0 ratings 0% found this document useful (0 votes) 28 views 33 pages Chapter 15
This chapter discusses the importance of maintenance programs for repairable systems, focusing on preventive and corrective maintenance strategies. It covers the reliability and mean time to failure equations, the impact of imperfect maintenance, and optimal replacement strategies for minimizing costs. Additionally, it introduces Markovian approaches for availability analysis in various system configurations.
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Save chapter 15 For Later LO stn’ eld Pal Dhl cde bale}
Maintainability and
Availability
What You Will Learn
In this chapter, you wil learn
1 Importance of suitable maintenance program for repairable systems to restore them to operating
after failure
1 The two types of maintenance programs—preventive and corrective maintenances—that a Used nga
and their objectives
i The aspects of periodic inspections and replacement of worn-out parts in preventive maintenance, wicg
conducted even before a failure
1& The aspects of bringing the failed system to an operating condition as soon as possible in the comsctie
maintenance, which is undertaken after the failure of a compdent or system
= The equations for the reliability and mean time to failure of a maintained system and their application sy.
tems whose failure time follows exponential, normal, and Weibull distributions
1= The influence of imperfect maintenance
1m The optimal replacement strategy for minimum cost and the aspect of spare parts requirement
t= The availabilty analysis using a Markovian approach and its application to systems with single componens
series systems, and parallel systems
Andrei Andreevich Markov (or Markoff) was a Russian mathematician who was born on June 14, 1855,
and died on May 20, 1922. He graduated from St. Petersburg University in 1878 with a gold medal fers
thesis on the solution of differential equations. He was a student of Chebyshev, and taught at St Petenbur,
University, becoming a professor there in 1893. He developed the chain theory that has become poplarin
‘weather prediction, social sciences, biological sciences, molecular and statistical physics, quantum tear,
‘and genetics. A chain is associated with a process, which changes from stage to stage. The chain theory re
vides the probability of being in the next stage once the probability of being in the current stage i kn
‘Markov chains are applied to random walks, which are a succession of walks along a particular path, Etre
books are written on Markov chains and separate courses are offered in colleges and universities on te
subject. Markov extended many of the works of Chebyshev and made many contributions to statisti He
explained sampling theory within the framework of probability theory (15.17, 15.18].
15.1 Introduction
‘The previous chapters were concemed with the problem of assessing the reli
component or a system without considering the aspects of maintenance and Sd
chapter deals with maintainable and repairable systems that can be15.2
15.2.1
cither at regular
(rye scar St 152 Mamwrarnasiuity — 707
=e as ‘ Rea ps
the maintainability ofa yg Mittin Both the aspects of msintinaity
fails while the availabijie ot POV: Ames.) 2% tvalebilty are discussed. n general
Ee r ; ,
use as any instant of time, "YM provides 4 hee epairability of a system when it
© availability analysig sue of the readiness of a system for
(1) the system conf Of a system,
(2) the faire ap describing ne knowledge of the following aspects:
wep fain! Poments, (3 he One re Functionally connected,
and Tepe eh ANd (4) the repair thod of operation and the definition
alr time distributions can be crt Mintenance poticy, A
Tillman [15.1] gave a detailed oye oi the SUB adit Lie Pome a
to both failure and repair time one cation of references on reli apd
ile times) incl ne 2M feauently used disbuton for
00288 (Or rep ee etl, Weibull, and nomal dato
Jognormal, gamma, Poisson, and uniforn
of a system that fail frequently have ry
components that fail infrequently,
distribution. On the other hand,
ure rate and the same repair
distribution,
In this chapter, we assume, mostly, that the failure times as well as repair times of indi-
vidual components follow exponential distibution, This permits us to use Markov models
for the analysis.
the most prominent ones are exponential,
distributions. For example, if the components
atively short repair times compared to those
the repair times can be assumed to follow exponential
id, if every component of the system has the same fail-
time, the repair times can be assumed to follow uniform
Maintainability
Overview
i ioratit failed system to the normal
Jntenance is to restore a deteriorating or failed eae
pean te, Mas) ae ae
Cerne i ystem in a speciied period of time. oa
component or system in a mee Eee Tnaitenance. In preventive maintenance,
sible: preventive eee S00 COO Se
the system is periodical nara ade before he 5 enance sage
are checked, and adjustment 1 gvoved during the comet sed afte the 5-
is intended to eliminate costly PA, corrective maitene he reliability and
ii
when the system fails.
tem fails. While the aim
prolong the life ofthe s¥
objective ofCHAPTER 15 MAINTAINABILITY AND AVAILABILITY
15.2.2 Preventive Maintenance
Reliability of the System, Let the reliability ofthe system with no maj
by R(2) and let preventive maintenance be used at times i, 2,3, mente
that each time a maintenance action is taken; the system is restored tg a, We tm,
condition as indicated in Fig, 15.1 [15.4], The reliability of the maintaneg jo iy.
during 0 = 1 = % can be stated as fee a
R(t) = R(t); 0545
singe no maintenance action i taken until 1 = i. At any time during the ney
time, 9 S 1S 2%, the reliability of the maintained system is given by the mae
probability of the original system operating at time t = fy and the robatitity a
tem, restored to new condition at fp, operating at t = t — fy ‘*
(ts
Rn(t) = R(o)R(t =); StS 2 89
Next, the reliability of the maintained system during 2% <1 < 3i can be obi y
the product of the probability of the system operating at t = 2f) and the probability oe
system, restored to new condition at 2io, operating at time t = t — 2ip
Ru(t) = R() R(t )|mrgR(t = 2g)
= P(g) R(t 2); %H S13By proceeding in a gin.
in 315 (4 Ducane
Mean Time to Failure,
(MTTF,,) is given by
MITE, =i ea Phdtes fm
cy
= pitt} ly As
“a Rat)
MITER Bro [ne ~ ity) dt
bs (15.6)
Defining r = t — ity, Eq. (15.6) can be rewritten as
MITE, = Se) f° aya asn
eae)!
In view of the equivalence [159]
pail!
~ Ro)CHAPTER 15 MAINTAINABILITY AND AVAILABILITY.
Solution:
Without Repair. The reliability of the system without repair (see Section 6:7) can
as follows be ere
1 R(t) =e™
2 RY) =1- o(*)
2 nnn (29)
With Repair, When preventive maintenance is performed at time intervals the relish
system is given by Eq. (15.4) ily oe
R(t) = R()R(t~ io): it StS (i+ Ios §=0,1,2,..,
1. Here R(t) = e™ and Eq. (El) gives
R(t) = (eB) ieAE M0) = Mog MelMo = eM for any ¢ |
oRu(t) = R(t) = es 120
2. Inthis case, R(t) = 1 - @({t— 4 }/o), and hence
Rn(t) = Ri(ta)R(t = io)
wfie(ts8t ABB) ners ea
3. Since the reliability function of the system without maintenance (see Section 6.7.4) is givenby
nol}
the reliability of the maintained system becomes
nst-weane-m) (ool (SF }owl-(9) }
- GG
Fe Aah 7
eySolution: The rtig
OF reliabilig
i
Pale) lgya nm
Ro hn
Oe oN eee sinenan igen by
180 MaWTAWARETY — 711
+i
BR ty ia
1a,
ees eH
9M) oy
Rig) } 1 =0,1,2,.. “
)
2)
Rin) ~ a=!
This shows that preventive mai 1 ees es
tribution, which has a constant failure rate, 4s not beneficial in the case of exponential flue time di
Case 2: For Weibull failure time.
Aistributon, the reliably function Gee Section 6.74 ven by
wl (3 cs
and Eq. (B2) leads to
rioo [ATT as
Ri), e{-( es seo () +6 =
=i + > 0,oni#-! > 1. This inequality will be
tate increases). This indicates that preventive
pe cd a increases with time,
This indicates that Ry(lo) > R(ie)
satisfied only when > 1 (-e, when the fle
maintenance is useful over the wear-out
—_——
EXAMPLE 15.3CHAPTER 15 MAINTAINABILITY AND AVAILABILITY
15.2.3
‘The expected value of can be found as
re nee i oe
a= Sa Sirwni't R()) = RCo) RU BARC) 1
Ray = RW) RG)
(= RG) P= Rl)
‘The standard deviation of i can be evaluated as
of = B[(i = BLi))?) = BP) = (et)?
= Sen (ctayt = Ae)
[1 R(m)
Imperfect Maintenance
Ic has been assumed in the previous section that maintenance is performed prety
that the system can be considered to be “as-good-as-new” after the maintenance sci
However, there is a possibility of performing imperfect maintenance due to human om.
In such cases, the system will fail immediately after the preventive maintenance action ft
the probability of performing imperfect maintenance is denoted as p the reliability oe
system is to be multiplied by (1 — p) each time a preventive maintenance actions nen
‘Thus, the reliability of a maintained system can be expressed, by modifying Ea. (154), as
Ra(t) = (1 - p)'R(g)R(t — ig); i StS (i + 1)g; 1=0,1,2,... SID
In order to find whether the replacement of wearing parts during preventive mai
worthwhile compared to the reduced reliability caused maintenance,
the ratio Ry(t)/R(t) att = ig 7 ae :
Ru(ito) _ (1 = p)'R'(w)R(0) _ (1 =p)
R(itp) R(itp) ae
since R(0) = 1,
ce
EXAMPLE 15.4Reality) 182” MaTeTamAnnery
113
epee ee
iy" (1 =
Sine the ratio piven by Nera em ™ (1 = py ts
tive maintenance ha Ly
2. When the fae time opt i
wont
sn Soot (YI)
*emette |
= (1-pien((#)-(2). = 01,2... es
For small values of p, we can use the approximation
3)
(i-pyieer fi)
and Eq. (BA) can be expressed as
=e es
wc aedefo (hh oe
‘beneficial only
. ive maintenance will be be r
ein Example 15:2 that ie ve ef wear pend Exton
Ie was owen fue EES MO cay wet
when B > preventive mantenanSr)
Repair time (/)
0 MTTR 4
FIGURE 15.2 Probability density function of repair time.
When Time to Repair Follows Exponential Distribution. The probability density
function of repair time (7) is given by
rt) = pe (15.12)
where z = 1/MTTR is the repair rate and MTTR = mean time to repair. If, ,....
denote the observed repair times, MTTR can be computed as
MTTR aa (15.13)
When Time to Repair Follows Lognormal Dist
be 1, 3, fy Then the sample mean (¥)ane
EXAMPLE 15.5
The total number of.
umber of maintenanee
of repairing failure in (1) 1
Solution: The data re rt Joe
n= 578/84 = 841g K = M/ST w 5
cay sae et in iat
“ia i),
1 MC) = 1a .
ai M(S) = 1 ~ eons) fi Me ey
3 M(20) = 1 ~ g-arasyayy ! Poa = Qi = 01352
00547 = Oty
a
EXAMPLE 15.6
The repair times 4; for a mainframe computer
40, 3.1, 3, and 39 hears eee ar eerine is mie S17 1822.26
following: aia determine
L Maines od poe
2. Downtime required to achieve a maintainability of 0.99,
Solution: Since the repair time 7 follows lognormal distribution, the mean of X = Intis given bya
1. Theminaiaiity othe yer comesonting 8 own tS oui pipe py
M(S) = o( in 5 *) = of sees ons) = (20911) = ogg),
lity of 0.99, the required downtime ¢ canbe determine fon
the
= o( Sau)
i CHAPTER 15 MAINTAINABILITY AND AVAILABILITY
2. To achieve « mai
relation
M(t) = 0.99 = o( = 4)
From standard normal tables, we obtain
0.3720
Int ~ 0.83152
oan 2927
that is,
Int = 1.69176 or 1 = 5.4584 hours
Dd
EXAMPLE 15.7
‘Solve Example 15.6 assuming that the repair times follow Weibull distribution.
Solution: The 10 sample repair times (1) can be used to find the parameters of Weibull distributions
(using the procedure outlined in Section 13.7.7) m = 2.75 and = 2.93 so thatthe maintanabiy
M(t) is given by
wel)
1. The maintainability corresponding to a downtime of 5 hours is given by5.2.6
time follows ex,
is given by
tial dist
Tin With 18 MAMTANAMLTY 717
irate of
a i 1 the maintainability function
Cm Hence the ig ay alc
ber of eit tbe tg us
repaired fy Pome sy 5.18)
ed failures in noe file in tine
ine 1s sven by
in
Migs Will
Nes anew, be equal to
(15.19)
A,
EXAMPLE 15.8
The air-conditioning unit used j
sed in a
a system life of 12 months, how meg net istlation had
is allowed for each repair, dere aires are key not et eae ve on ation
wegen see! if a repair time of 2 oars
. sper hour a 05,
Solution: The expected number r
failures. The number of failure whe is Hs, Ty is ve by Ay = 0412
‘are not likely to get repaired is given by ftom me
Na = Moe Wr = 1.260502) = 2
= 1.2(03679) = 0.4415
‘Thus, 0.4415 failures every 12 months, onthe average, wil take longer than 2 hous
to repair.
.
Optimal Replacement Strategy
‘As seen in the previous sections, preventive maintenance improves the reliability of a sys-
tem during the wear-out period. In some systems, a component is automaticaly replaced
afier an operational time off. This strategy is known as age replacement. Changing th
and oil filter in an automobile after every "a months is an example of age replacement In
some cases, a set or batch of components i replaced regulary times ty, 2p, 3b, --- and
es a aire oocurs. This seg, known as bth repose, 5 wee
aso whenever fle are involved such asa set of lightbabs in
ever a large number of inexpensive comP® oe preventive maimte-
a factory. In all the eases, : s
nance should be compared with I Haas sa ‘
component be replaced at and cost epg a faled on
ponent through preventive Inte 6? Cr ie
through corrective H failed component >
involves not only the ne
with several addia
HAPTER 15 MAINTAINABILITY AND AVAILABILITY
and the total cost of replacement ¢ by
C= CMa + CMe
(152
‘Since the total operating time 1 is very large compared to the mean time between
‘ments (MTBR), we have
1
”* MTBR (15.29)
where MTBR, similar to Eq. (6.28), is given by
MTBR = i Rr) dr
LeU) (1523)
and R(x) is the reliability of the component which is automatically replaced afer atime
Pa R(t) for r=
R(7) ia fee oh (15.24)
with R(r) denoting the reliability of the original (unmaintained) component. Equations
(15.24) and (15.23) yield
MTBR = [ames [Rove- [rove (isa
Since the fraction of components that survive until the next preventive maintenance is
given by R(%p), the number of surviving components, rg, that are replaced through pre-
ventive maintenance, are given by
Ny = R(ig)n (1526)
ant similarly, the numberof failed component which are replaced theugh cots
maintenance, are given by
n= (1 ~ R())n
= fn) ote53
1
Spare Parts Requirement
When the failure times of
the number of failures jn MPO of,
probability of having pg dG System fo
hres in tine an er
ven by i
182 MaNrANABUY — 719
complex
omental distibation,
bon (152) Th,
P( (ary
a (a) OO
where A = 1/MTBR and ‘
MTBF = (15.30)
Tess than Or equal to rfaifur- Mea time
failures. The probabitty of hay
i P(nsr) = ar) (1531)
‘The value given by Eq. (15:31) is also the ppp ‘adequate replacement
parts avaiable ifr spare parts are socked atthe begins ohn Equation
can also be used to find the number of spare part, seedetee ra
Ifa desired cumulative probability as
7 is given for a particular item, the number of spare
pe C Summing the values of the individual probabil
flue unl this sum is equal or gree thn he dese cumuateraomin a
pler, but approximate, formula for determining the number of spare pars ina mission time
Tyis given by
‘Number of spare parts = AT) + 21-_VATo (1532)
where ATo and ‘VAT denote the mean and standard deviation of the number of failures in
time To, according to Poisson distribution, and zy qs the value of standard normal variate
corresponding to the confidence level a.
EXAMPLE 15.9 is ii
a die meg
mission period of 30 days with 99 P= aloe
= 720 hours athe ats
sane ons eee
; probability i = 4240 eri(CHAPTER 15 MAINTAINABILITY AND AVAIL
15.3 Availability
‘The term availability is used to indicate the probability of a system or arom bet
‘operating condition at any time f, given that it was in operating condition at ¢ =o, 5".
to be in operating condition at time f, the system must not have failed or, tis had failed
-, the solutions of Eqs. (15.49) and (15.52) converge to
-— ae
1 A(%) = ad
Equations (15.53) and (15.54) indicate that the Df
becomes independent ofits starting (or initial) st
‘The steady-state solution can also be fou
since the derivative of the steady-state valu
dP/dt = O-and dP, /dt = Oin Eqs. (15
Ab ibeiber rs nt at153 Avan
Me Heady ice LY 795
Nm Atm)
ae (15,58)
; As AO )
SOME SE, We Wil bey ny
a specific period of time 7 in nai, (1559)
and dividing by the total time: ‘ten ep ie the sytem over
1) over the time imerval 7
‘A (23) cee
Ate OT nesta Gter sé
Similarly, if the system w:
(15.60) yields as i aed ste at t= 0,4() is given by Ea (1551) and
A(T) =e A
a
eae A cs (atu
Au (tut twp (15.6)
‘The steady-state or long-term availability of the system can be determined by letting
T— © in Eqs, (15.61) and (15.62). This gives
———— (1563)
AO een
Equation (15.63) cam also be expressed as
an gover cae
_ MTTF
me eT + MTR
coaaiesslhioCHAPTER 15 MAINTAINABILITY AND AVAILABILITY
15.3.5
GHEE
FIGURE 15.5 A series system,
Series Systems
Consider a series system with two components A and B as shown in Fig. 15.5, Let the i.
ure rate be A and the repair rate be ys for each component. The system willbe in any of ye
following three possible states at any time t:
1. Both components are in operating condition (state 0)
2. One component isin operating condition and the other under repair (state 1)
3. Both components are under repair (state 2)
Since both components must be in operating condition forthe system to be in operating
condition, the availability of the system is given by the probability of the system being in
state 0 at time ¢, that is, A(r) = P(r). The system will be down in states 1 and .
One Repair Person, The availablity analysis of « multicomponent system depends on
the number of repair persons available for servicing the failed components First we con-
sider the case with one repair person. The resulting transition probabilities are summarized
in Table 15.1
From this table, the transition matrix [P] can be identified as [15.3]
0 if €
of (1 - 2a) 2A 0
DP 1 fee) (ee) (AS
Alt bh (1-4)
Thus the probability of the system being in state 0 or 1 or 2 at time ¢ + dt can be written as:
Pot + de) = Py(0)(1 — 2adt) + P(t) at (136)
Ault + dt) = A(t) ade + Py(t)(1—Adt— pat) +A(1\uar (156)
Prt + dt) = P(t)Ade + P(r) (1 ~ dt) :
These equations can be rewritten, using the definition given
a, = PAR) + AP t) ‘
dP,
BO any -
a0 AP(1)ewer
ee
o~ (7)
py ~ (p18
Pte 1 = (@r- Vien
pa
0 ~ (PV)
PNT ~ (PX — LPT
WU 1 ~ LuPY 1)
you vonodkno9 ont Jo seo
posredox
auuodwos ovo A110
pareydiuo>
suauoduios sn0q 50 62%
-aropdan0
ou sf Joyo au Jo s1edor
uv strep wioioditi00 90,
[ey sjusuoduios og.
uonrpuos Sunerodo
Ur sueuaz soqo xp pue sirey
stusuodutoo atp Jo x9qRE,
uontpuoa Sunesodo
uy uewiar siusuodwio9 tog
AywaeqosaCHAPTER 15 MAINTAINABILITY AND AVAILABILITY
These equations can be solved for any specified iil condition Wo find P,P, ang p
as functions of time, For example, if the system was in operating state at time ¢ = te
initial conditions are given by z
AO) P(0) = 0; 7(0) =0 (is)
In most cases, the steady-state solution of gs. (15.69) t0 (15.71) willbe of interes, fg
this, we set dPy/at = 0, dP/dt = 0, and dP/dt = 0 in Eqs. (15.69) t0 (15.71) and ye
the condition Py + Fy + Py =
2A + MP, = 0 (isa)
2AR — (A+ WP + WP, = 0 (15.74)
AA — wh = 0 (1575)
At A+ h=1 (15:76)
‘The solution of Eqs. (15.73) to (15.76) gives
2
#
A= >> %
O° 2+ Det we Pa
2
4-5 a 5 (1578)
1 + 2dp + 28
2
eae om
w+ Aw + 28
Thus the steady-state availability of the system is given by
we 5.80)
Ato) =F = = oe Be «ass
(=) =R w+ dw + 2K
‘Two Repair Persons. In this case, each repair person can work on a different compo
nent. If the system was in state 2 at time f, it can return to state 1 at time ¢ + dt if pai of
one of the components is complete, while that of the other is incomplete. Since the rept
of either of the two components can be completed by the time # + dt, the probability is
2 dt(1 ~ pdt) ~ 2y dr, On the other hand, ifthe system was in state 2at time fit coo
{inues to remain in state 2 ifthe repair of both the components is incomplete. The P
of this event is equal to (1 - wd)? ~ 1 — 2y dt. Thus, the transition matrix, [P} Of
Eq, (15.65) will be modified as hi
0 1
of (1 - 2a) 2a
Cle 1 aa (1-A~p)
2 ko mu aThis MALEIX CAM be Used 49 dg
ri
rete ANAIARILTy
m9
We
ationg
hi
Wy et Hh eo
* WP + up, = 9
=6
A ~ tyr = 9
The solution of Eqs. (15.89) 45 ss A+R tna,
'S given by
+ wae
rw +R (15.36,
Pa
z
wt aR (1587)
Aa
e+e ie
Thus, the steady-state availability ofthe system will be
ACen
(=) =P Pore (1589)
Parallel Systems
Consider a parallel system consisting of to components A and B as shown in Fig: 15.6
For this system, there ar thee posible sais: state (both components opersig), S88
1 (one component operating and the other under rep) ant sate 2 (both components
under repair).
One Repair Person. 1F there is only a snl rept person servic he two COMES
nents, the transition matrix can be derived as:
0 ! i
0
1 - 2A) 1590)
of ( oa i
[P]=! A a-#)
2
A
eu
FIGURE 15:6 Apsall730° CHAPTER 15 MAINTAINABILITY AND AVALLABILITY
This gives the steady-state equations as
2A + UP, = 0
AP (154
2AM) = (A+ p)P, + WP, = 0 a
AP, = P= 0 ee
A+R +R =1 )
(1559)
‘The solution of these equations is given by Eqs. (15.77) to (15.79),
ce sates 9
constitute the operation of the system, the steady-state availability of the ‘yen cart
found as
w+ 2p
2 + Aw + 2 (595)
Alo) = Fy +
‘Two Repair Persons. If there are two repair persons, one repair person canbe ase
to each component and the transition matrix can be derived as
0 1 2
of (a -2a) 2a 0
LP | oie (l-A~a) a (1595)
2) ay ap (1- u)
From this matrix, the steady-state equations can be obtained as
20K + MP, = 0 (53
2AR)— (A + w)P) + WP = 0 (1598
AP, ~ 2pP) = 0 (1599
A+h+R=1 (1s100)
‘The solution of these equations is given by Eqs. (15,86) to (15.88). The steady-state aval
ability of the system can be determined as
2
A(e) = lt (15.0)
a) matt w+ 2p + 2
15.4
Optimization Approaches
Several optimization methods have been used for solving
ity problems. The allocation of availability p
to various components of a system for minimur
using the Lagrange multiplier method in155 yy
MERA
aa son
of MTBF, MTTR, and the py TIONS Us
for minimum cost were ae of rei
u
ae Wundant unit
state availability of a repainagy 8 & dynam nt” Mhieve
’ ble oy
time is maximized under constea, With cold
r od st
MNTLAW AND EXCH, 731
achieve a pied avai
* ae ha dana Sopronch, The steady-
provision of spare pati Cn And nonzero replacement
and availability of Papeetifcanty influence tt ela in Ret 1137) he
fc a ee Operatir S
or maximum av Optimal Ng oss, maintsinabiy
ne ey reliability, md inaon Wei pice tan be con
weight of Di and mini am be carted
determination and some gt pee NE ben entre n toering co o
agencies, and 60 on 15,8), mt re being outinly wed by cen ee
15.5 Numerical Solutions Using MATLAB and Excel
a
AMPLE 15.11
The failure time of a machine follows normal distribution witha mean value of « = 20 months
and a standard deviation of o = 4 months. The machine undergoes preventive maintenance st
regular intervals of 12 months Find the reliability ofthe machine att = 30 months without and
with maintenance using MATLAB.
Solution: ‘The reliability ofthe machine at time t with no maintenance is given by
rjc lave o() e
. undergoing preventive maintenance at
Noting that the reliability ofthe machin a ine f (oven unre ic terse
have for
ners of ime ) is given by Ea (Blo Exam 2 ¥= 5°
in sts (i+ I)mit=?
a(t) = none melee = a ie
m2) 1 - (PE - 9
a [ % (Nh een
to find the ial
‘The MATLAB program
shown below.
ana!
cheerHAPTER 15. MAINTAINABILITY AND AVAILABILITY
Reino #1 = noxmodé (#10)
Bie (eieo = mu) /0d
FES (etme = redime0 «my fad
Probl = normedt (11)
Prob2 © normedt (32)
etm = ((1 = Peobi)*2)#(1 = Prob}
m0 =
2.8000
Relno =
0.0062
as
2
ae
-3.5000
Probi =
0.0228
Proba =
2.32630-004
Role =
0.5548
a
EXAMPLE 15.12
The failure time of a machine follows two-parameter Weibull distribution with parameters 6 = 20
and = 50 months. The machine undergoes preventive maintenance at regular intervals of
12 months. Find the reliability of the machine at t = 30 months without and with maintenance
using Excel
Solution: The reliability of the machine at time t with no maintenance is given by
dec cla "
Noting that the reliability of the machine at time + (When undergoing preventive maintenance tt
intervals of time 1) is given by Eq, (E1) of Example 15.1, we have for = 12 and t = 30 mont
Rn(t) = R() R(t ; fa 5 -
“Gy ill-Ca)})
‘The Excel program to find the reliabilities indicated in Eqs (El):
Ss time uu
: la 2
:
1 2S
a Peck
: = a
:
‘ ae
:
:
| REFERENCES AND BIBLIOGRAPHY
15.1 C,H. Lie, C. L. Hwang, and FA. Tilman, “Availabilty of Maintined Systems: A.
, » of mms: A State-f-
the-art Survey,” AIIE Transactions, Vol. 9, 1977, pp. 247-258. —
15.2. M.O. Locks, “Reliability, Maintainablity, and Availabilty Assessment" Hayden Book Co.
Rochelle Park, NJ, 1973.
153 G.H., Sandler, System Reliability Engineering, Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs, NJ, 1963.
1987
154 BE. Lewis, Introduction o Reliab Engineering, ohn Wiley, NewYork :
i HL Moss, °A CostBused Aaaity Aloesvn Agseshns
Se pats 20, 1971, pp. 178-182.
Lambert, rms, “Optimal Redunan aA Mlssion
6 A. Walvela and PBI apy Vo R20, 197 pm 12-185
1" IEEE Transactions sem Avy and para SIE Units”
15.7. M. Sasaki, S. Kabura, 26, 197, po. 182-188 ’
IEEE Transactions 07 ReTAT ad isk Anas NY But Feuer, He
15.8 E. G. Frankel, Systems 1984. ‘Chemical Rubber Co, Cleveland
Hague, The Netherlands: ables, iin eb THE
159. §.M, Selby, Standard of Sysem Availity: A Bayesian
OF, cn 2 Mes peers
18.10 D. M. Brendef
nme HEEBCHAPTER 15 MAINTAINABILITY AND AVAILABILITY
18.1
18.12
1813
184
DR. Gover J and M, Mazumdar, “Some Bayes stints of Long-Run Avi,
‘Two-State System,” EEE Transactions on Reliability, Vol. R-18, 1969, pp, 184 4gq"! a
‘A Bayes Analysis of Availabitit
Subsystems,” IEEE Transactions
W. B, Thompson and M. D Spr
Consisting of Several Independ
Vol, R-21, 1972, pp. 212-214
1W.E.Faragher ann HS, Watson, “Atay Analysis—A Realistic Methology 19,
mpi on Reiland Quality Cont, Washingion, D.C, Samar 1968, p95
R.E Barlow and FProshan, Mathematical Theory of Reliability Sohn Wiley, New Ya,
W faa
-
le
Reliability Vol. R-15, 1966, pp. 58-68.
M.A. Moss, Designing for Minimal Maintenance Expense, Marcel Dekker, New Yok, gg
A.C. King and C. B. Read, Pathways to Probability, Holt, Rinehart & Winston, ig
New York, 1963,
C.C Gillespie (ed -in-chief), Dictionary of Scientific Biography, Vol. 9, Charles Sertne'
Sons, New York, 1980,
=O
REVIEW QUESTIONS
1541
15.2
153
Give brief answers tothe following:
Define the terms maintainability and availabilty.
‘What is the difference between preventive maintenance and corrective maintenance?
What is MTTR?
How is the reliability of a maintained system defined?
Define instantaneous availability ofa system,
‘What is average uptime availability?
How is steady-state availability defined?
Explain the difference between inherent, achieved, and operational availailies.
9, What is transition matrix?
10, What is Markov analysis?
11, Whatis the effect of imperfect maintenance on the reliability of a system?
12. State the factors that influence the optimal replacement strategy.
13, How is the number of spare parts determined for a single-component system?
Saar ee
Indicate whether each of the following statements is true or false:
1. The purpose of maintenance is to restore a deteriorating or failed system to nora
operating sate, i
2. If mean time to repair is given by MTTR, the repair rate (41) is given by # = jgr7R’
3. Markovian approach is not useful forthe availability analysis. F
4, Markovian transition diagram and transition matrix provide differen information
Fill in the blank withthe proper word(s):
1, Maintainability provides a measure of the____of the system.
2. Availability provides a measure of the __of the system for use at any i184 Select the
replaced
&. Before
any fai
After complete
er complet fai
After paral fit,
2. The ccmecive
Afr fs not
bh. Much before alu
Just before fila
3. When the fai
etme of eompon
the numberof failures ponents of system fllow exponential dst
aseifig pease ti val distibton
« Noueaggeene
b. Poisson distribution
Binomial distribution
4. The long-term (steady ste) aaiilty, =),
BAe) i a rps rue
and failure rate (A) a: a oo
H i Ate
ea cent
Nee ee #
15.5 Match the following avait
ystantane lability a. Proportion cof time during which the syst
1. Instat ional by considering ready time, logistics.
camp whore
tem is
time, and wating t
preventive
sina vam
ine ding wich 982
a eam any cress
enn vs
uring hice se
aly rl forse nsec! interval
seis opr
Pepsi ey ES
herent availabilt) i
nf time cing which the S188
ing only he coronsive
2, Average uptime availability
3. Steady-state av!
ilailty ent
5, Achieved aval! mics
sions xing iene sen
ime
we . Proportion ny tir Me
6. Operational availCHAPTER 15 MAINTAINABILITY AND AVAILABILITY.
PROBLEMS
ina thermal powerplant are givenby 42, 45
1 ‘The repaired fora oie na thermal power pl cia
5.6,5 3 1, 6.3, 6.4, 6.7, 6.8, 7.0, 7.3, and 7.5 hours. Find 2,
1. the maintainability ofthe boiler fran allowed downtine of 6 hours,
182
183
184
18s
15.6
18.7
158
159
15.10
D. the downtime required to achieve a maintainability of 0.95,
6 the rue! MTR. when the allowable downtime i 6 hous fr «maint
(0,95, Assume thatthe repair times follow exponential distribution,
Solve Problem 15.1 assuming that the repair times follow normal distribution
Solve Problem 15.1 assuming thatthe repair times follow lognormal distribution,
‘Solve Problem 15.1 assuming thatthe repair times follow Weibull distribution,
‘The times required to restore power outages by an electric power company are 05,07, 9,
10,1.2,13,1.6,17,19,21,22,26 29,34, and 4.2 hous. Determine the following
a, The maintainability ofthe power supply ifthe outage is permitted for 5 hous
}, The duration ofthe outage corresponding to a maintainability of 0.99,
Solve the problem assuming (i) normal distribution and (ii) lognormal distribution forte
‘outage restoring times.
Find the reliability of a system for which preventive maintenance is performed afer every
500 hours of operation when the failure time Tin hours of the original system sven by
the following distribution:
a fr(t) = 0.001 e0#
1 (t= 1000)"
ee)
A-system has a mean time between failures of 200 hours, mean time to repair of 10 hours,
‘mean ready time of 5 hours, and a mean downtime of 15 hours. Find the inherent, achieved.
and operational availabilities of the system.
Find the time interval, , needed for replacing the components in preventive maintenance
ifthe reliability ofthe original (unmaintained) components is given by
wl) ne
when cy and care given by 100 and 1000 dollars, respectively.
Find the time interval, fo, needed for replacing the components in preventive maintenance
ifthe reliability ofthe original (unmaintained) components is given by
a9 = emn{-()"Ie sinus
‘where ¢), and ¢, are given by 100 and 5000 dollars, respectively,
A system consists of three types of components with 10 units of type A, 20 units of typeB
and 30 units of type C. The mean times before failure of type A, B, and Cc
are, respectively, 2000, 1500, and 3000 hours. Find the number of spare parts Fe
R(yHn time
99 of $9
09 me hour enn monies 1%
ind the mean, Sentence
fooned a mat (90 prent (695
felt) = dear 034 St 8 syste .
*.6) Weitatrg* *BEH the te!” MHCh pre
eae ah a inc
) ponent distin,
Art)
say (
“ “ye
J ala) of
Find the condition ym
sysom for which te tae hte }
lure time gt vent
"toe diana
At) = Bee
ould be beneficial fora
The number of failures ing
restoring the system is 239 Power statin
, is 220m in years 6. The al ne genta
() 2 hours, nde) 10 heures he proba pace :
‘ ity of repairing a ure in (a1 Hou,
A welding robot in an ass
sembly shop is foundto fi
and a repair takes, on the ws MoPiBfoundtofatonceinevery 10h
caigemeree sof operation
likely not to get rated sae a8® | our Determine the mune of furs so
era pod of yearf area tng
foreach repre Ain alts rtmiscyucd Suri yoda ene
A system has & mean time between failures of 200 hours and
es urs and a meantime to epi of 30
hours. Find the steady-state availability ofthe sytem,
A series system consists of two identical components each with a flue rate of 0.005 per
hour and a repair rate of 0.1 pe hour Find th steady-state evalabiity ofthe system if the
number of repair persons is a) one and (b) two.
‘A parallel system consists of two identical components each with failure rate of 0.005 per
hour and a repair rate of 0.1 per hour, Find the steady-state availabilty ofthe system ifthe
number of repair persons is (a) one and (b) two
ie i 9 failures bearing fal
‘A turbine is known to sustain two types of al 7 a
ial di wth failure rate of 0.
bearing failure times follow exponential dstnbuion wi
ures and blade aires. The
0005 per hour
and the blade failure times follow Weibull distribution with
au (eee {-(: \; sas
0 alam) a
raion
ili pe ansnie sysem fe 1900 an
a. Find the reliability of OP ics
turbine. ie nid ae
ine is tobe i
Q ihe eal of he ib
tim hours Ifthe design life of the
esi if. onCHAPTER 15 MAINTAINABILITY AND AVAILABILITY
15.20. The MTTF and MTTR of a spot weldi
stem assuming imperfect preventive maintenance after e
& Reliability of om witha | percent probability of fllue ofthe system j
hours of operation with
after the maintenance,
ery Loy
Imiediaely
robo are 60 hours and 3 hour, especie
the wait ofthe robot. If the MTR is reduced to 1 hour, find the salle
MITE which gives atleast the same value of availability.
ying
Value of
: system failed and the times at which the 5
5.21 The times at which a multicomponent system fai ery
daar ey iheugt cain overa mson perio of 1000 hous ae sha nthe felowigg age
Time at Which Failure ‘Time at Which System
‘Occurred (Hours) Restored (Hours)
742 715
102.1 104.2
1934 194.1
2455 2478
381.0 381.9
4153 418.2
464.6 467.1
499.8 502.9
580.2 583.4
633.1 635.1
6789 6803
17 142
7885 791.6
891.0 893.3
982.4 985.8
Find the following: (a) average availability of the system, (b) average failure and rept
rates of the system, and (c) availability of the system using the failure and repair fats
found in part (b)
1522 Plot the availability functions given by Eqs, (15.48), (15.51), and (15.63) fora system hi
ing a failure rate of 0.05 per hour and a repair rate of 0.5 per hou.
MATLAB and Excel Problems
15.23 The failure time of a machine follows exponential distribution with a failure rate of 0.0001
failures per hour. The machine undergoes preventive maintenance at regular intervals
% = 5000 hours. Find the reliability of the machine without and with maintenance
12,500 hours of operation using MATLAB,
15.24 Solve Example 15.6 using MATLAB,
15.25
15.26
Solve Problem 15.23 using Excel,
Solve Example 15.6 using Excel.