C2es Cop29 Summary
C2es Cop29 Summary
SUMMARY
Dubbed the “finance COP” for the milestone adoption transition work programme. And despite a February 10,
of a New Collective Quantified Goal on climate finance 2025, deadline for new nationally determined contribu-
(NCQG), the United Nations Framework Convention on tions (NDCs),1 the conference delivered relatively weak
Climate Change (UNFCCC) 29th Conference of Par- signals on the need for ambitious and urgent greenhouse
ties (COP29) held in Baku, Azerbaijan, achieved some gas emissions reductions.
success but left a number of important issues open. More Some other key outcomes from COP29 included:
specifically, COP29 delivered on its two main objectives. • a decision on the mitigation work programme
The first was agreement on a new climate finance goal: (MWP) that lacks the strong references to the out-
developed countries will take the lead in mobilizing at comes of the COP28 GST that many countries were
least U.S. $300 billion per year by 2035 for climate action pushing for
in all developing countries. However, the new U.S. $300
• additional guidance for the indicators under the
billion goal fell short of what many hoped for and was
United Arab Emirates (UAE) Framework for Global
decried as inadequate by some developing countries after
Climate Resilience and the establishment of the
adoption. In response, COP29 launched a process—the
Baku High-Level Dialogue on Adaptation
“Baku to Belém Roadmap to 1.3T”—that aims to scale up
• finalization of the arrangements for the Fund for
public and private finance to U.S. $1.3 trillion for devel-
responding to Loss and Damage, so that it can begin
oping countries, including through grants and non-debt
disbursing funds in 2025
creating instruments. This will likely be a major focus
ahead of COP30. • launch of the Baku Harmoniya Climate Initiative for
Farmers
COP29 also delivered on its second objective: finaliz-
ing outstanding elements of the Paris Agreement’s imple- • renewal of the enhanced Lima Work Programme on
menting guidance needed to fully operationalize carbon Gender for a period of ten years
markets under Article 6 of the Paris Agreement. • renewal of the mandate of the Marrakech Partner-
Aside from these successes, Parties failed to adopt ship for Global Climate Action and UN Climate
a decision on how to take forward the global stocktake Change High-Level Champions until 2030.
(GST) outcomes agreed at COP28 or to advance the just
FURTHER DETAILS ON KEY OUTCOMES OF COP29
NEW COLLECTIVE QUANTIFIED GOAL ON CLIMATE The NCQG also incorporates efforts to at least triple
FINANCE annual outflows from a 2022 baseline from the operating
entities of the UNFCCC Financial Mechanism by 2030.6
Key outcomes: The operating entities include the Fund for responding
to Loss and Damage, Green Climate Fund, Global Envi-
• an NCQG comprising: ronment Facility, Special Climate Change Fund, Adapta-
– raising at least U.S. $300 billion per year by tion Fund, and Least Developed Countries Fund.7
2035 for all developing countries
The U.S. $300 billion goal, however, is not sufficient
– a call for all actors to increase climate to raise the finance needed for developing countries to
financing from all sources to developing implement their NDCs, which is estimated to be between
countries to at least U.S. $1.3 trillion per U.S. $455–584 billion per year until 2030.8 Recognizing
year by 2035 this shortfall, a second piece of the NCQG is a target to
– a roadmap process to elaborate the pathway scale up financing from all public and private sources to
to raising U.S. $1.3 trillion. developing countries to at least U.S. $1.3 trillion per year
by 2035.9 This target’s calculation includes all public and
After three years of deliberations, Parties concluded private sources of finance; as such, there is no differentia-
negotiations on the NCQG on climate finance.2 The tion between developed and developing countries for the
NCQG comprises several pieces. One is a goal of mobiliz- provision or mobilization of finance. This novel climate
ing at least U.S. $300 billion per year for climate action financing configuration is evocative of the goal of the
in developing countries by 2035, with developed coun- Paris Agreement to make all finance flows consistent
tries taking the lead in providing and mobilizing these with a pathway toward low greenhouse gas emissions and
funds for mitigation and adaptation action.3 This goal climate-resilient development.10 Key to the agreement of
updates and supersedes the U.S. $100 billion per year this target was the creation of the “Baku to Belém Road-
goal set at COP15 in 2009. Like that goal, the U.S. $300 map to $1.3T” (the Roadmap).11 The Roadmap is a new
billion component of the NCQG will count a wide variety process aimed at elaborating the pathway to increasing
of sources “public and private, bilateral and multilateral, climate finance for developing countries for implementa-
including alternative sources.”4 However, this notably tion, including through grants, concessional loans, and
also includes the possibility of recognizing “all climate- non-debt creating instruments. The Azerbaijani COP29
related outflows and climate-related finance mobilized Presidency and incoming Brazilian COP30 Presidency
by multilateral development banks,”5 which encompasses will work together, in consultation with Parties, to deliver
outflows attributable to contributions from developed a report on the Roadmap at COP30.12
and developing countries as well as some non-Parties. Other noteworthy outcomes in the NCQG decision
include:
• a review of the implementation of the new goal as
part of the global stocktake process (the second
global stocktake will conclude in 2028)13
• encouragement for developing country Parties to
make voluntary contributions toward the U.S. $300
billion annual goal, including through South-South
cooperation14
• calls for international financial institutions and mul-
tilateral climate funds to adopt recommended mea-
sures to improve effectiveness, address debt burdens,
and enhance access to sources of climate finance15
• a mandate to produce a special assessment on ac-
Huddle at the COP29 closing plenary session. cess to climate finance for developing countries in
Photo: UN Climate Change - Habib Samadov
2030.16
Key Negotiations & Related Outcomes of the UN Climate Change Conference in Baku 3
Article 6.8 establishes a framework for collaborative cess the resources to prepare their BTRs. The UNFCCC
non-market approaches (NMAs) to support Parties in Secretariat and the GEF will organize a workshop for
achieving their NDC targets through holistic mitigation developing countries to share experiences in preparing
approaches that include adaptation, technology trans- their first BTRs in June 2025.28
fer, finance, and capacity building. The COP29 decision
adopts guidance for carrying out the second phase of ADAPTATION
the work programme under Article 6.8, including the
nomination of focal points and submissions to the NMA
Key outcomes:
Platform, a database that requires international coopera-
tion.22 Parties emphasized that more support in develop- • the GGA as a standing agenda item after
ing and implementing NMAs and further engagement COP30
with a broad range of non-Party stakeholders is needed. • a Baku Adaptation Road Map for implement-
ing the UAE Framework for Global Climate
TRANSPARENCY Resilience
• a Baku high-level dialogue on adaptation in the
margins of future COPs.
Key outcome:
• a June 2025 workshop for developing coun-
Article 7.1 of the Paris Agreement established the global
tries to share their experiences in accessing
goal on adaptation (GGA) to elevate the importance of
resources to prepare their first biennial trans-
adaptation and provide a guiding framework to enhance
parency reports (BTRs).
adaptive capacity, strengthen resilience, and reduce vul-
nerability to climate change.29 Parties at COP28 agreed
Article 13 of the Paris Agreement sets out the Enhanced on the UAE Framework on Global Climate Resilience
Transparency Framework (ETF), through which all Par- (UAE Framework) to guide efforts to achieve the GGA
ties must regularly submit BTRs—documents setting out and monitor its progress. The framework aims to reduce
important national climate information and progress. the growing impacts, risks, and vulnerabilities of climate
BTRs are a key piece of the Paris Agreement’s five-year change, while also enhancing adaptation action and sup-
ambition cycle and are vital in tracking action and prog- port and sets out thematic targets to be achieved by 2030.
ress toward NDC implementation.23 Parties also launched work under the UAE-Belém Work
Transparency was a key priority of the Azerbaijani Programme to agree on indicators to measure progress
COP29 Presidency, which pushed for Parties to submit achieved toward the UAE Framework that are expected
their first BTRs and launched the Baku Global Climate to be adopted at COP30.
Transparency Platform (BTP). The BTP will support de- The COP29 decision makes the GGA a standing agen-
veloping countries in preparing their BTRs and encour- da item for future Subsidiary Body (SB) and Conference
age universal participation in the ETF.24 of Parties serving as the Meeting of Parties to the Paris
The deadline for Parties to submit their first BTRs was Agreement (CMA) meetings beginning in June 2026.30
December 31, 2024, with the exception of small island Parties also set forth additional guidance for the expert
developing states (SIDS) and least developed countries work to refine the UAE Framework indicators, aiming to
(LDCs) which may provide this information at their conclude identification of a list of 100 or fewer indicators
discretion.25 A total of 85 Parties successfully submitted by June 2025.31
BTRs in accordance with the December 31 deadline. As Two new processes were launched: the Baku Adapta-
of publication, 90 Parties had submitted BTRs, including tion Road Map and the Baku high-level dialogue on
17 G20 members.26 adaptation. The Baku Adaptation Road Map aims to sup-
At COP29, transparency negotiations focused on the port progress under Article 7.1 of the Paris Agreement
provision of financial and technical support to develop- and help implement the UAE Framework. This includes:
ing countries for reporting and capacity building.27 Par- sharing knowledge and information, contributing to fu-
ties acknowledged the efforts of the Global Environment ture GSTs, improving understanding of regional climate
Facility (GEF) to streamline processes to help Parties ac- risks and impacts, and identifying adaptation gaps and
Key Negotiations & Related Outcomes of the UN Climate Change Conference in Baku 5
support system under the UNFCCC and the Paris Agree- tions refining the procedural and logistical elements of
ment and explores how it can more effectively support the overall GST process based on experience from the
developing countries in addressing and responding to first GST.44 Parties also postponed this work until June
L&D. They also did not reach an agreement on the joint 2025, unable to agree on key issues, such as whether
annual report of the WIM Executive Committee and the and how to ask the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Santiago Network, which together guide coordination, Change (IPCC) to consider shifting its assessment report
enhance action and support, and produce knowledge cycle to inform future GSTs.
products and technical assistance on L&D.39 Third, Parties were expected to adopt a report on
the June 2024 GST dialogue to facilitate the sharing
TAKING FORWARD THE OUTCOMES OF THE of knowledge and good practice on how the outcomes
GLOBAL STOCKTAKE of GST are informing the preparation of Parties’ next
NDCs.45 Parties were unable to agree on whether to
include reference to key messages and the new NDCs due
Key outcomes:
in 2025 and will revisit discussion in Belém.
• no decision on the UAE Dialogue on imple-
menting the GST outcomes
JUST TRANSITION
• no decision on refining the GST (“procedural
and logistical elements of the global stocktake
process”) Key outcomes:
• no agreement on consideration of the report of • a High-Level Ministerial Round Table on Just
the annual GST dialogue to facilitate the shar- Transition
ing of knowledge and good practices on how • postponed work on the UAE Just Transition
the outcomes of the GST are informing the Work Programme (JTWP) until June 2025.
preparation of Parties’ next NDCs.
Key Negotiations & Related Outcomes of the UN Climate Change Conference in Baku 7
FEATURES OF NDCS
Key outcomes:
• no agreement on guidance on features of
NDCs
• guidance for features of NDCs to be consid-
ered in 2026.
OTHER MATTERS
• A little over 54,000 participants representing governments, business, and civil society registered to attend
COP29.75 Of those, 26,858 were Parties; 11,576 people participated on behalf of UN units and bodies, the Global
Climate Action Agenda, other specialized agencies and related organizations, intergovernmental organizations,
and non-governmental organizations. While COP28 saw over nearly 84,000 participants, COP30, like COP29, is
likely to be significantly smaller in terms of in-person participants.
• During the second week of COP29, the Presidency hosted an open-ended, single session “Qurultay,” described as
an “official gathering for collective and united decision-making on a path forward.” Ministers and delegates used
this space to react to new texts proposed by the Presidency.
• In support of the Climate Action Agenda and to provide pathways for global actors to collectively commit to en-
hanced ambition across key climate priorities, the COP29 Presidency led a number of declarations and pledges,
including the:76
– COP29 Truce Appeal
– COP29 Global Energy Storage and Grids Pledge
– COP29 Green Energy Zones and Corridors Pledge
– COP29 Hydrogen Declaration
– COP29 Declaration on Green Digital Action
– COP29 Declaration on Reducing Methane from Organic Waste
– COP29 Multisectoral Action Pathways Declaration to Resilient and Healthy Cities
– COP29 Declaration on Enhanced Action in Tourism
– COP29 Declaration on Water for Climate Action.
• Other COP29 Presidency initiatives included the Baku Initiative on Human Development for Climate Resil-
ience77 and the COP29 Baku Ocean Declaration.78
FUTURE SESSIONS
• Negotiations will resume at the annual mid-year meeting of the UNFCCC subsidiary bodies to be held in Bonn,
Germany on June 16–26, 2025.
• Brazil will host COP30 on November 10–21, 2025, in the city of Belém.
• The host of COP31 in 2026 is yet to be confirmed. Both Türkiye and Australia have offered themselves as pro-
spective hosts.
Key Negotiations & Related Outcomes of the UN Climate Change Conference in Baku 9
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The New Collective Quantified Goal on Climate Finance: Elements for Consideration
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The Center for Climate and Energy Solutions (C2ES) is an independent, nonpartisan, nonprofit organization working to secure
a safe and stable climate by accelerating the global transition to net-zero greenhouse gas emissions and a thriving, just, and
resilient economy.
Key Negotiations & Related Outcomes of the UN Climate Change Conference in Baku 15