Decision-Making Model
Decision-Making Model
Introduction
II / Decision-Making Models
Conclusion
Introduction
The decision can be defined as a process leading to a choice among several.
choice can be good or bad, it results that the decision is too. Furthermore,
the importance of decision-making for a company is clearly noticeable as much
more than if it is poorly conducted, its consequences will be negative.
Thus, in the continuation of our presentation that addresses decision-making, we will strive to
highlight what decision-making is and what it involves.
Our approach will initially consist of listing the types of decisions, then the
decision models, then to determine the process that is generally affiliated with decision making
of decision as well as the tools associated with it.
a) Short-term decisions
These are common decisions whose effect is short-term. These are the decisions
easily reversible in case of error.
b) Medium-term decisions
They engage the company for a period ranging from 1 to 5 years. They are also
reversible but at a higher cost for the company than in the context of a decision
short term.
c) Long-term decisions
They provide guidelines on the company's long-term activities. They are
difficult to reverse.
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a) Operational decisions
These are everyday decisions. They can be made at all levels of.
responsibility. It is often about repetitive decisions with immediate effect and whose
the result is known in advance.
b) Tactical decisions
They are also called administrative. They concern the management of resources.
the company that is to say the resolution of problems, the coherent and optimal distribution of
factors of production. They can be decentralized. They are at the crossroads of
operational decisions and strategic decisions.
c) Strategic decisions
They determine the general direction of the company. They are mainly made based on
information comes from the company's environment. They are taken at the level of the
general management and are not decentralized. They have a non-repetitive nature and are
often irreversible.
3/ Ranking by structure
Decisions can be classified according to the method used by the decision-maker to make their choice.
The decision may be the result of a predetermined procedure. In this case, we are talking about
programmable decision. It can also result from an exceptional event: we speak of
non-programmable decision. In non-programmable decisions, we distinguish between
structured decisions, that is to say those whose parameters are roughly identified and the
weakly structured decisions in which the parameters are numerous and complex.
When decisions are weakly structured, with a resolution process
uncontrolled predetermined, the manager must rely on his judgment ability, to his
intuition and its experience. We speak of heuristic approach.
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II / Decision-Making Models
This section aims to present the different decision-making models as well as their scope
and limits. By models we do not want to hear 'objects of imitation' but rather
simplified representation. These different models are: the single-rational model, the model
organizational, the political model and the so-called 'garbage can' anarchic model.
a) Presentation
The organization is identified with a single, homogeneous, rational actor, self-aware.
and its environment, endowed with stable objectives and/or preferences.
The decision is likened to the reasoning of a single actor (individual or collective) whose
conduct is said to be rational as it seeks to maximize the achievement of its ends, by
using the means at his disposal. The degree of purity or sophistication of this
rationality can be very variable depending on the actors and the situations, but it is a
monorationality that excludes any conflict over objectives and how to decide.
the decision-making process summarizes to a series of logically linked steps:
Problem formulation;
Identification and explanation of all possible actions;
Evaluation of each action by criteria derived from the objectives or the
preferences ;
Choice of the optimal solution.
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On the other hand, the monorational system assumes that the observed changes are the
results of the voluntary and free choices of this individual or collective decision-maker. As a result, he denies
the existence of conflicts and the strategies of individuals and groups. Finally, this model assumes
that there is a direct relationship between the importance given to a decision when it is made and
the importance of these results. This principle, according to which great effects are produced by
great causes, is unfortunately often contradicted by the mono-rational model
the experience.
a) Presentation
The organization is made up of sub-units; each sub-unit has its own rules and
procedures that are specific to it, which condition its perception and guide its behavior.
The entire set of these sub-units is overseen by a management that assigns them objectives.
sub-units treat these objectives as constraints, and therefore try to formulate them
as according to the known schemes on which they can apply rules and procedures
standard. As a result, the sub-units tend to simplify complex situations and
original to simple situations, easily interpretable and close to situations already
encountered. The procedures involve conducting research until the first
satisfactory solution that is to say one whose level of performance is considered acceptable by
the management. This solution is adopted, and the search for other solutions is then halted.
Thus, most of the solutions found have already been used previously to solve
other problems and new solutions are sought only when the solutions
old ones are not likely to solve the problem.
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It poorly explains the phenomena of innovation and sudden change as it is based on
on the hypothesis that choices are conditioned by structures and the
existing procedures;
It is vague on how the subunits interact, on their integration and
the role of management, on how structures and procedures are defined;
in other words, the model remains modest on the question of power;
He too easily admits that the rules are followed to the letter and does not take
sufficiently taking into account the stakes and strategies of the organization's members by
concerning management procedures and tools.
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well designed. However, its use is complex, as it requires a lot
information.
Its limits are of two kinds:
By emphasizing particular strategies, this model tends to obscure the fact that the
rules and structures, within which these strategies are exercised, are also
power instruments. Thus a large part of the resources available to
actors to influence decisions (authority, budget, study staff) depends on
organizational decisions that are not addressed in basic models.
He also neglects the existence of elements that transcend strategies.
particular: common values, projects, identity. All these elements can guide
the action more surely than any negotiation process, as they can exist in
out of any discussion.
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b) Scope and limits
It should be noted from these different models that their implementation in practice is very complex.
and as we have pointed out, taken individually they have limitations. Thus, for a
greater efficiency and for practical needs it will often prove more suitable
to associate them in order to make better decisions.
The decision-making process encompasses all the phases that must lead to the making of
decision and its control. The SIMON process distinguishes 4 phases that must be
add the control phase.
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2/ The modeling or design phase
The problem being posed, we seek to design and formulate all possible avenues.
offers to its resolution. It is said that alternatives for solutions are being surveyed.
These are the tools or instruments that the manager uses in the context of decision making.
programmable. Their choice depends on the problem at hand, the parameters that it
define and the eventualities associated with the decision that must be made. They can be classified into
4 categories according to the increasing level of uncertainty. The 4 situations are: situation in the future
certain, uncertain future situation, uncertain future situation and conflicting situation.
The decision-maker knows precisely the future events or the economic events.
futures. He can foresee the consequences of his choice. But these are very rare cases.
company. These are most often short-term operational decisions. The tools
generally used are:
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Linear programming
The stock management model in a certain future
The discounting technique to assess the profitability of an investment
Value analysis for the design of new products
The decision-maker has an understanding of various eventualities related to their decision. This
The decision-maker has less information than in the case of the random situation. He cannot
so do not assign probabilities of occurrence to the different events.
The decisions to be made in such a case depend on the characteristics of the manager:
If he is cautious or pessimistic or risk-averse, he uses the method of resolutions.
Maximin
If he is ambitious or optimistic or a risk-taker, he uses the maximax.
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CONCLUSION
Here we are at the end of our work, during which we have presented in turn the
types of decisions, decision models, the process most related to decision making and
decision support tools.
We can conclude that decision-making is a complex process that integrates a
high number of variables which is not always entirely logical. Furthermore, it
it would be wrong to think that one model or another alone represents it best. But
The combination of these different models provides the closest appearance to reality.
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