Stock Price Prediction of Coca-Cola Using LSTM
and Yahoo Finance Data
Description:
This project aims to predict the future closing price of Coca-Cola (KO)
stock using a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network. The
dataset is sourced from Yahoo Finance, and the model is trained on
historical stock price data. The project follows a systematic approach,
including data collection, preprocessing, feature engineering, model
training, evaluation, and forecasting. By leveraging LSTM, a type of
recurrent neural network (RNN) designed for time series forecasting,
we aim to improve prediction accuracy over traditional methods like
ARIMA.
Useful Libraries
import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
import math
import time
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
from sklearn.preprocessing import MinMaxScaler
import tensorflow as tf
from tensorflow.keras.models import Sequential
from tensorflow.keras.layers import Dense, LSTM
import yfinance as yf
from sklearn.metrics import mean_squared_error
plt.style.use('fivethirtyeight')
# Data collection
df = yf.download('KO',start='2012-01-01',end='2019-12-31')
#top 5 records
df.head()
df.index = pd.to_datetime(df.index)
[*********************100%***********************] 1 of 1 completed
# number of rows and column in the dataset
df.shape
(2011, 5)
# visualizing the dataset
plt.figure(figsize=(12,5))
plt.plot(df.index,df['Close'],label='Close')
plt.title('Close Price History')
plt.show()
Preparing Data for LSTM Model
# Scaling data['Close']
scaler = MinMaxScaler(feature_range=(0,1))
scaled_data= scaler.fit_transform(df['Close'])
# Creating sequences for input and output
def Creating_sequences(data,time_steps):
X,Y=[],[]
for i in range(len(data)-time_steps):
X.append(data[i:i+time_steps])
Y.append(data[i+time_steps])
return np.array(X),np.array(Y)
time_steps = 60
X,Y = Creating_sequences(scaled_data, time_steps)
# Split into training and testing sets (80% training, 20% testing)
X_train, Y_train = X[:round(len(X)*0.8)], Y[:round(len(Y)*0.8)]
X_test, Y_test = X[round(len(X)*0.8):], Y[round(len(Y)*0.8):]
# Building LSTM Model
model = Sequential([
LSTM(50, return_sequences=True, input_shape=(time_steps, 1)),
LSTM(50, return_sequences=False),
Dense(25),
Dense(1) # Output layer
])
#Compiling model
model.compile(optimizer='adam', loss='mean_squared_error')
#model fitting
model.fit(X_train ,Y_train,batch_size=20,epochs=10)
Epoch 1/10
/usr/local/lib/python3.11/dist-packages/keras/src/layers/rnn/
rnn.py:200: UserWarning: Do not pass an `input_shape`/`input_dim`
argument to a layer. When using Sequential models, prefer using an
`Input(shape)` object as the first layer in the model instead.
super().__init__(**kwargs)
79/79 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 3s 9ms/step - loss: 0.0154
Epoch 2/10
79/79 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 1s 8ms/step - loss: 6.2889e-04
Epoch 3/10
79/79 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 1s 9ms/step - loss: 5.6216e-04
Epoch 4/10
79/79 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 1s 9ms/step - loss: 5.9754e-04
Epoch 5/10
79/79 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 1s 8ms/step - loss: 5.8601e-04
Epoch 6/10
79/79 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 1s 9ms/step - loss: 5.2358e-04
Epoch 7/10
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Epoch 8/10
79/79 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 1s 8ms/step - loss: 4.5041e-04
Epoch 9/10
79/79 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 1s 12ms/step - loss: 4.1670e-04
Epoch 10/10
79/79 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 1s 12ms/step - loss: 3.8168e-04
<keras.src.callbacks.history.History at 0x7e9aebb2f190>
# Predicting values
prediction = model.predict(X_test)
# converting scaled to original values
prediction = scaler.inverse_transform(prediction)
Y_test_pred= scaler.inverse_transform(Y_test)
# plotting actual vs prediction
plt.figure(figsize=(12,5))
plt.plot(df.index[round(len(X)*0.8) +
time_steps:],Y_test_pred,label='Test_Data')
plt.plot(df.index[round(len(X)*0.8) +
time_steps:],prediction,label='Prediction')
plt.legend()
plt.show()
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# Predicting future values
future_predictions = [] # Store future predictions
current_sequence = scaled_data[-time_steps:] # Last 60 days of data
current_sequence = np.reshape(current_sequence, (1, time_steps, 1))
# next 30 days
for _ in range(180):
next_prediction = model.predict(current_sequence)
future_predictions.append(next_prediction[0][0])
# Reshape the prediction and update the sequence
next_prediction = np.reshape(next_prediction, (1, 1, 1))
current_sequence = np.append(current_sequence[:, 1:, :],
next_prediction, axis=1)
# predictions to get actual values
future_predictions =
scaler.inverse_transform(np.array(future_predictions).reshape(-1, 1))
# future predictions
print("Future Predictions:")
print(future_predictions)
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Future Predictions:
[[46.25721 ]
[46.258213]
[46.209663]
[46.13201 ]
[46.036873]
[45.93114 ]
[45.81908 ]
[45.703403]
[45.58594 ]
[45.46797 ]
[45.350407]
[45.233913]
[45.119007]
[45.006046]
[44.895283]
[44.786907]
[44.681038]
[44.57772 ]
[44.47697 ]
[44.37876 ]
[44.28304 ]
[44.189743]
[44.09878 ]
[44.01006 ]
[43.923454]
[43.838875]
[43.756195]
[43.675312]
[43.59611 ]
[43.51849 ]
[43.442352]
[43.367607]
[43.294163]
[43.221947]
[43.150883]
[43.080914]
[43.01197 ]
[42.944008]
[42.876965]
[42.810806]
[42.745502]
[42.681007]
[42.617294]
[42.554344]
[42.492123]
[42.43062 ]
[42.369812]
[42.30969 ]
[42.250233]
[42.19143 ]
[42.133263]
[42.075726]
[42.018806]
[41.962505]
[41.906803]
[41.851685]
[41.797153]
[41.743195]
[41.689804]
[41.636963]
[41.58468 ]
[41.53294 ]
[41.48174 ]
[41.431065]
[41.380905]
[41.331264]
[41.282124]
[41.233482]
[41.185333]
[41.137665]
[41.09047 ]
[41.043747]
[40.99748 ]
[40.951668]
[40.9063 ]
[40.861374]
[40.81688 ]
[40.772816]
[40.72916 ]
[40.68593 ]
[40.643097]
[40.600666]
[40.558624]
[40.51698 ]
[40.475708]
[40.43482 ]
[40.394295]
[40.354137]
[40.314342]
[40.2749 ]
[40.235806]
[40.197056]
[40.15864 ]
[40.120567]
[40.082817]
[40.045395]
[40.00829 ]
[39.971508]
[39.935028]
[39.89886 ]
[39.863 ]
[39.82743 ]
[39.79216 ]
[39.75718 ]
[39.72249 ]
[39.68808 ]
[39.65395 ]
[39.620094]
[39.586514]
[39.5532 ]
[39.520153]
[39.48737 ]
[39.454845]
[39.422573]
[39.39056 ]
[39.358788]
[39.32727 ]
[39.295994]
[39.264954]
[39.234154]
[39.203587]
[39.173252]
[39.143147]
[39.11327 ]
[39.083614]
[39.054176]
[39.024963]
[38.995964]
[38.967175]
[38.9386 ]
[38.910233]
[38.882072]
[38.854115]
[38.82636 ]
[38.798805]
[38.771442]
[38.744278]
[38.717308]
[38.690525]
[38.663933]
[38.637524]
[38.611305]
[38.585266]
[38.559406]
[38.533726]
[38.508224]
[38.48289 ]
[38.457737]
[38.43275 ]
[38.407936]
[38.38329 ]
[38.358807]
[38.334488]
[38.310333]
[38.28634 ]
[38.262505]
[38.23883 ]
[38.215305]
[38.19194 ]
[38.168728]
[38.145668]
[38.122753]
[38.09999 ]
[38.077374]
[38.0549 ]
[38.032574]
[38.01039 ]
[37.98835 ]
[37.966446]
[37.944683]
[37.923058]
[37.901566]
[37.880215]
[37.85899 ]
[37.837902]
[37.816944]
[37.796116]
[37.775417]
[37.754845]
[37.7344 ]]
# Create 30 future dates
future_dates = pd.date_range(start=df.index[-1] +
pd.Timedelta(days=1), periods=30)
# first 30 predictions
future_predictions_30 = future_predictions[:30]
# Plot historical data and future predictions
plt.figure(figsize=(12, 6))
plt.title('30-Day Forecast of Coca-Cola (KO) Closing Price')
plt.xlabel('Date')
plt.ylabel('Close Price USD')
plt.plot(df.index, df['Close'], label='Historical Data')
plt.plot(future_dates, future_predictions_30, label='Future
Predictions', color='red')
plt.legend()
plt.show()
# Live Prediction Loop every 60 seconds
while True:
# latest stock price
live_data = yf.Ticker('KO').history(period='1d')['Close'].values[-
1]
# Scaling values
live_scaled = scaler.transform([[live_data]]) # Shape: (1,1)
# Reshape live_scaled to to 3d
live_scaled = np.reshape(live_scaled, (1,1,1))
# sequence update
current_sequence = np.append(current_sequence[:, 1:, :],
live_scaled, axis=1)
# Predicting next closing price
next_prediction_scaled = model.predict(current_sequence)
next_prediction = scaler.inverse_transform(next_prediction_scaled)
# Print predicted price
print(f"Predicted Next Close Price: ${next_prediction[0][0]:.2f}")
# Wait for 60 seconds before next prediction
time.sleep(60)
1/1 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 0s 35ms/step
/usr/local/lib/python3.11/dist-packages/sklearn/utils/
validation.py:2739: UserWarning: X does not have valid feature names,
but MinMaxScaler was fitted with feature names
warnings.warn(
Predicted Next Close Price: $41.47
1/1 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 0s 58ms/step
/usr/local/lib/python3.11/dist-packages/sklearn/utils/
validation.py:2739: UserWarning: X does not have valid feature names,
but MinMaxScaler was fitted with feature names
warnings.warn(
Predicted Next Close Price: $46.76
/usr/local/lib/python3.11/dist-packages/sklearn/utils/
validation.py:2739: UserWarning: X does not have valid feature names,
but MinMaxScaler was fitted with feature names
warnings.warn(
1/1 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 0s 39ms/step
Predicted Next Close Price: $52.26
