Key Historical Papers in Cosmology
Key Historical Papers in Cosmology
DANIEL BAUMANN
Contents
Preface page 1
4 Cosmological Inflation 12
5 Structure Formation 16
References 34
i
Preface
The following are notes on papers of historical importance to the field of cosmology.
It is not a rigorous treatment of the history of cosmology, which I am completely
unqualified to write. Instead, I have just collected some key papers and put them
in a chronological order. The text is arranged according to the chapters of my book
Cosmology.
Given that I am not an expert on the topic, I very much welcome feedback
and corrections. Please let me know if I am missing key references and/or if I am
mischaracterizing anything.
I am very grateful to Malcolm Longair for his generous advice and correspondence
on the history of cosmology. I have also been privileged to learn about the history
of inflation from some of its main participants, especially Alan Guth, Andrei Linde
and Paul Steinhardt. Finally, I have received helpful comments and corrections on a
draft version of these notes from Daniel Green, Phillip Helbig, Soren Larsen, Eugene
Lim, Andrei Linde, Alessandro Melchiorri, Antonio Padilla, Markus Pössel, Anze
Slosar, Jaco de Swart and Roberto Trotta. Any remaining mistakes and inaccuracies
are of course my fault.
Daniel Baumann
Amsterdam and Taipei, 2022
Further Reading
There are a number excellent books on the history of cosmology. I have found the
following references particularly useful when preparing these notes:
The discovery of the expanding universe has an interesting history. In the following,
I list some important milestones:1
• 1915: On November 25, Einstein presents the field equations of general relativity
(GR) at the Prussian Academy of Sciences in Berlin. These equations became the
foundation of modern cosmology.
Vesto Slipher of the Lowell Observatory publishes the spectra of 15 spiral neb-
ulae [4]. The measure redshifts imply large radial velocities, exceeding the typical
velocities of stars by a factor of 25.
• 1917: Einstein applies GR to a homogeneous universe [5]. According to Einstein,
“the most important fact that we draw from experience as to the distribution
of matter is that the relative velocities of the stars are very small.” This leads
him to conclude that “there is a system of reference relatively to which matter
may be looked upon as being permanently at rest.” He further assumes that the
universe if finite and finds the metric (and the energy-momentum tensor) for a
static spherically symmetric space. He also notices, however, that this metric doesn’t
solve his field equations unless a cosmological constant is introduced to balance the
gravitational attraction of the matter. This solution became known as the “Einstein
static universe.”
Shortly thereafter, de Sitter finds a second solution to the Einstein equation
corresponding to an empty universe dominated by the cosmological constant [6, 7].
De Sitter shows that the light emitted from particles at rest in the spacetime is
redshifted,2 as suggested by Slipher’s observations of extra-galactic nebulae [4].
In his own words, “the frequency of light-vibrations diminishes with increasing
distance from the origin of co-ordinates. The lines in the spectra of very distant
stars or nebulae must therefore be systematically displaced towards the red, giving
rise to a spurious radial velocity.” Using the redshifts of three nebulae from Slipher’s
sample, de Sitter estimates the radius of (spacetime) curvature of his solution to
be Rc = 1.5 Mpc.
• 1922: Friedmann finds a solution of the Einstein equations for an expanding
universe with matter and positive spatial curvature [11]. In this paper, he derives
3
4 The Expanding Universe
the famous equation which now bears his name. He also realizes that the expansion
would imply a finite age for the universe. Unfortunately, Friedmann’s work was
dismissed by Einstein, so it did not receive much attention at the time. (Einstein
later apologized for this.) Friedmann died three years later, before his work got the
recognition it deserved.
Wirtz shows that their radial velocities of 29 galaxies increase with decreasing
apparent brightness of the galaxies [12].
• 1924: Friedmann presents a new solution of the field equations with constant
negative curvature [13].
Lundmark [14] plots the radial velocities of the spiral nebulae versus their dis-
tances (as inferred from their apparent magnitudes). The plot suggests “that there
may be a relation between these two quantities, although not a very definite one.”
In [15], Lundmark tries to fit a quadratic function to the data. A similar analysis
was carried out independently by Stromberg [16].
• 1925: Lemaître shows that de Sitter’s solution corresponds an exponentially ex-
panding universe [9] (which was not manifest in the coordinates used by de Sitter).
He also derives the linear distance–redshift relation for the de Sitter universe.
• 1927: Independently from Friedmann, Lemaître applies the Einstein equations
to an expanding universe with matter and curvature [17]. Lemaître’s remarkable
paper also includes a derivation of Hubble’s law and a measurement of Hubble’s
constant (two years before Hubble).3 Unfortunately, Lemaître published his work
in a rather obscure Belgian journal, so it did not receive much attention either.
• 1928: Unaware of Lemaître’s 1925 and 1927 papers, Robertson shows again that
de Sitter’s solution describes an exponentially expanding universe and derives the
linear distance–redshift relation [10]. Combining distance measurements by Hubble
with Slipher’s redshifts, Robertson verifies the linear distance–redshift relation and
provides an estimate of Hubble’s constant.
• 1929: Hubble’s paper on the expansion of the universe is arguable one of the
most important papers in the history of science [18]. Using the period–luminosity
relationship of Cepheid variable stars [19], Hubble and Humason determine the
distances to extra-galactic nebulae (galaxies) and finds a correlation with their
redshifts (as measured by Slipher). This correlation is a key feature of the expansion
of the universe, although Hubble himself resisted that interpretation for a long
time and instead preferred to think of it in terms of the de Sitter effect. While
Hubble’s result established the correlation between distances and recession speeds,
the measurements came with large systematic errors and the inferred value of the
Hubble constant was off by a factor of 7.
3 In the English translation of his article (published in 1931), Lemaître omitted the paragraph
including his estimate of the Hubble constant, noting in his letter to the editor that “I did not
find advisable to reprint the provisional discussion of radial velocities which is clearly of no
actual interest.”
5 The Expanding Universe
• 1930: Eddington points out that the Einstein static universe is unstable to small
fluctuations in the matter density [20].
Lemaître sends his 1927 paper to Eddington who realizes its significance and
begins to promote it more widely (with the help of de Sitter). The importance of
Lemaître’s work (and also that of Friedmann) is finally appreciated and Hubble’s
redshift–distance measurements are interpreted as the expansion of space.
• 1931: Adding 46 new radial velocity measurements by Humason [21] (extend-
ing to larger distances), Hubble and Humason provide a much more convincing
measurement of the linear distance–redshift relation [22].
Tolman [23] and Eddington [24] point out that the second law of thermodynam-
ics (the increase in entropy) implies a finite age for the universe. They hesitate,
however, to formulate the Big Bang hypothesis.
Lemaître publishes a short letter [25] describing his vision for the beginning of
the universe from a “primeval atom” on “a day without yesterday.” Here is a short
passage from the letter:
If the world had begun with a simple quantum, the notions of space and time would
altogether fail to have any meaning at the beginning: they would only begin to have a
sensible meaning when the original quantum had been divided into a sufficient number of
quanta. If this suggestion is correct, the beginning of the world happened a little before
the beginning of space and time. [...] We could conceive the beginning of the universe in
the form of a unique atom, the atomic weight of which is the total mass of the universe.
This highly unstable atom would divide in smaller and smaller atoms by a kind of super-
radioactive process.
Shortly after, Lemaître provides a more detailed account of his Big Bang hypoth-
esis [26]. This paper includes an explicit solution of the Friedmann equations for
a universe with matter and a cosmological constant. The initial singularity of the
solution is identified with the beginning of the universe. (The name Big Bang had
not been introduced yet.). The paper also emphasizes that the addition of the cos-
mological constant leads to a phase of stagnated expansion at intermediate times,
which alleviates the age problem of the matter-only universe.
Einstein dispenses with the cosmological constant in his field equations [27].
• 1932: Einstein and de Sitter write an influential two-page paper describing the
evolution of a flat matter-dominated universe [28].4 For a long time, this Einstein–de
Sitter universe was the standard cosmological model. It is still a good approximation
to the long matter-dominated period in the history of our universe.
• 1933: Zwicky argues for the presence of dark matter in the Coma cluster [29, 30].
It took over 40 years until the rest of the community also got convinced of the
4 Apparently, neither Einstein nor de Sitter were very enthusiastic about the paper. In a conver-
sation with Eddington, Einstein remarked “I did not think the paper very important myself,
but de Sitter was keen on it.” On the other hand, de Sitter told Eddington that “I do not myself
consider the result of much importance, but Einstein seemed to think it was.”
6 The Expanding Universe
5 That empty space is filled with quantum zero-point energy was first suggested by Walther
Nernst in 1916 (one year before Einstein introduced the cosmological constant) [37]. This early
history of dark energy is reviewed by Helge Kragh in [38].
7 The Expanding Universe
• 1970: For a long time, it was unclear whether the singularity of the FRW universe
was just an artefact of assuming homogeneity and isotropy. Then, Hawking and
Penrose prove their famous singularity theorem [51] (see also [52]): a universe filled
with “ordinary matter” must have started with an initial singularity. Their theorem
assumes the strong energy condition, and therefore doesn’t apply to inflation.
• 1981: Guth shows that a period of exponential expansion (“inflation”) solves the
horizon, flatness and monopole problems of the standard Big Bang cosmology [53].
• 1987: Weinberg provides an anthropic explanation for the smallness of the cos-
mological constant [54], which, at this point, had not been observed yet.
• 1992: The COBE satellite measures the blackbody spectrum of the CMB [55]
and provides the first detection of its anisotropies [56].
• 1998: Two teams of astronomers—the Supernova Cosmology Project [57] and the
High-Z Supernova Search Team [58]—make a striking discovery. By measuring the
redshifts and apparent brightnesses of type Ia supernovae, they show that the rate
of expansion is accelerating, rather than decelerating.
• 1999: Turner introduces the term “dark energy” for the mysterious energy density
driving the accelerated expansion of the universe [59].
• 2000: BOOMERanG (a ballon-borne CMB experiment) measures enhanced CMB
fluctuations on degree angular scales [60], thereby confirming that the geometry of
the universe is close to spatially flat.
• 2003: The WMAP satellite measures the power spectrum of CMB anisotropies
to unprecedented accuracy [61]. The measurement initiates the era of precision
cosmology and establishes the ΛCDM model.
• 2013: The Planck satellite provides improved measurements of the CMB spec-
trum, yielding precise measurements of the parameters of the ΛCDM concordance
cosmology [62].
• 2018: The International Astronomical Union (IAU) votes to rename Hubble’s
law the Hubble-Lemaître law.
3 The Hot Big Bang
I have also enjoyed reading some of the pioneering papers establishing the hot Big
Bang cosmology. The following is a brief sketch of key milestones in the subject:
• 1921: Meghnad Saha develops a theory for the thermodynamic equilibrium of
chemical reactions [1, 2], mostly to apply it to the ionization of elements in stellar
atmospheres. The work culminates in the famous Saha equation.
• 1925: Cecilia Payne-Gaposchkin publishes a seminal PhD thesis on the chemical
composition of stars [3]. She discovers that stars are made mostly of hydrogen and
helium, contrary to the conventional wisdom at the time which held that stars have
approximately the same elemental composition as the Earth.
• 1926: Eddington emphasizes in his classic book The Internal Constitution of the
Stars [4] that the formation of helium from hydrogen inside of stars requires very
high temperatures (to overcome the electric repulsion of the hydrogen nuclei). The
book includes the following prophetic statement:
The helium which we handle must have been put together at some time and some place.
We do not argue with the critic who urges us that the stars are not hot enough for this
process; we tell him to go and find a hotter place.
• 1929: Atkinson and Houtermans show how quantum mechanical tunneling helps
nuclei to overcome the energy barrier due to their electric repulsion and hence
increases the efficiency of nuclear fusion inside stars [5].
• 1930: In a letter to Lise Meitner, Pauli proposes the existence of neutrinos to
explain how beta decay conserves energy and momentum [6].
• 1932: Chadwick discovers the neutron [7].
Anderson discovers the positron (which he called “easily deflectable positives”) [8],
and hence establishes the existence of antimatter (as predicted by Dirac [9]).
• 1934: Tolman publishes his influential book Relativity, Thermodynamics and
Cosmology [10]. He is also one of the first to apply thermodynamics to the expanding
universe.
• 1936: Anderson and Neddermeyer discover the muon in high-altitude observations
of cosmic rays [11, 12] (see also [13]). The existence of the muon was so surprising
that Rabi famously asked “Who ordered that?”.
• 1938: Bethe explains why stars shine (through the fusion of protons with carbon
and nitrogen in the CN cycle) [14]. He points out, however, that “no elements
8
9 The Hot Big Bang
heavier than helium can be built up to any appreciable extent,” so that “we must
assume that the heavier elements were built up before the stars reached their present
state of temperature and density.”
Weizsäcker provides a sketch how the chemical elements might have been pro-
duced in the early universe [15]. He did not, however, incorporate the idea into the
relativistic cosmologies of Friedmann and Lemaître.
• 1942: Chandrasekhar and Henrich [16] apply equilibrium thermodynamics to
estimate the relative abundances of the chemical elements produced in the hot
beginnings of the universe. They fail to account for any appreciable amounts of the
heavy elements.
• 1946: Gamow, for the first time, includes the expansion of the universe and the
associate non-equilibrium physics to describe the fusion of the nuclei in the early
universe [17]. Although the paper still got many details wrong, it was foundational
in developing the modern theory of Big Bang nucleosynthesis (BBN).
• 1947: Powell discovers the pion [18] (predicted in 1935 by Hideki Yukawa [19]).
The observational methods that led to this discovery were developed by Bibha
Chowdhuri and Debendra Mohan Bose.
• 1948: Gamow, together with Alpher and Herman, wrote no less than 11 papers
studying BBN this year. The convoluted back-and-forth in these papers is reviewed
by Peebles in [20] (see also [21, 22]). The papers at the beginning of the year—
including the (in)famous1 Alpher, Bethe, and Gamow paper [23]—were incomplete
(and incorrect) in a number of way. In particular, the universe was taken to be
matter-dominated during BBN. This was corrected in an important paper by Alpher
and Herman [24]. The latter paper also includes the first prediction of the CMB
and an estimate of its present temperature (5 K).2
• 1950: The work of Alpher, Herman and Gamow, assumed that the universe was
initially made up of mostly neutrons. These neutrons would decay into protons and
electrons, and the heavier elements would then be built up by neutron capture.
1 Although Bethe didn’t contribute to this work, Gamow added his name to the paper because
he liked the sound of the author list. Herman was not included because “he stubbornly refused
to change his name to Delter.”
2 It is interesting to ask why this dramatic prediction of the Big Bang theory wasn’t picked
up by the astronomy community and didn’t lead to a search for the CMB in the 1950s. This
question is discussed in the books by Weinberg [25] and Kragh [21]. At a practical level, most
astronomers simply weren’t familiar with the work of Gamow, Alpher and Herman, since it
wasn’t published in one of their main journals like the Astrophysical Journal. Even if they
had come across their work, the Big Bang theory was still new and according to Weinberg
“it was extraordinary difficult for physicists to take seriously any theory of the early universe.
... [The] first three minutes are so remote from us in time, the conditions of temperature
and density are so unfamiliar, that we feel uncomfortable in applying our ordinary theories of
statistical mechanics and nuclear physics.” Even the authors themselves didn’t try to convince
radio astronomers to look for the microwave background radiation. Weinberg concludes that
“this is often the way it is in physics—our mistake is not that we take our theories too seriously,
but that we don’t take them seriously enough. It is always hard to realize that these numbers
and equations we play with at our desks have something to do with the real world.”
10 The Hot Big Bang
Chushiro Hayashi was the first to realize that at high temperatures neutron decay
wasn’t the only relevant process. He showed that reactions like n + e+ ↔ p + ν̄ and
n + ν ↔ p + e− would create a significant proton-to-neutron ratio [26]. The paper
predicts the correct neutron freeze-out and includes an essentially correct estimate
of the final helium abundance.
• 1953: The seminal paper by Alpher, Follin and Herman [27] establishes the mod-
ern theory of primordial nucleosynthesis. It was realized that BBN produces hardly
any elements above helium (because of the absence of stable nuclei with mass num-
bers A = 5 and 8). At the time, this was viewed as a problem for the Big Bang
theory and motivated the Steady State model of Hoyle, Bondi and Gold [28, 29].
The paper also states that the universe at the time consisted of many causally dis-
connected parts because the horizon size was much smaller that the radius of the
universe. This fact later became the “horizon problem.”
• 1954: Fred Hoyle predicts the existence of an excited state in the carbon-12
nucleus, arguing that such a state is necessary for the production of carbon in
stars [30]. This excited state was observed three years later by Willie Fowler’s
research group at Caltech [31].
• 1956: Cowan and Reines discover the neutrino [32].
• 1957: Margaret and Geoffrey Burbidge, Fowler and Hoyle (B2 FH) [33] show that
the heavy elements (up to iron) can be synthesized inside of stars. This resolves the
problem of the heavy elements that was the original motivation for BBN. Stellar
nucleosynthesis, however, still failed to account for the cosmic helium abundance,
which observationally was known to comprise 25% (by mass) of the baryonic matter
in the universe.
• 1961: Osterbrock and Rogerson provide an estimate of the primordial helium
abundance using measurements of HII regions, the Sun and planetary nebulae [34].
• 1964: Hoyle and Tayler show that the correct helium abundance can be produced
in the hot Big Bang [35].
• 1965: Penzias and Wilson serendipitously discover the cosmic background radia-
tion [36]. Dicke, Peebles, Roll and Wilkinson explain the cosmological origin of the
signal [37].
Zel’dovich shows that a universe with baryon-symmetric initial conditions cannot
produce the observed baryon-to-photon ratio [38]. Specifically, he derives that the
freeze-out of particle–antiparticle annihilations leads to η ∼ 10−18 , almost 10 orders
of magnitude smaller than the required value. This motivates the search for an
alternative mechanism of baryogenesis.
• 1966: Peebles revisits the predictions of BBN (especially helium and deuterium)
in light of the measurements of the CMB temperature and the mean mass density
of the universe [39].
Gerstein and Zel’dovich derive the decoupling of neutrinos and predict their relic
11 The Hot Big Bang
abundance [40]. The paper also provides a cosmological upper bound on the electron
and muon neutrinos of 400 eV (tau neutrinos had not been discovered yet). A similar
bound is derived a few years later by Cowsik and McClelland [41].
• 1967: Wagoner, Fowler and Hoyle write the first detailed BBN code [42] (later
developed further by Wagoner [43]). The code is used to predict the correct deu-
terium and lithium abundances. In essence, this code is still used to perform modern
computations in BBN.
Sakharov presents his three conditions for successful baryogenesis [44].
• 1968: Peebles develops his theory of recombination [45] (see also Zel’dovich, Kurt
and Sunyaev [46]). These papers show that recombination did not proceed in Saha
equilibrium. They also introduce the effective three-level atom and show that two-
photon decays are important in the recombination dynamics.
• 1977: Peccei and Quinn introduce a spontaneously broken U (1) symmetry as a
solution to the strong CP problem [47, 48]. Weinberg [49] and Wilczek [50] point
out that this implies the existence of a Nambu–Goldstone boson, called the “axion.”
This axion becomes a popular dark matter candidate.
Steigman, Schramm and Gunn use the BBN prediction for primordial helium to
derive an upper limit to the number of light neutrino species [51].
Lee and Weinberg use an estimate of the mass density of the universe to place a
lower limit to the mass of a hypothetical heavy neutrino species [52, 53].
• 1979: Yoshimura [54] and Weinberg [55] propose the first models of baryogenesis.
• 1981: Dimopoulos and Georgi introduce the Minimal Supersymmetric Standard
Model (MSSM) [56]. The lightest superpartners (neutralinos) become a popular
dark matter candidate [57, 58].
• 1990: The FIRAS detector on the COBE satellite measures the blackbody spec-
trum of the CMB [59]. This solidified the cosmological origin of the microwave
background, making it a key observation of the Big Bang cosmology.
• 1999: Seager, Sasselov and Scott develop the recombination code RecFast [60].
By modelling the non-equilibrium behaviour of the higher excited states, they pre-
dict the ionization history of the universe at the accuracy required for the era of
CMB precision observations.
• 2003: WMAP measures the CMB anisotropy spectrum to unprecedented accuracy
and establishes the ΛCDM concordance cosmology [61].
• 2010: Several advances were made between 2006 and 2010 that increased both
the numerical efficiency and the precision of recombination codes, culminating in
the new state-of-the art codes HyRec [62] and CosmoRec [63].
4 Cosmological Inflation
The following is a very incomplete survey of papers that have been important in
the development of inflationary cosmology:1
• 1966: Gliner shows that the energy-momentum tensor of a vacuum-dominated
universe with a positive energy density leads to a de Sitter universe [2], but doesn’t
consider the origin of this energy density (see also related work by Zel’dovich [3]).
• 1968: Misner formulates the “horizon problem” of the Big Bang cosmology [4].
• 1969: Dicke describes the “flatness problem” in a lecture [5].
• 1974: Linde shows that a symmetry breaking potential can act like an effective
time-dependent cosmological constant [6] (see also the independent work of Dre-
itlein [7]). Years later, this will become an important element of slow-roll inflation.
• 1975: Gliner and Dymnikova study the transition from a vacuum-dominated uni-
verse to a radiation-dominated universe, showing that it produces a large increase
in the scale factor [8]. Their motivation for introducing an initial de Sitter phase
was to remove the initial singularity of the Big Bang theory.
• 1979: Dicke and Peebles point out [9] that the universe must have been flat to
better than one part in 1015 around t = 1 sec.
Preskill estimates [10] that the density of magnetic monopoles in Grand Unified
Theories (GUTs) would be larger than the critical density by a factor of 1012 ,
reducing the age of the universe to just 30 000 years.
Various groups start to investigate the dynamical effects of phase transitions
in the early universe [11]. Kolb and Wolfram show that can be dominated by a
positive energy density during a first-order phase transition and that this would
lead to an exponential expansion of the universe [12]. They also speculate that the
phase transition might lead to density perturbations, but don’t study this further.
• 1980: Starobinsky shows that higher-derivative corrections to Einstein gravity
can lead to a de Sitter solution [13], but doesn’t relate it to the problems of the
hot Big Bang. Instead Starobinsky’s motivation was to find a way to avoid the Big
Bang singularity.
Guth and Tye study the production of magnetic monopoles in GUTs and argue
12
13 Cosmological Inflation
that their abundance can be suppressed if the phase transition occurs after a long
period of supercooling [14].
Kazanas explores the effects of a first-order phase transition on the expansion of
the universe [15]. He suggests that a long period of exponential expansion could
explain the large-scale isotropy of the universe.
• 1981: Guth realizes that a universe dominated by a false vacuum expands ex-
ponentially and that this would solve the horizon, flatness and monopole problems
of the standard Big Bang cosmology [16]. The paper ends with the admission that
models of false vacuum inflation don’t end smoothly, but instead produce large
inhomogeneities after the tunneling to the true vacuum. This is the “graceful exit
problem” of old inflation.
Independently, Sato studies first-order phase transitions in GUTs and shows that
this would lead to an exponential increase in the particle horizon [17]. He also
realizes the graceful exit problem in these scenarios [18].
• 1982: Linde [19], and independently Albrecht and Steinhardt [20], solve the grace-
ful exit problem by introducing the first models of slow-roll inflation (also called
“new inflation” in contrast to Guth’s old inflation).
There was concern that inflation would be too efficient, leading to an empty uni-
verse without any fluctuations in its matter density. It was therefore with some re-
lief that is was realized that quantum zero-point fluctuations provide an inevitable
source of perturbations (see Chapter 8). These primordial fluctuations were dis-
cussed at the famous “Nuffield meeting” in Cambridge and subsequently computed
by several groups [21–25]. It was shown that the inflationary fluctuations have pre-
cisely the nearly scale-invariant form suggested by observations.
In a talk at the Nuffield meeting, Steinhardt points out that if inflation starts at
the top of a flat potential, there may be regions of space where it doesn’t stop and in-
stead globally becomes eternal. The concept of “eternal inflation” is also mentioned
in Steinhardt’s contribution to the proceedings of the Nuffield meeting [26]. In the
same proceedings, Linde explains that eternal inflation could lead to a “multiverse”
with different regions of space having different physical properties.2
Albrecht, Steinhardt, Turner and Wilczek provide a first account of the “reheat-
ing” of the universe after inflation [28].
• 1983: Vilenkin shows that eternal inflation is a generic feature of all new infla-
tionary models [29].
Linde develops a variation of slow-roll inflation called “chaotic inflation” [30].
While both old and new inflation assumed thermal equilibrium of the pre-inflationary
universe, chaotic inflation relaxes this constraint on the initial conditions.
• 1986: Linde shows that models of chaotic inflation are typically also eternal [31].
The term “eternal inflation” is introduced in this paper.
2 A brief history of eternal inflation and the inflationary multiverse can be found in [27].
14 Cosmological Inflation
• 1989: Goldwirth and Piran study the problem of the inflationary initial conditions
with numerical simulations in 1+1 dimensions [32, 33].
• 1990: Freese, Frieman and Olinto develop “natural inflation” [34], a model in
which the role of the inflaton is played by a pseudo-Nambu–Goldstone boson whose
shift symmetry makes the flatness of the potential technically natural.
• 1997: Kofman, Linde and Starobinsky provide a comprehensive treatment of
perturbative reheating [35].
Armendariz-Picon, Damour and Mukhanov propose “k-inflation” [36] where the
inflationary dynamics is driven not by a flat potential, but by a nontrivial kinetic
term.
• 2000: The BOOMERanG satellite measures the position of the first peak in the
CMB anisotropy spectrum, confirming that the universe is spatially flat as predicted
by inflation [37].
• 2001: Khoury, Ovrut, Steinhardt, and Turok propose the “Ekpyrotic Universe”
as an alternative to inflationary cosmology [38]. In this scenario, the primordial per-
turbations are created in a phase of slow contraction before the universe “bounces”
and transitions to the expanding hot Big Bang cosmology.
• 2002: Steinhardt and Turok introduce the “Cyclic Universe” as version of the
ekpyrotic scenario with periodically repeating bounces separating phases of con-
traction and expansion [39].
• 2003: WMAP detects a small deviation from scale-invariance in the primordial
density fluctuation [40], as predicted by all inflationary models.
Kachru, Kallosh, Linde and Trivedi (KKLT) introduce a compactification of
string theory with de Sitter vacua [41]. Together with Maldacena and McAllis-
ter, they further argue that a moving D3-brane can lead to slow-roll inflation in
this setting [42] (see also [43]). Silverstein and Tong show that inflation can even
occur if the brane moves relativistically, exploiting the fact that nonlinearities in
the Dirac-Born-Infeld action for the brane become important in this limit [44, 45].
Susskind relates the “landscape” of string theory vacua to the anthropic principle
and Weinberg’s solution to the cosmological constant problem [46] (following earlier
work by Bousso and Polchinski [47]).
Borde, Guth and Vilenkin prove that inflationary spacetimes are not past eternal
and therefore don’t evade the problem of the initial singularity [48].
• 2008: Silverstein, Westphal and McAllister introduce “axion monodromy infla-
tion” [49, 50], a promising candidate for large-field inflation in string theory.
Cheung, Creminelli, Fitzpatrick, Kaplan and Senatore develop an effective theory
to describe inflationary models with large self-interactions [51] (see also [52]). The
inflationary fluctuations are identified with the Goldstone boson of spontaneously
broken time translations, whose interactions are constrained by the nonlinearly
realized symmetry.
15 Cosmological Inflation
• 2015: East et al. [53] and Clough et al. [54] revisit the problem of inflationary
initial conditions with numerical GR simulations in 3+1 dimensions. (See also the
earlier work by Laguna, Kurki-Suonio and Matzner [55].)
5 Structure Formation
cluster [13, 14]. He also proposes to measure the masses of galaxies and clusters
through gravitational lensing.
• 1946: Lifshitz studies Einstein’s equations in linear perturbation theory [10]. He
derives the solutions to the linearized equation for both matter perturbations and
radiation. This remarkable paper initiated cosmological perturbation theory in the
fully relativistic context (see Chapter 6).
• 1948: Gamow highlights the significance of matter–radiation equality for struc-
ture formation [15], which was later made rigorous by Mészáros [16].
• 1952: Neyman and Scott initiate a statistical treatment of the spatial distribution
of galaxies [17, 18]. Their work also introduces the two-point correlation function,
ξ(r), to describe the large-scale clustering of galaxies.
• 1957: Bonnor derives the perturbation equations from the fluid equations in
Newtonian gravity [19].
• 1964: Novikov argues that the formation of galaxies requires the initial density
perturbations to have δρ/ρ ∼ 10−4 [20].
• 1965: Peebles proposes that structure forms from the “bottom-up” through the
hierarchical clustering of small objects into larger ones [21].
Gunn and Peterson predict that the presence of neutral hydrogen in the inter-
galactic medium (IGM) would lead to a characteristic feature in the spectra of
high-redshift quasars—the “Gunn–Peterson trough” [22].
• 1969: Totsuji and Kihara show that the galaxy correlation function can be ap-
proximated by a power law over a large range of scales, ξ(r) = (r/r0 )−γ [23].
• 1970: Harrison [24] and Peebles and Yu [25] propose a scale-invariant spectrum
as the most natural initial conditions. This was later picked up by Zel’dovich [26]
and is now called the “Harrison–Zel’dovich spectrum.”
Rubin and Ford provide new evidence for the existence of dark matter by study-
ing galactic rotation curves [27] (see also [28, 29]). Over the course of the next
decade, astronomers finally get convinced that dark matter exists around galaxies
and clusters of galaxies [30].
• 1971: Peebles publishes his book Physical Cosmology [31].
• 1972: Gunn and Gott introduce the spherical collapse model for nonlinear struc-
ture formation [32].
Cowsik and McClelland present a cosmological upper bound on the mass of neu-
trinos [33] (see also [34]), but don’t discuss the potential role of neutrinos as dark
matter.
• 1974: Press and Schechter develop a theory of the statistics of dark matter ha-
los [35]. Although the Press–Schechter theory makes a number of unjustified as-
sumptions, it initiates a large body of work on structure formation in the nonlinear
regime.
18 Structure Formation
Ostriker et al. [36] and Einasto et al. [37] use a variety of datasets to argue for
the existence of dark matter over a wide range of scales. These papers established
the cosmological significance of dark matter.
• 1976: Marx and Szalay suggest that 10 eV neutrinos could be the dark matter [38].
• 1977: Lee and Weinberg show that very heavy neutrinos (mν > 2 GeV) are still
consistent with cosmological constraints and propose that these neutrinos could
be the dark matter [39]. A number of similar papers appeared almost simultane-
ously [40–43].
• 1980: Studies of tritium beta decay claim a measurement of the mass of the
electron anti-neutrino of about 30 eV [44]. Although this result did not survive
further scrutiny, at the time, it provided significant motivation for exploring the
consequences of neutrinos as hot dark matter (HDM).
• 1981: Guth introduces the concept of cosmological inflation [45]. A key prediction
of the theory—the spatial flatness of the universe—seems to be in tension with the
observed matter density, Ωm ≈ 0.3.
• 1982: A number of groups compute the spectrum of density perturbations created
by quantum fluctuations during inflation [46–50].
The CfA redshift survey releases the first extensive 3D survey of galaxies [51].
Dick Bond introduces the term “cold dark matter” (CDM) to describe mas-
sive particles that decoupled from the thermal plasma after they had become non-
relativistic. Peebles discussed structure formation in a CDM cosmology [52].
• 1983: Numerical simulations by White, Frenk and Davis rule out the HDM
model [53].
• 1984: Davis, Efstathiou, Frenk and White (the “gang of four”) perform the first
numerical simulations of structure formation in the (Λ)CDM cosmology [54].
Blumenthal, Faber, Primack and Rees [55] compare the predictions of the CDM
model to data from the CfA survey.
Turner, Steigman and Krauss [56] argue that a cosmological constant can make
the low matter density of the universe consistent with the spatial flatness predicted
by inflation. See also the paper by Peebles of the same year [57].
Kaiser introduces the concept of “galaxy biasing” to explain the difference in the
correlation strengths of galaxies and clusters of galaxies [58]. He shows that clusters
are naturally highly biased tracers of the underlying matter distribution since they
form only at the highest density peaks of the mass distribution.
• 1986: Bardeen, Bond, Kaiser and Szalay (BBKS) provide further mathematical
details of Kaiser’s idea of galaxy biasing [59].
• 1987: Weinberg derives an anthropic bound on the value of the cosmological
constant [60].
19 Structure Formation
• 1989: Using data from the second CfA survey, Geller and Huchra discover the
Great Wall, one of the largest known superstructures in the observable universe [61].
• 1990: Efstathiou, Sutherland and Maddox argue that the low matter density
inferred from large-scale structure observations implies the need for a cosmological
constant [62].
• 1992: COBE measures the amplitude of CMB temperature fluctuations [63]. The
size of the fluctuations indicates that dark matter is required to explain the growth
of structure.
• 1997: The Two-degree-Field Galaxy Redshift Survey (2dF) begins operation.
• 2000: The Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) begins operation.
• 2001: SDSS discovers the Gunn–Peterson trough in a z = 6.28 quasar. This
provides evidence that the universe had undergone a transition from neutral to
ionized gas around z ∼ 6.
• 2003: WMAP confirms the predictions of the ΛCDM concordance cosmology
with increasing precision [64] .
• 2004: Tegmark et al. [65] provide a joint-analysis of data from WMAP and SDSS.
• 2005: The Virgo Consortium runs the “Millennium Simulation” based on the
N-body code GADGET [66]. The simulation follows the evolution of over 10 billion
“particles” in a volume with a side-length of over 2 billion light years. The simulation
ran for over a month producing 25 terabytes of data.
• 2010: Together with Nicolis, Senatore and Zaldarriaga, I show that dark matter
fluctuations can be described by an “effective fluid” [67]. This is later expanded
into a rigorous effective theory of large-scale structure (EFT-of-LSS) by Senatore
and collaborators [68].
• 2019: The EFT-of-LSS is applied for the first time to measure cosmological
parameters from the BOSS galaxy survey [69, 70].
Jim Peebles receives the Nobel prize for his groundbreaking work in physical
cosmology.
• 2021: The Dark Energy Survey (DES) releases its first cosmological results from
galaxy clustering and weak leasing data [71].
The Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) begins operation.
6 Relativistic Perturbation Theory
The following are a few papers that have played an important role in the develop-
ment of cosmological perturbation theory:
• 1946: Lifshitz provides a seminal analysis of linearized general relativity in cos-
mological spacetimes [1]. It is remarkable how much of our modern understanding
of cosmological perturbation theory (as described in my book) is in this paper. The
paper introduces the scalar-vector-tensor decomposition of metric and matter fluc-
tuations. It derives the linearized Einstein equations for k = ±1 (but not k = 0!)
backgrounds in synchronous gauge. The issue of unphysical gauge modes is treated
carefully. Solutions to the equations are presented for scalar, vector and tensor in
FRW backgrounds with matter and radiation.
Ironically, the introduction of the paper ends with the following sentences:
We shall see that in the expanding universe of the general relativity theory the perturba-
tions of most types decrease with time, thus showing no tendency to spontaneous increase.
There exist also such perturbations which increase with time, but so slowly that they can-
not produce large condensations. Thus we can apparently conclude that gravitational in-
stability is not the source of condensation of matter into separate nebulae.
Balloon Observations Of
BOOMERanG Millimetric Extragalactic Radiation Balloon 1997 – 2003
and Geophysics
Wilkinson Microwave
WMAP Satellite 2001 – 2010
Anisotropy Probe
CBI Cosmic Background Imager Ground 2002 – 2008
Cosmic Anisotropy
CAPMAP Ground 2002 – 2008
Polarization MAPper
KECKArray Keck Array Ground 2003 –
Background Imaging of Cosmic
BICEP Ground 2006 –
Extragalactic Polarization
SPT South Pole Telescope Ground 2007 –
ACT Atacama Cosmology Telescope Ground 2008 –
QUIET QU Imaging ExperimenT Ground 2008 – 2010
Planck Planck Satellite 2009 – 2013
ABS Atacama B-mode Search Ground 2011 – 2014
Polarization of Background
POLARBear Ground 2012 –
Microwave Radiation
EBEX The E and B Experiment Balloon 2012 – 2013
SPTpol SPT: Polarization Ground 2012 –
ACTPol ACT: Polarization Ground 2013 –
SPIDER Spider Balloon 2015 –
Cosmology Large-Angular
CLASS Ground 2016 –
Scale Surveyor
SPT-3G SPT: Third Generation Ground 2018 –
SO Simons Observatory Ground Future
CMB-S4 CMB Stage-4 Ground Future
(Lite) B-mode polarization and
LiteBIRD Inflation from cosmic background Satellite Future
Radiation Detection
24 Cosmic Microwave Background
• 1967: Sachs and Wolfe study the effect of density fluctuations on the CMB
temperature anisotropies [11].
• 1968: Rees predicts that the CMB should be polarized [12].
Rees and Sciama predict that CMB fluctuations are created when photons travel
through time-dependent gravitational potentials [13].
• 1969: Sunyaev and Zel’dovich show that, before recombination, photons and
baryons are strongly coupled and can be described by a single fluid [14] (see also
the earlier paper by Weymann [15]).
• 1970: Peebles and Yu study the evolution of fluctuations in the primordial
photon–baryon fluid [7]. Amongst many other things, this remarkable paper con-
tains the first derivation of the CMB power spectrum. The paper also sets up the
Boltzmann formalism used in modern CMB codes. Independently, Sunyaev and
Zel’dovich [8] explore the same physics. They also derive the oscillatory feature in
the CMB power spectra. Their abstract ends with the following sentences:
A detailed investigation of the spectrum of fluctuations may, in principle, lead to an under-
standing of the nature of initial density perturbations since a distinct periodic dependence
of the spectral density of perturbations on wavelength (mass) is peculiar to adiabatic per-
turbations. Practical observations are quite difficult due to the smallness of the effects
and the presence of fluctuations connected with discrete sources of radio emission.
• 1971: Paul Henry reports the first measurement of the CMB dipole [16]. The
work was part of his PhD thesis under the supervision of Dave Wilkinson. It was
published as a single authored paper because at the time Princeton required such
papers for a successful PhD thesis. Henry’s measurement was later confirmed by
Corey and Wilkinson [17], as well as Smooth, Gorenstein and Muller [18].
• 1972: Sunyaev and Zel’dovich show that the inverse Compton scattering of mi-
crowave background photons by the hot gas in galaxy clusters produces a spectral
distortion of the CMB fluctuations on small scales (the SZ effect) [19].
• 1983: Kaiser computes the damping rate of the photon–baryon plasma [20] and
Silk shows how this leads to a suppression of small-scale CMB fluctuations [21].
• 1984: Birkinshaw, Gull, and Hardebeck report the first detection of the SZ ef-
fect [22].
• 1985: Polnarev computes the CMB polarization spectrum for small angular sep-
arations [23]. See also the later treatments [24–26].
• 1987: Bond and Efstathiou provide a very comprehensive analysis of the CMB
anisotropies in a CDM cosmology [27].
• 1990: The COBE satellite measures the blackbody spectrum of the CMB [28],
thereby confirming the cosmological origin of the signal.
• 1992: COBE announces the first detection of CMB anisotropies on large scales [29].
• 1995: Bertschinger releases the Boltzmann code COSMICS [30]. The code is
slow and takes hours to compute a single CMB spectrum.
25 Cosmic Microwave Background
Hu and Sugiyama provide a semi-analytic solution for the sound waves in the
primordial plasma [31].
• 1996: Zaldarriaga and Seljak [32], and independently Kamionkowski, Kosowsky
and Stebbins [33], introduce the E/B decomposition of CMB polarization and pro-
vide an all-sky analysis of the corresponding power spectra.
Seljak and Zaldarriaga release the Boltzmann code CMBFast [34] which signif-
icantly speeds up the computation of the CMB spectra. The code includes E/B
modes, CMB lensing, and applies to curved universes.
• 1999: Lewis and Challinor release the Boltzmann code CAMB [35] as an alter-
native to CMBFast.
Seager, Sasselov and Scott create the recombination code RecFast [36].
• 2000: BOOMERanG measures enhanced CMB fluctuations on degree angular
scales [37], thereby confirming that the geometry of the universe is close to spa-
tially flat. This was further corroborated by measurements of the TOCO [38] and
MAXIMA [39] experiments.
• 2002: The polarization of the CMB is detected by the Degree Angular Scale
Interferometer (DASI) [40].
• 2003: The first E-mode polarization spectrum is measured by the Cosmic Back-
ground Imager (CBI) [41].
WMAP detects a small scale dependence, ns = ̸ 1, in the primordial density
fluctuations [42], as predicted by all inflationary models. Stephen Hawking calls it
“the discovery of the century, if not of all time.” WMAP also measures the large-
scale TE correlation [43] proving that there was time before the hot Big Bang [44].
• 2004: Bashinsky and Seljak derive the neutrino-induced phase shift of the CMB
anisotropy spectrum [45].
• 2005: Alpher is awarded the National Medal of Science for his foundational work
in nucleosynthesis and the prediction of the CMB.
• 2006: Smoot and Mather receive the Nobel prize for their work on COBE.
• 2007: Smith, Zahn and Doré provide the first detection of CMB lensing using
cross correlation with radio galaxy counts [46].
• 2011: ACT [47] and SPT [48] measure the CMB lensing power spectrum.
Lesgourgues, Tram and others release the Boltzmann code CLASS [49], a signif-
icantly restructured alternative to CAMB and CMBFast.
• 2014: The BICEP collaboration announces a detection of primordial B-modes [50].
Doubts are soon raised about the primordial origin of the signal [51].
• 2015: Follin et al. [52] measure the phase shift expected from the cosmic neutrino
background in the Planck data.
In a joint analysis [53], the Planck and BICEP collaborations show that the
26 Cosmic Microwave Background
The history of inflation was sketched in Chapter 4. In the following, I will add a
few more details on the key developments establishing the quantum generation of
perturbations during inflation.
• 1975: Hawking shows that black holes radiate due to the effect of quantum
fluctuations near the black hole’s event horizon [1]. This is the famous Hawking
radiation.
• 1977: Gibbons and Hawking show that the concept of Hawking radiation also
applies to cosmological horizon [2]. This provides the conceptual basis for the com-
putation of the vacuum fluctuations in inflation.
• 1978: Bunch and Davies define a preferred vacuum state for quantum fluctuations
in de Sitter space [3]. See also the earlier work by Chernikov and Tagirov [4].
• 1979: Starobinsky derives the spectrum of gravitational waves generated in a de
Sitter background [5].
• 1981: Mukhanov and Chibisov [6] compute the spectrum of scalar fluctuations
in the Starobinsky model. The red tilt of the spectrum, ns < 1, is predicted.
• 1982: The general theory of quantum fluctuations during inflation is developed at
the “Nuffield workshop” in Cambridge. This results in a series of papers computing
the power spectrum of density fluctuations [7–10].
• 1983: Hartle and Hawking introduce the “no-boundary state” as an initial con-
dition for the universe [11].
• 1990: Salopek and Bond [12] estimate the amount of non-Gaussianity in slow-roll
inflation (see also [13, 14]). The paper also contains a nonlinear definition of the
comoving curvature perturbation.
• 1996: Lyth derives his famous bound on the field variation in inflationary models
with observable gravitational waves [15].
• 1997: Spergel and Zaldarriaga [16] point out that the cross-correlation of CMB
temperature fluctuations and polarization on large scales is an important test of
inflation (or more general a period that preceded the hot Big Bang). A few years
later, this feature is measured by the WMAP satellite [17] proving that the hot Big
Bang was not the beginning of time.
• 2003: Maldacena provides the first rigorous calculation of the inflationary non-
Gaussianity using the in-in formalism [18].
27
28 Quantum Initial Conditions
WMAP measures the scale dependence in the primordial density fluctuations [19]
expected from inflationary models.
• 2004: Creminelli and Zaldarriaga prove a consistency relation for single-field
inflation, relating the squeezed limit of the bispectrum to the scale dependence of
the power spectrum [20]. This proves that a large signal in the squeezed limit can
only come from additional particles during inflation.
Silverstein and Tong introduce Dirac-Born-Infeld (DBI) inflation [21], a model of
inflation inspired by string theory that allows for large equilateral non-Gaussianity
coming from higher-derivative interactions.
• 2005: Weinberg provides a systematic treatment of the “in-in formalism” [22] to
compute higher-order Gaussian and non-Gaussian correlations in cosmology. While
previous calculations were restricted to tree graphs, this paper also considers loops.
• 2006: Chen, Huang, Kachru and Shiu [23] derive the bispectrum in P (X) theories
(i.e. inflationary models with an arbitrary kinetic term X ≡ (∂ϕ)2 ). Creminelli [24]
had previously calculated the non-Gaussianity coming from the leading higher-
derivative interaction X 2 .
• 2008: Cheung et al. [25] introduce an influential effective theory of inflation. In
this effective theory, the inflationary fluctuations are associated with the Goldstone
boson of broken time translations during inflation.
Dalal et al. show that local non-Gaussianity leads to a scale-dependent bias that
can be measured in the galaxy power spectrum [26].
• 2009: Chen and Wang [27] show that inflationary models with additional massive
particles close to the Hubble scale, m ≲ 23 H, lead to a distinct non-analytic scaling
in the squeezed limit of the bispectrum. They called such scenarios “quasi-single-
field inflation.” Daniel Green and I argue that extra fields with masses close to
the Hubble scale arise naturally in inflationary models with spontaneously broken
supersymmetry [28].
• 2015: Arkani-Hamed and Maldacena [29] show that massive particles with m >
3
2 H lead to characteristic oscillatory signatures in the squeezed limit of the bispec-
trum. These oscillations are the analog of a resonance in ordinary collider physics.
Making this analogy precise, they initiate the field of “cosmological collider physics.”
A A Cosmic Chronology
29
30 A Cosmic Chronology
1977 Peccei and Quinn introduce the axion to solve the strong CP problem.
Axion-like particles become a popular dark matter candidate.
1979 Starobinsky derives the spectrum of gravitational waves generated in a de
Sitter background.
1980 Starobinsky shows that high-energy corrections to Einstein gravity can lead
to a de Sitter solution.
Bardeen introduces a gauge-invariant formulation of cosmological
perturbation theory.
1981 Guth proposes inflation as a solution to the horizon and flatness problems.
Mukhanov and Chibisov suggest that quantum fluctuations during inflation
could lead to primordial density fluctuations.
Dimopoulos and Georgi introduce the MSSM. The neutralino becomes a
popular dark matter candidate.
1982 Linde, and independently Albrecht and Steinhardt, produce the first models
of slow-roll inflation. Several groups compute the density fluctuations
predicted by quantum fluctuations during inflation.
The first CfA galaxy redshift survey is completed.
Peebles introduces the cold dark matter (CDM) cosmology.
Steinhardt introduces the first example of eternal inflation.
1983 White, Frenk and Davis rule out the HDM cosmology.
Silk derives the damping of small-scale CMB fluctuations.
1984 Davis, Efstathiou, Frenk and White perform the first numerical simulations
in ΛCDM cosmology.
Turner, Steigman and Krauss argue that a cosmological constant is needed
to make the low matter density of the universe consistent with the spatial
flatness predicted by inflation.
1984 Polnarev computes the CMB polarization spectrum on small scales.
1987 Weinberg provides an anthropic explanation for the small value of the
cosmological constant.
32 A Cosmic Chronology
2011 ACT and SPT measure the CMB lensing power spectrum.
2012 The ATLAS and CMS experiments at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC)
report the detection of the Higgs boson.
2013 The Planck satellite provides precision measurements of the standard
cosmological parameters.
2014 BICEP announces the detection of primordial B-modes; the signal is later
shown to come from dust in our own galaxy.
2016 LIGO announces the detection of gravitational waves from black hole
mergers.
2019 Peebles receives the Nobel prize for his groundbreaking work in physical
cosmology.
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Chapter 5
Chapter 6
Chapter 7
Chapter 8