SHCR Cu 270125
SHCR Cu 270125
27 January 2025
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Agrochemicals
83%
Q3FY20
Q4FY20
Q1FY21
Q2FY21
Q3FY21
Q4FY21
Q1FY22
Q2FY22
Q3FY22
Q4FY22
Q1FY23
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Q1FY25
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Q3FY25
Revenue Growth y/y Growth q/q Agrochemicals Non- Agrochmicals
Source: Company Source: Company
Q3FY22
Q4FY22
Q1FY23
Q2FY23
Q3FY23
Q4FY23
Q1FY24
Q2FY24
Q3FY24
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Q1FY25
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Q3FY20
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Q1FY23
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Q1FY24
Q2FY24
Q3FY24
Q4FY24
Q1FY25
Q2FY25
Q3FY25
Valuation
Fig 18 – Change in estimates
FY25e FY26e FY27e
(Rs m) Old New Chg (%) Old New Chg (%) Old New Chg (%)
Revenue 36,757 39,841 8.4 42,785 45,650 6.7 50,056 51,832 3.5
EBITDA 6,065 6,563 8.2 7,701 7,873 2.2 9,260 9,605 3.7
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.5 16.5 +0bps 18.0 17.2 -80bps 18.5 18.5 +0bps
PAT 2,760 2,871 4.0 3,546 3,466 (2.3) 4,384 4,376 (0.2)
EPS (Rs) 30.6 31.8 4.0 39.3 38.4 (2.2) 48.6 48.5 (0.2)
Source: Anand Rathi Research
A gradual price increase, volume growth across regions and a good product
mix drove Sharda Cropchem’s better-than-expected Q3 results. Growth
would improve ahead as de-stocking is now complete; prices have bottomed
out and volumes would improve as the company is expanding its reach,
penetrating current markets and entering new ones.
Considering its sturdy, asset-light model, healthy formulations pipeline,
active-ingredient registrations, better regional revenue mix and consistent
RoEs/RoCEs, we are upbeat about the company’s long-term prospects.
We largely maintain our earnings estimates. We expect
revenue/EBITDA/PAT to clock 14%/21%/23% CAGRs over FY25-27.
Due to the recent correction in the stock price, we upgrade to a Buy rating,
with an unchanged TP of Rs730, 15x FY27e EPS.
May-18
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Jan-19
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Key risks
Monsoon-dependence is an inherent risk in agrochemicals, generally. Other
factors specific to the company are
◼ Delay in registrations. Delay in securing registrations would lead to
revenue loss because of the seasonal nature of the business.
◼ Forex volatility. As a global manufacturer, the company is vastly
exposed to foreign currency. It primarily sources active ingredients and
formulations from China in dollars and sells to the EU in euros. Since a
substantial portion of its revenue and expenditure is in foreign
currencies, to a certain extent, it enjoys a natural hedge. Its foreign-
currency exposure over and above this may curb profits.
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