Probability
Probability
The exemplar questions provided in this document will be continuously upgraded every
year with new questions that align with the latest trends in final Maths exams.
Teachers may use or adapt any of these questions in their own tests and exams.
This document is available in WORD format which will allow teachers to copy and paste
selected questions. To receive the questions in WORD format, please send an email to Mark
Phillips ([email protected]).
C Financial mathematics
E Differential calculus
F Probability
All questions are adapted from past matric preliminary and final examinations or are
original.
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2
QUESTION 1 Grade 11
1.1 A and B are mutually exclusive events such that P(A) 0, 25 and P(not B) 0,58 .
1 2
1.2 Let A and B be two events in a sample space such that P(A) and P(B) .
5 3
A and B are independent and not mutually exclusive.
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3
QUESTION 2 Grade 11
2.1 Calculate the probability that a student that is chosen randomly will not
Eat out (E) nor go the movies. (2)
2.2 Determine if the events, Eat out (E) and go to the Movies (M) are
independent. Show all calculations to support your answer. (4)
QUESTION 3 Grade 11
At a school for boys there are 240 learners in Grade 12. The following information was
gathered about participation in school sport.
3.2 Determine the number of boys who play rugby and cricket. (3)
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4
QUESTION 4 Grade 11
A survey was carried out with 240 customers who bought food from a fastfood outlet on
a particular day. The outlet sells cheese burgers (C), bacon burgers (B) and vegetarian
burgers (V). The Venn diagram below shows the number of customers who bought different
types of burgers on the day.
4.1 How many customers did NOT buy burgers on the day? (1)
4.2 Are events B and C mutually exclusive? Give a reason for your answer. (2)
4.3 If a customer from this group is selected at random, determine the probability
that he/she:
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5
QUESTION 5 Grade 11
Research was conducted about driving under the influence of alcohol. Information obtained
from traffic authorities in 54 countries on the methods that are used to measure alcohol levels
in a person are summarized below.
5.1 Use the given information and the Venn diagram to determine the values of
d, e, f and g. (4)
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6
QUESTION 6 Grade 11
Complaints about a restaurant fell into three main categories: the menu (M), the food (F) and
the service (S). In total 173 complaints were received in a certain month. The complaints were
as follows:
6.2 Determine the probability that a complaint selected at random from those
received, complained about AT LEAST TWO of the categories
(i.e. menu, food and service).
Assume that x 6 . (3)
QUESTION 7
7.1 Assuming that the probability of a female birth is 0,49, construct a tree diagram to
show the possible outcomes of the sexes of children in a family of 3 children. (7)
7.2 For a family with 3 children, use the tree diagram to find the probability of obtaining:
QUESTION 8
The probability that it will rain on a given day is 63%. A child has a 12% chance of falling
in dry weather and is three times as likely to fall in wet weather.
8.1 Draw a tree diagram to represent all outcomes of the above information. (6)
8.2 What is the probability that a child will not fall on any given day? (3)
8.3 What is the probability that a child will fall in dry weather? (2)
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QUESTION 9 Grade 11
Luke is an avid water polo player and wants to know more about his supporters.
At his school, it is known that 54% of the learners are girls. The probability that a randomly
chosen girl at the college has attended a water polo match is 18%.
The probability that a randomly chosen boy at the college has attended a water polo match
is 42%.
Determine the probability that a learner selected at random from the college has
never attended a water polo match, correct to FOUR decimal places. (6)
QUESTION 10 Grade 11
James has four R50 notes and three R100 notes in his wallet. He needs to pay for his
restaurant bill. To do this, he takes three notes out of his wallet randomly, one at a time.
He does not replace the note once he has taken it out of his wallet.
10.2.4 James chose a R50 on the second time he took out a note. (6)
QUESTION 11 Grade 11
Figures obtained from a city's police department seem to indicate that of all the motor vehicles
reported stolen, 80% were stolen by syndicates to be sold off and 20% were stolen by individual
persons for their own use.
11.2 Calculate the probability that a vehicle stolen in this city will not be recovered. (3)
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8
QUESTION 12 Grade 11
The table below represents the favourite sport for 120 learners.
12.1 Determine the probability that if a learner is selected at random, then the
learner who is selected:
12.1.4 is a boy who plays golf if ONLY the boys are selected.
12.2 Are the events of choosing golf as a favourite sport and being a boy
independent? Show all calculations to support your answer. (4)
QUESTION 13 Grade 11
In a survey, 1 530 skydivers were asked if they had broken a limb. The results of the
survey were as follows:
13.3 Suppose that only male skydivers are considered. Calculate the probability
of choosing at random in the survey, a male skydiver with a broken limb. (3)
13.4 Is being a female skydiver and having broken a limb independent? Use
calculations correct to TWO decimal places, to motivate your answer. (4)
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9
QUESTION 14 Grade 11
During a survey, 60 people were asked with which hand they write and what the colour of
their hair is. The results are summarised in the table below:
If it is also given that the events “Hair Colour” and “Hand used for Writing” are
independent events, determine the values of A, B and C. (5)
QUESTION 15 Grade 12
15.1 Eight rowers, Allan, Brandon, Chris, David, Eric, Freddie, Grant and Hendrik,
are to be seated in a rowing boat.
Eric must sit in the first seat from the front.
Chris must sit in the second seat from the front.
Allan, Brandon and David must be seated together in any order.
How many different seating arrangements are possible in the rowing boat? (3)
15.2.1 How many word arrangements can be made with the letters of
this word? (2)
15.2.2 How many word arrangements can be made if the letter E must be
in the first position? (2)
15.2.3 How many word arrangements can be made if the letter E must NOT
be in the first position? (1)
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10
QUESTION 16
16.1 Three married couples – Mr and Mrs Smith, Mr and Mrs Maimane and Mr
and Mrs Naidoo are to be seated on a bench.
16.1.3 Determine the probability that Mr and Mrs Maimane will sit next to
each other in any order. (3)
How many different 8-letter word arrangements can be made with these letters
if the word SURE must occupy the first four positions and the remaining letters,
the other positions? (4)
QUESTION 17 Grade 12
17.1.1 How many different letter arrangements are possible if all the letters
are used? (2)
17.2 You have a combination lock with four single digit numbers on your locker at
school. If you forget your combination, what is the probability that you will open
the lock with the correct combination on your first attempt? (2)
17.3 An American tourist plans on visiting South Africa. He intends to visit the
following cities:
17.3.1 there are no restrictions on the order in which he visits the cities? (2)
17.7.3 he has to visit the coastal cities, one after the other? (3)
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QUESTION 18 Grade 12
18.1 Six people are to be seated on a bench. Mary and Simon are married.
18.1.2 If Simon and Mary must be seated in the middle, how many different
arrangements are possible for the remaining persons? (2)
18.2.1 How many word arrangements can be made with the letters of
this word? (2)
18.2.2 How many word arrangements can be made if the letter U must be in
the first position? (2)
18.2.3 How many word arrangements can be made if the letter U must
NOT be in the first position? (1)
QUESTION 19
19.1 A seven-unit bar code is designed in such a way that the first four places are letters
(excluding the vowels: A, E, I, O and U) and the last three places are filled with the
digits 1 to 9. Letters and numbers may not be repeated.
19.1.2 Find the probability that the bar code will begin with the letter A and
the three-digit number formed using the last three places will be divisible
by 5. (3)
19.2 The letters of the word SYLLABUS are used to form different eight-letter codes.
Determine the probability that the code formed will start and end with the same
letters. Leave your answer as a simplified common fraction. (6)
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12
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13
QUESTION 2
2.1 27 9 27
150 50 150
9
50
(2)
2.2 15 1 P(E and M) 0,1
P(E and M) 0,1
150 10 P(E) P(M) 0,16
50 1
P(E) P(E and M) P(E) P(M)
150 3
71 Not independent (4)
P(M)
150
1 71
P(E) P(M) 0,16
3 150
P(E and M) P(E) P(M)
E and M are NOT independent.
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14
QUESTION 3
3.1 x
100 x
6
16
10
26 (inside)
26 (outside)
70 x (8)
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15
QUESTION 4
151
If they write directly,
240
allocate full marks.
QUESTION 5
5.1 d 5 d
e4 e
f
f 7 g (4)
g 5
5.2.1 4 2 answer (2)
54 27
5.2.2 48 8 answer (2)
54 9
5.2.3 7 answer (2)
54
5.2.4 17 answer (2)
54
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16
QUESTION 6
6.1 79 x
20
19 x
16
40 x
11 (6)
6.2 11 20 6 16 53 53
0,31
173 173 173
0,31 (3)
QUESTION 7
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17
QUESTION 8
8.1 63%
36%
64%
37%
12%
99% (6)
8.2 37 88 63 64 37 88
0, 7288
100 100 100 100 100 100
63 64
100 100
answer (3)
8.3 37 12 37 12
0, 0444
100 100 100 100
answer (2)
QUESTION 9
One mark for each branch.
0,54
0,54 0,82
0, 46 0, 58
0,7096 (6)
0, 46
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18
QUESTION 10
4
2 5
6
1
5
10.2.1 4 3 2 4 4 3 2
7 6 5 35 7 6 5
4
(3)
35
10.2.2 3 2 1 1 3 2 1
7 6 5 35 7 6 5
1
(3)
35
10.3.3 4 3 2 31 4 3 2
1 1
7 6 5 35 7 6 5
31
(3)
35
10.3.4 4 3 3 4 4 3
7 6 7 6 7 6
24 4 3 4
42 7 7 6
24
42
4
(6)
7
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19
QUESTION 11
11.1 Vehicles stolen level
Syndicates level
Individuals level (3)
11.2 4 3 1 1 61 4 3
0, 49
5 5 5 25 125 5 5
1 1
5 25
61
or 0, 49 (3)
125
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20
QUESTION 12
12.1.1 18 20 38 19 18 20
120 120 60 120
19
(2)
60
12.1.2 41 41
(1)
120 120
12.1.3 50 5 5
(1)
120 12 12
12.1.4 32 16 16
(1)
70 35 35
12.5 44 44 70
P(golf)
120 120 120
70 0, 21
P(boy)
120 0, 27
44 70 not independent (4)
P(golf) P(boy) 0, 21
120 120
32
P(golf) and P(boy) 0, 27
120
P(golf) and P(boy) P(golf) P(boy)
Events are not independent
QUESTION 13
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21
QUESTION 14
QUESTION 15
15.1 1 1 4! 3! 144 4!
3!
144 (3)
15.2.1 14! 14!
908 107 200
2! 4! 2! 2! 4! 2!
908 107 200 (2)
15.2.2 13! 13!
64 864 800
2! 4! 2! 2! 4! 2!
64 864 800 (2)
15.2.3 908 107 200 64 864 800 843 242 400 (1)
843 242 400
QUESTION 16
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22
QUESTION 17
17.1.1 8! 8!
5 040
2! 2! 2! 2! 2! 2!
5 040 (2)
17.1.2 EE II NN S T 5!
5!
5! 1 5 040
5040 42 1
(4)
42
17.2 10 10 10 10 104 10 000 104
10 000 (2)
17.3.1 6! 720 6!
720 (2)
17.3.2 4! 24 4!
24 (2)
17.3.3 4! 3! 144 4!
3!
144 (3)
QUESTION 18
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23
QUESTION 19
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