ESTIMATING POPULATION SIZE USING SAMPLING TECHNIQUES
Estimating population size through sampling is a common practice in various fields, including
ecology, demographics, and public health. Here's a breakdown of some key techniques:
Common Sampling Techniques:
● Quadrat Method:
○ This method is primarily used for sessile (non-moving) organisms like plants or
slow-moving animals.
○ It involves dividing the study area into squares (quadrats) of a known size.
○ Individuals within a random selection of these quadrats are counted.
○ The average number of individuals per quadrat is then used to estimate the total
population size.
○ Formula example: population = mean number of individuals per quadrat x (area of
habitat / area of quadrat)
. CAPTURE-RECAPTURE:
The capture-recapture method is a valuable tool in ecology and other fields for estimating
population sizes, particularly when direct counting is impractical.
Here's a more detailed look at how it works: Core Principles:
● Marking:
○ The method relies on capturing a sample of individuals from the population and marking
them in a way that doesn't harm them or significantly alter their behavior.
○ These marked individuals are then released back into the population.
● Recapture:
○ After a suitable period, a second sample is captured. ○ The number of marked individuals
in this second sample is recorded.
● Estimation:
○ The ratio of marked individuals in the second sample to the total number of individuals in
that sample is used to estimate the overall population size.
The Formula: The basic formula used in the capture-recapture method is: ● N = (M × n) / m
Where:
● N = Estimated total population size
● M = Number of individuals captured and marked in the first sample
● n = Total number of individuals captured in the second sample
● m = Number of marked individuals recaptured in the second sample Assumptions: The
accuracy of the capture-recapture method relies on several key assumptions:
● Closed Population: The population must be closed, meaning there are no births, deaths,
immigration, or emigration during the sampling period.
● Equal Catchability: All individuals in the population must have an equal chance of being
captured in both samples.
● Random Mixing: Marked individuals must have sufficient time to mix randomly back into
the population before the second sample is taken.
● Marks Remain: Marks must not be lost or become unreadable during the study.
● No Effect of Marking: The marking process itself must not affect the survival or behavior
of the individuals. Applications: The capture-recapture method is widely used to estimate
populations of:
● Fish
● Birds
● Mammals
● Insects Important Considerations:
● The time interval between captures is crucial. It must be long enough for adequate mixing
but short enough to minimize the effects of population changes.
● The marking method must be appropriate for the species being studied.
● Large sample sizes generally lead to more accurate estimates.