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Final Estimationsa

The document outlines a statistical analysis involving panel data from 2002 to 2022, focusing on urban population growth and its relationship with various economic indicators. It includes regression analyses using both fixed and random effects models, determining that the random effects model is preferred based on statistical tests. Additionally, it checks for multicollinearity and heteroskedasticity, concluding that there is evidence of heteroskedasticity in the model.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
16 views7 pages

Final Estimationsa

The document outlines a statistical analysis involving panel data from 2002 to 2022, focusing on urban population growth and its relationship with various economic indicators. It includes regression analyses using both fixed and random effects models, determining that the random effects model is preferred based on statistical tests. Additionally, it checks for multicollinearity and heteroskedasticity, concluding that there is evidence of heteroskedasticity in the model.

Uploaded by

nazish56351
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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___ ____ ____ ____ ____(R)

/__ / ____/ / ____/


___/ / /___/ / /___/
Statistics/Data Analysis

1 .
name: <unnamed>
log: C:\Users\DELL\OneDrive\Desktop\Final Estimations.smcl
log type: smcl
opened on: 10 May 2025, 11:53:17

2 . gen ln_gdpperpremp = log(gdpperpremp)


(1 missing value generated)

3 .
4 . encode country, gen(countryA)

5 .
6 . xtset countryA year
panel variable: countryA (strongly balanced)
time variable: year, 2002 to 2022
delta: 1 unit

7 .
8 . summ

Variable Obs Mean Std. Dev. Min Max

country 0
year 147 2012 6.076003 2002 2022
urbanpopul~h 147 2.908293 1.305388 -2.788711 6.238845
popgrwan 147 1.460068 .8612857 .11 4.42
gdpperpremp 146 24893.65 27916.52 6706.93 97218.62

unemprtan 147 5.97966 3.106794 .4 13.12


ln_gdpperp~p 146 9.754641 .7431995 8.810897 11.48472
countryA 147 4 2.006838 1 7

9 .
10 . *********CHECKING FOR MULTICOLINEARITY*********

11 .
12 . pwcorr urbanpopulationgrowth popgrwan gdpperpremp unemprtan

urbanp~h popgrwan gdpper~p unempr~n

urbanpopul~h 1.0000
popgrwan 0.6173 1.0000
gdpperpremp -0.6975 -0.3603 1.0000
unemprtan -0.0133 -0.0226 -0.0792 1.0000

13 .
14 . *********REGRESSION*****************

15 .
16 . xtreg urbanpopulationgrowth popgrwan ln_gdpperpremp unemprtan

Random-effects GLS regression Number of obs = 146


Group variable: countryA Number of groups = 7

R-sq: within = 0.4901 Obs per group: min = 20


between = 0.6815 avg = 20.9
overall = 0.6186 max = 21

Wald chi2(3) = 138.84


corr(u_i, X) = 0 (assumed) Prob > chi2 = 0.0000
urbanpopul~h Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]

popgrwan .4253785 .0794597 5.35 0.000 .2696403 .5811166


ln_gdpperp~p -1.539514 .1794397 -8.58 0.000 -1.891209 -1.187819
unemprtan -.0515028 .029473 -1.75 0.081 -.1092687 .0062632
_cons 17.61953 1.803264 9.77 0.000 14.0852 21.15386

sigma_u .82673634
sigma_e .51571302
rho .71988087 (fraction of variance due to u_i)

17 .
18 . ************ Fixed Vs Pool**************

19 .
20 . xtreg urbanpopulationgrowth popgrwan ln_gdpperpremp unemprtan, fe

Fixed-effects (within) regression Number of obs = 146


Group variable: countryA Number of groups = 7

R-sq: within = 0.4906 Obs per group: min = 20


between = 0.6754 avg = 20.9
overall = 0.6133 max = 21

F(3,136) = 43.65
corr(u_i, Xb) = -0.4882 Prob > F = 0.0000

urbanpopul~h Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]

popgrwan .4142253 .0808522 5.12 0.000 .254335 .5741155


ln_gdpperp~p -1.635437 .1953441 -8.37 0.000 -2.021742 -1.249132
unemprtan -.051436 .0306965 -1.68 0.096 -.1121401 .0092682
_cons 18.56621 1.926979 9.63 0.000 14.7555 22.37693

sigma_u .79273569
sigma_e .51571302
rho .70263534 (fraction of variance due to u_i)

F test that all u_i=0: F(6, 136) = 31.11 Prob > F = 0.0000

21 .
22 . *H0:Pool Ols is prefereed

23 .
24 . *H1: Fixed Effect will be prefered

25 .
26 . *since the p value (0.0000) is less than 0.05 we reject H0, and fixed effect
> model would be prefered.

27 .
28 . **********Random Vs Pool***********
29 .
30 . xtreg urbanpopulationgrowth popgrwan unemprtan ln_gdpperpremp, re

Random-effects GLS regression Number of obs = 146


Group variable: countryA Number of groups = 7

R-sq: within = 0.4901 Obs per group: min = 20


between = 0.6815 avg = 20.9
overall = 0.6186 max = 21

Wald chi2(3) = 138.84


corr(u_i, X) = 0 (assumed) Prob > chi2 = 0.0000

urbanpopul~h Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]

popgrwan .4253785 .0794597 5.35 0.000 .2696403 .5811166


unemprtan -.0515028 .029473 -1.75 0.081 -.1092687 .0062632
ln_gdpperp~p -1.539514 .1794397 -8.58 0.000 -1.891209 -1.187819
_cons 17.61953 1.803264 9.77 0.000 14.0852 21.15386

sigma_u .82673634
sigma_e .51571302
rho .71988087 (fraction of variance due to u_i)

31 .
32 . *ho: Pooled Ols will be prefered

33 .
34 . *h1: Random effects model will be prefered

35 .
36 . ******* since p value (0.0000) is less then 0.05 we reject H0, random effects
> model will be prefered.

37 .
38 . *********choosing btw fixed vs random model

39 .
40 . xtreg urbanpopulationgrowth popgrwan ln_gdpperpremp unemprtan, fe

Fixed-effects (within) regression Number of obs = 146


Group variable: countryA Number of groups = 7

R-sq: within = 0.4906 Obs per group: min = 20


between = 0.6754 avg = 20.9
overall = 0.6133 max = 21

F(3,136) = 43.65
corr(u_i, Xb) = -0.4882 Prob > F = 0.0000

urbanpopul~h Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]

popgrwan .4142253 .0808522 5.12 0.000 .254335 .5741155


ln_gdpperp~p -1.635437 .1953441 -8.37 0.000 -2.021742 -1.249132
unemprtan -.051436 .0306965 -1.68 0.096 -.1121401 .0092682
_cons 18.56621 1.926979 9.63 0.000 14.7555 22.37693

sigma_u .79273569
sigma_e .51571302
rho .70263534 (fraction of variance due to u_i)

F test that all u_i=0: F(6, 136) = 31.11 Prob > F = 0.0000
41 .
42 . estimates store fixed

43 .
44 . xtreg urbanpopulationgrowth popgrwan ln_gdpperpremp unemprtan, re

Random-effects GLS regression Number of obs = 146


Group variable: countryA Number of groups = 7

R-sq: within = 0.4901 Obs per group: min = 20


between = 0.6815 avg = 20.9
overall = 0.6186 max = 21

Wald chi2(3) = 138.84


corr(u_i, X) = 0 (assumed) Prob > chi2 = 0.0000

urbanpopul~h Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]

popgrwan .4253785 .0794597 5.35 0.000 .2696403 .5811166


ln_gdpperp~p -1.539514 .1794397 -8.58 0.000 -1.891209 -1.187819
unemprtan -.0515028 .029473 -1.75 0.081 -.1092687 .0062632
_cons 17.61953 1.803264 9.77 0.000 14.0852 21.15386

sigma_u .82673634
sigma_e .51571302
rho .71988087 (fraction of variance due to u_i)

45 .
46 . estimates store random

47 .
48 . hausman fixed random

Coefficients
(b) (B) (b-B) sqrt(diag(V_b-V_B))
fixed random Difference S.E.

popgrwan .4142253 .4253785 -.0111532 .0149413


ln_gdpperp~p -1.635437 -1.539514 -.0959232 .0772057
unemprtan -.051436 -.0515028 .0000668 .0085801

b = consistent under Ho and Ha; obtained from xtreg


B = inconsistent under Ha, efficient under Ho; obtained from xtreg

Test: Ho: difference in coefficients not systematic

chi2(3) = (b-B)'[(V_b-V_B)^(-1)](b-B)
= 1.95
Prob>chi2 = 0.5834

49 .
50 . *ho: random , h1: fixed
51 .
52 . *since the p value (0.5834) > 0.05 we fail to reject H0 and we use random ef
> fects model.

53 .
54 . **********choosing btw random vs pool**********

55 .
56 . **********POST ESTIMATIONS***********

57 .
58 . *check for hetroskedasticity

59 .
60 . xtreg urbanpopulationgrowth popgrwan unemprtan ln_gdpperpremp, re

Random-effects GLS regression Number of obs = 146


Group variable: countryA Number of groups = 7

R-sq: within = 0.4901 Obs per group: min = 20


between = 0.6815 avg = 20.9
overall = 0.6186 max = 21

Wald chi2(3) = 138.84


corr(u_i, X) = 0 (assumed) Prob > chi2 = 0.0000

urbanpopul~h Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]

popgrwan .4253785 .0794597 5.35 0.000 .2696403 .5811166


unemprtan -.0515028 .029473 -1.75 0.081 -.1092687 .0062632
ln_gdpperp~p -1.539514 .1794397 -8.58 0.000 -1.891209 -1.187819
_cons 17.61953 1.803264 9.77 0.000 14.0852 21.15386

sigma_u .82673634
sigma_e .51571302
rho .71988087 (fraction of variance due to u_i)

61 .
62 . xttest0

Breusch and Pagan Lagrangian multiplier test for random effects

urbanpopulationgrowth[countryA,t] = Xb + u[countryA] + e[countryA,t]

Estimated results:
Var sd = sqrt(Var)

urbanpo~h 1.712936 1.308792


e .2659599 .515713
u .683493 .8267363

Test: Var(u) = 0
chibar2(01) = 358.65
Prob > chibar2 = 0.0000
63 .
64 . *Ho: Homoskedasticity

65 .
66 . *H1: Hetroskedasticity

67 .
68 . *since p value (0.0000) < level of significance (0.05) we reject Ho, there is
> hetroskedasticity in model.

69 .
70 . ***correction of hetroskedasticity*****

71 .
72 . xtreg urbanpopulationgrowth popgrwan unemprtan ln_gdpperpremp, re robust

Random-effects GLS regression Number of obs = 146


Group variable: countryA Number of groups = 7

R-sq: within = 0.4901 Obs per group: min = 20


between = 0.6815 avg = 20.9
overall = 0.6186 max = 21

Wald chi2(3) = 21.56


corr(u_i, X) = 0 (assumed) Prob > chi2 = 0.0001

(Std. Err. adjusted for 7 clusters in countryA)

Robust
urbanpopul~h Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]

popgrwan .4253785 .2399648 1.77 0.076 -.0449439 .8957008


unemprtan -.0515028 .0459794 -1.12 0.263 -.1416207 .0386152
ln_gdpperp~p -1.539514 .4744113 -3.25 0.001 -2.469343 -.609685
_cons 17.61953 5.060722 3.48 0.000 7.700697 27.53836

sigma_u .82673634
sigma_e .51571302
rho .71988087 (fraction of variance due to u_i)

73 .
74 . ***checking for serial corelation in model

75 .
76 . xtserial urbanpopulationgrowth popgrwan ln_gdpperpremp unemprtan

Wooldridge test for autocorrelation in panel data


H0: no first order autocorrelation
F( 1, 6) = 1.104
Prob > F = 0.3339

77 .
78 . *Ho: no serial corelation , H1= serial corelation
79 .
80 . *since p value (0.3339) > level of significance (0.05) we fail to reject Ho,

81 .
82 . **there is no serial corelation in model.

83 .
84 . **************cluster test*********

85 .
86 . xtreg urbanpopulationgrowth popgrwan ln_gdpperpremp unemprtan, re vce (cluste
> r countryA)

Random-effects GLS regression Number of obs = 146


Group variable: countryA Number of groups = 7

R-sq: within = 0.4901 Obs per group: min = 20


between = 0.6815 avg = 20.9
overall = 0.6186 max = 21

Wald chi2(3) = 21.56


corr(u_i, X) = 0 (assumed) Prob > chi2 = 0.0001

(Std. Err. adjusted for 7 clusters in countryA)

Robust
urbanpopul~h Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]

popgrwan .4253785 .2399648 1.77 0.076 -.0449439 .8957008


ln_gdpperp~p -1.539514 .4744113 -3.25 0.001 -2.469343 -.609685
unemprtan -.0515028 .0459794 -1.12 0.263 -.1416207 .0386152
_cons 17.61953 5.060722 3.48 0.000 7.700697 27.53836

sigma_u .82673634
sigma_e .51571302
rho .71988087 (fraction of variance due to u_i)

87 . log close
name: <unnamed>
log: C:\Users\DELL\OneDrive\Desktop\Final Estimations.smcl
log type: smcl
closed on: 10 May 2025, 11:54:05

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