CZX 133
CZX 133
doi: 10.1093/heapol/czx133
Advance Access Publication Date: 2 November 2017
Review
Abstract
We developed a conceptual framework exploring pathways between trade and investment and
noncommunicable disease (NCD) outcomes. Despite increased knowledge of the relevance of so-
cial and structural determinants of health, the discourse on NCD prevention has been dominated
by individualizing paradigms targeted at lifestyle interventions. We situate individual risk factors,
alongside key social determinants of health, as being conditioned and constrained by trade and in-
vestment policy, with the aim of creating a more comprehensive approach to investigations of the
health impacts of trade and investment agreements, and to encourage upstream approaches to
combating rising rates of NCDs. To develop the framework we employed causal chain analysis, a
technique which sequences the immediate causes, underlying causes, and root causes of an
outcome; and realist review, a type of literature review focussed on explaining the underlying
mechanisms connecting two events. The results explore how facilitating trade in goods can in-
crease flows of affordable unhealthy imports; while potentially altering revenues for public service
provision and reshaping domestic economies and labour markets—both of which distribute and re-
distribute resources for healthy lifestyles. The facilitation of cross-border trade in services and
investment can drive foreign investment in unhealthy commodities, which in turn, influences con-
sumption of these products; while altering accessibility to pharmaceuticals that may mediate NCDs
outcomes that result from increased consumption. Furthermore, trade and investment provisions
that influence the policy-making process, set international standards, and restrict policy-space,
may alter a state’s propensity for regulating unhealthy commodities and the efficacy of those regu-
lations. It is the hope that the development of this conceptual framework will encourage capacity
and inclination among a greater number of researchers to investigate a more comprehensive range
of potential health impacts of trade and investment agreements to generate an extensive and
robust evidence-base to guide future policy actions in this area.
C The Author 2017. Published by Oxford University Press in association with The London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine.
V
All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: [Link]@[Link] 123
124 Health Policy and Planning, 2018, Vol. 33, No. 1
Keywords: International trade and investment agreements, social determinants of health, lifestyle risk factors, noncommunicable
diseases
Key Messages
• This article develops a conceptual framework, supported by a realist review, of the relationships between trade and in-
vestment policy and NCDs to encourage capacity and inclination among a greater number of researchers to investigate
a more comprehensive range of potential health impacts of trade and investment agreements.
• The review and proposed conceptual framework explicates how provisions within trade and investment agreements
condition and constrain key behavioural risk factors and social determinants of health driving NCD rates.
• Robust empirical evidence on the causal pathways between trade and investment agreements and health outcomes is
Introduction This article aims to bring together the growing body of literature
connecting trade and investment policy to key lifestyle risk factors in
Noncommunicable disease (NCD) morbidity and mortality together
the WHO’s 444 NCD framework, specifically tobacco, alcohol
present one of the largest threats to social and economic develop-
and unhealthy dietary products [collectively referred to as health
ment in the 21st century (World Health Organization 2013).
harmful commodities (HHCs) throughout this article] to develop
Presently, NCDs are responsible for 38 million deaths annually,
the links between these health behaviours and structural-level poli-
42% of which occur prematurely (before age 70) (World Health
cies. In an attempt to begin constructing more detailed and compre-
Organization 2015). The World Health Organization (WHO) de-
hensive frameworks, we introduce exploratory pathways from trade
veloped what has become a near ubiquitous framing of NCDs in a
and investment to NCDs through access to medicines and select so-
444 framework: four key NCD outcomes (cardiovascular dis-
cial determinants of health (SDH). This study can assist academics,
eases, cancers, chronic respiratory diseases and diabetes); that are
civil society and policy-makers in thinking about an increasingly
caused by four key metabolic risk factors (hypertension, hypergly-
comprehensive range of pathways through which international trade
caemia, hyperlipidemia and overweight/obesity); which are in turn
and investment rules may be producing negative externalities for
driven by four key lifestyle risk factors (tobacco use, alcohol use, un-
health, and encourage future research to enhance the functionality
healthy diet and physical inactivity) (World Health Organization
of the framework introduced here. Moreover, it can help expand the
2015). Although the WHO has advocated more complex and com-
discourse on causal drivers of NCDs beyond individualizing para-
prehensive approaches to NCD outcomes and pathways in various
digms to a focus on upstream policies and health equity.
fora, this highly pervasive and individualizing framework, which
places the onus on individuals and their lifestyle choices (Roberto
et al. 2015), has played an important role in directing NCD policy Methodology
responses at behavioural determinants.
Increased knowledge of social and structural determinants of The conceptual framework was developed with the use of two meth-
health (Commission on Social Determinants of Health 2008) has ex- ods: (1) causal chain analysis, a technique which sequences immedi-
panded the breadth of policy areas that are investigated as drivers of ate causes, underlying causes, and root causes of an outcome
health outcomes, including macroeconomic policy areas such as (Global Environment Facility 2014); and (2) realist review, a litera-
trade and investment agreements. Upstream policy approaches such ture review focussed on explaining the underlying mechanisms con-
as these acknowledge that health behaviours, often framed as indi- necting two events and the context within which that connection
vidual choices, are in fact conditioned and constrained by the poli- occurs, used to assist in developing and validating the pathways of
cies that shape varying aspects of our lives such as our living the framework, and to identify gaps in the literature that connect
environments, educational opportunities, employment conditions, trade and NCD outcomes (Pawson et al. 2005).
distribution of resources and social norms. Although the public
health community has been actively engaging with trade and invest- Framework development—causal chain analysis
ment policy for more than a decade examining multiple pathways The initial draft of the conceptual framework was developed as a
between trade and public health (World Health Organization, composite of existing frameworks which have sequenced the rela-
World Trade Organization 2002), the literature still lacks a compre- tionships between trade (root cause) and health outcomes through a
hensive review of, and conceptual framework synthesizing, the path- set of underlying and immediate causes (Labonte 2004; Thow 2009;
ways between international trade and investment agreements and Friel et al. 2013a, b). As noted above, these frameworks were per-
health outcomes. Existing frameworks have either been very broad, ceived as either too broad or too limited in their subject scope to
such as those examining the larger processes of globalization on guide more comprehensive approaches to evaluating the relation-
health, at the expense of a detailed exploration of trade and invest- ships between trade and investment agreements and NCD outcomes.
ment provisions (Labonte 2004); or very specific, providing a The framework developed here focuses on trade and investment pol-
sophisticated exploration of the health impacts of trade and invest- icy as a driver of the key lifestyle risk factors in the WHO’s 444
ment agreements through one channel, such as food environments, framework on NCDs, specifically tobacco, alcohol and unhealthy
at the expense of a more inclusive suite of intervening factors (Thow diet. Physical inactivity was excluded from the present framework
2009; Legge et al. 2011; Friel et al. 2013b). as it has received relatively little attention in relation to trade and
Health Policy and Planning, 2018, Vol. 33, No. 1 125
investment provisions (see Figure 1), and would generally be im- The initial framework was generated by a core development
pacted in different ways than HHCs, which can be considered in ag- team of three experts in trade and health and was modelled on an
gregate. For example, while provisions regarding technical barriers existing framework mapping the pathways between trade libera-
to trade or regulatory coherence would be important for regulatory lization and nutrition transition (Thow 2009). This was then aug-
responses, such as labelling or advertizing restrictions, to increasing mented with novel constructs present in the remaining existing
volumes of HHCs, facilitated by lower tariff rates; physical inactiv- frameworks (Labonte 2004; Friel et al. 2013a, b), and expanded to
ity lacks a direct relationship with tariff rates or compensatory regu- capture tobacco and alcohol, access to medicines and the selected
latory responses. The complex indirect relationships between trade SDH. The first draft of the framework was then distributed for feed-
and investment agreements and barriers or opportunities for back to the remaining four members of a larger research project
increased physical inactivity should be explored in future studies team and subsequently revised. The revised framework was next cir-
and incorporated into future revisions of this framework. culated to a five member expert advisory panel. Members of the pro-
To enhance the comprehensiveness of this framework, access to ject team and the advisory panel were selected based on expertise in
medicines was included on the rationale that pharmaceuticals play health policy, trade policy, law and political science from academia
an important role in attenuating NCD outcomes by preventing the and civil society; as well as involvement in the development of the
development of metabolic risk factors or limiting their ensuing previous frameworks. Two iterations of this process were completed
health effects after increased exposure to HHCs; and that access to before the framework was finalized.
medicines has been a key area of study in the literature on trade and
health. In addition, we integrated potential impacts of trade and in-
vestment agreements on select SDH—income, employment and Framework development—realist review
health and social services. We theorized that trade and investment The search strategy for the realist review included multiple combin-
provisions would present several avenues to affect change in these ations of search term sets (see Table 1) using three multidisciplinary
identified domains, which could each have direct and indirect im- databases: Web of Knowledge, Proquest and Scopus. Articles were
pacts on HHC consumption and NCD outcomes. For example, the restricted to the timeframe between January 2000 and June 2014 to
level of disposable household income—theoretically impacted by cover the vast majority of the period of expansion of contemporary
trade and investment liberalization, including through altered em- trade and investment agreements (World Trade Organization), while
ployment opportunities—may determine monetary resources avail- maintaining feasibility of the review. Search terms within the eco-
able for the purchase of HHCs; while new employment conditions nomic issues subset were intended to capture the selected SDH;
may trigger changes in levels of stress and subsequent consumption however, to restrict the vast coverage of trade and economic issues
of HHCs as a coping mechanism. Negative health outcomes of ele- in the literature, we paired economic terms with health and risk fac-
vated HHC consumption can be mediated by access to health ser- tor search terms to keep the results within scope and relevant to our
vices—either through government provided services, employer review. Thus, the terms from trade and economic issues in Table 1
provided health insurance or disposable income for out-of-pocket were always paired with either food supply, tobacco, alcohol, access
payments—all of which are possibly influenced by trade and invest- to medicines or health. Searches combining terms from trade, trade
ment provisions. This example demonstrates that SDH have the cap- and health policy issues and policy were included to cover topics ap-
acity to influence health behaviours, and mediate health outcomes, plicable to all HHCs. The initial search results returned 24 343 art-
through a number of complex interactions. The current framework icles. Inclusion criteria required articles to be within the timeframe,
attempts to integrate some of this complexity but will benefit from published in English, and to connect trade and investment to any
ongoing development in this area. one or more of the following areas: diet, tobacco, alcohol, access to
126 Health Policy and Planning, 2018, Vol. 33, No. 1
Concept Terms
Multilateral International trade and/or investment agreement between Trade-Related Aspects of Intellectual
all members of an organization (generally referring to the Property Rights (TRIPS)
agreements of the World Trade Organization)
Plurilateral International trade and/or investment agreement between a Agreement on Government Procurement
subset of members of an organization (generally referring (AGP)
to the agreements of the World Trade Organization)
Regional International trade and/or investment agreement between Trans–Pacific Partnership (TPP)
two or more countries connected by a geographical
region
Bilateral International trade and/or investment agreement between U.S.–Korea Free Trade Agreement
any two countries (KORUS)
Unilateral Domestic trade and investment policy of a single country The Philippines’ Foreign Investments Act
of 1991
medicines or NCDs directly. In order to capitalize on available evi- choose, design, and implement public policies to fulfil their aims”
dence, the realist review included all forms of trade and investment (Koivusalo et al. 2009). Within the discussion of each of the three
liberalization (see Table 2). main pathways (i.e. goods, services and investment and policy
A round of eliminations by title and then by abstract based on space), the text opens with a general introduction to the relevant
the inclusion criteria reduced the results to 6493 articles and 191 trade and investment provisions before turning to a more in depth
articles, respectively. The 191 articles were then reviewed and coded exploration of the pathways between trade and NCDs through
by two team members using NVivo 10 software for validation or re- HHCs and the social determinants of heath, based on the reviewed
finement of the framework pathways. Coding began deductively evidence.
using a line-by-line technique based on the hypothesized pathways
from the initial framework. Inductive coding was also incorporated
when new relationships within the framework became evident from Framework structure
the reviewed articles. After this first phase of coding was completed, It is important to acknowledge at the outset that the influence of
targeted searches within the Google Scholar database, without time- trade and investment liberalization on health can be mediated by a
frames, were performed to explore evidence for pathways that had country’s health system’s capacity to respond to these challenges,
emerged during the iterative development of the framework, and for existing levels of systemic inequities within and between countries,
pathways where little or no evidence had turned up from the initial and economic and social policies enacted at national and interna-
search strategy, which resulted in 46 additional articles in the realist tional levels (e.g. tax systems, social welfare policy, structural ad-
review. justment programmes). The framework has been designed with
neutral language to permit either positive or negative health out-
comes depending on the domestic context within which the causal
Results chain occurs, although at present the content focuses disproportion-
This section begins by outlining the structure and key principles of ately on health risks rather than health opportunities given the focus
the framework. It then provides an overview of the changes to the on the WHO 444 framework exploring risk factors. In addition,
underlying and immediate causes of NCDs as a consequence of the in contrast to systems thinking which focuses on a dynamic and
facilitation of: (1) trade in goods; (2) services and investment; and complex interacting system, causal chain analysis examines cause
(3) changes to domestic policy space. Policy space is defined here as, and effect using a linear approach (Global Environment Facility
“. . . the freedom, scope, and mechanisms that governments have to 2014). Nevertheless, it is recognized that the proposed causal chains
Health Policy and Planning, 2018, Vol. 33, No. 1 127
are a part of a larger policy system and that the processes and out- Partnership (TPP) agreement, and existing frameworks within the
comes of each stage have the potential to feedback into earlier proc- literature, as noted earlier.
esses creating loops and interactions throughout the framework.
of a particular community or country. The pathways between trade volume and diversity of products; and the quality of traded goods.
and investment provisions and NCD morbidity and mortality are Tariff reductions often mean a reduction in the cost of imported
divided into impacts through HHCs and access to medicines, and goods (Thow and Hawkes 2009; Zeigler 2009; Pouliot and Larue
impacts through the selected SDH. 2012). The health implications of this will vary based on whether
the increased volumes reflect health-harmful or health-promoting
products. Lower priced goods can be beneficial for consumers, spe-
Noncommunicable disease outcomes
cifically, lower priced, healthful food imports (Auslin 2012); how-
The fourth column from the left identifies the beginning of the
ever, imports can also have negative effects when the price of HHCs
WHO 444 framework on NCDs, starting with the key lifestyle
is driven down as in the case of tobacco or alcohol (Hill 2004; Lee
risk factors which are concerned principally with individual health
et al. 2009, 2012b). Market competition may also create a situation
behaviours including consumption of tobacco, alcohol and un-
where cheaper but less healthy imported products replace traditional
healthy dietary products. This model has been altered here with the
domestic goods, as seen in the case of Samoa where processed and
exclusion of physical inactivity and the addition of access and adher-
hydrogenated oils replaced locally produced coconut oils after an
ence to medical treatment. The final column on the right identifies
services, including health expenditure; although, an individual coun- be in response to global competition that, in part, is increased through
try’s reliance on tariff revenue and its ability to replace such revenue liberalization.
after liberalization through other means, such as domestic excise
taxes or increased employment taxes, varies (Cagé and Gadenne
2014). Middle-income countries have been able to recover between Facilitation of services and investment pathways
40 and 60% on average, while low-income countries have fared Trade and investment policy provisions
worse, recovering between 0 and 30% on average (Labonté 2012). This section of the framework conceptualizes the pathways between
Thus, the impact of lost revenue is likely to be more perceptible in the facilitation of services and investment and NCDs (see Figure 4).
the world’s poorest countries which rely on tariffs for 25–50% of all Trade in services is facilitated by providing foreign investors new or
public revenue (Labonté 2012). Whatever health and social services greater market access to domestic service sectors, usually specified
are being publicly provided in these countries are likely to suffer within a services chapter. The promotion of foreign direct invest-
when tariffs are reduced. The implications of liberalization may ment (FDI) is more multifaceted and FDI inflows depend on a series
compound when labour market insecurities rise simultaneously with of factors like political and economic stability, infrastructure, wages,
tariff losses, which may diminish a state’s capacity to finance health tax structure and proximity to main markets (Morisset and Pirnia
and social support programs to offset labour insecurity (Labonté 2000; Lim 2001). One mode of service sector liberalization, com-
et al. 2007; McNamara, 2015). mercial presence (discussed below), is specific to the promotion of
Changes in the composition of labour sectors are another im- FDI. Moreover, intellectual property rights were subsumed under
portant consideration as they drive the quality and quantity of em- the trade and investment regime on the premise that a strong na-
ployment, including labour conditions. Current evidence suggests tional intellectual property system would encourage FDI, particu-
that the impacts of trade and investment agreements on labour mar- larly FDI into research and development in the industrial and
kets and employment conditions are highly variable (Salvatore scientific fields (Idris 2003). Expansive investor rights and the inclu-
2007). While a shift in what a country imports and exports has im- sion of investor–state dispute settlement mechanisms in trade and in-
portant implications for its domestic labour market, this impact will vestment agreements may also assist in fostering FDI inflows;
vary among individual sectors creating winners and losers. NAFTA, however, as with sanitary and phytosanitary standards and technical
for example, was beneficial for many fruit, vegetable and coffee pro- barriers to trade, these topics will be reserved for in-depth explor-
ducers in Mexico that had advantages in climate, geography and la- ation in the final pathway (domestic policy space and governance)
bour costs; while Mexican grain producers lost due to disadvantages as they affect health outcomes primarily through their impacts on
in climate, mechanization and US government subsidies to their do- policymaking processes.
mestic producers (Fairbrother 2007).
Increased trade and investment liberalization may also be related Services—market access. Trade in services encompasses an excep-
to the recent rise of precarious and informal employment, which may tionally wide range of domestic economic activity and can include
have impacts on NCD rates through increased HHC consumption all services that are commercially or competitively provided. Under
driven by chronic stress, or more directly through material deprivation the WTO rules, member states must provide most-favoured nation
due to bouts of unemployment, greater exposure to hazardous work treatment to foreign service suppliers. WTO members cannot dis-
environments and lack of access to health benefits (Benach et al. criminate between the service suppliers of its trading partners, that
2007). For example, many agricultural labourers in Mexico lost their is, the most favourable conditions provides to service suppliers from
jobs during the implementation of NAFTA, with informal employ- one trading partner must be provided to all trading partners. As
ment after NAFTA accounting for 46% of all Mexican employment well, listing a service creates two primary obligations on states, the
(Arnold 2006). In addition, labour implications are often stratified, first of which is to provide market access to that service sector for
such that high-wage areas gained while regions with more low-skilled foreign individuals and enterprises. Market access is provided for
labour lost. In the USA, these losses have been mitigated in part by under four modes of service provision: (1) cross-border supply of
trade adjustment assistance (Salvatore 2007), something not all coun- services, (2) consumption abroad, (3) commercial presence to pro-
tries are able to provide. Labour market re-structuring is by no means vide a service; and (4) presence of natural persons to temporarily
caused by trade liberalization alone, but is a parallel process argued to provide a service. The second obligation is to provide non-
130 Health Policy and Planning, 2018, Vol. 33, No. 1
discriminatory treatment within committed service sectors through 2009). FDI has also facilitated rapid growth in fast-food retail out-
the right to national treatment. National treatment prevents discrim- lets, creating a growing demand for energy-dense foods (Hawkes
ination between domestic and foreign producers or providers, such 2005), while tobacco companies have used FDI to circumvent high
that imported goods, services, or investments should be treated no tariff rates by establishing production within countries to drive
less favourably than domestic goods, services or investments. down prices and increase sales (Lo 2010). FDI can further increase
Services agreements may permit each country to create a highly cus- the availability and affordability of ultra-processed food products
tomizable schedule of commitments, placing limitations on market (Hawkes 2005; Lo 2010), but it can also introduce entirely new cat-
access and national treatment, and most-favoured nation exemp- egories of (unhealthy) foods into a region, contributing to the emer-
tions. Recent regional trade and investment agreements, however, gence of obesogenic food environments (Thow et al. 2011).
do not provide the level of customization available in the World While trade in services can influence the availability and afford-
Trade Organization’s General Agreement on Trade in Services, and ability of HHCs, service liberalization introduces two additional
use a negative listing approach (only specified services are ex- pathways: what commodities are accessible (driven by the number
empted), which is likely to lead to a greater number of sector libera- and location of retail outlets), and what commodities are acceptable
insurance, although more empirical evidence is needed to better main pathways we identify in the framework include regulatory co-
understand the links between trade agreements and privatization of herence provisions that establish governance mechanisms for the de-
health services. As of 2004, 54 members of the World Trade velopment of domestic policy; sanitary and phytosanitary standards
Organization had made some liberalization commitments under and technical barriers to trade chapters that establish regulatory
health services, although this number rises to 78 when commitments standards; special annexes on publicly provided pharmaceutical
under private health insurance are included (Spiegel et al. 2004). coverage plans; expansive investor rights and the inclusion of in-
When privatization of health services occurs as a result of libera- vestor–state dispute settlement (ISDS) mechanisms; and government
lization, it also may lead to increased out-of-pocket spending on procurement provisions that regulate government contracts.
health services, and thus could result in medical poverty. The United Relative to the previous two pathways, there was considerably less
States, one of the few developed countries without a universal health empirical evidence for the relationships in this pathway captured in
care system (Fisher 2012), spent 17.1% of total GDP on health ex- our literature review, largely due to the novelty of such provisions in
penditures in 2015. This can be contrasted against countries like trade and investment agreements. Therefore, the relationships in this
Canada, New Zealand and Australia which spent 10.9, 9.7 and pathway are largely supported by theoretically informed deductive
9.4%, respectively, under public systems (World Bank 2016). reasoning at this time.
Cumulative public and private spending on healthcare in the USA is Provisions in a regulatory coherence or cooperation chapter,
higher than almost any developed country; however, it fails to out- first seen in the Canada–European Union agreement and in the
perform on any of the common measures of health (Morris 2012). TPP, have the potential to impact domestic policy space for the
As with trade in goods, the liberalization of trade in services has regulation of HHCs (Kelsey 2012, 2013). Provisions in such a chap-
the capacity to alter the composition of employment sectors within a ter may include new rules governing the process of developing pol-
domestic economy. Competitive advantages within the domestic icy, requirements to provide opportunities for private sector input
economy, including human capital, labour standards and natural re- (including private corporations based in other countries party to the
sources, will help determine which, if any, service areas will be desir- agreements), and new documentation required for all current and
able to foreign investors. Many of the implications for employment proposed regulatory policies. Contemporary agreements may also
and the domestic economy discussed under the facilitation of trade begin including provisions on pharmaceutical pricing and reim-
in goods pathway are equally applicable here, as are their implica- bursement procedures that could impact the availability and acces-
tions for NCDs through the distribution and redistribution of re- sibility of NCD treatment. Draft texts of the TPP had included
sources for a healthy lifestyle. Although evidence is still scarce, the measures on reference-based drug pricing, although these provi-
presence of foreign investment has been associated with higher sions did not make the final text (Lexchin and Gleeson 2016).
wages (Lim 2001; Lipsey and Sjöholm 2004). However, FDI inflows Reference-based pricing has been used by some governments as a
may also be inequality-enhancing, as the positive impact on wages is cost–containment mechanism for drug expenditures (Lee et al.
greater for skilled than for unskilled labour (Waldkirch 2008). 2012a; Bach 2016).
The inclusion of an expansive set of investor rights alongside an
ISDS mechanism in an investment chapter is also critical to under-
Domestic policy space and governance standing the potential health impacts of such agreements, given their
Trade and investment policy provisions capacity to empower private actors to challenge public policy meas-
This section of the framework conceptualizes the pathway between ures, including those regulating HHCs. Government procurement
domestic policy space and governance and NCDs (see Figure 5). The provisions may also be included which specify the instances and
132 Health Policy and Planning, 2018, Vol. 33, No. 1
conditions when foreign companies are permitted access to the do- 2015 alone (United Nations Conference on Trade and Development
mestic procurement contract bidding process; as well as change 2015). It has been suggested that ISDS may affect a government’s
stipulations on performance requirements included within these con- willingness to regulate in the public interest (Van Harten and Scott
tracts, such as limitations on requirements on domestic content, 2015). While evidence for regulatory chill is widespread for fields
local labour or even environmental standards. other than health, for example for environmental regulation (Brown
2013), evidence for this phenomenon is just starting to accumulate
in health research (Neumayer 2001; Tienhaara 2011; Van Harten
Underlying and immediate causes and Scott 2015). A concrete example of regulatory chill was the offi-
Health impacts through HHCs and access to medicines. In contem- cial statement from the government of New Zealand that it would
porary trade and investment agreements, considerable attention is not pursue tobacco plain packaging legislation until a decision was
paid to progressing convergence and equivalence of regulation made in the investor-state litigation against Australia for the same
among varying countries (Bhala 2014). For example, while requiring policy (3 News 2015).
adherence to minimum international standards, the Sanitary and Finally, the inclusion of regulatory provisions that seek to inter-
investment liberalization and the protection and promotion of popu- commitments and exploring causal relationships with FDI inflows in
lation health (Friel et al. 2015). Our conceptual framework was de- varying areas of production, processing, retailing, marketing and
veloped with the intention to inform researchers and policy-makers advertising.
of key provisions within such agreements, and provide a high-level There was a dearth of research in understanding the influence of
analysis and overview of the various ways in which they may influ- services liberalization from trade and investment agreements on na-
ence NCD outcomes. Future health assessments of trade and invest- tional provision of health services and health insurance and subse-
ment agreements can use this framework to identify a broad range quent effects for out-of-pocket expenditures on these services. The
of possible causal pathways for detailed inquiry in localized con- evidence reviewed appears to indicate that privatization of health
texts. In addition, the realist review used to assist in the development services is associated with rising costs and is not consistently associ-
and validation of the conceptual framework underscores the need ated with increases in quality. More robust evidence is needed re-
for robust evidence, particularly as related to the SDH, and in mat- garding the impacts of guaranteeing and enforcing existing levels of
ters outside FDI flows and tariff rates. Finally, this framework was service liberalization, as well as new liberalization, on access to and
designed in an attempt encourage upstream approaches to NCD pre- affordability of health services specifically, and on the SDH more
the impacts of trade on the economy and employment. In addition, international trade and investment commitments), focusing on the
while the intent of the review was to explore the impacts of trade new commitments it introduces. Moreover, future investigations
and investment liberalization, a considerable portion of the reviewed may consider the inclusion of corporate and consumer agency
evidence was from studies of liberalization in general, not demon- within the structural determinants outlined in the framework for a
strably undertaken as a result of specific trade and investment com- more complete understanding of the dynamics between actors and
mitments. As more robust evidence is generated for the relationship institutions that together co-create the health outcomes from trade
between trade and NCDs across a broader range of pathways, con- and investment agreements. Developing a better understanding of
clusions regarding specific effects of trade and investment agree- the complex economic implications of trade and investment agree-
ments will become more viable. ments for the SDH, including employment and working conditions,
The reviewed evidence was also heavily weighted towards the individual income and social status, and access to health and social
negative externalities of trade and investment agreements rather services, should be a priority area for future research.
than the positive externalities, due in considerable part to the focus Additional efforts to continue compiling evidence for the path-
on WHO identified NCD risk factors in this framework. ways and refining the framework itself as new evidence emerges will
Campos S, Doxey J, Hammond D. 2011. Nutrition labels on pre-packaged Kaye Nijaki L, Worrel G. 2012. Procurement for sustainable local economic
foods: a systematic review. Public Health Nutrition 14: 1496–506. development. International Journal of Public Sector Management 25:
Canadian Health Services Research foundation. 2005. Reference-based drug 133–53.
insurance policies can cut costs without harming patients. Canadian Health Kelsey J. 2012. New-generation free trade agreements threaten progressive to-
Services Research Foundation. bacco and alcohol policies. Addiction 107: 1719–21.
Chan M. 2013. Opening address at the 8th Global Conference on Health Kelsey J. 2013. The Trans-Pacific partnership agreement: a gold-plated gift to
Promotion. Helsinki, Finland. the global tobacco industry? American Journal of Law & Medicine 39:
Clark SE, Hawkes C, Murphy SM, Hansen-Kuhn KA, Wallinga D. 2012. 237–64.
Exporting obesity: US farm and trade policy and the transformation of the Koivusalo M, Schrecker T, Labonté R. 2009. Globalization and health: path-
Mexican consumer food environment. International Journal of ways, evidence and policy. In: Labonté R, Schrecker T, Packer C, Runnels V
Occupational and Environmental Health 18: 53–64. (eds). Globalization and Policy Space for Health and Social Determinants of
Commission on Social Determinants of Health. 2008. Closing the gap in a gen- Health. London: Routledge, pp. 105–30.
eration: health equity through action on the social determinants of health. Labonte R. 2004. Globalization, health, and the free trade regime: assessing
Final Report of the Commission on Social Determinants of Health. World the links. Perspectives on Global Development & Technology 3: 47–72.
Morris H. 2012. U.S. health care costs more than ‘socialized’ European medi- Thow AM, Jones A, Hawkes C, Ali I, Labonté R. 2017. Nutrition labelling is a
cine. The New York Times. trade policy issue: lessons from an analysis of specific trade concerns at the
Neumayer E. 2001. Do countries fail to raise environmental standards? An World Trade Organization. Health Promotion International, doi:
evaluation of policy options addressing ‘regulatory chill’. International 10.1093/heapro/daw109 p1-11.
Journal of Sustainable Development 4: 231–44. Thow A-M, Snowdon W, Labonté R et al. 2015. Will the next generation of
Otero G. 2011. Neoliberal globalization, NAFTA, and migration: Mexico’s preferential trade and investment agreements undermine prevention of non-
loss of food and labor sovereignty. Journal of Poverty 15: 384–402. communicable diseases? A prospective policy analysis of the Trans Pacific
Pacheco-López P. 2005. The effect of trade liberalization on exports, imports, Partnership Agreement. Health Policy 119: 88–96.
the balance of trade, and growth: the case of Mexico. Journal of Post Tienhaara K. 2011. Regulatory chill and the threat of arbitration: a view from
Keynesian Economics 27: 595–619. political science. In: Brown C, Miles K (eds). Evolution in Investment
Pawson R, Greenhalgh T, Harvey G, Walshe K. 2005. Realist review—a new Treaty Law and Arbitration. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
method of systematic review designed for complex policy interventions. United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. 2015. World invest-
Journal of Health Services Research & Policy 10: 21–34. ment report 2015. United Nations Conference on Trade and Development,
Petri PA, Plummer MG, Zhai F. 2012. The Trans-pacific partnership and New York, NY.