Ibt - Pre Finals
Ibt - Pre Finals
MODULE 8: The International Monetary System The Floating Currency Exchange Rate System
and Financial Forces - In 1971 President Nixon announced that the United States
would not exchange gold for the paper dollars held by
The International Monetary System: A Brief History foreign central banks, relieving the dollar of much of its
The international monetary system consists of role as a stabilizer for the international monetary system
institutions, agreements, rules, and processes that allow for
- The Jamaica Agreement that established the rules for
the payments, currency exchange, and cross-border
the floating system was both worked out and accepted by
movements of capital required for international transactions.
IMF members after the fact, in 1976. It allows for flexible
THE GOLD STANDARD exchange rates among IMF members, while condoning
central bank operations in the money markets to smooth
Based on its scarcity and easily assessed level of out volatile periods
purity, gold has been trusted since ancient times as a way for
people to store, exchange, and measure value. CURRENT CURRENCY ARRANGEMENTS
In 1717, Sir Isaac Newton, the great mathematician The IMF now recognizes eight types of currency exchange
and master of the English mint, established the price of gold in arrangements, extended from an initial three.
terms of British currency at 3 pounds, 17 shillings, 10.5 pence
Exchange arrangement with no separate legal tender: One
per ounce, putting England on the Gold Standard. Until then, country adopts the currency of another, or a group of countries
Britain had used the silver standard, as did China, Spain, and adopt a common currency.
India
Currency board arrangement: A currency board arrangement
THE BRETTON WOODS SYSTEM commits the country’s government to holding foreign reserves of a
specific currency in an amount equal to its domestic currency
- The 1944 discussions among 44 Allied nations at Bretton
supply and exchange the two at a fixed rate.
Woods (NH) to plan for post–World War II monetary
arrangements reached a consensus that stable exchange Conventional fixed-peg arrangement: A fixed-peg or fixed-rate
rates were desirable but that experience might dictate relationship allows a currency’s exchange rates with one or a
adjustments. basket of currencies to fluctuate around a fixed rate within a narrow
- In establishing the International Monetary Fund (IMF), they band of less than 1 percent.
also set up the new Bretton Woods System, also called Stabilized arrangement: Pegged exchange rate within a
the Gold Exchange Standard and the Fixed-Rate horizontal band: In a different peg arrangement, exchange rate
System. This historic agreement served as the basis of the fluctuations greater than 1 percent are allowed.
international monetary system from 1945 to 1971.
Crawling peg: In a crawling peg strategy, a currency is readjusted
- Bretton Woods set up fixed exchange rates among periodically at a fixed, preannounced rate or in response to changes
member nations’ currencies, with par value based on gold in indicators.
and the U.S. dollar, which was valued at $35 per ounce of
gold. Crawling band: A crawling band readjusts the country’s currency
to maintain fluctuation margins around a central rate.
Every member of the IMF keeps a Reserve Account, FLUCTUATING CURRENCY VALUES – In a post–Bretton
a bit like a savings account, with holdings the country can draw Woods monetary system, freely floating currencies fluctuate
on when needed to finance trade or investments or to intervene against each other. At times, central banks intervene in the
foreign exchange markets by buying and selling large amounts the nominal interest rate minus the expected rate of
of a currency in order to affect the supply and demand of that inflation.
particular currency.
International Fisher Effect, says that the interest rate
WHY FOREIGN CURRENCY EXCHANGE OCCURS differentials for any two currencies will reflect the
expected change in their exchange rates.
Vehicle Currency is a currency that is used for
international trade or investment. Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) – Is the amount of
adjustment that must be made in the exchange rates for
Intervention Currency is one that is used by central two currencies in order for them to have equivalent
banks to intervene in the foreign currency exchange purchasing power
markets. Often the intervention involves buying up
domestic currency to reduce its supply in the market, and EXCHANGE RATE FORECASTING
thereby strengthen it.
Efficient Market Approach assumes that current prices
EXCHANGE RATE QUOTATIONS AND THE FX MARKET fully reflect all available relevant information. This
assumption also suggests that forward exchange rates
The Reciprocal Currency is a currency that is quoted as are the best possible predictor of future spot rates,
dollars per unit of currency instead of in units of currency per because they will have taken into account all the available
dollar. information.
The exchange rate for a purchase or trade for delivery within Random walk hypothesis, which holds that because the
two business days is known as the Spot Rate. factors that influence prices are unpredictable, stock
market prices evolve much like a random walk, turning
There is also a Forward Currency Market that allows here and there without a controlling logic, so that the best
managers to lock in contracts to purchase currencies at known predictor of tomorrow’s prices is today’s prices.
rates, for delivery in the future.
Fundamental Approach to exchange rate prediction
The Forward Rate is the exchange rate, the cost today, of a looks at the underlying forces that help determine
commitment to buy or sell an agreed amount of a currency at a exchange rates and develops various econometric models
fixed future date, usually 30, 60, 90, or 180 days from now. to capture them and their correct relationships.
The Bid Price is the highest-priced buy order currently in the Technical Analysis, looks at history and then, assuming
market. that what was past will be future, projects these trends
forward.
Ask Price is the lowest-priced sell order currently in the
market. CURRENCY EXCHANGE CONTROLS
CAUSES OF EXCHANGE RATE MOVEMENT A government has the power and authority to limit the
amount of its currency that can be exchanged for another
Monetary Policies control the amount of money in currency in any given transaction.
circulation, whether it is growing, and, if so, at what pace.
Convertible Currencies can be exchanged for other
Fiscal Policies address the collecting and spending of currencies without restrictions.
money by the government.
Nonconvertible, its value is arbitrarily fixed, typically at a
Parity Relationships describe equivalencies, and two of rate higher than its value in the free market, and the
these relationships, interest rate parity and purchasing government imposes exchange controls to limit or prohibit
power parity, are fundamental to our further consideration the legal use of its currency in international transactions.
of exchange rates.
TAXATION
Law Of One Price, which states that in an efficient
While taxation is a legal force, it is also a financial
market, like products will have like prices. If price
factor whose impact is significant. If a corporation can achieve
differences exist, the process of
a lower tax burden than its competitors have, it can lower
Arbitrage—simultaneous buying and selling to make a prices to its customers or generate higher revenue with which
profit with no risk—will quickly close any gaps and the to pay higher wages and dividends.
markets will be back at equilibrium.
Value-added tax (VAT) is a tax charged on the
value add.
The economic explanation of When the law of one price is
applied to interest rates, it suggests that interest rates INFLATION AND INTEREST RATES
vary this relationship, which results in interest rate parity,
is known as the Fisher effect. Inflation is a sustained increase in prices. Some
economists hold that it is caused by demand’s exceeding
Fisher Effect – states that the real interest rate will be supply, while others view the cause to be an increase in the
money supply. need to develop and implement appropriate responses to
any changes in key environmental forces such as
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS competitors’ actions and changes in government taxes
and regulations
The Balance Of Payments (BOP) is a record of a
country’s transactions with the rest of the world. So it actually STEP 2: Analyze Corporate Controllable Variables
tracks the flows of capital in and out of the country
- The managers of the various functional areas will either
o BOP Accounts – are recorded in double-entry bookkeeping form. personally submit reports on their units or provide input to
Each international transaction is an exchange of assets with a debit a planning staff that will prepare a report for the strategy
and a credit side. planning committee
International Strategy is a plan that guides the way Knowledge Management refers to the practices
firms make fundamental choices about developing and that organization and their managers use for identifying,
deploying scarce resources internationally, including what creating, acquiring, developing, dispersing, and exploiting
products or services to offer, which markets to enter, and ways competitively valuable knowledge.
to compete.
Much valuable knowledge is TACIT, which means
The purpose of having an international strategy is to that it is known well by the individual but is difficult to express
enable a company to achieve and maintain a unique and verbally or document in text or figures.
valuable competitive position both within a nation and globally,
generating higher rates of profit than its competitors—an ability EXPLICIT, codified knowledge and then making this
that has been termed Competitive Advantage. knowledge quickly and effectively accessible to other
employees who need it.
Why Plan Globally?
STEP 3: Define The Corporate Mission, Vision, And
Strategic Planning is the process by which an organization Values Statements
determines where it is going in the future, how it will get there,
and how it will assess whether and to what extent it has - The mission statement is a broad statement that
achieved its goals. defines the purpose for a company’s existence,
including its business, objectives, and approach for
The Process of Global Strategic Planning reaching those objectives.
The process of strategic planning provides a formal
- A vision statement is a description of the company’s
structure in which managers address the following steps:
desired future position, of what it hopes to accomplish if it
1. analyze the company’s external environments, can acquire the necessary competencies and successfully
implement its strategy.
2. analyze the company’s internal environment,
- In contrast, a Values Statement is intended to be a clear,
3. define the company’s business and mission concise description of the fundamental values, beliefs, and
priorities expected of the organization’s members,
4. set corporate objectives
reflecting how they are to behave with each other and with
5. quantify goals the company’s customers, suppliers, and other members
of the global community.
6. formulate strategies, and
STEP 4: Set Corporate Objectives
7. make tactical plans.
- Objectives direct the firm’s course of action, maintain it
STEP 1: Analyze Domestic, International, And Foreign within the boundaries of the stated mission and vision, and
Environments ensure its continuing existence.
- Home Replication Strategy – Companies pursuing a - Policies are broad guidelines issued by upper
home replication strategy typically centralize product management for the purpose of assisting lower-level
development functions in their home country. After they managers in handling recurring problems.
develop differentiated products in the home market, they
often transfer them to foreign markets to capture - Procedures are guides that specify the way certain tasks
additional value. or activities will be carried out, thereby ensuring uniform
action on the part of all corporate members.
- Multidomestic Strategy – A multidomestic strategy is
effective when pressure to adapt products or services for PERFORMANCE MEASURES
local markets is strong. Decision making tends to be more
- measures of the company’s success in obtaining and
decentralized, to allow the company to modify its products
applying the required resources, such as financial,
and respond quickly to changes in local competition and
technological, and human resources
demand.
- measures of the effectiveness of the company’s
- Global Strategy – A global strategy works when a employees, within and across the firm’s international
company faces strong pressures for reducing costs and network of operations, in performing their assigned jobs;
limited pressure to adapt products for local markets.
Strategy and decision making are typically centralized at - measures of the company’s progress toward achieving its
headquarters, and the company tends to offer mission, vision, and objectives and doing so in a manner
standardized products and services. consistent with the company’s stated values.
What elements need to be considered when designing - The Matrix Overlay is an organization in which top-level
the structure of an IC? There are four: divisions are required to heed input from a staff composed
of experts of another organizational dimension in an
1. Product and technical expertise for the company’s attempt to avoid the double-reporting difficulty of a matrix
different businesses. organization but still mesh two or more dimensions
- The longer a company has been an IC, the more likely it is REPORTING
to have a number of experienced executives who know
company policies and have worked at headquarters and in For decision making and control of organizational
the field. resources to be effective, all operating units of an IC must
provide headquarters with timely, accurate, and complete
HEADQUARTERS’ WILLINGNESS TO BENEFIT THE reports, including (1) financial, (2) technological, (3) market
ENTERPRISE AT THE SUBSIDIARY’S EXPENSE opportunity, and (4) political and economic reports.
CHANGE MODELS