Analysis of Financial Statements
Module 1
Dr. Gagandeep Sharma, SJIM
Analysis of Financial Statements 1
Introduction
Analysis of Financial Statements 2
About the Course
Title: Analysis of Financial Statements
Text book: Financial Statement Analysis by K.R. Subramanyam
Assessment:
• Term Exams: 60%
• Assignment: 20%
• Group Project: 20%
Class Timings: Follow the scheduled class timings strictly
Mobile Phones: Mobile phones are strictly prohibited during class
Communication:
• Email: gagandeep@[Link]
• For common information approach through your class representative
• For discussion, email for appointment with the agenda
• Room – 216A; second floor
Non-negotiable: case readings and assignments!
Analysis of Financial Statements 3
Business Analysis
Evaluates risks and prospects of business for
decision making:
• equity and debt valuation, credit risk assessment,
earnings predictions, audit testing,
compensation negotiations etc.
Analysis of Financial Statements 4
Business Analysis – Why?
Credit Analysis
• Determine credit value
• Trade creditors
• Debt holders
• Creditworthiness?
• Focus on Risk of default?
Equity/ Prospective Analysis
• Determine intrinsic value of company/stock
• Fundamental vs. technical analysis
• Concerned with upside and downside
Analysis of Financial Statements 5
Credit analysis
Liquidity
• Ability to meet short-term obligations
• Focus:
• Current cash flows
• Composition of current assets and
liabilities
• Liquidity of assets
Solvency
• Ability to meet long-term obligations
• Focus:
• Long-term profitability
• Capital structure
Analysis of Financial Statements 6
Prospective Analysis
Analysis of Financial Statements 7
Business Analysis – Why?
Managers
Mergers, acquisitions & divestitures
Financial management
Labour negotiations
Regulations
Director oversight
External auditing
Analysis of Financial Statements 8
Business Analysis - Components
Analysis of Financial Statements 9
Business Environment and Strategy Analysis
Analysis of company’s economic and industry circumstances:
• SWOT
Two main parts:
• Industry analysis
Porter's 5 forces model
Comments on prospects as well as actual and prospective competition
• Strategy Analysis
How will you establish competitive advantage?
Evaluates responses to changes in environment
• Product mix, cost structure, differentiation
• It is more inte-functional and requires knowledge of:
Economic and industry forces
Strategic management
Business policy
Production,
Logistics management
Marketing, etc.
Analysis of Financial Statements 10
Accounting Analysis
Does a company’s accounting statements reflect its economic reality?
• Adjust statements accordingly – recasting or reformulation
• Especially required for comparability problems:
Comparison across firms in industry and across time – comparative analysis
• Accounting distortions leads to accounting risk:
Manager estimation error
Earnings management
Accounting standards
Regardless of the purpose / user unearthing earnings management is a key aim of accounting
analysis
• Evaluating earnings quality requires analysis of:
company’s business, its accounting policies, the quantity and quality of information disclosed, the
performance and reputation of management, and the opportunities and incentives for earnings
management.
Analysis of Financial Statements 11
Financial Analysis
Answers questions that are:
• Future oriented
• Past/ track record
Profitability analysis:
• Source: margin vs. capacity
utilization
Role of non-operating income
Risk analysis:
• Solvency and liquidity
Cash flow analysis
• Accrual vs. cash profits
Future financing/ payouts
Analysis of Financial Statements 12
Basis of analysis: Business Activities
Planning activities sources:
• Letter to shareholders
• Management’s discussion and analysis Planning
Financing activities:
• Internal vs. external (equity vs. debt)
• Earnings distribution, dividend payout etc.
Investing activities:
• Type (operating vs. financial), amount Operating
required, timing of acquisition, location etc. Activities
Operating activities:
• Research and development, procurement, Financing Investing
production, marketing, and administration
Analysis of Financial Statements 13
Financial Statements
Balance Sheet
Income Statement
Statement of Shareholder’s equity
Statement of Cash Flows
Analysis of Financial Statements 14
Balance Sheet
Balance Sheet (pg. 118)
• Financial position at a point-in-time
• Reflects accounting equation
Assets = Liabilities + Equity
Total investing = Total financing (creditor + owner)
Uses = Sources of funds
Analysis of Financial Statements 15
Income Statement / Profit & Loss Account
Operations over the accounting period (Pg. 127)
• Gross profit = Revenues – COGS
• Operating profit = Gross profit – operating expenses
• Net profit = Operating profit adjusted for non-operating incomes and expenses
Analysis of Financial Statements 16
Statement of changes in Shareholder’s Equity
Statements of retained earnings, comprehensive income and changes in capital accounts are often
called the statements of changes in shareholders’ equity. (119, 180)
• EPS (basic vs. diluted)
Comprehensive income –
• Account for changes like
MTM on available for sale securities / forex
Cash flows from derivatives
Revaluation of pension plans
Revaluation of assets
Analysis of Financial Statements 17
Link Between Financial Statements
Analysis of Financial Statements 18
Additional Information
Management’s Discussion and analysis
Management report
Auditor Report
Explanatory Notes
Supplementary Information
Proxy statements
Analysis of Financial Statements 19
Analysis Preview
Analysis Tools
1. Comparative financial statement analysis
2. Common-size financial statement analysis
3. Ratio analysis
4. Cash flow analysis
5. Valuation
Analysis of Financial Statements 20
Analysis Preview
Analysis Tools
1. Comparative financial statement analysis
2. Common-size financial statement analysis
3. Ratio analysis
4. Cash flow analysis
5. Valuation
Analysis of Financial Statements 21
Comparative Financial Statement Analysis
Evaluation of consecutive years’ financial statements
• Horizontal Analysis
Output: trends in sales, expenses, profits, assets, liabilities etc.
Types:
• Year-year change analysis
• Index-number trend analysis
Current yr. *100/ previous yr.
Issues
• -ve figures
• Long-period comparison
• Base effect
Report median / mean
Only focus on significant items!
Analysis of Financial Statements 22
Common-size Financial Statement Analysis
Analysis of proportions in a statement
Express all items as a %age of some common item
• Balance Sheet: Total assets/liabilities
• Income Statement: Net/gross sales
Vertical analysis
Focus is on make-up of items:
• Sources of financing
• Composition of assets
• Proportion of revenues and expenses
Usually more detailed than trend analysis
Facilitates inter-firm comparison
Analysis of Financial Statements 23
Common-size Financial Statement Analysis
Analysis of Financial Statements 24
Ratio Analysis
Establish relationship between two or more economically important items
Factors affecting ratios:
• Economic events
• Industry factors
• Management policies
• Accounting methods
Prior accounting analysis is important e.g. LIFO usage or contingent liabilities like leases
It is all about interpretation!
• What's causing change?
• Benchmarking
• Comparisons with past
• Budgets
Analysis of Financial Statements 25
Ratio Analysis
Categories of ratios
• Overall performance and profitability
• Efficiency and investment utilization
• Leverage and financial condition
• Market ratios and dividend
Analysis of Financial Statements 26
Overall Performance and Profitability
Return on equity (ROE) = Net income / Avg. Shareholders’ equity
• 𝑅𝑂𝐸 = 𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑓𝑖𝑡 𝑀𝑎𝑟𝑔𝑖𝑛 × 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡 𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑛𝑜𝑣𝑒𝑟 × 𝐹𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑛𝑐𝑖𝑎𝑙 𝐿𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒 (equity multiplier)
• 𝑅𝑂𝐸 = 𝑁𝑒𝑡 𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒/𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠 × 𝑆𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠/𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠 × 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠/𝑆ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒ℎ𝑜𝑙𝑑𝑒𝑟’s 𝐸𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦
This decomposition is DuPont Analysis
Return on invested capital (ROIC) =
[EBIT (1- Tax Rate)] / 𝐼𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑡 𝑏𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑑𝑒𝑏𝑡 + 𝐸𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦 – non operating assets
Return on capital employed (ROCE) = EBIT / Average Capital Employed
Where Average Capital Employed = TNW + tern liabilities + current liabilities
Return on assets (ROA) = Net income / Avg. total assets or EBIT (1 – Tax rate) / Avg. total assets
• ROA = [Net income/ Avg. Equity] * Av.g Equity / Avg. total assets]
• ROA = ROE / Equity Multiplier
Profitability
• Gross Profit Margin= Gross Profit/Net Sales; where gross profit = sales - COGS
• EBITDA Margin = EBITDA/Net Sales
• Operating Profit Margin = Operating Profit/Net Sales; where operating profit = gross profit – operating expenses
• Net Profit Margin = Net Income /Net Sales
• Expense Ratio = Expenses / Net Sales
Analysis of Financial Statements 27
Efficiency and Investment Utilization
Total asset turnover = Sales/Total Assets
Fixed asset turnover = Sales /PPE
Working capital turnover = Sales / Working Capital
CA turnover = Sales / Current Assets
AR turnover = Credit Sales/ Av. AR
• Collection period or Days sales outstanding (DSO) = Accounts receivables / Credit sales per day
Inventory turnover = COGS / Av. Inventory
• Days’ sales in inventory (DSI) or days inventory outstanding = Ending inventory / (COGS / 365)
Payables period: Av. no of days to pay AP= Accounts payables/ Credit purchases per day
• Days’ payable outstanding (DPO) = Accounts Payable / (COGS / 365)
Analysis of Financial Statements 28
Operating and cash cycle
Operating cycle = Inventory Holding Period + Collection Period
Cash Conversion Cycle = (DSO + DSI – DPO)
Days sales outstanding + Days sales in inventory – days payables outstanding
How long to collect cash from customers + how long inventory sits in before being sold – how long to pay
suppliers
Analysis of Financial Statements 29
Leverage and Financial Condition Ratios
Liquidity: meet short term obligations
• Current ratio = Current Assets/Current Liabilities
• Quick / Acid-test ratio = (Current Assets-Inventory)/Current Liabilities
Solvency: meet long term interest costs and repayment obligations
• Debt-to-assets ratio = Total Liabilities/Total Assets
• Debt-to-equity ratio = Total Liabilities/Equity
• Interest coverage ratio = EBIT/ Interest Paid
Analysis of Financial Statements 30
Market Value and Dividend Policy
EPS = PAT/ Number of shares
Price to Earnings (PE) = Market price per share / EPS
• How market judges the future prospects of the company
Dividend Yield = Dividend per share / Market price per share
Dividend payout rate = Dividends / Net income
• More retention is a good sign
Price-to-book = Market price per share / Book value per share
Analysis of Financial Statements 31
Financial Reporting and
Accounting Standards
Financial Reporting – Rules?
Accounting standards (AS) are a set of principles,
standards, and procedures that serve as the foundation
for financial accounting policies and practices.
Variety of standards
• GAAP – FASB
• IFRS (18) – International Accounting Standards
Board
• IAS (41) – International Accounting Standards
Committee (IASC) (till 2001)
• Ind AS - ICAI
Ind AS is in confirmation to international standards
• A set of 39 standards
• ([Link]
• Naming convention depends on the source of
conformity
• Notified in 2015 by MCA – the Companies (Indian
Accounting Standard Rules), 2015
• Staggered applicability post 2016-17
Analysis of Financial Statements 33
Financial Reporting – SEBI Rules
The SEBI (Listing Obligations
and Disclosure Requirements)
Regulations, 2015 (“LODR
Regulations” or “LODR”)
Analysis of Financial Statements 34
IndAS, IFRS, GAAP – key differences
Indian companies cannot use IFRS and GAAP for statutory reporting
US GAAP reporting is required if:
• Mergers and acquisitions and capital-raising ([Link]
filings/quarterly-results/2000-2001/q1/[Link])
• Foreign businesses
• Foreign stakeholders
Under GAAP companies require:
• A statement of financial position;
• A statement of profit or loss and other comprehensive income;
• A statement of changes in equity;
• A statement of cash flows; and
• Notes comprising significant accounting policies and other explanatory information
IndAS, IFRS – key differences
Ind AS and IFRS have converged but minor
differences are there:
[Link]
• Some IFRS/IAS haven’t been notified
• Carve-outs (carve-ins) which are due to differences in
application of accounting principles and practices and
economic conditions prevailing in India.
• Other changes in Indian Accounting Standards vis-a-vis
IFRS not resulting in carve-outs
Accounting Analysis
Why know about accounting standards?
Accounting analysis
• Adjust for accounting distortions – accrual accounting
• Adjust general-purpose financial statements to meet end-users’ objectives
Desirable Qualities of Accounting Information
Relevance – the capacity of information to affect a decision
• Timeliness, materiality
Reliability: contingent liabilities?
• Verifiability
• Faithfulness
• Neutrality
• Substance over form (what’s the transaction about?)
• Prudence
• Completeness
Financial Reporting - India
Ind AS1 Presentation of Financial Statements
Six sets of statements are required
• A complete set of financial statements, which should be presented, including comparatives, at least
annually consists of:
1. A balance sheet as at the end of the period;
2. a statement of profit and loss for the period;
3. a statement of changes in equity for the period;
4. a statement of cash flows for the period;
5. notes, comprising significant accounting policies and other explanatory information;
6. comparative information in respect of the preceding period.
Analysis of Financial Statements 39
Framework
ICAI lays down a “Framework for the Preparation and Presentation of Financial Statements in accordance
with Indian Accounting Standards”
Deals with:
• Objectives
• Qualitative characteristics that determine the usefulness of the information;
• the definition, recognition and measurement of the elements from which financial statements are constructed;
and
• concepts of capital and capital maintenance
Users
• Investors
• Employees
• Lenders
• Suppliers and trade creditors
• Customers
• Government and their agencies
• Public
Analysis of Financial Statements 40
Important principles
Accruals
Historical cost and fair value
Materiality
Conservatism
• Delay good news!
Analysis of Financial Statements 41
Limitations of accounting information
Timeliness
Frequency
Forward looking
Analysis of Financial Statements 42