Bajaj Report
Bajaj Report
Bajaj Finserv Ltd. Earnings momentum was led by broad-based growth across subsidiaries; outlook remains stable
CMP* Target Potential Upside Market Cap (INR Bn) Recommendation Sector
INR 2,002 INR 2,213 10.5% INR 3,199 ACCUMULATE NBFC
In Q1FY26, the revenue from operations grew at a healthy pace of 13.0% YoY 121
(+-3.2% QoQ) to INR 354.5bn, stood below our estimates (-4.7%), majorly led
by slower growth momentum in premiums and other income. NII grew at a 112
slower pace of 10.6% YoY (-5.2% QoQ) to INR 286.3bn, stood sharply below
our estimates (-6.1%), led by miss on the top line and higher interest on 103
borrowings.
94
Pre-Provisioning Operating Profit (PPoP) grew at a robust pace of 21.5% YoY
(+12.0% QoQ) to INR 93.2bn, in-line with our estimates (+0.5%). Stronger 85
Aug-24
Jun-25
Aug-25
Oct-24
Dec-24
Feb-25
Apr-25
growth in PPoP was majorly led by slower growth in other operating expenses.
Consolidated net profit grew at 30.5% YoY (+15.4% QoQ) to INR 27.9bn, stood
sharply above our estimates (+7.6%), led by lower taxes and share of minority
BAJAJ FINSERV SENSEX
interest. Cost-to-income ratio during the quarter improved to 67.5%, down from
70.4% in Q1FY25, led by higher operating leverage.
MARKET DATA
Highlights across Subsidiaries
Shares outs (# Mn.) 1,598
Bajaj Finserv AMC launched the Equity Savings Fund, designed to invest across
Mkt Cap (INR Bn.) 3,199
equity, arbitrage, and debt instruments, with an aim of offering balanced returns
with reduced volatility, strengthening its diversified product suite. Bajaj Allianz 52 Week H/L (INR) 2,134/1,555
General Insurance booked capital gain of ~INR 4,500 Mn in Q1FY26, on Volume (3M Avg – In ‘000) 1,487
account of profit booking across debt and equity portfolios.
Face Value (INR) 1
Valuation and Outlook
Bloomberg Code BJFIN IN
The management remained committed in driving sustainable and profitable
Note: All the market data is as of closing of previous day
growth across business verticals. Bajaj Allianz General Insurance continued to
focus on maintaining combined ratios around the 100.0% mark, while its Life SHARE HOLDING PATTERN (%)
Insurance arm’s witnessed expansion in margins led by ongoing product
Particulars (%) Jun-25 Mar-25 Dec-24
restructuring and cost optimization measures, with agency channel productivity
expected to further stabilize over the coming quarters. Promoters 58.8 60.6 60.6
We have revised our FY26E/FY27E BVPS estimate by -0.5%/-1.1%, FIIs 8.4 7.5 7.4
respectively, to account for elevated credit costs in Bajaj Finance and ongoing
DIIs 10.1 9.0 8.9
stress in the unsecured lending portfolio.
Others 22.7 22.9 23.1
We value Bajaj Finserv on a SOPT basis, valuing Bajaj Life Insurance at 2.5x
FY27E EV; valuing Bajaj General Insurance at 2.0x FY27E BV; valuing its stake Total 100.0 100.0 100.0
in Bajaj Finance at 4.8x FY27E ABV and its investments at INR 15 per share,
implying a target of INR 2,213 per share.
We reiterate our “ACCUMULATE” rating on the stock, driven by expected ramp- 15.4% 22.7%
up across the emerging verticals, providing the earnings visibility and
momentum. Revenue CAGR PAT CAGR
KEY FINANCIALS between FY25-27E between FY25-27E
Particulars (INR Mn) FY24 FY25 FY26E FY27E FY28E
NII 9,19,824 10,95,114 12,10,489 14,60,131 17,73,236
Operating Profit 2,60,005 3,16,778 3,74,475 4,60,317 5,87,730
PAT (Post Minority Interest) 81,478 88,723 1,07,927 1,33,642 1,73,152
EPS (INR/share) 51.1 55.6 67.5 83.6 108.4
BVPS (INR/share) 378.8 453.4 519.6 602.3 709.6
Source: Company, DevenChoksey Research
Story in Charts
Life Insurance's GWP growth has trended down led by General Insurance's GWP grew at a modest pace on
continued deferral in GST cuts decision making a higher base
28.5%
27.2%
80,000
52.6% 60.0%
46.1% 50.0%
23.7%
70,000
22.6%
21.3% 60,000 31.8%
40.0%
24.2% 30.0%
16.4% 50,000
20.0%
0.7%
58,710
9.2% 30,000
0.0%
20,000 -12.8%
-10.0%
-19.6%
53,380
54,640
81,830
50,180
65,440
63,610
92,370
54,790
72,980
45,360
49,620
47,610
66,260
43,260
52,020
10,000
-20.0%
- -30.0%
Q2FY24
Q3FY24
Q4FY24
Q1FY25
Q2FY25
Q3FY25
Q4FY25
Q1FY26
Q2FY24
Q3FY24
Q4FY24
Q1FY25
Q2FY25
Q3FY25
Q4FY25
Q1FY26
GWP (INR Mn.) Growth % YoY GWP (INR Mn.) Growth % YoY
Growth in Revenue from operations have trended down Growth momentum in Bajaj Finance AUM has been
led by weaker momentum in the insurance verticals impacted by subdued consumer demand
34.7%
35.6% 35.2% 33.6%
33.5% 32.9%
29.5% 31.1%
25.1%
28.8%
28.0%
26.1%
24.7%
14.2%
12.6%
10.3%
2,903
3,110
3,304
3,541
3,739
3,980
4,167
4,415
Q2FY24
Q3FY24
Q4FY24
Q1FY25
Q2FY25
Q3FY25
Q4FY25
Q1FY26
Q2FY24
Q3FY24
Q4FY24
Q1FY25
Q2FY25
Q3FY25
Q4FY25
Q1FY26
Result Snapshot
Particulars (In INR Mn) Consolidated Q1FY26 Q4FY25 Q1FY25 Q-o-Q Y-o-Y
Motor segment has continued to account for highest share of ULIP has continued to contribute highest share in
General Insurance's GWP Mix (Q1FY26) overall Life Insurance's GWP Mix (Q1FY26)
Health
(retail), 5.0% Par, 22.0%
Others,
10.0%
Motor
(Retail),
33.0%
ULIP, 45.0%
Annuity,
Group 5.0%
Health,
18.0%
Bajaj Finserv Q1FY26 performance stood mixed, as its total income stood at INR 354.5bn, stood below our estimates by 4.7%, while
its PPoP came in at INR 93.2bn, in-line with our estimates (+0.5%), and its consolidated net profit stood at INR 27.9bn, stood
sharply above our estimates (+7.6%), led by lower taxes and share of minority interest. The cost-to-income ratio moderated to
67.5%, reflecting enhanced cost efficiency and disciplined operational execution.
We expect resilient performance across all its key subsidiaries and will remain integral to Bajaj FinServ's long-term growth trajectory.
Although Bajaj Finance contributed nearly ~55.0% to the consolidated revenues in Q1FY26, emerging stress in the MSME and two-
wheeler book, in the near term we expect a marginal moderation in the overall performance.
Bajaj Finserv remains firmly positioned for long-term value creation, anchored by a robust multi-line financial services portfolio.
Strong traction across insurance, lending, and AMC verticals underscores the company’s execution strength. With Bajaj Life
Insurance 2.0 gaining momentum, and Bajaj General Insurance sustaining underwriting discipline, future growth is expected to
remain resilient, led by continued investments in tech platforms, higher cost efficiencies, and rapid expansion in the distribution
network.
We have revised our FY26E/FY27E BVPS estimate by -0.5%/-1.1%, respectively, to account for elevated credit costs in Bajaj
Finance and ongoing stress in the unsecured lending portfolio. We expect a gradual improvement in the performance of
the emerging businesses—particularly in health, AMC, and insurance—over the upcoming quarters.
Valuation:
We value Bajaj Finserv on a SOPT basis, valuing Bajaj Life Insurance at 2.5x FY27E EV; valuing Bajaj General Insurance at 2.0x
FY27E BV; valuing its stake in Bajaj Finance at 4.8x FY27E ABV and its investments at INR 15 per share, implying a target of INR
2,213 per share. The stock is currently trading at a PB multiple of 3.6x, which is lower than its 3-year avg. PB of 4.3x and 7-year
avg. PB of 5.6x.
We reiterate our “ACCUMULATE” rating on the stock, driven by expected ramp-up across the emerging verticals, providing the
earnings visibility and momentum.
Relative Valuation
FY25-27E FY25-27E
INR INR Bn. FY25 FY26E FY27E FY26E FY27E
(%) (%)
Bajaj Finserv 2,002 3,199 13.0% 22.7% 22.7% 3.9x 3.3x 17.1% 18.1%
Domestic Peers
LIC 888 5,619 6.8% 6.1% 0.5% 3.3x 2.6x 34.7% 29.4%
HDFC Life 777 1,674 12.2% 30.4% 19.1% 8.9x 8.1x 11.8% 12.1%
SBI Life 1,817 1,821 15.1% 8.8% 14.6% 9.5x 8.3x 15.7% 17.1%
ICICI Prudential Life 616 892 10.6% 66.7% 20.9% 6.6x 6.0x 11.8% 12.4%
Mean 11.2% 28.0% 13.8% 7.1x 6.2x 18.5% 17.7%
Median 11.4% 19.6% 16.8% 7.7x 7.0x 13.8% 14.7%
Valuation Charts
6.5x
5.5x
5.5x
4.5x 4.5x
3.5x
3.5x
5-yr Avg. NTM P/B - 4.6x
2.5x
3-yr Avg. NTM P/B - 4.3x
2.5x 1.5x
Jun-21
Dec-23
Aug-20
Apr-22
Oct-24
Aug-25
Feb-23
Aug-22
Aug-23
Aug-24
Aug-25
Feb-23
Feb-24
Feb-25
3-Year Fwd PBV 3-Year Avg. STD +1 5-Year Fwd PBV 5-Year Avg. STD +1
Net Interest Income 1,095 1,210 1,460 1,773 Borrowings (%) 18.4% 21.2% 17.0% 17.0%
Other Income 0 0 0 0 NII (%) 19.1% 10.5% 20.6% 21.4%
Operating Income 1,095 1,211 1,460 1,773 PAT (%) 12.6% 21.5% 25.3% 29.6%
- Employee expense 121 136 164 193 B/S Ratios
- Other operating
658 701 836 993 Advances/Total Assets 63.9% 66.0% 66.1% 65.6%
expense
Operating Expense 778 836 1,000 1,186 BFL - CAR (%) 21.6% 20.7% 19.8% 19.8%
Operating Profit 317 374 460 588 Tier I (%) 20.7% 19.9% 19.2% 19.2%
Provisions 79 83 94 114 21.0% 20.5% 20.5% 20.5%
Bajaj Housing - CAR (%)
Share of Profits from JVs 0 0 0 0
PBT 237 291 366 474 Leverage 6.3 5.8 6.1 6.3
Reserves & Surplus 722 829 961 1,132 PCR (%) 54.2% 54.8% 56.1% 56.1%
Net worth 724 830 962 1,134 Credit cost (%) 2.2% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9%
Minority Interest 560 666 799 973 Bajaj Allianz Life
Total Equity 1,284 1,496 1,762 2,107 Insurance
Borrowings 1,321 1,601 1,873 2,191 VNB 1152.0 1161.2 1242.8 1429.3
Deposits 714 889 1,144 1,339 VNB Margin 11.5% 13.0% 13.0% 13.0%
Debt Securities 1,477 1,481 1,888 2,360 EV 21,726 23,805 27,168 30,889
Insurance Contract RoEV 13.0% 12.9% 12.6% 12.7%
1,347 1,510 1,999 2,499
Liabilities
Other Liabilities & Bajaj Allianz General
379 434 499 579 Insurance
Provisions
Total Equities And Growth in Investments 5.2% 13.0% 13.0% 13.0%
6,522 7,410 9,165 11,074
Liabilities
Uses of Funds 0 0 0 0 RoE 13.5% 14.7% 14.6% 14.2%
Cash & Bank Per share data / Valuation
157 146 178 188
Balances
Receivables + EPS (INR) 55.6 67.5 83.6 108.4
4,168 4,889 6,055 7,262
Loans/Advances
Net Investments 1,901 2,018 2,521 3,150 BVPS (INR) 453.4 519.6 602.3 709.6
Deferred Tax P/E (x) 34.9 28.5 23.0 17.8
19 19 19 19
Assets
P/BV (x) 4.3 3.7 3.2 2.7
Goodwill in
8 11 12 14
Consolidation Profitability
Fixed Assets 45 47 54 63
RoA (%) 2.7% 2.9% 2.9% 3.1%
Other Assets 224 282 326 377
RoE (%) 12.3% 13.0% 13.9% 15.3%
TOTAL ASSETS 6,522 7,410 9,165 11,074
Source: Company, DevenChoksey Research
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DRChoksey FinServ Private Limited
CIN Number -U67100MH2020PTC352816
ISHANK Digitally signed by
ISHANK NAVAL
Registered Office and Corporate Office:
5th Floor Abhishek Building, Behind Monginis Cake Factory, Off New Link Road, Andheri West, Mumbai-400058
NAVAL GUPTA
Date: 2025.09.05
GUPTA [Link] +05'30'