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Probability

This document contains exemplar questions for Grade 11 and Grade 12 Maths, organized by topics such as Algebra, Probability, and Statistics. Teachers can use or adapt these questions for their tests, and the document includes marking guidelines and a request for a WORD format version via email. The questions cover various mathematical concepts and provide a structured approach for exam preparation.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
55 views23 pages

Probability

This document contains exemplar questions for Grade 11 and Grade 12 Maths, organized by topics such as Algebra, Probability, and Statistics. Teachers can use or adapt these questions for their tests, and the document includes marking guidelines and a request for a WORD format version via email. The questions cover various mathematical concepts and provide a structured approach for exam preparation.

Uploaded by

kgana377
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

1

The exemplar questions provided in this document will be continuously upgraded every
year with new questions that align with the latest trends in final Maths exams.

Topic-based exam-type questions are grouped together under the headings:

QUESTION 1, QUESTION 2, QUESTION 3, …

This will help to provide an easy-to-use structure.

Teachers may use or adapt any of these questions in their own tests and exams.

This document is available in WORD format which will allow teachers to copy and paste
selected questions. To receive the questions in WORD format, please send an email to Mark
Phillips ([email protected]).

The marking guidelines are provided at the end of each topic.

The following Paper 1 topics are included:

A Algebra, equations, and inequalities

B Patterns and sequences

C Financial mathematics

D Functions and graphs

E Differential calculus

F Probability

THIS DOCUMENT CONTAINS QUESTIONS ON THE FOLLOWING TOPIC:

All questions are adapted from past matric preliminary and final examinations or are
original.

Please visit www.mindbourne.com for information on our textbooks, videos, resources and workshops.
2

QUESTION 1 Grade 11

1.1 A and B are mutually exclusive events such that P(A)  0, 25 and P(not B)  0,58 .

1.1.1 Show that P(B)  0, 42 . (2)

1.1.2 Determine P(A and B) . (1)

1.1.3 Determine P(A or B) . (3)

1.1.4 Draw a Venn diagram to represent probabilities. (4)

1.1.5 Determine P[(not A) or B]. (2)

1 2
1.2 Let A and B be two events in a sample space such that P(A)  and P(B)  .
5 3
A and B are independent and not mutually exclusive.

Determine P[not(A or B)]. (4)

1.3 Given: P(A)  0,12 ; P(B)  0,35 and P(A or B)  0, 428

Determine whether events A and B are independent or not.


Show ALL relevant calculations used in determining the answer. (3)

1.4 Given that A and B are independent events such that:

P(B only)  0,3


P(A and B)  0, 2
P(A only)  x
P(not A or B)  y

1.4.1 Draw a Venn diagram to represent the information. (1)

1.4.2 Determine the values of x and y. (4)

Please visit www.mindbourne.com for information on our textbooks, videos, resources and workshops.
3

QUESTION 2 Grade 11

A group of 150 students decided to go to a shopping mall on a Saturday. They had to


decide whether they were going to Eat out (E), go to the Movies (M) or just go Shopping
(S). The information gathered is shown in the Venn-diagram below.

2.1 Calculate the probability that a student that is chosen randomly will not
Eat out (E) nor go the movies. (2)

2.2 Determine if the events, Eat out (E) and go to the Movies (M) are
independent. Show all calculations to support your answer. (4)

QUESTION 3 Grade 11

At a school for boys there are 240 learners in Grade 12. The following information was
gathered about participation in school sport.

122 boys play rugby (R)


58 boys play basketball (B)
96 boys play cricket (C)
16 boys play all three sports
22 boys play rugby and basketball
26 boys play cricket and basketball
26 boys do not play any of these sports
Let the number of learners who play rugby and cricket only be x.

3.1 Draw a Venn diagram to represent the above information. (8)

3.2 Determine the number of boys who play rugby and cricket. (3)

3.3 Determine the probability that a learner in Grade 12 selected at random:


(Leave your answer correct to THREE decimal places)

3.3.1 only plays basketball. (2)

3.3.2 does not play cricket. (2)

3.3.3 participates in at least two of these sports. (2)

Please visit www.mindbourne.com for information on our textbooks, videos, resources and workshops.
4

QUESTION 4 Grade 11

A survey was carried out with 240 customers who bought food from a fastfood outlet on
a particular day. The outlet sells cheese burgers (C), bacon burgers (B) and vegetarian
burgers (V). The Venn diagram below shows the number of customers who bought different
types of burgers on the day.

4.1 How many customers did NOT buy burgers on the day? (1)

4.2 Are events B and C mutually exclusive? Give a reason for your answer. (2)

4.3 If a customer from this group is selected at random, determine the probability
that he/she:

4.3.1 bought only a vegetarian burger. (1)

4.3.2 bought a cheese burger and a bacon burger. (1)

4.3.3 did not buy a cheese burger. (1)

4.3.4 bought a bacon burger or a vegetarian burger. (5)

Please visit www.mindbourne.com for information on our textbooks, videos, resources and workshops.
5

QUESTION 5 Grade 11

Research was conducted about driving under the influence of alcohol. Information obtained
from traffic authorities in 54 countries on the methods that are used to measure alcohol levels
in a person are summarized below.

● 4 countries use all three methods (A, B and C)


● 12 countries use the alcohol content of breath (A) and blood-alcohol concentration (B)
● 9 countries use blood-alcohol concentration (B) and certificates issued by doctors (C)
● 8 countries use the alcohol content of breath (A) and certificates issued by doctors (C)
● 21 countries use the alcohol content of breath (A)
● 32 countries use the blood-alcohol concentration (B)
● 20 countries use certificates issued by doctors (C)
● 6 countries use none of these methods

Below is a partially completed Venn diagram representing the above information.

5.1 Use the given information and the Venn diagram to determine the values of
d, e, f and g. (4)

5.2 For a randomly selected country, calculate:

5.2.1 P(A and B and C) (2)

5.2.2 P(A or B or C) (2)

5.2.3 P(only C) (2)

5.2.4 P(that a country uses exactly two methods) (2)

Please visit www.mindbourne.com for information on our textbooks, videos, resources and workshops.
6

QUESTION 6 Grade 11

Complaints about a restaurant fell into three main categories: the menu (M), the food (F) and
the service (S). In total 173 complaints were received in a certain month. The complaints were
as follows:

• 110 complained about the menu.


• 55 complained about the food.
• 67 complained about the service.
• 20 complained about the menu and the food, but not the service.
• 11 complained about the menu and the service, but not the food.
• 16 complained about the food and the service, but not the menu.
• The number who complained about all three is unknown (call this number x).

6.1 Draw a Venn diagram to illustrate the above information. (6)

6.2 Determine the probability that a complaint selected at random from those
received, complained about AT LEAST TWO of the categories
(i.e. menu, food and service).
Assume that x  6 . (3)

QUESTION 7

7.1 Assuming that the probability of a female birth is 0,49, construct a tree diagram to
show the possible outcomes of the sexes of children in a family of 3 children. (7)

7.2 For a family with 3 children, use the tree diagram to find the probability of obtaining:

7.2.1 three boys (2)

7.2.2 a boy followed by a boy followed by a girl (2)

7.2.3 exactly one girl (4)

7.2.4 at least one girl (2)

QUESTION 8

The probability that it will rain on a given day is 63%. A child has a 12% chance of falling
in dry weather and is three times as likely to fall in wet weather.

8.1 Draw a tree diagram to represent all outcomes of the above information. (6)

8.2 What is the probability that a child will not fall on any given day? (3)

8.3 What is the probability that a child will fall in dry weather? (2)

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7

QUESTION 9 Grade 11

Luke is an avid water polo player and wants to know more about his supporters.
At his school, it is known that 54% of the learners are girls. The probability that a randomly
chosen girl at the college has attended a water polo match is 18%.
The probability that a randomly chosen boy at the college has attended a water polo match
is 42%.

Determine the probability that a learner selected at random from the college has
never attended a water polo match, correct to FOUR decimal places. (6)

QUESTION 10 Grade 11

James has four R50 notes and three R100 notes in his wallet. He needs to pay for his
restaurant bill. To do this, he takes three notes out of his wallet randomly, one at a time.
He does not replace the note once he has taken it out of his wallet.

10.1 Draw a tree diagram to represent the above information. (7)

10.2 Find the probability that James:

10.2.1 chose three R50 notes. (3)

10.2.2 did not choose any R50 note. (3)

10.2.3 James chose at least one R100 note. (3)

10.2.4 James chose a R50 on the second time he took out a note. (6)

QUESTION 11 Grade 11

Figures obtained from a city's police department seem to indicate that of all the motor vehicles
reported stolen, 80% were stolen by syndicates to be sold off and 20% were stolen by individual
persons for their own use.

Of those vehicles presumed stolen by syndicates:


• 24% were recovered within 48 hours
• 16% were recovered after 48 hours
• 60% were never recovered

Of those vehicles presumed stolen by individual persons:


• 38% were recovered within 48 hours
• 58% were recovered after 48 hours
• 4% were never recovered

11.1 Draw a tree diagram for the above information. (3)

11.2 Calculate the probability that a vehicle stolen in this city will not be recovered. (3)

Please visit www.mindbourne.com for information on our textbooks, videos, resources and workshops.
8

QUESTION 12 Grade 11

The table below represents the favourite sport for 120 learners.

Boys Girls Total


Golf 32 12 44
Tennis 18 23 41
Squash 20 15 35
Total 70 50 120

12.1 Determine the probability that if a learner is selected at random, then the
learner who is selected:

12.1.1 is a boy who plays tennis or squash. (2)

12.1.2 is a learner who plays tennis. (1)

12.1.3 is a girl. (1)

12.1.4 is a boy who plays golf if ONLY the boys are selected.

12.2 Are the events of choosing golf as a favourite sport and being a boy
independent? Show all calculations to support your answer. (4)

QUESTION 13 Grade 11

In a survey, 1 530 skydivers were asked if they had broken a limb. The results of the
survey were as follows:

13.1 Calculate the values of a, b, c and d. (4)

13.2 Calculate the probability of choosing at random in the survey, a female


skydiver who has not broken a limb. (3)

13.3 Suppose that only male skydivers are considered. Calculate the probability
of choosing at random in the survey, a male skydiver with a broken limb. (3)

13.4 Is being a female skydiver and having broken a limb independent? Use
calculations correct to TWO decimal places, to motivate your answer. (4)

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9

QUESTION 14 Grade 11

During a survey, 60 people were asked with which hand they write and what the colour of
their hair is. The results are summarised in the table below:

Hand used for writing


Right Left Total
Light A B 20
Dark C D 40
Total 48 12 60

If it is also given that the events “Hair Colour” and “Hand used for Writing” are
independent events, determine the values of A, B and C. (5)

QUESTION 15 Grade 12

15.1 Eight rowers, Allan, Brandon, Chris, David, Eric, Freddie, Grant and Hendrik,
are to be seated in a rowing boat.
Eric must sit in the first seat from the front.
Chris must sit in the second seat from the front.
Allan, Brandon and David must be seated together in any order.
How many different seating arrangements are possible in the rowing boat? (3)

15.2 Consider the letters of the word REPRESENTATIVE.


The letters that appear more than once in this word are treated as being
identical.

15.2.1 How many word arrangements can be made with the letters of
this word? (2)

15.2.2 How many word arrangements can be made if the letter E must be
in the first position? (2)

15.2.3 How many word arrangements can be made if the letter E must NOT
be in the first position? (1)

Please visit www.mindbourne.com for information on our textbooks, videos, resources and workshops.
10

QUESTION 16

16.1 Three married couples – Mr and Mrs Smith, Mr and Mrs Maimane and Mr
and Mrs Naidoo are to be seated on a bench.

16.1.1 How many different arrangements are possible? (1)

16.1.2 If Mr and Mrs Maimane must be seated in the middle with


Mr Maimane on the left of his wife, how many different arrangements
are possible for the remaining persons? (2)

16.1.3 Determine the probability that Mr and Mrs Maimane will sit next to
each other in any order. (3)

16.2 Consider the letters of the word MEASUREMENT.

How many different 8-letter word arrangements can be made with these letters
if the word SURE must occupy the first four positions and the remaining letters,
the other positions? (4)

QUESTION 17 Grade 12

17.1 Consider the word EINSTEIN.

17.1.1 How many different letter arrangements are possible if all the letters
are used? (2)

17.1.2 What is the probability that identical letters will be grouped


together? (4)

17.2 You have a combination lock with four single digit numbers on your locker at
school. If you forget your combination, what is the probability that you will open
the lock with the correct combination on your first attempt? (2)

17.3 An American tourist plans on visiting South Africa. He intends to visit the
following cities:

Coastal cities: Durban, East London and Cape Town.


Inland cities: Johannesburg, Bloemfontein and Polokwane.

How many different travelling plans can be made if

17.3.1 there are no restrictions on the order in which he visits the cities? (2)

17.3.2 he visits Johannesburg first and Durban last? (2)

17.7.3 he has to visit the coastal cities, one after the other? (3)

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11

QUESTION 18 Grade 12

18.1 Six people are to be seated on a bench. Mary and Simon are married.

18.1.1 How many different arrangements are possible? (1)

18.1.2 If Simon and Mary must be seated in the middle, how many different
arrangements are possible for the remaining persons? (2)

18.2 Consider the letters of the word CURRICULUM.


The letters that appear more than once in this word are treated as being identical.

18.2.1 How many word arrangements can be made with the letters of
this word? (2)

18.2.2 How many word arrangements can be made if the letter U must be in
the first position? (2)

18.2.3 How many word arrangements can be made if the letter U must
NOT be in the first position? (1)

QUESTION 19

19.1 A seven-unit bar code is designed in such a way that the first four places are letters
(excluding the vowels: A, E, I, O and U) and the last three places are filled with the
digits 1 to 9. Letters and numbers may not be repeated.

19.1.1 How many different bar codes can be generated? (2)

19.1.2 Find the probability that the bar code will begin with the letter A and
the three-digit number formed using the last three places will be divisible
by 5. (3)

19.2 The letters of the word SYLLABUS are used to form different eight-letter codes.
Determine the probability that the code formed will start and end with the same
letters. Leave your answer as a simplified common fraction. (6)

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12

MARKING GUIDELINES: PROBABILITY


QUESTION 1

1.1.1 P(B)  1  P(not B)  rule


 1  0,58  answer (2)
 0, 42
1.1.2 P(A and B)  0  answer (1)
1.1.3 P(A or B)  P(A)  P(B)  rule
 0, 25  0, 42  substitution
 answer (3)
 0, 67
1.1.4  0,25 in A
 0,42 in B
 0,33 outside circles
 diagram (4)

1.1.5 P[(not A) or B]  0, 42  0,33  0, 75  summing


 answer (2)
1.2 P(A and B)  P(A)  P(B) 2
 P(A and B) 
1 2 15
 
5 3  substitution in
2 formula
 11
15  P(A or B) 
15
P(A or B)  P(A)  P(B)  P(A and B) 4
 (4)
1 2 2 15
  
5 3 15
11

15

P[not (A or B)]  1  P(A or B)


11
 1
15
4

15
1.3 P(A or B)  P(A)  P(B)  P(A and B)  substitution in formula
 0,428  0,12  0,35  P(A and B)  P(A and B)  0, 042
 P(A and B)  0, 042  P(A)  P(B)  0, 042
 stating independent (4)
P(A)  P(B)  0,12  0,35  0, 042
 P(A and B)  P(A)  P(B)
 A and B are independent events.

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13

1.4.1  diagram (1)

1.4.2 P(A and B)  P(A)  P(B)  rule


 0,2  ( x  0, 2)(0,5)  equation
 x-value
 0, 2  0,5 x  0,1  y-value (4)
 x  0, 2
y  1  0, 2  0, 2  0,3
 y  0,3

QUESTION 2

2.1 27 9 27
 
150 50 150
9

50
(2)
2.2 15 1  P(E and M)  0,1
P(E and M)    0,1
150 10  P(E)  P(M)  0,16
50 1 
P(E)   P(E and M)  P(E)  P(M)
150 3
71  Not independent (4)
P(M) 
150
1 71
P(E)  P(M)    0,16
3 150
 P(E and M)  P(E)  P(M)
 E and M are NOT independent.

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14

QUESTION 3
3.1 x
 100  x
6
 16
 10
 26 (inside)
 26 (outside)
 70  x (8)

3.2 100  x  x 16  6  26 10  70  x  26  240  equation


254  x  240  x  14
 x  14  30 (3)
Number of boys who play rugby and cricket is 30
3.3.1 26 26
 0,108 
240 240
 0,108 (2)
3.3.2 114 114
 0, 600 
240 240
 0,600 (2)
3.3.3 46 46
 0,192 
240 240
 0,192 (2)

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15

QUESTION 4

4.1 156  answer (1)


4.2 P(B and C)  0  P(B and C)  0
The events are not mutually exclusive.  not mutually exclusive (2)
4.3.1 58 29  answer (simplified fraction
  0, 24 or decimal) (1)
240 120
4.3.2 19  answer (fraction or
 0, 08 decimal) (1)
240
4.3.3 118 59  answer (simplified fraction
  0, 49 or decimal) (1)
240 120
4.3.4 P(B or V)  P(B)  P(V)  P(B and V)  probability formula
84 82 15 84
=   
240 240 240 240
151 82
 
240 240
 0, 63 15

240
 correct answer
(fraction or decimal) (5)

151
If they write directly,
240
allocate full marks.

QUESTION 5

5.1 d 5 d
e4 e
f
f 7 g (4)
g 5
5.2.1 4 2  answer (2)

54 27
5.2.2 48 8  answer (2)

54 9
5.2.3 7  answer (2)
54
5.2.4 17  answer (2)
54

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16

QUESTION 6

6.1  79  x
 20
 19  x
 16
 40  x
 11 (6)

6.2 11  20  6  16 53  53
  0,31
173 173  173
 0,31 (3)

QUESTION 7

7.1 1 mark per branch (7)

7.2.1 0,51 0,51 0,51  0,13  product


 answer (2)
7.2.2 0,51 0,51 0, 49  0,13  product
 answer (2)
7.2.3 (0, 49  0,51  0,51)  (0,51  0, 49  0,51)  (0,51  0,51  0, 49)  first three brackets
 0,13  second three brackets
 third three brackets
 answer (4)
7.2.4 1  P(no girls)  second line
 1  (0,51 0,51 0,51)  answer (2)
 0,87

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17

QUESTION 8

8.1  63%
 36%
 64%
 37%
 12%
 99% (6)

8.2  37 88   63 64   37 88 
      0, 7288   
 100 100   100 100   100 100 
 63 64 
  
 100 100 
 answer (3)
8.3  37 12   37 12 
    0, 0444   
 100 100   100 100 
 answer (2)

QUESTION 9


One mark for each branch.
0,54
 0,54  0,82
 0, 46  0, 58
 0,7096 (6)
0, 46

(0,54  0,82)  (0, 46  0,58)


 0, 7096

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18

QUESTION 10

10.1  Each fork (7)


2
5
3
6
3
5
4
5
4
7 3
6 2
5
3
5
4
3 6 2
7 5

4
2 5
6
1
5

10.2.1 4 3 2 4 4 3 2
     
7 6 5 35 7 6 5
4
 (3)
35
10.2.2 3 2 1 1 3 2 1
     
7 6 5 35 7 6 5
1
 (3)
35
10.3.3 4 3 2 31 4 3 2
1     1  
7 6 5 35 7 6 5
31
 (3)
35
10.3.4 4 3 3 4 4 3
      
7 6 7 6 7 6
24 4 3 4
     
42 7 7 6
24

42
4
 (6)
7

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19

QUESTION 11
11.1  Vehicles stolen level
 Syndicates level
 Individuals level (3)

11.2  4 3   1 1  61 4 3
       0, 49  
 5 5   5 25  125 5 5
1 1
 
5 25
61
 or 0, 49 (3)
125

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20

QUESTION 12

12.1.1 18  20 38 19 18  20
  
120 120 60 120
19
 (2)
60
12.1.2 41 41
 (1)
120 120
12.1.3 50 5 5
  (1)
120 12 12
12.1.4 32 16 16
  (1)
70 35 35
12.5 44 44 70
P(golf)   
120 120 120
70  0, 21
P(boy) 
120  0, 27
44 70  not independent (4)
P(golf)  P(boy)    0, 21
120 120
32
P(golf) and P(boy)   0, 27
120
 P(golf) and P(boy)  P(golf)  P(boy)
Events are not independent

QUESTION 13

13.1 a  450  a  450


b  319  b  319
c  298  c  298
d  748  d  748 (4)
13.2 298  298
 0,19  1 530
1 530
 0,19 (3)
13.3 463  463
 0,59  782
782
 0,59 (3)
13.4 450 450
P(Female and broken limb)   0, 29 
1 530 1 530
P(Female)  P(broken limb) 748 913
 
748 913 1 530 1 530
   0, 29
1 530 1 530  rule
P(Female and broken limb)  independent (4)
 P(Female)  P(broken limb)
Events are independent

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21

QUESTION 14

Pick light hair colour and right hand. A 20 48


  
60 60 60
Note: Any hair colour/hand combination can be chosen. (or any other choice)
 A  16
P(Light hair and right hand) 
A  B4
60  C  32
20 48  D8 (5)
P(Light hair)  P(Right hand)  
60 60
A 20 48
  
60 60 60
 A  16
B  4
 C  32
D  8

QUESTION 15

15.1 1 1 4!  3!  144  4!
 3!
 144 (3)
15.2.1 14! 14!
 908 107 200 
2!  4!  2! 2!  4!  2!
 908 107 200 (2)
15.2.2 13! 13!
 64 864 800 
2!  4!  2! 2!  4!  2!
 64 864 800 (2)
15.2.3 908 107 200  64 864 800  843 242 400 (1)
 843 242 400

QUESTION 16

16.1.1 6!  720  720 (1)


16.1.2 11 4!  24  2!
 24 (2)
16.1.3 5!  2! 1  5!  2!
  0,33
6! 3  6!
1
 or 0,33 (3)
3
16.2 7!  7!
 1 260  2!
2!  2!
 2!
 1 260 (4)

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22

QUESTION 17

17.1.1 8! 8!
 5 040 
2!  2!  2! 2!  2!  2!
 5 040 (2)
17.1.2 EE II NN S T  5!
5!

5! 1 5 040

5040 42 1
 (4)
42
17.2 10 10 10 10  104  10 000  104
 10 000 (2)
17.3.1 6!  720  6!
 720 (2)
17.3.2 4!  24  4!
 24 (2)
17.3.3 4!  3!  144  4!
 3!
 144 (3)

QUESTION 18

18.1.1 6!  720  4! (1)


18.1.2 4!  2!  48  4!  2!
 48 (2)
18.2.1 10! 10!
 151 200 
2!  3!  2! 2!  3!  2!
 151 200 (2)
18.2.2 9! 9!
 45 360 
2!  2!  2! 2!  2!  2!
 45 360 (2)
18.2.3 151 200  45 360  105 840 (1)
 105 840

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23

QUESTION 19

19.1.1 21 20 19 18 9  8 7  72 394 560  correct product


 answer (2)
19.1.2 1 20  19  18  8  7  1 1  numerator
  denominator
72 394 560 189
 answer (3)
19.2 8! 8!
Total no of codes:  10 080 
2!  2! 2!  2!
6! 6!  10 080
Start and end with the same letter:   720
2! 2! 6! 6!
 
720 1 2! 2!
Probability:   720
10 080 14
720

10 080
1
 (6)
14

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