Week 1
Week 1
HOUSEHOLD FINANCE
HOUSEHOLD FINANCE
OBJECTIVES
• Key aspects of holistic financial planning
Final Grades
Personal
Financial
Planning
Money $$$$$$$$$
• What comes to mind?
• Is money sense common?
• Psychology of money/money attitudes/habits
• Issues relating to money/finance?
seams
ponline gambling
D Buy now
pay later
D
Crypto Crisis
& Inflation .
• Whose responsibility?
in managing
their finances
Lorna Tan Department of Finance
NUS Business School 11
FIN3719
HOUSEHOLD FINANCE
Financial independence
Financial Freedom
YOLO vs FIRE ?
A I
you only live
Financial independence
once Retire Early :)
squander money start
early investing
Enjoy life
Might miss on some live
momments.
PBS Took it as
financial independence
retire
early
1) Acquire knowledge
• Avoid fallacies, mis-selling, misguided thinking or practices
• Make informed decisions based on understanding of
a) Laws and regulations eg CPF, taxation, housing
b) Characteristics of investment products
c) Financial trade-offs
eg present versus future consumption, risk versus returns
d) Proper use of financial planning tools
>
Brokers Act as
:
selling
.
HOUSEHOLD FINANCE Dealers : Act as principals in transactions, buying and selling
securities for their own alc.
Exchangers :
where securities/commodities/derivatives are
guarenteeing
transactions .
• What does Credit Bureau Singapore do? of the credit worthiness from
banks and other financial
their
Affordable 3Alternative institutions which are
SURVEY HIGHLIGHTS
Double whammy:
Ballooning expenses
• Research paper “Between a rock and a hard place” is the 5th instalment in the DBS NAV
Financial Health Series that analysed aggregated and anonymised data insights from 1.2 million
DBS retail customers in May 2023 relative to May 2022
• Income is not keeping up with inflation for 40% of 1.2 m DBS retail customers; Their income
grew < than Spore’s average CPI inflation of 5.2% in 2022
• Expenses growth has outpaced that of income
• 3 key drivers of inflation are food, transportation, and housing and utilities, account for around
63% of overall CPI basket
• Gig workers, boomers, low- and middle-income earners find their cashflows getting tighter
and/or squeezed by higher debt payment like mortgages, due to higher interest rates
• Gig workers are the most financially stretched and their incomes were insufficient to cover their
spending
Inflation-proofing tips:
• Males 83
• Females 88
Answer: ? $720
00
Ans :
Nest Egg
INCOME
Current
Assets
Now 65 85
Insufficient returns
Future Asset
$1.17M
Current Income
Assets
Financial Concepts
• Time Value of Money
• Value of Compounding
• Rule of 72
• Passive income
Suppose you are 60, have a retirement fund of $500,000, and have retired.
Your monthly spending is $3,500 after retirement.
Assume interest rate is 2% pa and zero inflation.
How many years does it take to drain your retirement fund?
Answer:
PV = , PMT = ,i=
N= months ( ≈ years)
By then you will only be years old!
Calculation:
PV = 500000
PMT = -3500
i=2 > -
ment and
N = ? mths paypounding edit a
Answer:
-
162 98 months
.
3 Age
163 months
73 .
74 ,
(13 .
6 years
when funds are drained
.
Calculation:
PV = 500000
PMT = -3500
% Ginterest
inflation
i = -2
rate -
>
-
N = ? mths
(use Begin mode)
Answer:
128 23 months -
.
Fage 70-71 when funds are drained .
Calculation:
PV = 500000
PMT = -3500
N = 300 mths
i=?
(use Begin mode)
7%
-
Answer: 58x12 = 6 .
96 %
0
.
Compound interest:
$26,532
Interest calculated on the initial principal, which
also includes all of the accumulated interest of
previous periods of a deposit or loan. $16,288
• Risk profile
Rule of 72
• Determines how long an investment will take to double, given a
fixed annual rate of interest.
Rule of 72
Q: What is the number of years for $100 to double if it is invested
at 10% return?
70 %
Answer: 7 5
.
Answer: 12 years .
Messentiallynegative downa
nextslide
• If the negative returns occur first, you end up selling some holdings, and
so you reduce the shares you own that are available to participate in the
later-occurring positive returns
Buy T bills .
withdraw 5 % Diversify
&
-
↓
Bad ↓
mkt Good Lorna Tan Department of Finance
first mkt
first NUS Business School 49
FIN3719
HOUSEHOLD FINANCE
Passive Income
As Congrety
• Egs: CPF LIFE, annuities, insurance payouts, rental monies, dividends,
bond coupon payouts etc
nee
yellow
gives
-
a
we
• How sustainable are they?
Behavioural Biases
• Loss Aversion - prefer avoiding losses to acquiring equivalent gains eg it is better to not
lose $5 than to find $5
• Overconfidence - person's subjective confidence in his judgements is greater than the
objective accuracy of those judgements
• Home bias - tendency to invest bulk of portfolio in domestic equities
• Herding - propensity to follow the crowd without taking into consideration their own
judgement
• Anchoring – tendency to rely too heavily on an initial piece of information to make
subsequent judgements eg the initial price offered for a used car sets the standard for the
rest of the negotiations, so that prices < the initial price may seem more reasonable even
if they are still higher than what the car is really worth
Behavioural Biases
• Free lunch?
- Free insurance for one year (auto renewal) - >onlyforfirsa
- Promotional interest rate for fresh fund in FD
- Two years' promotional interest rate for mortgage loan
- Annual fee waiver for the first year of a credit card
- Super attractive returns with no track record might>
- risky be .
Financial Planning
C
Experiencing the freedom of
having your first credit card
Start Saving Protect & Invest Your Savings Explore Investment Products
• Start tracking your expenses • Upgrade your financial literacy • Map your short and long-term
and savings and set up a financial plan goals
• Pay yourself first each month • Ensure adequate insurance eg • Understand the basics of
• Ensure you have 3-6 months hospitalisation, critical illness. investing (risk appetite, available
of emergency cash before Personal accident, etc products and potential pitfalls)
investing (or 12 months, if you • Consider investing some of your
have dependants or are in the savings on a regular basis to
gig economy) benefit from the power of
compounding
Building up
(Age 30 to 45)
Review Insurance Coverage Set up an Estate Plan Continue Saving & Investing
• Be adequately insured so the
family can carry on with their • Tools: Will, CPF Nomination, • Continue to save and invest,
lifestyle even if you are no Lasting Power of Attorney, Trust, especially when you have
longer around etc pay increments and bonuses
• Ensure coverage for
hospitalisation, critical illness,
home loan, car, kids’ edn etc
Consolidating
(Age 45 to 60)
Planning for your ideal
retirement lifestyle
• Accumulate wealth while • Be aware of growing • Invest with excess cash • Manage insurance to
time is on your side to wealth preservation if available ensure adequate
invest or allow for needs as you age • Be aware of high coverage
compounding investment costs and (hospitalisation, critical
• Avoid being victims of illness, home loan, etc)
• Optimise CPF savings first financial scams reduced risk tolerance
via top-ups, etc • Review estate planning
needs
Winding Down
(Age 60 to 70)
Plan For The Future Keep Track of Investments Maintain An Active Lifestyle
• Monitor your nest egg and • Pay extra attention to • Engage in activities that
passive income sources to investments as it will be an mentally stimulate you
ensure that they are sufficient uphill task recouping
for your retirement & estate financial losses with age • Set up an exercise routine
plans and continue to watch what
• Reduce equity exposure as you eat
• Consider rejoining the you get older
workforce full-or part time if
they are inadequate
• Reduce outstanding debts
Golden Years
(Age 70 and above)
Enjoying leisurely pursuits like travelling,
building new bonds with the
community or other social/purpose-
filled activities
Manage Income & Spending Tap Into Existing Resources Choose Low Risk Investments
Define
financial goals
Financial
Review and revise
plans or goals Planning
Process
Develop
financial plans
Implement
plans
Lorna Tan Department of Finance
6
NUS Business School 5
FIN3719
HOUSEHOLD FINANCE
STEP 1
Budgeting
Debt
$0.2 m
Debt
Net Net $1.8 m
Asset Worth Asset Worth Asset
$2 m $2 m $2 m $1.8 m $2 m
Net Net
Asset
Worth Worth
$0.2 m
$0.2 m $0.2 m
Personal
HOUSEHOLD FINANCE
Financial Ratios
Savings Ratio
Savings
Savings Ratio =
Gross Income
(55%)
debt ratio
0% 35% 45% nomeloan
Normal is 45 % 100%
&
healthy
15
below
Case Study 1
CONCLUSION
T xinvestingought
>
- Too much cashat
financial
>
- healthy
status
Case Study 2
CONCLUSION
> Debt
- level too high , and
income is likely too low
relative to deb+
Steven
25 years old
Monthly salary of $3,500
Be Specific Be Realistic
Financial Goals:
Annual Vacation: $10,000
Start saving
& investing
Keep track of financial ratios Track short and long-term goals regularly
Credit
Management
Estate
Insurance
Planning
Holistic
Financial
Retirement
Plan Investment
Home
Digital Tools
Plan tab (digibanking) – consolidated view (SGFinDex)
Other banks, MoneySense
SGFinDex • Enables consumers to consolidate Plan & Invest • Connects to SGFinDex so your
(Singapore different bank accounts and financial Digital financial financial information can be pulled
info from CPF, HDB, IRAS, CDP and and retirement onto NAV Planner (with consent)
Financial Data insurers into 1 platform for greater advisory tool
Exchange) financial clarity • Uses data to provide comprehensive
Launched in Dec insights on your finances
2020 • Information from banks include
account & FD balances, unit • Helps identify and close budgeting,
trusts/SRS/CPFIS holdings, and insurance, investment and
unsecured loan outstanding balances. retirement gaps by projecting cash
& investment flows and mapping
your future
Plan tab
HOUSEHOLD FINANCE
(DBS digibanking)
Key indicators of financial wellness E.g. of holdings that can be
• Savings included in SGFinDex retrieval
• Protect • External Bank Holdings
• Government Accounts –
• Invest CPF,HDB, IRAS, CDP
• Retire (Map Your Money)
Key components to build a robust plan
• Budgeting & Cashflow
• Assets and Liabilities
• Actionable Insights (Ideas for you)
Thank You
HOUSEHOLD FINANCE