Developing Building Renovation Strategies
Topics covered
Developing Building Renovation Strategies
Topics covered
Editing team
Oliver Rapf
Marine Faber
Ingeborg Nolte
Contributions
Renée Bruel
Patty Fong
Eoin Lees
Graphic Design
Lies Verheyen - Mazout.nu
Copyright 2013, Buildings Performance Institute Europe (BPIE). Any reproduction in full or in part of this
publication must mention the full title and author and credit BPIE as the copyright owner. All rights reserved.
ISBN: 9789491143076
A GUIDE TO DEVELOPING STRATEGIES
FOR BUILDING ENERGY RENOVATION
Delivering the Energy Efficiency Directive Article 4 requirements
on long term strategies for mobilising investment in renovation of
national building stocks
INTRODUCTION 5
PART 1 6
PART 2 18
DEVELOPING THE RENOVATION STRATEGY 18
CONCLUDING REMARKS 29
EED replaces two previous directives on energy services and cogeneration1. It seeks to promote energy
efficiency across the European Union and was developed in order to help deliver the EU’s 20% headline
target on energy efficiency by 2020, as well as to pave the way for further improvements thereafter. EED
contains a number of measures designed to deliver energy savings across all sectors, from overall national
energy efficiency targets to the setting of energy efficiency obligations on energy companies.
Alongside EED, the Energy Performance of Buildings Directive (EPBD, 2010/31/EU)2, recast in 2010, sets
out numerous requirements including energy performance certification of buildings, inspection regimes
for boilers and air conditioning plants, and requirements for new buildings to be nearly zero energy.
EPBD sets minimum energy performance standards for buildings undergoing renovation.
Together, EED and EPBD provide a framework for Member States to drive the reduction of energy use in
buildings, thereby delivering a range of economic, environmental, societal and energy security benefits.
This paper focuses on one of the most significant elements of the EED targeting the building sector,
namely Article 4 on Building Renovation, which requires that Member States:
Such a renovation strategy supports and reinforces many of the requirements set out in EED and EPBD,
as demonstrated in Part 2.
BPIE has prepared this Guide in order to assist Member States in the process of developing their renovation
strategies and in particular the first versions which are to be published by 30th April 2014. This Guide is
structured as follows:
• In Part 1, we set out the multiple benefits that arise from improving the energy performance
of buildings and highlight the existence of numerous challenges and barriers to the achievement
of the potential benefits. In light of the wide ranging benefits, and given the significant challenges
facing sustainable energy investments, we then argue the case for Member States to be visionary
in setting out a long term strategy for building stock renovation;
• In Part 2, we describe the strategy development process in detail, including a description of the
5 key phases and a suggested list of actions Member States could take to underpin the strategy;
• Concluding remarks reiterate the key objectives of a renovation strategy;
• Annex 1 sets out the specific requirements contained in Article 4 of the Energy Efficiency Directive;
• Annex 2 sets out the key steps and information requirements for undertaking the technical and
economic appraisal of the renovation potential in the building stock;
• Reference material is provided in Annex 3.
1
http://ec.europa.eu/energy/efficiency/eed/eed_en.htm
2
http://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=CELEX:32010L0031:EN:NOT
For individual households, current energy bills typically range between €1000-1800 per annum,
equivalent to around 1 month of median annual income, as illustrated in Figure 1. The increased
disposable income that is generated through reduced expenditure on energy utilities leads to
increased expenditure on other goods and services, producing economy-wide benefits.
3
http://bpie.eu/eu_buildings_under_microscope.html
4
Assessing the Multiple Benefits of Clean Energy: A Resource for States (2010). http://epa.gov/statelocalclimate/documents/pdf/epa_assessing_
benefits.pdf
2,000
1,800
Euros per year per household
1,600
1,400 Figures in
brackets indicate
1,200
the median
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• Economic stimulus. In order to achieve the energy cost savings of €1300bn identified earlier, a
total investment of €940bn (present value) over the period to 2050 would be required to cover
the cost of materials as well as labour. This would be a significant, valuable and lasting boost to
the construction sector in particular, given the prevailing economic difficulties in many European
markets. The employment generated could be on average as much as 1.1 million net additional
jobs throughout the period to 2050. (source - BPIE)
5
http://epa.gov/statelocalclimate/documents/pdf/epa_assessing_benefits_ch1.pdf#page=11
6
“Energy Efficiency in Buildings”, World Business Council for Sustainable Development, 2008
7
http://ec.europa.eu/energy/efficiency/eed/doc/2011_directive/sec_2011_0779_impact_assessment.pdf
8
BuildingRating.org, an initiative backed by The Institute for Market Transformation and the Natural Resources Defense Council in the US,
lists in excess of 15 studies from Australia, Europe and the US which attest to this phenomenon (http://www.buildingrating.org/content/efficiency-
property-value)
9 “
The Value of Energy Labels in the European Office Market”, Kok & Jennen, 2011 (http://nilskok.typepad.com/KJ/KJ_NL_220511.pdf )
10
http://www.renovate-europe.eu/uploads/Multiple%20benefits%20of%20EE%20renovations%20in%20buildings%20-%20Full%20report%20
and%20appendix.pdf
11
http://www.kfw.de/kfw/en/KfW_Group/Research/PDF-Files/STE_Research_Report.pdf
Figure 3 – Energy bill import dependency in 25 EU Member States (Source – IEA, Eurostat)
United Kingdom
Czech Republic
Luxembourg
Netherlands
Lithuania
Denmark
Germany
Romania
Hungary
Portugal
Slovenia
Belgium
Slovakia
Bulgaria
Sweden
Finland
Estonia
Austria
Greece
Ireland
Poland
Cyprus
France
Latvia
Malta
Spain
Italy
-10
-20
Billion euros
-30
-40
-50
-60
-70
-80
12
“The benefit from reduced energy import bills and the importance of energy prices in GHG reduction scenarios” (http://www.sciencedirect.com/
science/article/pii/S0140988311003057)
13
http://blog.ewea.org/2011/10/eu-energy-import-bill-amounted-to-e355-billion-in-2010/
14
http://www.worldenergyoutlook.org/publications/weo-2012/
15
http://www.seai.ie/Publications/Statistics_Publications/EPSSU_Publications/The_Case_for_Sustainable_Energy.pdf
• Health. Closely allied to reducing fuel poverty are the health benefits from warmer homes with
fewer cold spots & draughts, less condensation/mould and improved indoor air quality. Copenhagen
Economics estimate that the health benefits from energy retrofits could be worth more than the
value of the saving in energy costs – see Figure 4. However, they acknowledge that the value of the
health benefits is subject to considerable uncertainty.
Another estimate from the UK Chief Medical Officer puts the saving to the National Health Service
at £0.42 for every £1 invested in keeping homes warm, but notes that this figure is an underestimate
since it does not include additional spending by social services, or economic losses through missed
work18.
Figure 4 – Annual gross benefits to society from energy efficient renovation of buildings (2020)
(Source – Copenhagen Economics)
120
100
42 5
80
4 6
60
40 5 75
20 52
0
Low EE scenario High EE scenario
Energy savings Reduced outlay on subsidies Reduced air pollution Health benefits
16
http://www.fuel-poverty.org/files/WP5_D15_EN.pdf
17
http:// www.consumerfocus.org.uk/files/2012/11/Jobs-growth-and-warmer-homes-November-2012.pdf
18
http://www.instituteofhealthequity.org/projects/the-health-impacts-of-cold-homes-and-fuel-poverty
19
Ibid.
20
http://gpichub.org/activities/policy/projects/indoor-environmental-quality-occupant-behavior/lighting/sub-folder/indoor-air/thermal-comfort/
productivity-job-satisfaction
21
Lan, L., Z. Lian, and L. Pan. “The effects of air temperature on office workers’well-being, workload and productivity-evaluated with subjective rat-
ings;” Applied Ergonomics. (2003)
The importance of the building sector in achieving carbon savings is amply illustrated by the
analysis of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), as presented in Figure 5. In all
world regions, and at all carbon prices up to at least US$100/tonne of CO2 equivalent, buildings
hold the greatest potential for cost effective carbon emission reductions.
Figure 5 – Comparison of cost effective CO2 reduction potential in 2030 by sector, at different
carbon prices (source - IPCC 2007)24
GtCO2-eq/yr
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
US$ / tCO2-eq
0
<1 0
00
0
<1 0
00
0
<1 0
00
0
<1 0
00
0
<1 0
00
0
<1 0
00
0
<1 0
00
<2
<5
<2
<5
<2
<5
<2
<5
<2
<5
<2
<5
<2
<5
22
Regulated energy use = heating, cooling, hot water and fixed lighting
23
Externalities derived from http://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/indicators/en35-external-costs-of-electricity-production-1
24
IPCC “Climate Change 2007: Mitigation of Climate Change”. NOTE – EIT = Economies in Transition; OECD includes most EU Member States
25
http://epa.gov/statelocalclimate/documents/pdf/epa_assessing_benefits_ch4.pdf
26
http://www.defra.gov.uk/publications/files/pb13378-air-pollution.pdf
SUMMARY OF BENEFITS:
The above discussion identifies the wide array of benefits that can be achieved as a result of renovating
buildings to higher energy performance standards. Some are tangible and readily quantifiable, while others
are less so and may be difficult to assign a monetary value, like the social cohesion and sense of civic pride
that comes with the renovation of an apartment block or a district which has undergone regeneration.
In evaluating their renovation strategies, Member States are advised to consider mechanisms whereby
the mismatch between the benefits experienced by individual investors and those that accrue to other
parties can be addressed. For example, providing funding for renovation activity could be seen as being
of strategic national importance in terms
of the savings it provides for public health
In undertaking the cost effectiveness appraisal of The expenditure and reduced social security
payments, in addition to being a cost
Green Deal and Energy Company Obligation, the UK
effective means of cutting energy import
Government took account of some of the associated bills and meeting climate commitments.
benefits of energy saving investments. In addition
to direct energy savings of £15bn, a further £10.6bn Put simply, renovating the
worth of quantified air quality, increased comfort and nation’s buildings improves
carbon reduction benefits were included33. the health and the wealth of its
citizens.
27
Figures derived from the European Environment Agency (http://ec.europa.eu/energy/wcm/fpis/ressources-ese/docs/2-2011_energy2020_en.pdf )
28
http://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=COM:2008:0772:FIN:EN:PDF
29
Assuming each power station has a 600 MW capacity, operating 7000 hours/a
30
Assuming each turbine has a 4MW capacity, operating 2300 hours/a
31
http://www.raponline.org/document/download/id/6103
32
http://epa.gov/statelocalclimate/documents/pdf/epa_assessing_benefits_ch1.pdf#page=11
33
http://www.decc.gov.uk/assets/decc/11/consultation/green-deal/5533-final-stage-impact-assessment-for-the-green-deal-a.pdf
Figure 6 – Main types of barrier encountered in building renovation (Adapted from BPIE 34)
Access to finance
Payback
expecta,ons
Financial Investment
horizon
Compe,ng
expenditure
Adequacy
of
price
signals
Regulatory
&
Planning
issues
Ins,tu,onal
Institutional & Administrative
BARRIERS Structural
Mul,ple
stakeholders
Informa,on
Awareness, advice & skills Awareness
of
benefits
Professional
skills
Landlord-‐tenant
Separation of expenditure and benefit
Investor-‐society
In designing renovation strategies, it is essential that Member States assess the particular barriers
affecting the renovation market in their country. Action to address these barriers must then be taken
if the strategy is to achieve the desired outcome and increase the propensity for building owners to
undertake deep renovation. These measures include, but are not limited to, new policies and regulatory
initiatives targeting particular building sectors, as well as removal of existing barriers which may be
holding back the renovation market.
It is important to tailor the policy response to the specific barriers affecting different market sectors.
Accordingly, the policy mix will need to encompass a range of measures that, collectively, address all
building categories, ownership profiles and tenures.
To reinforce the importance of this issue, Article 19 of the EED requires Member States to evaluate and
take appropriate measures to remove regulatory as well as non-regulatory barriers to energy efficiency.
34
http://bpie.eu/eu_buildings_under_microscope.html
Figure 7 – Example of how to develop a holistic policy response to barriers (Source – McKinsey)
Information flow
issues impact 4% of potential Home labeling and energy consumption
Transaction Research, procurement, and assessments Promote voluntary
standards/labeling
Structural
Capital outlay
Risk and Increase availability
uncertainty1 financing vehicles of financing vehicles
Awareness and Limited understanding of energy use Tax and other Provide incentives
Behavioral
The timeframe of 2050 is also consistent with typical replacement cycles of major building equipment
and components, which suggest that it will take 30-40 years to substantially renovate national building
stocks. This corresponds to a renovation rate of around 2.5-3% p.a., a significant increase from the
prevailing rates of around 1% p.a. in most countries, (as identified by BPIE’s 2011 survey).
Most renovation activity at the moment achieves only modest energy savings, perhaps 20-30%, but this
needs to increase to deep renovations of at least 60% if the full economic potential is to be realised.
The impact of different renovation pathways on the resulting energy and carbon savings was modelled
by BPIE in its 2011 publication “Europe’s buildings under the microscope”. This showed that only in those
scenarios where both the rate and the depth of renovation were substantially increased, alongside rapid
decarbonisation of the energy supply system, could the carbon saving ambition for the building sector
set out in the Commission’s 2050 Low Carbon Economy Roadmap be achieved.
The figures below and overleaf demonstrate the scale of the challenge in terms of ramping up activity
rates if the EU is to meet its long term CO2 saving ambition, derived from BPIE modelling. They illustrate,
firstly, that the depth of typical building renovation needs to shift from the majority currently being at a
“shallow” level (i.e. up to 30% energy saving) to either “deep” (i.e. 60-90% saving) or increasingly “nZEB”
(i.e. nearly zero-energy buildings, saving 90% or more) for the period 2020-2050.
Figure 8 – Required increase in renovation depth to achieve 90% CO2 saving (Source – BPIE model)
100%
90%
% renovation by depth
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0
35
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Figure 9 – Required increase in renovation rate to achieve 90% CO2 saving (Source – BPIE model)
3,0%
2,5%
Annual renovation rate
(% total floor area p.a.)
2,0%
Medium
1,5% Fast
1,0% Baseline
0,5%
0,0%
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
An effective building stock renovation strategy will engage building owners as well as the supply chain,
including the investment community. Member States need to consider the policy landscape that is
necessary in order to increase renovation activity, including removal of barriers that are currently holding
back investment.
In addition to the long term objective and interim milestones, the strategy should set out a detailed
plan of action for the next 5-10 years, focusing on the policies and measures that are needed to scale up
renovation activity and identifying priority sectors.
Efforts to increase the rate and depth of renovation will stimulate the development of new technologies
and techniques to deliver energy savings. Therefore, it is important to factor in the technological
dimension into the long term strategy, as well as the cost reductions that can be achieved through scaling
up activity levels. Thus, assumptions about the future costs and renovation potential must not be limited
by today’s technologies, construction techniques and costs.
In addition to setting a long term vision, a renovation strategy needs to be transformational and dynamic
in nature. The wider benefits arising from energy saving renovation need to be taken into account. At
the same time, the significant challenges, not least the issues of dealing with the inertia among building
owners and the classic tenant-landlord barrier, need to be addressed.
Some Member States have already set out a long term vision for the evolution of the building sector:
• France’s Plan Bâtiment Grenelle sets out an ambition to reduce carbon dioxide emissions from build-
ings by 50% by 202036
• In Germany’s National Energy Efficiency Action Plan, the stated vision is to achieve an almost climate
neutral building stock by 205037
• Denmark has a long tradition of active energy policy ever since the oil crises of the 1970s. In 2012,
widespread political support was secured for a further package of measures, including building retro-
fitting, that brings the country closer to the ultimate goal of eliminating fossil fuel use in the energy
and transport sectors by 2050.38
36
http://www.legrenelle-environnement.fr/leplanbatimentgrenelle
37
http://www.bmwi.de/English/Redaktion/Pdf/zweiter-nationaler-energieeffizienz-aktionsplan-der-brd
38
http://www.ens.dk/Documents/Netboghandel%20-%20publikationer/2013/Energy%20Policy%20in%20Denmark.pdf
Figure 10 illustrates the main phases including the key steps within each phase
Given the EU delivery deadline of April 2014, Member States are advised to commence their renovation
strategy development process during the first half of 2013.
Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 year2+
PHASE 1 - Identify key stakeholders &
information sources
PHASE 2 - Technical and economic appraisal
PHASE 3 - Policy appraisal
PHASE 4 - Drafting & consultation
PHASE 5a - Finalisation & publication
PHASE 5b - Delivery Ongoing
thereafter
PHASE 1
IDENTIFYING KEY STAKEHOLDERS & INFORMATION SOURCES
Key to successful delivery of an ambitious yet achievable renovation strategy are preparation, planning
and leadership. Given that the strategy will influence an important sector of the economy for decades
to come, a strategy development team needs to be pulled together to include input from representa-
tives of Government ministries with responsibility for policy on energy, the building sector (including
housing/communities), regions, industry, finance and the economy. Lead responsibility also needs to be
clarified. Input from external stakeholders such as sectoral experts, the finance community and repre-
sentative industry bodies will also be invaluable within the project team.
In addition to establishing a project team, the preparation phase should include the following information
and data gathering to underpin subsequent phases:
• Sources of information on the building stock disaggregated by typology, energy use and current
level of energy performance;
• Literature review to identify the existing knowledge base of the barriers;
• Literature review of the effectiveness of existing or previous initiatives to increase the uptake of
sustainable energy improvements in the building stock;
• Identification of relevant stakeholders.
In this phase, the technical potential for improving the energy performance of the building stock is
determined and the range of renovation options appraised and costed. The starting point is to gain
a full understanding of the building stock through a bottom-up summation of the different building
typologies, construction styles, ages, climatic zones, occupancy, ownership patterns and the like.
The reference buildings developed by Member States for cost optimality purposes may serve as a guide
for the number and type of building categories.
Analysis of the building stock and the range of possible renovation measures provides the basis for
assessing the technical potential for energy savings. The economic potential can then be determined,
using a range of assumptions regarding the evolution of energy prices and the costs of renovation.
In appraising the economic potential, a key component that is frequently overlooked is the monetisation
of the benefits that arise alongside the energy cost savings. The issue here is that most of the other
benefits discussed previously accrue to society at large, rather than to the investor. Member States should
quantify these benefits and factor them into the economic appraisal of the renovation strategy at a
national level. In this way, the cost of any public subsidy provided to stimulate deep renovation could be
more than offset by the national economic benefits that result from, for example, increased employment
or reduced health expenditure.
Notwithstanding the difficulties of quantifying the wider benefits, many Member States have
acknowledged their existence at a qualitative level and have used arguments such as increased
employment to support the case for renovation programmes, even if the full economic impact has not
been explicitly appraised.
In any economic appraisal, the discount rate, or rate of return applied, is a very significant consideration.
Here, it is important to recognise the disparity between discount rates used by building owners and
other potential investors which are typically far higher than societal discount rates. The challenge is to
design a support regime that increases building owners’ underlying propensity to invest in renovation.
While financial support programmes can bridge some of the gap, inevitably regulatory measures will
need to be developed and used extensively to require renovation of, for example, the least efficient
building stock or at change of ownership. The range of potential measures is discussed more fully
in Phase 3.
In summary, the detailed steps of the technical & economic appraisal are:
1. Building stock analysis;
2. Cost effectiveness appraisal of renovation options;
3. Quantification of energy saving potential;
4. Development of a long term investment horizon; and
5. Quantification of other benefits.
One of the key challenges when undertaking the economic appraisal is access to good quality data on the
costs and savings of renovation activities, and also forecasting these forward over the next 30-40 years.
Available information on the costs of deep renovation may be limited to demonstration or pilot projects,
which may not be representative of the costs in a larger scale rollout. Inevitably, certain assumptions will
need to be made based on incomplete data. In order to improve the knowledge base for future revisions
and updates to the strategy, it is recommended that Member States introduce or enhance data gathering
processes to enable a more accurate picture of the true costs and benefits of building renovation
to be built up.
The economic appraisal will identify the scale of investment required to deliver the strategy. Financing
sustainable energy investment has traditionally been one of the main barriers, so it is vital to the success
of the strategy that potential funding sources are identified and mobilised. Whilst many economies
within the EU are still feeling the effects of the economic downturn, it is important to recognise the long
term nature of the strategy, spanning 30-40 years, and so it needs to be resilient to the fluctuating market
conditions that will be encountered over time.
Notwithstanding the long term nature of the strategy, the action plan over the next 5-10 years ought to
be explicit about how the financing of renovation activity is to be achieved. Public budgets are under
pressure, yet Member States should recognise the potentially significant resources that are available
through EU Structural Funds and the Cohesion Fund39 under the Multiannual Financial Framework
2014-2020. One of the recommendations of the Commission is to increase the proportion of climate-
related expenditure to at least 20 %40. This represents a potentially very large pot of funding from which
to secure resources for programmes to support the renovation strategy, particularly given that buildings
have the largest potential for carbon reduction (see Figure 5) and the many other benefits that can be
attained as a result of improving the energy performance of buildings.
At the same time as maximising the allocation of EU and other public funding sources to the renovation
of buildings, it is important for Member States to identify ways to achieve high leverage levels of private
funding, be that building owners’ own resources or those of the investment community.
The technical and economic appraisal is the core analytical phase of the strategy development process,
so Member States can expect it to take around 4-6 months.
39
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The purpose of the policy appraisal phase is, firstly, to review in some detail the current policy landscape
affecting building renovation, and secondly, to identify the changes to policies and additional policies
that will be necessary to unleash the building renovation market.
The specific policy mix required to deliver the long term renovation strategy will vary from country to
country, according to national circumstances. In addition to reviewing their own policy mix, Member
States might find it instructive to undertake an appraisal of the relevance of policies used in other
territories. A good source of reference is BPIE’s data portal – www.buildingsdata.eu.
The main point to note here is that, while the existing policy mix in a given Member State may have been
effective in increasing deployment of particular types of improvement measures (whether individual
technologies or a package of measures), no Member State currently has the policy measures in place
to gear up renovation activity to the extent required to effect a transformation in national building
renovation activity.
BPIE analysis indicates that delivering the long term renovation strategy will require a fundamental review
of the policy landscape and the introduction of new policies and measures on a scale not previously
witnessed. For this reason, BPIE has developed a checklist of possible actions which, together, provide a
solid policy framework on which to base the renovation strategy - see table overleaf.
The suggested list of measures may not be applicable in all Member States, and it is unlikely that all could
be introduced within a single policy cycle. Nevertheless, the list illustrates the wide range of actions that
should be given serious consideration to facilitate a successful delivery of the renovation potential.
Establish objective to eradicate fuel poverty through energy performance improvements to the housing stock
Develop holistic cross-policy targets that integrate with and deliver on goals in related fields, e.g. sustainable urbanisation,
resource efficiency, sustainable construction etc.
Establish a wide stakeholder group as a forum for consultation, policy formulation and feedback on practical issues and barriers to
renovation
Demonstrate leadership through accelerated deep renovation of public buildings, thereby developing supply chain capacity and
providing a knowledge base for private/commercial renovation activity
Identify trigger points and develop respective regulation that could be used to encourage, or require, building energy
LEGISLATIVE & REGULATORY
performance improvement41
Design Energy Efficiency Obligations that encourage the delivery of deep renovation
Facilitate the upgrade of all social housing to high energy performance levels
Address restrictive practices concerning local deployment of low/zero carbon technologies to ensure that a positive environment
for buildings integrated renewables is established
Remove or implement measures to overcome restrictive tenancy laws which disincentivise or otherwise inhibit energy
performance improvement
Mandate improvement of least efficient stock to higher energy performance level, e.g. through restrictions on sale or rental of
buildings in lowest energy performance categories
Develop renovation standards that are progressively and regularly strengthened in response to experience and new
technological solutions
TECHNICAL
Analyse potential for district heating systems to provide efficient, low carbon energy
Ensure proper monitoring and enforcement of compliance with building codes
Develop packaged solutions that can be readily replicated in similar building types
Introduce quality standards/certification systems for installers & products (including packaged solutions)
Secure sources of finance, including those identified in EED Article 20 and EU/international funding sources, and develop
mechanisms that effectively leverage private capital
Factor in monetary value of co-benefits (e.g. health, employment) in public funding decisions
FISCAL/FINANCIAL
Develop funding vehicles, tailored to specific market segments, that provide a simple (“one-stop-shop”) and commercially
attractive source of finance for deep renovation
Develop mechanisms to encourage deep renovation via third party financing, e.g. ESCOs, EPCs
Strengthen energy/carbon pricing mechanisms to provide the right economic signals
Remove fossil fuel subsidies to eliminate perverse incentives that discourage investment
Consider ”bonus-malus” mechanisms, e.g. property taxation systems (which reward high energy performing buildings while
penalizing poorly performing ones) and energy pricing
Establish publicly accessible databases demonstrating energy performance of renovated buildings and information on how to
undertake deep renovation
CAPACITY BUILDING
COMMUNICATION /
Gear up skills and training programmes covering the key professions and disciplines
Establish knowledge and experience-sharing networks across regions/Member States
Encourage development of local supply chain industry for maximising macro-economic benefits and to minimise embedded CO2
emissions
Develop promotional and dissemination activities that sensitise building owners to opportunities for deep renovation and that
provide stepwise support throughout the renovation process
Communicate regularly and publicly on progress with the renovation strategy
Support research, development and demonstration projects into new & improved technologies and techniques to deliver deep
R&D
41
Example trigger points include: Audits; Issue of Energy Performance Certificates; Boiler & air conditioning inspections; Change of ownership or tenancy; Change of building use;
Other building work (e.g. extensions)
• Article 3 (Energy efficiency targets) – A significant component of each country’s target is likely to
be required through energy savings in the building stock.
• Article 5 (Exemplary role of public bodies’ buildings) – The 3% central government buildings
renovation target provides the ideal platform on which to build a national renovation strategy.
• Article 7 (Energy efficiency obligation schemes – EEOs) – While most existing obligation
schemes have been successful in achieving the “low hanging fruit” of low cost measures with
rapid paybacks, the opportunity exists for Member States to design EEOs that encourage the
development of whole building (or even community-wide) solutions that deliver deep renovation.
• Article 8 (Energy audits and energy management systems) – Energy audits can be the
instrumental first step to stimulate investment in energy savings. Member States should consider
what support measures need to be put in place to ensure that audits lead to deep renovation.
• Articles 9 (Metering), 10 (Billing information) and 12 (Consumer information and
empowering programme) – Raising awareness of the cost saving potential of building renovation
can be achieved through judicious use of the regular communication channels (i.e. meters and
energy bills) to bill payers, as well as through other ways of engaging with building owners
and energy consumers.
• Article 14 (Promotion of efficiency in heating and cooling) – Provision of heating and/or cooling
from a high efficiency cogeneration plant, whether large or small scale, could be an important
component of a deep renovation, particularly at community scale through a district heating system.
• Article 15 (Energy transformation, transmission and distribution) – Regulatory structures,
tariffs and incentives in the energy supply system need to be assessed to ensure they are
conducive to investment in demand side energy saving measures, including the connection of
micro-energy generators such as buildings integrated renewable technologies and combined heat
and power systems.
• Article 16 (Availability of qualification, accreditation and certification schemes) – Concern
over the competence of equipment installers can be a significant barrier to undertaking renovation.
The existence of an effective national quality scheme, backed up by guarantees of workmanship
and performance or technologies, can help to address this barrier and overcome inertia.
• Article 17 (Information and training) – The availability of trustworthy information and advice,
as well as an adequately trained workforce, is a necessary prerequisite to a scaling up of national
renovation activity.
• Article 18 (Energy services) – For some sectors, notably the non-residential market, provision of
energy services and financing of measures through energy service companies (ESCOs), and energy
performance contracts (EPCs), can be an effective way of stimulating the uptake of energy saving
measures. However, several Member States have reported that the treatment of such contracts in
the public sector as public debt is a significant barrier to their wider deployment. Even in territories
where there is a thriving market for ESCOs, consideration should be given to structuring contracts
such that they achieve deep renovation, including the implementation of higher cost measures,
rather than simply focusing on those which achieve the greatest return to the ESCO/EPC provider.
• Article 19 (Other measures to promote energy efficiency) – The main thrust of this Article is the
review and removal of barriers, both regulatory and non-regulatory, which, as mentioned earlier, is
a key component of the renovation strategy.
• Article 4 (Setting of minimum energy performance requirements) – The need to ensure that
minimum energy performance requirements are set with a view to achieving cost-optimal levels
applies to existing as well as new buildings. Minimum energy performance requirements need to
be reviewed and updated at least every five years, taking into account technological development
in building materials and systems.
• Article 7 (Existing buildings) – When buildings undergo major renovation, the energy
performance of the building or the renovated part need to be upgraded in order to meet minimum
energy performance requirements.
• Article 8 (Technical building systems) – The overall energy performance of efficient, appropriately
sized and controlled equipment providing heating, hot water lighting, air conditioning and
ventilation is a key component of reducing energy consumption, particularly in non-residential
buildings such as offices, hospitals and hotels. Automation and active, intelligent systems can
enhance the savings achieved. Member States are required to set technical building system
requirements accordingly.
• Article 9 (nearly Zero-Energy Buildings) – The requirement for Member States to draw up
national plans for increasing the number of nearly zero-energy buildings has the greatest synergy
with the renovation strategy and reinforces the key message about the level of ambition (i.e. energy
saving) that should be sought when renovating buildings.
• Article 10 (Financial incentives and market barriers) – In a similar vein to Articles 19 & 20 of
EED, the importance of addressing market barriers and providing appropriate financial incentives
is fundamental to improving the energy performance of the building stock.
• Articles 11-13 (Energy Performance Certificates) – An effective EPC regime raises awareness as
to the actual energy performance of buildings and the opportunities to improve performance.
• Articles 14-16 (Inspection of heating and air conditioning systems) – The inspection regime
provides the basis for identifying opportunities to improve or upgrade the performance of these
essential energy systems.
• Article 17 (Independent experts) – Having a suitably trained cadre of experts, qualified within
the framework of a recognised independent certification/accreditation system, is another
key component of ensuring the correct certification of buildings and energy systems and the
identification of renovation opportunities.
In addition to the complementary nature of the various provisions in EED, EPBD and other EU legislation
to support a holistic approach to developing renovation strategies, Member States should consider the
role that national legislation such as energy planning or regional development plans can play in support
of the renovation objective.
Overall, the policy appraisal phase might take around 4-6 months, though this could run concurrently
with the technical & economic appraisal.
This phase brings together the technical and economic appraisal undertaken in phase 2 with the review
of policy options in phase 3 in order to generate a range of possible future pathways or roadmaps for the
long term renovation of the national building stock. Depending on the timing and strength of different
policy levers, different rates of renovation can be modelled and the resulting investment and benefits
horizons profiled and quantified.
Clearly, the building stock in any given territory is not a homogeneous entity, so the response to particular
policy signals will vary according to building ownership and type. Some measures may have no impact
on a particular sector. For these reasons, the policy options need to be mapped against the energy saving
potentials in different building sectors identified in phase 2 in order to ensure that, ultimately, measures
are brought to bear to influence the renovation rate, and depth, across all building sectors.
Given the requirement in Article 5 of EED for national governments to demonstrate an exemplary role
through renovation of 3% of the central government estate annually, with effect from 1st January 2014,
it is likely that Member States will need to prioritise this sector in the national renovation strategy. At the
same time, Member States are advised to apply a similar level of ambition throughout the rest of the
public sector, both regionally and locally, including to the significant property portfolios such as health,
defence, education, public administration and leisure services. Publicly owned or managed housing
stock should also be in the vanguard of the renovation strategy, given the ability of central government
to influence this sector directly.
Ultimately, all sectors need to be addressed through policies and measures to stimulate building
renovation. By focusing initially on the public sector, Member States will facilitate the build-up of the
necessary skills, expertise and workforce that will be required to renovate the larger privately owned
stock. The residential sector is predominantly privately owned in all Member States, though the picture
is more mixed as regards the non-residential sector (Figure 12). It is the privately owned stock, together
with mixed tenure ownership, that has traditionally been the most difficult to influence in terms of
undertaking building renovation work, yet this is the most important sector given its size and energy use.
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Based on the analysis undertaken in the previous phases, the renovation strategy should aim to be a
comprehensive document that brings together, in a strategic and holistic way, the full range of levers
and tools that can be brought to bear in order to effect a significant and sustained increase in both the
rate and the depth of renovation of the national building stock to improve its energy performance. Many
of the necessary levers are already in place, but may be under-utilised or otherwise not as effective as
they might be. These include provisions in existing directives such as ecodesign42, labelling43 and high
efficiency boilers44, as well as measures such as the EU-US Energy Star Agreement45 on high efficiency
office equipment and other voluntary initiatives at EU or Member State level.
Once the strategy has been drafted, perhaps with a range of options, it is highly recommended that a
consultation exercise be undertaken with the key national stakeholders. Representatives from the entire
value chain, from the research community and professional service providers through to energy utilities,
equipment manufacturers, installation companies and bodies representing skills and training, need to
be included within the scope of the consultation. Given the comments made earlier on the importance
of identifying sources of finance, the finance community will be a key stakeholder group, not just during
the consultation process but on an ongoing basis thereafter.
In terms of timescales, compiling the draft strategy and then undertaking the public consultation could
take up to 4-5 months.
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Taking on board the feedback from the public consultation might require a further 1-2 months before
governments are in a position to publish the national renovation strategy by the deadline in Article 4 of
30th April 2014.
At this point, the risk is to consider that the exercise has been completed, whereas in reality, this is the
time to mobilise the necessary resources to implement the strategy. At government level, the launch of
the strategy should mark the commencement of the policy revision process which, depending on the
particular legislative mechanisms in a given country or region, could take several months or even years
before the necessary measures have been enacted or restrictive legislation repealed. Notwithstanding
the time taken for new legislation to be developed, governments need to make clear to stakeholders
their intentions regarding the delivery and implementation of the renovation strategy, and demonstrate
their own commitment and contribution to the strategy by instigating the renovation of the public estate.
For industry, the main issue is to respond to the signals, targets and measures within the strategy and
gear up for the increased activity of the coming years. In some Member States, existing fora are already
in place to do so while in others, it would be appropriate to consider establishing a government-industry
task force with the remit to take on board the downstream delivery and implementation actions.
Communication with the respective target audiences will also be required.
Equally important is the long term dimension of the renovation strategy. EED requires that national
renovation strategies be reviewed and updated every three years. Such a review needs to be grounded
in a sound evaluation of the impact of policies and measures to date, and an appraisal of further options
to amend the policy landscape.
• Timely in that renovating the building sector is the key to achieving a wide range of benefits;
• Necessary in that it is clear that existing drivers are insufficient to achieve the potential.
Given the long term nature of the renovation process, the strategy needs to be seen as a living document
that is regularly reviewed and updated. The period to 2020 will be a steep learning curve for many
Member States. It is a period in which policy packages will need to be tried and tested, and for learning
and sharing of experience across the EU. Building owners will need to be sensitised to the importance
of building renovation, while the supply chain will need to gear up to be in a position to deliver the
increased activity levels.
Beyond 2020, by which time Member States should have broadly established the necessary policy
framework, effort will need to be focused on maintaining the momentum of renovation activity alongside
continual improvement through the deployment of new energy saving technologies and techniques.
In summary, Member States should envisage an ambition level for a renovation strategy that:
• Sets out a long term framework to 2050 for the renovation of the nation’s building stock to very
high energy performance levels;
• Mobilises building owners, whether individuals, corporate entities, public sector or real estate
portfolio holders, to undertake deep renovation of their buildings;
• Mobilises the supply chain, from manufacturers and installers to professional service providers, to
invest in the equipment, services, and a suitably skilled workforce necessary to deliver high quality
renovations;
• Mobilises the investment community to develop financial products and vehicles to fund the
programme of building renovations and upgrades;
• Stimulates research and development into techniques and technologies that deliver greater energy
savings at lower cost, and to provide solutions that are appealing to building owners;
• Achieves energy savings and CO2 reductions consistent with the 2050 Low Carbon Economy
Roadmap, as a key contribution to national, EU and international targets;
• Delivers a host of other economic, environmental, societal and energy system benefits;
• Is evaluated on an ongoing basis and reviewed/updated every three years;
• Meets the requirements of Article 4 of the EED.
For ease of reference, the text of Article 4 of the EED is reproduced below.
Member States shall (a) an overview of the national building stock based, as appropriate, on
establish a long- statistical sampling;
term strategy for
(b) identification of cost-effective approaches to renovations relevant to
mobilising investment
the building type and climatic zone;
in the renovation of
the national stock (c) policies and measures to stimulate cost-effective deep renovations of
of residential and buildings, including staged deep renovations;
commercial buildings,
both public and private. (d) a forward-looking perspective to guide investment decisions of
individuals, the construction industry and financial institutions;
This strategy shall
encompass: (e) an evidence-based estimate of expected energy savings and wider
benefits.
A first version of the strategy shall be published by 30 April 2014 and updated every three years thereafter
and submitted to the Commission as part of the National Energy Efficiency Action Plans.
ANNEX 2
STEPWISE SUMMARY OF THE TECHNICAL AND ECONOMIC APPRAISAL
i. Single-family houses
ii. Blocks of flats/apartments & other multi-residential dwellings
iii. Offices
iv. Educational buildings
v. Hospitals/health establishments
vi. Hotels & restaurants
vii. Sports facilities
viii. Warehouses & retail premises
ix. Other types of energy-consuming buildings
b) Identify key age bands which have a material bearing on building energy performance, e.g.:
46
These are the building categories identified in Annex 1 of EPBD
d) Quantify the number, type, size (treated floor area) of each combination of building type and
age band. On an illustrative basis of 9 building types and 5 age bands, this results in a matrix of up to
45 combinations. However, it will be possible to group many of the non-residential building types/age
bands, so the number of combinations will in practice be less than this.
i. Urban
ii. Suburban
iii. Rural
g) Identify the energy use and performance characteristics of each building combination:
i. Fabric measures
ii. Windows
iii. HVAC plant - heating/cooling/hot water
iv. Air infiltration
v. Lighting
vi. Appliances
d) Identify packages of measures that can achieve at least 60% energy saving, or at least up to the
prevailing energy performance requirements for new buildings of the same category
e) Determine whether deep renovations are undertaken as a single package, or staged over a
period of time
f) Identify cost effectiveness of the different packages of measures using cost optimality
methodology:
i. Costs – the total installed cost of renovation measures, less any avoided cost due to end-of
life replacement or by undertaking renovation alongside other building maintenance, new
construction or modernisation measures
ii. Consider the transaction costs, including costs of temporary relocation of occupants
iii. Quantify, wherever possible, the following benefits (and identify the beneficiary – building owner,
building occupier, society at large):
Economic Benefits: Energy Cost Savings; Economic Stimulus; Impact on GDP; Property Values;
Industrial Competitiveness; Impact on Public Finances; Energy Import Bill
Societal Benefits: Reduction in Fuel Poverty; Health Benefits; Increased Comfort/Productivity
Environmental Benefits: Carbon Saving; Air quality improvement
Energy System Benefits: Energy Security; Avoided New Generation Capacity; Reduced Peak
Loads
i. Consider the exemplary role of the public sector (at all tiers of government, as well as public
services such as public housing, defence, health and education) in leading the drive towards deep
renovation, and in exerting influence of citizens and businesses
ii. Consider targeting the least energy efficient building stock as a priority
iii. Consider different scenarios as to the rate of change of key parameters
c) Identify possible new funding sources and mechanisms to meet the investment profile from the
above list
c) Identify ways in which externalities (e.g. societal benefits from reduced CO2 emissions, increased
energy security etc.) can be internalised for the benefit of the investor
Consumer Focus – “Jobs, growth and warmer homes - Evaluating the Economic Stimulus of Investing in
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growth-and-warmer-homes-November-2012.pdf
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publications/insights/ee_improvements.pdf
KfW – “Impact on Public Budgets of KfW Promotional Programmes in the Field of Energy-Efficient
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SEAI – “Economic Analysis of Residential and Small-Business Energy Efficiency Improvements” http://
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US Environmental Protection Agency – “ Assessing the Multiple Benefits of Clean Energy: A Resource for
States” http://epa.gov/statelocalclimate/resources/benefits.html
UK Department of Energy & Climate Change – “Final Stage Impact Assessment for the Green Deal and
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global-projects/
Investing carbon tax revenues in energy efficiency can generate substantial macroeconomic benefits. In the UK, such investments are projected to create up to 71,000 jobs by 2015 and up to 130,000 jobs by 2027, showcasing significant employment gains alongside environmental benefits .
A diverse policy mix is crucial in promoting building renovation as it allows for tailored strategies that match national circumstances and addresses specific barriers. The strategic use of financial incentives, regulatory measures, and education through Energy Performance Certificates can motivate various sectors to participate in building energy improvements .
Building renovations can reduce fuel poverty and improve health by providing warmer homes with fewer cold spots and mould, reducing health-related costs. The UK estimate suggests saving £0.42 on healthcare for every £1 invested in keeping homes warm. Furthermore, renovating energy-poor homes could create jobs, with estimates suggesting up to 130,000 jobs in the UK by 2027 .
Deep renovation can eradicate fuel poverty by significantly lowering energy bills, making housing affordable for low-income families. This approach can effectively remove households from fuel poverty risk and reduce overall energy bills by over £200 a year for treated homes .
Different EU Member States have set ambitious long-term visions for energy efficiency in building renovations. France aims to reduce building CO2 emissions by 50% by 2020, Germany envisions a climate-neutral building stock by 2050, and Denmark aims to eliminate fossil fuel use in energy sectors by 2050 .
Energy-efficient buildings tend to be more valuable, both in terms of resale value, the rent they can command, and occupancy levels, compared to less efficient buildings. A study in the Netherlands showed that "non-green" office buildings have, on average, a 6.5% lower rent than similar buildings with a "green" energy label .
Building renovations can reduce energy demand, thereby decreasing reliance on energy imports. This can improve a nation's balance of payments as seen with the EU, which heavily relies on energy imports at significant economic cost. Energy savings from renovations can mitigate this dependency and strengthen national economies .
Achieving the targeted energy savings through building renovations in the European Union is projected to increase the EU's GDP by €33.8 billion in 2020, which is an increase of 2.7% compared to the baseline .
Technological advancements are pivotal in reducing future costs and increasing the renovation potential of buildings. By scaling up renovation activities and developing new technologies and techniques, significant energy savings can be achieved cost-effectively. Assumptions should not be limited by current technologies, as advancements can further drive efficiency and cost reductions .
Policymakers face challenges such as dealing with inertia among building owners and overcoming the tenant-landlord barrier. Addressing these requires a comprehensive renovation strategy that includes policy appraisals, establishing a wide stakeholder group, and creating supportive legislative frameworks. For instance, introducing new policy measures and involving stakeholders can help overcome these barriers .