Mboost Tutorial
Mboost Tutorial
Changes to the results in the original manuscript are due to changes in some defaults of mboost (most notably the
definition of degrees of freedom has changed in mboost 2.2-0). See NEWS for details.
We provide a detailed hands-on tutorial for the R add-on package mboost. The package imple-
ments boosting for optimizing general risk functions utilizing component-wise (penalized) least
squares estimates as base-learners for fitting various kinds of generalized linear and generalized
additive models to potentially high-dimensional data. We give a theoretical background and
demonstrate how mboost can be used to fit interpretable models of different complexity. As an
example we use mboost to predict the body fat based on anthropometric measurements through-
out the tutorial.
1 Introduction
A key issue in statistical research is the development of algorithms for model building and variable selection
(Hastie et al. 2009). Due to the recent advances in computational research and biotechnology, this issue has
become even more relevant (Fan and Lv 2010). For example, microarray and DNA sequencing experiments
typically result in high-dimensional data sets with large numbers of predictor variables but relatively small
sample sizes. In these experiments, it is usually of interest to build a good prognostic model using a small
subset of marker genes. Hence, there is a need for statistical techniques to select the most informative features
out of a large set of predictor variables. A related problem is to select the appropriate modeling alternative
for each of the covariates (“model choice”, Kneib et al. 2009). This problem even arises when data sets are
not high-dimensional. For example, a continuous covariate could be included into a statistical model using
linear, non-linear or interaction effects with other predictor variables.
In order to address these issues, a variety of regression techniques has been developed during the past
years (see, e.g., Hastie et al. 2009). This progress in statistical methodology is primarily due to the fact
that classical techniques for model building and variable selection (such as generalized linear modeling with
stepwise selection) are known to be unreliable or might even be biased. In this tutorial, we consider component-
wise gradient boosting (Breiman 1998, 1999, Friedman et al. 2000, Friedman 2001), which is a machine learning
method for optimizing prediction accuracy and for obtaining statistical model estimates via gradient descent
techniques. A key feature of the method is that it carries out variable selection during the fitting process
(Bühlmann and Yu 2003, Bühlmann 2006) without relying on heuristic techniques such as stepwise variable
selection. Moreover, gradient boosting algorithms result in prediction rules that have the same interpretation
∗ E-mail:[email protected]
† Department of Medical Informatics, Biometry and Epidemiology, Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg
‡ Department of Statistics, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München
1
as common statistical model fits. This is a major advantage over machine learning methods such as random
forests (Breiman 2001) that result in non-interpretable “black-box” predictions.
In this tutorial, we describe the R (R Development Core Team 2012) add-on package mboost (Hothorn et al.
2010, 2012), which implements methods to fit generalized linear models (GLMs), generalized additive models
(GAMs, Hastie and Tibshirani 1990), and generalizations thereof using component-wise gradient boosting
techniques. The mboost package can thus be used for regression, classification, time-to-event analysis, and
a variety of other statistical modeling problems based on potentially high-dimensional data. Because of its
user-friendly formula interface, mboost can be used in a similar way as classical functions for statistical mod-
eling in R. In addition, the package implements several convenience functions for hyper-parameter selection,
parallelization of computations, and visualization of results.
The rest of the paper is organized as follows: In Section 2, we provide a brief theoretical overview of
component-wise gradient boosting and its properties. In Section 3, the mboost package is presented in
detail. Here we present the infrastructure of the package and show how to use mboost to obtain interpretable
statistical model fits. All steps are illustrated using a clinical data set that was collected by Garcia et al.
(2005). The authors conducted a study to predict the body fat content of study participants by means of
common anthropometric measurements. The response variable was obtained by Dual X-Ray Absorptiometry
(DXA). DXA is an accurate but expensive method for measuring the body fat content. In order to reduce
costs, it is therefore desirable to develop a regression equation for predicting DXA measurements by means of
anthropometric measurements which are easy to obtain. Using the mboost package, we provide a step-by-step
illustration on how to use gradient boosting to fit a prediction model for body fat. A summary of the paper
is given in Section 4.
where the loss function ρ is assumed to be differentiable with respect to f . In practice, we usually deal with
realizations (yi , x> >
i ), i = 1, . . . , n, of (y, x ), and the expectation in (1) is therefore not known. For this
reason, instead
Pn of minimizing the expected value given in (1), boosting algorithms minimize the observed
mean R := i=1 ρ(yi , f (x> i )) (also called the “empirical risk”). The following algorithm (“component-wise
gradient boosting”) is used to minimize R over f :
1. Initialize the function estimate fˆ[0] with offset values. Note that fˆ[0] is a vector of length n. In the
following paragraphs, we will generally denote the vector of function estimates at iteration m by fˆ[m] .
2. Specify a set of base-learners. Base-learners are simple regression estimators with a fixed set of input
variables and a univariate response. The sets of input variables are allowed to differ among the base-
learners. Usually, the input variables of the base-learners are small subsets of the set of predictor
variables x1 , . . . , xp . For example, in the simplest case, there is exactly one base-learner for each
predictor variable, and the base-learners are just simple linear models using the predictor variables as
input variables. Generally, the base-learners considered in this paper are either penalized or unpenalized
least squares estimators using small subsets of the predictor variables as input variables (see Section 3.2.1
for details and examples). Each base-learner represents a modeling alternative for the statistical model.
Denote the number of base-learners by P and set m = 0.
2
3. Increase m by 1, where m is the number of iterations.
4. a) Compute the negative gradient − ∂f ∂ρ
of the loss function and evaluate it at fˆ[m−1] (x>i ), i = 1, . . . , n
(i.e., at the estimate of the previous iteration). This yields the negative gradient vector
[m]
[m]
∂ ˆ[m−1] >
u = ui := − ρ yi , f (xi ) .
i=1,...,n ∂f i=1,...,n
b) Fit each of the P base-learners to the negative gradient vector, i.e., use each of the regression
estimators specified in step 2 separately to fit the negative gradient. The resulting P regression
fits yield P vectors of predicted values, where each vector is an estimate of the negative gradient
vector u[m] .
c) Select the base-learner that fits u[m] best according to the residual sum of squares (RSS) criterion
and set û[m] equal to the fitted values of the best-fitting base-learner.
d) Update the current estimate by setting fˆ[m] = fˆ[m−1] + ν û[m] , where 0 < ν ≤ 1 is a real-valued
step length factor.
5. Iterate Steps 3 and 4 until the stopping iteration mstop is reached (the choice of mstop is discussed
below).
From step 4 it is seen that an estimate of the true negative gradient of R is added to the current estimate
of f ∗ in each iteration. Consequently, the component-wise boosting algorithm descends along the gradient
of the empirical risk R. The empirical risk R is thus minimized in a stage-wise fashion, and a structural
(regression) relationship between y and x is established. This strategy corresponds to replacing classical
Fisher scoring algorithms for maximum likelihood estimation of f ∗ (McCullagh and Nelder 1989) by a gradient
descent algorithm in function space. As seen from steps 4(c) and 4(d), the algorithm additionally carries out
variable selection and model choice, as only one base-learner is selected for updating fˆ[m] in each iteration.
For example, if each base-learner corresponds to exactly one predictor variable (that is used as the input
variable of the respective base-learner), only one predictor variable is selected in each iteration (hence the
term “component-wise”). Note that the variable selection property of the above-described algorithm is not a
general feature of all boosting methods (where, in principle, any type of regression estimator could be used
to fit the negative gradient) but is caused by the specific definition of the base-learning mechanism in steps
2 and 4.
Due to the additive update, the final boosting estimate in iteration mstop can be interpreted as an additive
prediction function. It is easily seen that the structure of this function is equivalent to the structure of the
additive predictor of a GAM (see Hastie and Tibshirani 1990). This means that
where fˆ1 , . . . , fˆP correspond to the functions specified by the base-learners. Consequently, fˆ1 , . . . , fˆP depend
on the predictor variables that were used as input variables of the respective base-learners. Note that a
base-learner can be selected multiple times in the course of the boosting algorithm. In this case, its function
estimate fˆj , j ∈ 1, . . . , P , is the sum of the individual estimates ν · û[m−1] obtained in the iterations in which
the base-learner was selected. Note also that some of the fˆj , j = 1, . . . , P , might be equal to zero, as the
corresponding base-learners might not have been selected in step 4(c). This can then be considered as variable
selection or model choice (depending on the specification of the base-learners).
From step 4 of the component-wise gradient boosting algorithm it is clear that the specification of the
base-learners is crucial for interpreting the model fit. As a general rule, due to the additive update in step
4(d), the estimate of a function fj at iteration mstop has the same structure as the corresponding base-learner.
For example, fj is a linear function if the base-learner used to model fj in step 4(b) is a simple linear model
(see Bühlmann and Hothorn 2007, p. 484, also see Section 3 for details). Similarly, fj is a smooth function
of the jth covariate xj if the corresponding base-learner is smooth as well. Note that it is generally possible
to incorporate observation weights into component-wise gradient boosting. This is accomplished by using
weighted regression techniques for each of the base-learners in step 4.
A crucial issue is the choice of the stopping iteration mstop . Several authors have argued that boost-
ing algorithms should generally not be run until convergence. Otherwise, overfits resulting in a suboptimal
prediction accuracy would be likely to occur (see Bühlmann and Hothorn 2007). We therefore use a finite
stopping iteration for component-wise gradient boosting that optimizes the prediction accuracy (“early stop-
ping strategy”). As a consequence, the stopping iteration becomes a tuning parameter of the algorithm, and
cross-validation techniques or AIC-based techniques can be used to estimate the optimal mstop . In contrast
3
to the choice of the stopping iteration, the choice of the step length factor ν has been shown to be of minor
importance for the predictive performance of a boosting algorithm. The only requirement is that the value
of ν is small (e.g., ν = 0.1, see Schmid and Hothorn 2008b). Small values of ν are necessary to guarantee
that the algorithm does not overshoot the minimum of the empirical risk R.
A major consequence of early stopping is that boosting optimizes prediction accuracy by regularizing the
estimates of f ∗ via shrinkage techniques. This is due to the fact that using a small step length ν ensures that
effect estimates increase“slowly”in the course of the boosting algorithm, and that the estimates stop increasing
as soon as the optimal stopping iteration mstop is reached. Stopping a component-wise gradient boosting
algorithm at the optimal iteration therefore implies that effect estimates are shrunken such that the predictive
power of the GAM is maximal. Shrinking estimates is a widely used strategy for building prognostic models:
Estimates tend to have a slightly increased bias but a decreased variance, thereby improving prediction
accuracy. In addition, shrinkage generally stabilizes effect estimates and avoids multicollinearity problems.
Despite the bias induced by shrinking effect estimates, however, the structure of function (2) ensures that
results are interpretable and that black-box estimates are avoided. The interpretation of boosting estimates
is essentially the same as those of classical maximum likelihood estimates.
with the (conditional) expectation of the response µ ~ = E(y|~x), the link function g and parameters β. ~ The
resulting models from glmboost() can be essentially interpreted the same way as models that are derived
from glm(). The only difference is that the boosted generalized linear model additionally performs variable
selection as described in Section 2 and the effects are shrunken toward zero if early stopping is applied. In
each boosting iteration, glmboost() fits simple linear models without intercept separately for each column
of the design matrix to the negative gradient vector. Only the best-fitting linear model (i.e., the best fitting
base-learner) is used in the update step. If factors are used in the model, this results in separate updates
for the effects of each factor level as these are (after dummy coding) represented by separate columns in
the design matrix. If one wants to treat factors or groups of variables as one base-learner with a common
update, one needs to use the gamboost() function with a bols() base-learner for each factor or group (see
Section 3.2, especially Table 2, for details).
The interface of glmboost() is in essence the same as for glm(). Before we show how one can use the
function to fit a linear model to predict the body fat content, we give a short overview on the function1 :
1 Note that here and in the following we sometimes restrict the focus to the most important or most interesting arguments of a
4
glmboost(formula, data = list(), weights = NULL,
center = TRUE, control = boost_control(), ...)
The model is specified using a formula as in glm() of the form response ~ predictor1 + predictor2
and the data set is provided as a data.frame via the data argument. Optionally, weights can be given
for weighted regression estimation. The argument center is specific for glmboost(). It controls whether
the data is internally centered. Centering is of great importance, as this allows much faster “convergence” of
the algorithm or even ensures that the algorithm converges in the direction of the true value at all. We will
discuss this in detail at the end of Section 3.1. The second boosting-specific argument, control, allows to
define the hyper-parameters of the boosting algorithm. This is done using the function boost_control().
For example one could specify:
R> boost_control(mstop = 200, ## initial number of boosting iterations. Default: 100
+ nu = 0.05, ## step length. Default: 0.1
+ trace = TRUE) ## print status information? Default: FALSE
Finally, the user can specify the distributional assumption via a family, which is “hidden” in the ‘...’
argument (see ?mboost_fit2 for details and further possible parameters). The default family is Gaussian().
Details on families are given in Section 3.4. Ways to specify new families are described in the Appendix.
The aim of this case study is to compute accurate predictions for the body fat of women based on available
anthropometric measurements. Observations of 71 German women are available with the data set bodyfat
(Garcia et al. 2005) included in mboost. We first load the package and the data set3 .
R> library("mboost") ## load package
R> data("bodyfat", package = "TH.data") ## load data
The response variable is the body fat measured by DXA (DEXfat), which can be seen as the gold standard
to measure body fat. However, DXA measurements are too expensive and complicated for a broad use.
Anthropometric measurements as waist or hip circumferences are in comparison very easy to measure in a
standard screening. A prediction formula only based on these measures could therefore be a valuable alter-
native with high clinical relevance for daily usage. The available variables and anthropometric measurements
in the data set are presented in Table 1.
Table 1: Available variables in the bodyfat data, for details see Garcia et al. (2005).
Name Description
DEXfat body fat measured by DXA (response variable)
age age of the women in years
waistcirc waist circumference
hipcirc hip circumference
elbowbreadth breadth of the elbow
kneebreadth breadth of the knee
anthro3a sum of logarithm of three anthropometric measure-
ments
anthro3b sum of logarithm of three anthropometric measure-
ments
anthro3c sum of logarithm of three anthropometric measure-
ments
anthro4 sum of logarithm of four anthropometric measurements
In the original publication (Garcia et al. 2005), the presented prediction formula was based on a linear
model with backward-elimination for variable selection. The resulting final model utilized hip circumference
(hipcirc), knee breadth (kneebreadth) and a compound covariate (anthro3a), which is defined as the sum
of the logarithmic measurements of chin skinfold, triceps skinfold and subscapular skinfold:
function. Further arguments might exist. Thus, for a complete list of arguments and their description refer to the respective
manual.
2 glmboost() merely handles the preprocessing of the data. The actual fitting takes place in a unified framework in the function
mboost_fit().
3 The data set bodyfat has been moved to the package TH.data.
5
R> ## Reproduce formula of Garcia et al., 2005
R> lm1 <- lm(DEXfat ~ hipcirc + kneebreadth + anthro3a, data = bodyfat)
R> coef(lm1)
A very similar model can be easily fitted by boosting, applying glmboost() with default settings:
Note that in this case we used the default settings in control and the default family Gaussian() leading to
boosting with the L2 loss.
We now want to consider all available variables as potential predictors. One way is to simply specify "."
on the right side of the formula:
R> glm2 <- glmboost(DEXfat ~ ., data = bodyfat)
As an alternative one can explicitly provide the whole formula by using the paste() function4 . Therefore,
one could essentially call:
and provide fm to the formula argument in glmboost(). Note that a solution using the paste() func-
tion is somewhat unavoidable when we intend to combine different base-learners for plenty of predictors in
gamboost().
Note that at this iteration (mstop is still 100 as it is the default value) anthro4 is not included in the
resulting model as the corresponding base-learner was never selected in the update step. The function
coef() by default only displays the selected variables but can be forced to show all effects by specifying
which = "":
R> coef(glm2, ## usually the argument ’which’ is used to specify single base-
+ which = "") ## learners via partial matching; With which = "" we select all.
A plot of the coefficient paths, similar to the ones commonly known from the LARS algorithm (Efron et al.
2004), can be easily produced by using plot() on the glmboost object (see Figure 1):
4 Anotheralternative is given by the matrix interface for glmboost() where one can directly use the design matrix as an
argument. For details see ?glmboost.
6
anthro3b
20 anthro3a
3
anthro3a
0
elbowbreadth
Coefficients
Coefficients
2
−20
kneebreadth
1
−40
anthro3c
hipcirc
waistcirc
−60
age
0
(Intercept) elbowbreadth
0 20 40 60 80 100 0 20 40 60 80 100
Figure 1: Coefficients paths for the body fat data: Here, the default plot on the left leads to hardly readable
variable names due to the inclusion of the intercept. For the plot on the right we therefore adjusted
the y-scale to avoid this problem.
For linear base-learners that are specified without intercept,5 it is of great importance to center the covariates
before fitting the model. Without centering of the covariates, linear effects that result from base-learners
without intercept are forced through the origin (with no data lying there). Hence, the convergence will
be very slow or the algorithm will not converge to the “correct” solution even in very simple cases. As an
example, consider one normally distributed predictor x = (x1 , . . . , xn )> , and a model
y = βx + ε,
with β = 1 and ε ∼ N (0, 0.32 ). Usually, a model without intercept could be fitted to estimate β. However, if
we apply boosting with the L2 P loss the negative gradient in the first boosting step is, by default, the centered
n
response, i.e., u[1] = y − 1/n i=1 yi . For other loss functions the negative gradient in the first boosting
iteration is not exactly the mean-centered response. Yet, the negative gradient in the first step is always
“centered” around zero. In this situation, the application of a base-learner without intercept (i.e., a simple
linear model without intercept) is not sufficient anymore to recover the effect β (see Figure 2(a)). The true
effect is completely missed. To solve this problem, it is sufficient to use a centered predictor x. Then, the
center of the data is shifted to the origin (see Figure 2(b)) and the model without intercept goes through the
origin as well.
Centering the predictors does not change the estimated effects of the predictors. Yet, the intercept needs
to be corrected as can be seen from the following example. Consider two predictors and estimate a model
with centered predictors, i.e,
ŷ = β̂0 + β̂1 (x1 − x̄1 ) + β̂2 (x2 − x̄2 ) ⇔
ŷ = (β̂0 − β̂1 x̄1 − β̂2 x̄2 ) +β̂1 x1 + β̂2 x2 .
| {z }
=β̂0∗
Hence, the intercept from a model without centering of the covariates equals β̂0∗ = β̂0 −
P
j β̂j x̄j , where β̂0 is
the intercept estimated from a model with centered predictors.
7
2
2
negative gradient in step m = 1 origin
1
base−learner
0
0
−1
−1
−2
−2
0 2 4 6 −4 −2 0 2
x x (centered)
Figure 2: L2 Boosting in the first boosting step, i.e., with centered response variable as outcome. A base-
learner without intercept misses the true effect completely if x is not centered (left) and is able to
capture the true structure if x is centered (right).
with the (conditional) expectation of the response µ ~ = E(y|~x), the link function g and arbitrary functions
f1 , . . . , fp of the covariates. These functions include simple, linear functions as well as smooth, non-linear
functions. The functions are specified by the base-learners that are introduced in the following paragraphs.
The function gamboost() can be used to fit linear models or (non-linear) additive models via component-
wise boosting. The user additionally needs to state which variable should enter the model in which fashion,
e.g. as a linear effect or as a smooth effect. In general, however, the interface of gamboost() is very similar
to glmboost().
gamboost(formula, data = list(), ...)
Again, the function requires a formula to specify the model. Furthermore, a data set needs to be specified as
for linear models. Additional arguments that are passed to mboost_fit()6 include weights, control and
family. These arguments can be used in the same way as described for glmboost() above.
3.2.1 Base-learners
The structural assumption of the model, i.e., the types of effects that are to be used, can be specified in terms
of base-learners. Each base-learner results in a related type of effect. An overview of available base-learners is
given in the following paragraphs. An example of how these base-learners can then be combined to formulate
the model is given afterwards.
The base-learners should be defined such that the degrees of freedom of the single base-learner are small
enough to prevent overshooting. Typically one uses, for example, 4 degrees of freedom (the default for many
base-learners) or less. Despite the small initial degrees of freedom, the final estimate that results from this
base-learner can adopt higher order degrees of freedom due to the iterative nature of the algorithm. If the
base-learner is chosen multiple times, it overall adapts to an appropriate degree of flexibility and smoothness.
All base-learners considered in this tutorial are simple penalized least squares models of the form
where the hat-matrix is defined as S = X(X> X + λK)−1 X> , with design matrix X, penalty parameter λ
and penalty matrix K. The design and penalty matrices depend on the type of base-learner. A penalty
parameter λ = 0 results in unpenalized estimation.
The bols() function7 allows the definition of (penalized) ordinary least squares base-learners. Examples
of base-learners of this type include (a) linear effects, (b) categorical effects, (c) linear effects for groups of
6 gamboost() also calls mboost_fit() for the actual boosting algorithm.
7 the name refers to ordinary least squares base-learner
8
variables x = (x1 , x2 , . . . , xp )> , (d) ridge-penalized effects for (b) and (c), (e) varying coefficient terms (i.e.,
interactions). If a penalized base-learner is specified, a special penalty based on the differences of the effects
of adjacent categories is automatically used for ordinal variables (x <- as.ordered(x)) instead of the ridge
penalty (Hofner et al. 2011a). Figure 3 shows two effect estimates that result from bols() base-learners,
a simple linear effect and an effect estimate for a factor variable. The call to an ordinary penalized least
squares base-learner is as follows:
bols(..., by = NULL, intercept = TRUE, df = NULL, lambda = 0)
The variables that correspond to the base-learner are specified in the ‘...’ argument, separated by commas.
If multiple variables are specified, they are treated as one group. A linear model is fitted for all given variables
together and they are either all updated or not at all. An additional variable that defines varying coefficients
can optionally be given in the by argument. The logical variable intercept determines whether an intercept
is added to the design matrix (intercept = TRUE, the default). If intercept = FALSE, continuous covariates
should be (mean-) centered as discussed above. This must be done ‘by hand’ in advance of fitting the model.
The impact of the penalty in case of penalized OLS (ordinary least squares) base-learners can be determined
either via the degrees of freedom df or the penalty parameter lambda. If degrees of freedom are specified, the
penalty parameter lambda is computed from df8 . Note that per default unpenalized linear models are used.
Two definitions of degrees of freedom are implemented in mboost: The first uses the trace of the hat-matrix
(trace(S)) as degrees of freedom, while the second definition uses trace(2S − S > S). The latter definition is
tailored to the comparison of models based on residual sums of squares and hence is better suitable in the
boosting context (see Hofner et al. 2011a, for details).
2.0
2
0.5
f(x1)
f(x2)
1
0.0
0
−0.5
−1
−1.0
x1 x2
Figure 3: Examples for linear and categorical effects estimated using bols(): Linear effect (left; f (x1 ) =
(1) (2) (3) (4)
0.5x1 ) and categorical effect (right; f (x2 ) = 0x2 − 1x2 + 0.5x2 + 3x2 ). The effects can be
estimated with base-learners bols(x1) and bols(x2), where x1 is a continuous covariate and x2 is
a categorical covariate coded as factor in R.
Table 2 shows some calls to bols() and gives the resulting type of effect. To gain more information on
a specific base-learner it is possible to inspect the base-learners in mboost using the function extract() on
a base-learner or a boosting model. With the function one can extract, for example, the design matrices,
the penalty matrices and many more characteristics of the base-learners. To extract, for example, the design
matrix that results from a linear base-learner of a factor z, say z <- factor(1:3), we can use
R> extract(bols(z))
(Intercept) z2 z3
1 1 0 0
2 1 1 0
3 1 0 1
attr(,"assign")
8 If df is specified in bols(), lambda is always ignored.
9
[1] 0 1 1
attr(,"contrasts")
attr(,"contrasts")$z
[1] "contr.treatment"
Thus, we see that base-learners of factors use treatment contrasts per default. For a detailed instruction on
how to use the function see the manual for extract() and especially the examples therein.
Smooth Effects
The bbs() base-learner9 allows the definition of smooth effects (i.e., functions of the covariate that are
required to be sufficiently smooth, see Figure 4) based on B-splines (de Boor 1978) with difference penalty
(i.e., P-splines, cf. Eilers and Marx 1996). P-splines can be seen as a versatile modeling tool for smooth
effects. A wide class of effects can be specified using P-splines. Examples include (a) smooth effects, (b)
bivariate smooth effects (e.g., spatial effects), (c) varying coefficient terms, (d) cyclic effects (= periodic
effects) and many more. Two examples of smooth function estimates fitted using a bbs() base-learner are
given in Figure 4. The call to a P-spline base-learner is as follows:
bbs(..., by = NULL, knots = 20, boundary.knots = NULL,
degree = 3, differences = 2, df = 4, lambda = NULL,
center = FALSE, cyclic = FALSE)
As for all base-learners, the variables that correspond to the base-learner can be specified in the ‘...’
argument. Usually, only one variable is specified here for smooth effects, and at maximum two variables are
allowed for bbs(). Varying coefficient terms f (x) · z can be specified using bbs(x, by = z). In this case,
x is called the effect modifier of the effect of z. The knots argument can be used to specify the number of
equidistant knots, or the positions of the interior knots. In case of two variables, one can also use a named
list to specify the number or the position of the interior knots for each of the variables separately. For an
example of the usage of a named list see Section 3.2.2. The location of boundary knots (default: range of the
data) can be specified using boundary.knots. Usually, no user-input is required here. The only exception is
given for cyclic splines (see below). The degree of the B-spline bases (degree) and the order of the difference
penalty (differences; ∈ {0, 1, 2, 3}) can be used to specify further characteristics of the spline estimate. The
latter parameter specifies the type of boundary effect. For differences = 2, for example, deviations from
a linear function are penalized. In the case of first order differences, deviations from a constant are subject
to penalization. The smoothness of the base-learner can be specified using degrees of freedom (df) or the
smoothing parameter (lambda)10 .
An issue in the context of P-splines is that one cannot make the degrees of freedom arbitrary small. A
polynomial of order differences - 1 always remains unpenalized (i.e., the so-called null space). As we
usually apply second order differences, a linear effect (with intercept) remains unpenalized and thus df ≥ 2
9 the name refers to B-splines with penalty, hence the second b
10 If lambda is specified in bbs(), df is always ignored.
10
3
true effect
model
8
2
1
6
f1(x1)
f2(x2)
0
4
−1
2
−2
−3
0
−2 −1 0 1 2 3 4 −3 −2 −1 0 1 2 3
x1 x2
Figure 4: Examples for smooth effects estimated using bbs(x1) (left) and bbs(x2, knots = quantile(x2,
c(0.25, 0.5, 0.75)), df = 5) (right). Hence, the left P-spline uses the default values of 20
equidistant inner knots and 4 degrees of freedom, while the right P-spline estimate is derived with
3 inner knots placed at the quartiles and 5 degrees of freedom. True effects: f1 (x1 ) = 3 · sin(x1 )
(left) and f2 (x2 ) = x22 (right).
for all smoothing parameters. A solution is given by a P-spline decomposition (see Kneib et al. 2009; Hofner
et al. 2011a). The smooth effect f (x) is decomposed in the unpenalized polynomial and a smooth deviation
from this polynomial. For differences of order 2 (= default), we thus get:
f (x) = β0 + β1 x + fcentered (x) (3)
| {z } | {z }
unpenalized polynomial smooth deviation
The unpenalized polynomial can then be specified using bols(x, intercept = FALSE) and the smooth
deviation is obtained by bbs(x, center = TRUE). Additionally, it is usually advised to specify an explicit
base-learner for the intercept (see Section 3.2.2).
A special P-spline base-learner is obtained if cyclic = TRUE. In this case, the fitted values are forced to
coincide at the boundary knots and the function estimate is smoothly joined (see Figure 5). This is especially
interesting for time-series or longitudinal data were smooth, periodic functions should be modeled. In this
case it is of great importance that the boundary knots are properly specified to match the points were the
function should be joined (due to subject matter knowledge).
An non-exhaustive overview of some usage scenarios for bbs() base-learners is given in Table 3.
11
1.5
1.5
1.0
1.0
0.5
0.5
f(x)
f(x)
0.0
0.0
−0.5
−0.5
−1.0
−1.0
cyclic = FALSE cyclic = TRUE
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
x x
Figure 5: Example for cyclic splines. The unconstrained effect in the left figure is fitted using bbs(x, knots =
12), the cyclic effect in the right is estimated using bbs(x, cyclic = TRUE, knots = 12, bound-
ary.knots = c(0, 2*pi)). True effect: f (x) = sin(x).
.
An extension of P-splines to two dimensions is given by bivariate P-splines. They allow to fit spatial effects
and smooth interaction surfaces. An example of a two dimensional function estimate is given in Figure 6.
For further details on bivariate P-splines in the boosting context see Kneib et al. (2009). The effects can be
obtained from a call to
bspatial(..., df = 6)
To specify two dimensional smooth effects, the ‘...’ argument requires two variables, i.e., a call such as
bspatial(x, y). Note that bspatial() is just a wrapper to bbs() with redefined degrees of freedom11 .
Thus, all arguments from bbs() exist and can be used for bspatial(). An example is given in Section 3.2.2.
0.6 3
0.4 2
0.5
0.2 1
0.0
z
x2
0.0 0
−0.5
−0.2 −1 −2 2
−2 x1 0 0
−0.4 x2
−3 2 −2
−3 −2 −1 0 1 2 3
x1
Figure 6: Example for interaction surface fitted using bspatial(). Two displays of the same function estimate
are presented (levelplot: left; perspective plot: right). True function: f (x1 , x2 ) = sin(x1 ) · sin(x2 ).
Random Effects
12
To specify random intercept or random slope terms in mboost, one can use a random effects base-learner.
Random effects are used to model subject specific effects (in contrast to the usual – fixed – effects which can
be seen as population specific effects). Usually, one is only interested in modeling the increased variability
but not in the effect estimate of a specific individual as this effect is not transferable. For a comprehensive
overview of random effects models we refer to Pinheiro and Bates (2000). Random effects are modeled as
ridge-penalized group-specific effects. One can show that these coincide with standard random effects. The
ridge penalty parameter is then simply the ratio of the error variance σ 2 and the random effects variance
τ 2 . Hence, the penalty parameter is inversely linked to τ 2 (and the degrees of freedom are directly linked
to τ 2 ). As for all base-learners, we initially specify a small value for the degrees of freedom, i.e., we set a
small random effects variance (relative to the residual variance). By repeatedly selecting the base-learner, the
boosting algorithm can then adapt to the “true” random effects variance. For more details see Kneib et al.
(2009, Web Appendix). We can specify random effects base-learners with a call to
brandom(..., df = 4)
As brandom() is just a wrapper of bols() with redefined degrees of freedom, one can use all arguments
that are available for bols(). To specify a random intercept for a group variable, say id, we simply call
brandom(id) (and could additionally specify the initial error variance via df or lambda). To specify a random
slope for another variable, say time, within the groups of id, one can use brandom(id, by = time), i.e., the
first argument determines the grouping (as for the random intercept) and the by argument then determines
the variable for which the effect is allowed to vary between the groups. In the notation of nlme (Pinheiro et al.
2012) and lme4 (Bates et al. 2011) the random intercept would be specified as (1 | id) and the random
slope would be specified as (time - 1 | id), i.e., a random slope without random intercept term.
Tree-based base-learner (per default stumps) can be included in the model using the btree() base-learner
(Hothorn et al. 2006, 2010). Note that this is the only base-learner which is not fitted using penalized
least squares. Radial basis functions (e.g., for spatial effects) can be specified using the base-learner brad().
Details on this base-learner are given in (Hofner 2011). Monotonic effects of continuous or ordered categorical
variables can be estimated using the bmono() base-learner which can also estimate convex or concave effects.
Details on monotonic effect estimation and examples of the estimation of boosting models with monotonic
effects are given in Hofner et al. (2011b) in the context of species distribution models. The base-learner
bmrf() implements Markov random fields, which can be used for the estimation of spatial effects of regions
(Sobotka and Kneib 2010; Mayr et al. 2012a). With the base-learner buser(), one can specify arbitrary
base-learners with quadratic penalty. This base-learner is dedicated to advanced users only. Additionally,
special concatenation operators for expert users exist in mboost that all combine two or more base-learners to
a single base-learner: %+% additively joins two or more arbitrary base-learners to be treated as one group, %X%
defines a tensor product of two base-learners and %O% implements the Kronecker product of two base-learners.
In all cases the degrees of freedom increase compared to the degrees of freedom of the single base-learners
(additively in the first, and multiplicatively in the second and third case). For more details on any of these
base-learners and for some usage examples see the manual.
13
R> m2 <- gamboost(y ~ bols(int, intercept = FALSE) +
+ bols(x1, intercept = FALSE) +
+ bols(x2, intercept = FALSE) +
+ bbs(x2, center = TRUE, df = 1) +
+ bspatial(s1, s2, knots = list(s1 = 10, s2 = 20)) +
+ brandom(id) + brandom(id, by = x1),
+ data = example)
Now, with example$int = rep(1, length(y)), we specify a separate intercept in the model. In the first
formula (m1), the intercept was implicitly included in the base-learners. Now we allow the boosting algorithm
to explicitly choose and update solely the intercept. Note that therefore we need to remove the implicit
intercept from the base-learner for int (intercept = FALSE) as otherwise we would get a linear base-learner
with two intercepts which has no unique solution. We can now also remove the intercept from the base-
learner of x1. This leads to a base-learner of the form x1 β1 . For the smooth effect of x2 we now use the
decomposition (3). Hence, we specify the unpenalized part as a linear effect without intercept (the intercept is
already specified in the formula) and the smooth deviation from the linear effect (with one degree of freedom).
Now the boosting algorithm can choose how x2 should enter the model: (i) not at all, (ii) as a linear effect,
(iii) as a smooth effect centered around zero, or (iv) as the combination of the linear effect and the smooth
deviation. In the latter case we essentially get the same result as from bbs(x2). The spatial base-learner in
the second formula (m2) explicitly specifies the numbers of knots in the direction of s1 (10 inner knots) and s2
(20 inner knots). This is achieved by a named list where the names correspond to the names of the variables.
In total we get 10 · 20 = 200 inner knots. Usually, one specifies equal numbers of knots in both directions,
which requires no named lists. Instead one can simply specify, e.g., knots = 10, which results in 10 inner
knots per direction (i.e., 100 inner knots in total). Note that, as for the smooth, univariate base-learner of
x2 one could also specify a decomposition for the spatial base-learner:
bols(int, intercept = FALSE) +
bols(s1, intercept = FALSE) + bols(s2, intercept = FALSE) +
bols(s1, by = s2, intercept = FALSE) +
bspatial(s1, s2, center = TRUE, df = 1)
where bols(s1, by = s2, intercept = FALSE) specifies the interaction of s1 and s2 (without intercept).
Finally, we added a random slope for x1 (in the groups of id) to m2. Note that the groups are the argument
of the base-learner and the slope variable is specified via the by argument.
Until now, we only included linear effects in the prediction formula for body fat of women. It might be of
interest to evaluate if there exists also a non-linear relationship between some of the predictors and the DXA
measurement of body fat. To investigate this issue, we fit a model with the same predictors as in Garcia et al.
(2005) but without assuming linearity of the effects. We apply gamboost() with the P-spline base-learner
bbs() to incorporate smooth effects.
Using plot() on a gamboost object delivers automatically the partial effects of the different base-learners:
14
10
8
5
5
4
fpartial
fpartial
fpartial
0
0
2
−5
−5
−10
−10
Figure 7: Partial effects of three anthropometric measurements on the body fat of women.
15
need to stop the model at this number of iterations. To increase or reduce the number of boosting steps for
the model mod, one can use the indexing / subsetting operator directly on the model:
mod[i]
where i is the number of boosting iterations. Attention, the subset operator differs in this context from the
standard R behavior as it directly changes the model mod. Hence, there is no need to save mod under a new
name. This helps to reduce the memory footprint. Be aware that even if you call something like
newmod <- mod[10]
you will change the boosting iteration of mod! Even more, if you now change mstop for newmod, the model mod
is also changed (and vice versa)! This said, the good news is that nothing gets lost. If we reduce the model
to a lower value of mstop , the additional boosting steps are kept internally in the model object. Consider as
an example the following scenario:
• We fit an initial model mod with mstop = 100.
• We call mod[10], which sets mstop = 10.
• We now increase mstop to 40 with a call to mod[40].
This now requires no re-computation of the model as internally everything was kept in storage. Again the
warning, if we now extract anything from the model, such as coef(mod), we get the characteristics of the
model with 40 iterations, i.e., here the coefficient estimates from the 40th boosting iteration.
Until now, we used the default settings of boost_control() with mstop = 100 for all boosted models. Now
we want to optimize this tuning parameter with respect to predictive accuracy, in order get the best prediction
for body fat. Note that tuning mstop also leads to models including only the most informative predictors as
variable selection is carried out simultaneously. We therefore first fit a model with all available predictors
and then tune mstop by 25-fold bootstrapping. Using the baselearner argument in gamboost(), we specify
the default base-learner which is used for each variable in the formula for which no base-learner is explicitly
specified.
R> ## every predictor enters the model via a bbs() base-learner (i.e., as smooth effect)
R> gam2 <- gamboost(DEXfat ~ ., baselearner = "bbs", data = bodyfat,
+ control = boost_control(trace = TRUE))
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
128.8 109.4 93.9 79.9 69.5 60.0 52.5 46.1 40.7 36.3 32.7 29.6 27.1
13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
25.0 23.2 21.6 20.3 19.3 18.4 17.7 17.1 16.6 16.3 16.0 15.7 15.6
26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38
15.4 15.3 15.2 15.1 15.1 15.2 15.1 15.2 15.2 15.2 15.3 15.3 15.4
39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51
15.4 15.5 15.5 15.6 15.6 15.6 15.7 15.7 15.7 15.8 15.9 15.9 15.9
52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64
16.0 16.0 16.0 16.1 16.1 16.2 16.2 16.3 16.3 16.3 16.3 16.4 16.4
65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77
16
16.5 16.5 16.5 16.6 16.6 16.6 16.6 16.7 16.7 16.7 16.8 16.8 16.8
78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90
16.8 16.9 16.9 16.9 16.9 16.9 17.0 17.0 17.0 17.0 17.0 17.0 17.1
91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100
17.1 17.1 17.1 17.1 17.2 17.2 17.2 17.2 17.2 17.2
150
Squared Error (Regression)
100
50
0
0 7 15 24 33 42 51 60 69 78 87 96
The plot displays the predictive risk on the 25 bootstrap samples for mstop = 1, ..., 100 (see Figure 8). The
optimal stopping iteration is the one minimizing the average risk over all 25 samples. We can extract this
iteration via
R> mstop(cvm) ## extract the optimal mstop
[1] 30
R> gam2[ mstop(cvm) ] ## set the model automatically to the optimal mstop
We have now reduced the model of the object gam2 to the one with only 30 boosting iterations, without further
assignment. However, as pointed out above, the other iterations are not lost. To check which variables are
now included in the additive predictor we again use the function coef():
R> names(coef(gam2)) ## displays the selected base-learners at iteration "mstop(cvm)"
R> ## To see that nothing got lost we now increase mstop to 1000:
R> gam2[1000, return = FALSE] # return = FALSE just supresses "print(gam2)"
17
[ 381] ...................................... -- risk: 275
[ 421] ...................................... -- risk: 268
[ 461] ...................................... -- risk: 262
[ 501] ...................................... -- risk: 256
[ 541] ...................................... -- risk: 251
[ 581] ...................................... -- risk: 246
[ 621] ...................................... -- risk: 242
[ 661] ...................................... -- risk: 237
[ 701] ...................................... -- risk: 234
[ 741] ...................................... -- risk: 230
[ 781] ...................................... -- risk: 226
[ 821] ...................................... -- risk: 223
[ 861] ...................................... -- risk: 220
[ 901] ...................................... -- risk: 217
[ 941] ...................................... -- risk: 214
[ 981] ..................
Final risk: 213
NULL
Although we earlier had reduced to iteration 30, the fitting algorithm started at iteration 101. The iterations
31–100 are not re-computed.
R> names(coef(gam2)) ## displays the selected base-learners, now at iteration 1000
The stopping iteration mstop is the main tuning parameter for boosting and controls the complexity of
the model. Larger values for mstop lead to larger and more complex models, while for smaller values the
complexity of the model is generally reduced. In our example the final model at iteration 1000 includes all
available variables as predictors for body fat, while the model at the optimal iteration 30 included only seven
predictors. Optimizing the stopping iteration usually leads to selecting the most influential predictors.
18
Table 4: An overview on the currently implemented families in mboost.
continuous response binary response count data ordered response censored data
Standard regression Gaussian
Median regression Laplace
Quantile regression QuantReg
Expectile regression ExprectReg
Robust regression Huber
Gamma regressiona GammaReg
Logistic regression Binomial
AdaBoost classification AdaExp
AUC regression AUC
Poisson regression Poisson
Negative binomial model NBinomial
Proportional odds model ProppOdds
Proportional hazards model CoxPH
Weibull AFTb model Weibull
Log-logistic AFTb model Loglog
Log-normal AFTb model Lognormal
a
for non-negative continuous response
b
accelerated failure time
The corresponding negative gradient is simply (y − f ) whose definition can be displayed on the screen via
R> slot(Gaussian(),"ngradient")
function (y, f, w = 1)
y - f
If we are interested in the median of the conditional distribution, the Laplace() family is the right choice. It
implements a distribution free, median regression approach especially useful for long-tailed error distributions.
In this case, we use the L1 loss defined as
ρ(y, f ) = |y − f |
and shown in Figure 9(b). Note that the L1 loss is not differentiable at y = f and the value of the negative
gradient at such points is fixed at zero.
A compromise between the L1 and the L2 loss is the Huber loss function shown in Figure 10(a). It is
defined as (
(y − f )2 /2 if |y − f | ≤ δ,
ρ(y, f ; δ) =
δ(|y − f | − δ/2) if |y − f | > δ
where the parameter δ limits the outliers which are subject to absolute error loss. The Huber loss can be
seen as a robust alternative to the L2 loss. The user can either specify δ subjectively, e.g. Huber(d = 2),
or leave it adaptively chosen by the boosting algorithm (the default behaviour). An adaptive specification
of δ, proposed by Friedman (2001), means that each boosting step produces a new δ [m] matching the actual
median of the absolute values of the residuals, i.e.
δ [m] = median yi − fˆ[m−1] (xi ) , i = 1, . . . , n .
Another alternative for settings with continuous response is modeling conditional quantiles through quantile
regression (Koenker 2005) – implemented in mboost with the QuantReg() family (Fenske et al. 2011). The
main advantage of quantile regression is (beyond its robustness towards outliers) that it does not rely on
any distributional assumptions on the response or the error terms. The appropriate loss function here is
the check-function shown in Figure 10(b). For the special case of the 0.5 quantile both QuantReg(0.5) and
Laplace() will lead to median regression. A detailed description of the loss function of quantile regression
is given in the Appendix.
19
2.0
4
1.5
3
1.0
2
ρ
0.5
1
0.0
0
−2 −1 0 1 2 −2 −1 0 1 2
y−f y−f
Figure 9: The loss function allows flexible specification of the link between the response and the covariates.
The figure on the left hand side illustrates the L2 loss (the default in mboost), the figure on the
right hand side shows the L1 loss function.
We reproduce the model of the original publication (Garcia et al. 2005), but instead of modeling the mean
we focus on the median:
R> ## Same model as glm1 but now with QuantReg() family
R> glm3 <- glmboost(DEXfat ~ hipcirc + kneebreadth + anthro3a, data = bodyfat,
+ family = QuantReg(tau = 0.5), control = boost_control(mstop = 500))
R> coef(glm3, off2int = TRUE)
Comparing the results to those of model glm1 shows that hipcirc and anthro3a have almost the same
influence on the mean as on the median, yet, the magnitude of the effect of kneebreadth is considerably
smaller in glm3. One should note that mstop generally needs to be larger for quantile regression, as the single
updates are smaller than in the mean regression case. For a discussion see the Appendix.
where ỹ = 2y − 1 and π(f ) = P(Y = 1|x). For reasons of computational efficiency the binary response
y ∈ {0, 1} is converted into ỹ = 2y − 1 where ỹ ∈ {−1, 1}. In equation (4), ỹf are the so-called margin
values (depicted in Figure 11) which are, roughly speaking, the equivalent of the continuous residuals y − f
for the binomial case. This internal re-coding14 means that the negative binomial log-likelihood loss (family
= Binomial()) and the exponential loss (family = AdaExp()) coincide in their population minimizer (see
Bühlmann and Hothorn 2007, Section 3).
Note that the transformation ỹ = 2y − 1 changes the interpretation of the effect estimates because now
we get the half of the log-odds ratio. One implication is that the coef() output is half the estimates that
result from glm(). This means that the user has to double the coefficients manually in order to get the final
standard estimates of a logistic regression model.
20
2.0
2.0
δ τ
0.2 0.5
0.5 0.6
1 0.7
2 0.8
1.5
1.5
10 0.9
1.0
1.0
ρ
ρ
0.5
0.5
0.0
0.0
−2 −1 0 1 2 −2 −1 0 1 2
y−f y−f
Figure 10: The Huber loss function on the left hand side is useful when robustness is a concern. In mboost
it adaptively changes the limit for L1 penalization of outliers when d = NULL (the default). The
figure on right hand side illustrates several examples of the check function loss with different
quantiles (tau = 0.5 is the default).
loss
Binomial
AdaExp
6
4
ρ
2
0
−2 −1 0 1 2
~
yf
Figure 11: The Binomial and the AdaExp families as functions of the marginal values ỹf . Since ỹ ∈ {−1, 1},
a positive product between ỹ and half the estimated log-odds ratio f means correct classification.
However, mboost automatically doubles the logits prior to the reverse probability transformation. This
means that calling predict(fit, newdata, type = "response") produces the final probability estima-
tions. In addition to the logit model, the user can also estimate probit models using family = Binomial(link
= "probit").
Alternatively one can also use the exponential loss function ρ(y, f ) = exp(−ỹf ) (family = AdaExp()).
This essentially leads to the famous AdaBoost algorithm by Freund and Schapire (1996). As can be seen in
Figure 11, this loss function is similar to Binomial().
21
implement families for censored data. CoxPH() implements the Cox proportional hazards model while the
other three families specify accelerated failure time (AFT) models (see Schmid and Hothorn 2008a, for further
details).
4 Summary
The R package mboost offers an easy entry into the world of boosting. It implements a model-based boosting
approach that results in interpretable structured additive models of the same form most researchers will feel
familiar with. The interfaces of fitting functions are quite similar to standard implementations like lm() or
glm() and are hence relatively easy to use. However, the fitting algorithms of mboost additionally offer a
high flexibility when it comes to the effect type of potential predictors and the type of risk function to be
optimized. There exist a large number of pre-defined families for various risk functions as well as a large
number of pre-defined base-learners to specify various types of effects. As mboost has a modular nature,
both can be combined in any form as desired by the user: For many model classes, mboost therefore offers
much more modeling alternatives than the classical fitting algorithms. Additionally, the user can also easily
extend mboost by implementing new families or base-learners.
As seen in the case study, many functions for the manipulation and extraction of the results are available.
These allow the user to fit, tune and finally interpret the model. We note that the present tutorial has been
designed as an introduction to the basic functionalities of the mboost package, highlighting its usage from
a practical perspective. Readers who are interested in further illustrations, as well as in a more technical
description of the mboost package, are referred to the package manual and the vignettes that are found at
http://cran.r-project.org/package=mboost or in R via vignette(package = "mboost").
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Appendix: Building Your Own Family
Via the constructor function Family(), in mboost there exists an easy way for the user to set up new families.
The main required arguments are the loss to be minimized and the negative gradient (ngradient) of the
loss. The risk is then commonly defined as the sum of the loss over all observations.
which is depicted in Figure 10(b). The loss for our new family is therefore given as:
R> loss = function(y, f) tau * (y - f) * ((y - f) >= 0) +
+ (tau - 1) * (y - f) * ((y - f) < 0)
The check-function is not differentiable at the point 0. However in practice, as the response is continuous,
we can ignore this by defining:
∂ρτ (yi , fτ i ) τ (yi − fτ i ) ≥ 0
− =
∂f τ − 1 (yi − fτ i ) < 0.
To try our new family we go back to the case study regarding the prediction of body fat. First, we reproduce
the model for the median, computed with the pre-defined QuantReg() family (see Section 3.4.1), to show
that our new family delivers the same results:
15 The unused weights argument w is required to exist by mboost when the function is (internally) called. It is hence ’specified’
as NULL.
25
R> ## Same model as glm3 but now with our new family
R> glm3b <- glmboost(DEXfat ~ hipcirc + kneebreadth + anthro3a, data = bodyfat,
+ family = OurQuantReg(tau = 0.5),
+ control = boost_control(mstop = 500))
R> identical(coef(glm3b), coef(glm3))
[1] TRUE
To get a better idea of the shape of the conditional distribution we model the median, and the 0.05 and
0.95 quantiles in a small, illustrative example containing only the predictor hipcirc:
R> glm4a <- glmboost(DEXfat ~ hipcirc, family = OurQuantReg(tau = 0.05), data = bodyfat,
+ control = boost_control(mstop = 2000))
R> glm4b <- glmboost(DEXfat ~ hipcirc, family = OurQuantReg(tau = 0.5), data = bodyfat,
+ control = boost_control(mstop = 2000))
R> glm4c <- glmboost(DEXfat ~ hipcirc, family = OurQuantReg(tau = 0.95), data = bodyfat,
+ control = boost_control(mstop = 2000))
Note that for different quantiles, fitting has to be carried out separately, as τ enters directly in the loss. It is
also important that fitting quantile regression generally requires higher stopping iterations than standard re-
gression with the L2 loss, as the negative gradients which are fitted to the base-learners are vectors containing
only small values, i.e., τ and 1 − τ .
R> ord <- order(bodyfat$hipcirc) ## order the data to avoid problems when plotting
R> plot(bodyfat$hipcirc[ord], bodyfat$DEXfat[ord]) ## observed data
R> lines(bodyfat$hipcirc[ord], fitted(glm4a)[ord], lty = 2, lwd = 2) ## 0.05 quantile
R> lines(bodyfat$hipcirc[ord], fitted(glm4b)[ord], lty = 1, lwd = 2) ## median
R> lines(bodyfat$hipcirc[ord], fitted(glm4c)[ord], lty = 2, lwd = 2) ## 0.95 quantile
60
50
bodyfat$DEXfat[ord]
40
30
20
10
bodyfat$hipcirc[ord]
Figure 12: Resulting quantile regression lines, for the median (solid line) and the 0.95 and 0.05 quantiles
(upper and lower dashed lines).
The resulting plot (see Figure 12) shows how quantile regression can be used to get a better impression of the
whole conditional distribution function in a regression setting. In this case, the upper and lower quantiles are
not just parallel lines to the median regression line but adapt nicely to the slight heteroscedasticity found in
this data example: For smaller values of hipcirc the range between the quantiles is smaller than for higher
values. Note that the outer quantile-lines can be interpreted as prediction intervals for new observations
(Meinshausen 2006; Mayr et al. 2012c). For more on quantile regression in the context of boosting we refer
to Fenske et al. (2011).
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