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Simple Linear Regression Notes

Simple Linear Regression is a statistical method that models the relationship between one independent variable (X) and one dependent variable (Y) using a straight line. The equation Y = b0 + b1X represents the predicted value, where b0 is the intercept and b1 is the slope. This method is easy to implement and useful for predictive analysis, but it assumes a linear relationship and is sensitive to outliers.

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88 views4 pages

Simple Linear Regression Notes

Simple Linear Regression is a statistical method that models the relationship between one independent variable (X) and one dependent variable (Y) using a straight line. The equation Y = b0 + b1X represents the predicted value, where b0 is the intercept and b1 is the slope. This method is easy to implement and useful for predictive analysis, but it assumes a linear relationship and is sensitive to outliers.

Uploaded by

toufiqkhan809
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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SIMPLE LINEAR REGRESSION EXPLANATION IN EASY ENGLISH

Definition:

Simple Linear Regression is a statistical method used to find the relationship between two variables:

- One independent variable (X) input/predictor

- One dependent variable (Y) output/target

It fits a straight line (called a regression line) through the data to predict Y from X.

Basic Idea:

If we know that X (like study hours) affects Y (like marks), then we try to draw a straight line that

best fits the data points to make predictions.

Equation of the Line:

Y = b0 + b1X

- Y: Predicted value (dependent variable)

- X: Given value (independent variable)

- b0: Intercept (where the line cuts the Y-axis)

- b1: Slope (change in Y for every 1 unit change in X)

Example:

Lets say we want to predict marks (Y) based on study hours (X).

If we calculate and get:

Y = 30 + 5X
This means:

- If a student studies 0 hours, they might still get 30 marks (intercept).

- For each extra hour of study, marks increase by 5 (slope).

Graphical View:

A scatter plot of data is made with X and Y values. Then a straight line is drawn to minimize the

difference between actual Y values and predicted Y values. This line is called the "best fit line".

How is the line decided? (Using Least Squares Method):

The model tries to minimize the Sum of Squared Errors (SSE):

SSE = (Yi - i)^2

Where:

- Yi: Actual value

- i: Predicted value from the line

Assumptions of Simple Linear Regression:

1. Linearity: Relationship between X and Y is linear.

2. Independence: Observations are independent of each other.

3. Homoscedasticity: Constant variance of errors.

4. Normality: Errors are normally distributed.

Advantages:

- Easy to understand and implement

- Requires less computation


- Useful for simple predictive analysis

Limitations:

- Works only when there is a linear relationship

- Sensitive to outliers

- Assumes a constant variance which may not be true

Applications:

- Predicting sales from advertising budget

- Estimating marks based on study hours

- Predicting salary based on experience

Python Code Example:

from sklearn.linear_model import LinearRegression

import numpy as np

# Input (X) and Output (Y)

X = np.array([[1], [2], [3], [4], [5]])

Y = np.array([2, 4, 5, 4, 5])

# Create and train the model

model = LinearRegression()

model.fit(X, Y)

# Predict

predicted = model.predict([[6]])
print("Predicted value for X=6 is:", predicted[0])

Conclusion (Short Exam Answer Format):

Simple Linear Regression is a method to model the relationship between one independent and one

dependent variable using a straight line. The model predicts the output by fitting the best line using

the least squares method. It is useful for understanding and forecasting outcomes based on a single

input feature.

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