ B) = P (A) + P (B)

c)P (A). P (B) = P (A ∩ B)

d)P (A ∪ B) = P (A) − P (B)

In a drug test the following

https://onlinecourses.nptel.ac.in/noc17_mg08/unit?unit=16&assessment=33 data is given. Event A is that a patient is a 1/6
2/8/2017 Six Sigma ­ ­ Unit 4 ­ Week 3

4) Ina drug test the following data is given. Event A is that a patient is a 1 point
Women and Event B is that the drug is failed. Which of the following statement is
true?
Joint Women Men
Success 400 2000
Failure 2000 400
a) Event A is independent of Event B
b) Event A is not independent of Event B
c) Event A and B are mutually exclusive events
d) Event A and B are not mutually exclusive events
5) A medical test kit is used to check cancer which is faulty in a hospital. If 1 point
the test is positive it is not always true that the person has cancer. 94% chances are
that the test is positive and the person has cancer. 5% chances are the test is
positive and the person is healthy. We know that cancer is rare and in the general
population of New Delhi probability of cancer is 0.1%. If a person is randomly
selected and his test is positive what is the chance that he has really cancer?
a) 0.0175
b) 0.0165
c) 0.0195
d) 0.0185
6) In
a drug test the following data is given. What is the probability that the1 point
person is a Men and the test is success?
Joint Women Men
Success 800 1200
Failure 1200 800
a) 0.50
b) 0.20
c) 0.30
d) 0.40
7) Events A and B are independent 1 point

a) If and only if P(A|B) = P(A)

b) If and only if P(A|B) =(P (A ∩ B))/(P (B))

c) If and only if P(A|B) =(P (A ∩ B))/(P (A))

d) If and only if P(A|B) = (P (A ∪ B))/(P (A))

8) If two events are independent then which of the following holds good? 1 point

a) P (A ∩ B) = P (A ∪ B) − P (A) + P (B)

b) P (A ∩ B) = P (A ∪ B) − P (A) − P (B)

c) P (A ∩ B) = P (A) × P (B)

d) P (A ∩ B) = P (A) + P (B)

A coin is tossed twice.

https://onlinecourses.nptel.ac.in/noc17_mg08/unit?unit=16&assessment=33 In event A there are two heads as outcome. In 2/6
2/8/2017 Six Sigma ­ ­ Unit 4 ­ Week 3

9) Acoin is tossed twice. In event A there are two heads as outcome. In 1 point
event B there are one head and one tail and tail and head as outcome. What is the
probability that the both events happened jointly?
a) 0.00
b) 0.25
c) 0.50
d) 1.00
10)If
a coin is tossed three times then what is the probability that you 1 point
observe exactly one head?
a) 0.125
b) 0.250
c) 0.875
d) 0.375
11)Forthree events A, B, and C, we know that A and C are independent, B 1 point
and C are independent, A and B are disjoint.P (A ∪ B) = 2/3 ,
P (B ∪ C ) = 3/4, P (A ∪ B ∪ C ) = 11/12 . What is probability of event B?

a) 2/3

b) 1/2

c) 1/3

d) 1/4

12)You toss a coin repeatedly until you observe the first tails at which point 1 point
you stop. Let X be the total number of coin tosses. Find P(X=5).

a) 1/8

b) 1/16

c) 1/32

d) 1/64

13)What is the probability that people will bring umbrella when they see 1 point
that grass is wet based on Bayes’ rule? Probability that it rained is 80%. Use the
following data.
P(W|R) R ­R
W 0.7 0.4
­W 0.3 0.6

a) 0.953 P(U|R) R ­R
b) 0.875 U 0.9 0.2
c) 0.792 ­U 0.1 0.8
d) 0.548
14)Let’s consider in a pot there are R red balls and B black balls and total 1 point
balls is N. A sample of n, which is consisting of b black balls and r red balls, is
taken out from the pot. What
https://onlinecourses.nptel.ac.in/noc17_mg08/unit?unit=16&assessment=33 is the probability that there being b black balls in the 3/6
2/8/2017 Six Sigma ­ ­ Unit 4 ­ Week 3

taken out from the pot. What is the probability that there being b black balls in the
sample of n?

a) │ ¦ ¦
P (b n) = (B b)((N − R) (n − b))/((N n)) ¦

b) │ ¦ ¦
P (b n) = (B b)((N − B) (n − r))/((N n)) ¦

c) │ ¦ ¦
P (b n) = (B b)((N − R) (n − r))/((N n)) ¦

d) │ ¦ ¦
P (b n) = (B b)((N − B) (n − b))/((N n)) ¦

15)Coefficient of variation is 1 point

a) σ/ µ

b) µ/σ
c) σ×µ
d) µ+σ

16)A large group of students took a test in Physics and the final grades have1 point
a mean of 70 and a standard deviation of 10. If we can approximate the
distribution of these grades by a normal distribution, what percent of the students
scored higher than 80?
a) 16.95%
b) 15.87%
c) 17.69%
d) 14.58%
17)The distribution of sample average approaches the normal distribution is 1 point
a) The Central Limit Theorem
b) Bayes’ Rule
c) The Poisson’s Theorem
d) Normal Distribution Rule

18)Let’s consider a situation in which a sample size is given and mean is 1 point
given. Variance and standard deviation are unknown. Instead of variance sample
standard deviation (s) is known with degrees of freedom. Which distribution suits
the situation?
a) Normal Distribution
b) Beta Distribution
c) T­Distribution
d) ϒ­Distribution

19)In a hospital seventy percent of patients are dying of a disease. If on a 1 point

certain day eight patients got admitted in the hospital for that disease what are the
chances of five to survive?
a) 0.051
b) 0.042
c) 0.039
d) 0.047

What is the basic difference

https://onlinecourses.nptel.ac.in/noc17_mg08/unit?unit=16&assessment=33 between binomial distribution and poisons 4/6
2/8/2017 Six Sigma ­ ­ Unit 4 ­ Week 3

20)What is the basic difference between binomial distribution and poisons 1 point
distribution?
a) In Poisson’s distribution you need the size of the sample
b) In Binomial distribution you need the size of the sample
c) In Poisson’s distribution you need variance
d) In Binomial distribution you need variance

21)The number of calls coming per minute into a hotels reservation centre 1 point
is Poisson random variable with mean 5. What is the probability that no calls
come in a given 1 minute period? Assume that the number of calls arriving in two
different minutes is independent. What will be the probability that at least two
calls will arrive in a given two minute period?

a) e
(
− 2) ,0.9995

b) e
(
− 5) ,0.9995

c) e
(
− 5) ,0.9922

d) e
(
− 2) ,0.9922

22)Which formula gives the probability in Normal distribution 1 point

〖(X − μ)〗
2
a) P (X) = 1/√(2πσ ) × exp−
2 2
/(2σ )

〖(X − σ)〗
2
b) P (X) = 1/√(2πσ ) × exp−
2 2
/(2μ )

〖(X − μ)〗
2
c) P (X) = 1/√(2πμ ) × exp−
2 2
/(2σ )

〖(X − σ)〗
2
d) P (X) = 1/√(2πμ ) × exp−
2 2
/(2μ )

23)While examining a Normal Distribution curve 99.73% of the data falls 1 point
between
a) –s to s
b) ­2s to 2s
c) ­3s to 3s
d) ­1.5s to 1.5 s

24)Which distribution is used in Market research? 1 point

a) Normal Distribution
b) Chi­square Distribution
c) T­Distribution
d) Weibull Distribution

25)LetX = the ultimate tensile strength (psi) at ­2000F of a type of steel 1 point
that exhibits ‘cold brittleness’ at low temperatures. Suppose X has a Weibull
distribution with parameters β= 30, and θ= 110. Find: (1) P(X≤ 107), (2) P(95≤ X
≤ 105).

a) 0.4545, 0.3820
b) 0.3535, 0.2038
c) 0.2038, 0.3535
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2/8/2017 Six Sigma ­ ­ Unit 4 ­ Week 3

d) 0.3820, 0.4545
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