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Name: Aditya Parade Roll No: 281047 PRN: 22311577 Batch: A-2 Assignment 6

This document outlines an assignment focused on predicting month-wise temperatures in India using Linear Regression on historical temperature data. The objectives include applying the regression technique, evaluating model performance with metrics like MSE and MAE, and visualizing the results. It emphasizes the importance of understanding temperature trends and suggests exploring advanced models for better accuracy in future studies.

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26 views2 pages

Name: Aditya Parade Roll No: 281047 PRN: 22311577 Batch: A-2 Assignment 6

This document outlines an assignment focused on predicting month-wise temperatures in India using Linear Regression on historical temperature data. The objectives include applying the regression technique, evaluating model performance with metrics like MSE and MAE, and visualizing the results. It emphasizes the importance of understanding temperature trends and suggests exploring advanced models for better accuracy in future studies.

Uploaded by

adityaparade20
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Name: Aditya Parade

Roll No: 281047

Prn: 22311577

Batch: A-2

Assignment 6

Problem Statement:

Assignment on Regression technique. Download temperature data from below link.


https://www.kaggle.com/venky73/temperaturesof-india?select=temperatures.csv

This data consists of temperatures of INDIA averaging the temperatures of all place’s month wise.
Temperatures values are recorded in CELSIUS

a) Apply Linear Regression using suitable library function and predict the Month-wise temperature.
b) Assess the performance of regression models using MSE, MAE and R-Square metrics
c) Visualize simple regression model.

Introduction:

Temperature prediction is an essential aspect of climate analysis, weather forecasting, and various
environmental studies. In this study, we use historical temperature data of India to predict month-
wise temperatures using Linear Regression. This analysis provides insights into temperature trends
and helps assess how well a simple regression model can predict future temperatures.

Objectives:

The primary objectives of this study are:

● To apply Linear Regression for predicting month-wise temperatures using historical data.

● To evaluate the model's performance using statistical metrics such as Mean Squared Error
(MSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and R-Square (R²).

● To visualize the regression model for better understanding and interpretation of


temperature trends.

Theory: Linear Regression

Linear Regression is a fundamental statistical technique used to model the relationship between a
dependent variable (target) and one or more independent variables (predictors). In this case, we use
month-wise temperature data where:
Mathematical Representation:

Steps in Implementing Linear Regression:

1. Data Preprocessing: Load the dataset, handle missing values (if any), and convert months
into numerical values.

2. Splitting Data: Divide the dataset into training and testing sets (e.g., 80% training, 20%
testing).

3. Model Training: Use the LinearRegression class from sklearn to train the model.

4. Prediction & Evaluation: Predict temperatures for the test set and evaluate the model using
MSE, MAE, and R².

5. Visualization: Plot actual vs. predicted values to understand model performance.

Conclusion:

Linear Regression is a simple yet effective technique for predicting month-wise temperatures. By
applying this model, we can observe temperature trends and evaluate its accuracy using
performance metrics. The visualization of the model further helps in understanding the relationship
between months and temperature. While Linear Regression provides a baseline prediction,
advanced models such as Polynomial Regression or Time Series Forecasting can be explored for
improved accuracy in future research.

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