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Week 3 Tutorial Questions Mod

The document is a tutorial on flood frequency analysis for CIVL 322/912, containing questions related to flood probabilities and magnitudes for Black Jack Creek and Black Range Creek. It includes calculations for annual floods, design floods, and the estimation of flood discharges using log-normal and LP3 distributions. Additionally, it provides background information and data sources for the analysis.

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Mohamad Alrifai
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29 views6 pages

Week 3 Tutorial Questions Mod

The document is a tutorial on flood frequency analysis for CIVL 322/912, containing questions related to flood probabilities and magnitudes for Black Jack Creek and Black Range Creek. It includes calculations for annual floods, design floods, and the estimation of flood discharges using log-normal and LP3 distributions. Additionally, it provides background information and data sources for the analysis.

Uploaded by

Mohamad Alrifai
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as DOC, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

TUTORIAL (Flood Frequency Analysis)

CIVL 322/912

Question 1
1. The annual floods in Black Jack Creek are log-normally distributed with a mean of
800 ML/d and a standard deviation of 2.0 ML/d. [In full: the logarithms of the largest
floods in each year are normally distributed and the mean of the logarithms of the
annual floods is 800 ML/d and the standard deviation of the logarithms of the annual
floods of 2.0 ML/d].
a) What is the probability of having a flood, in any one year, which is equal to or
larger than 800 ML/d
b) What is the probability of having a flood, in any one year, which is equal to or
larger than 4000 ML/d
c) What is the magnitude of the 1 in 100 year discharge in this Creek
d) What is the magnitude of the 5-year, 10-year, 20-year, and 50-year events in
this creek.

Question 2
Background
Black Range Creek drains a rural catchment. A road is being designed that will cross the
Black Range Creek and you are asked to estimate design floods. The following data have
been provided by your supervisor:
There is one gauge on Black Range Creek where the catchment area is 54.4 km 2, and a
summary of the gauging record from 1969 to 1981 is shown in the following table.
Estimate flows for Average Recurrence Intervals of 2, 5, 10, 20, 50 and 100 years.
An unbiased estimate of the population AEP for an event of rank m, is given by:
AEP = (m-0.4)/(N+0.2)
AEP = Annual exceedence probability; m = Rank; N = Number of years of record
Year Discharge
1970 776
1971 935
1972 225
1973 1260
1974 2770
1975 1620
1976 185
1977 373
1978 1420
1979 806
1980 820
1981 2130
a) Calculate
a. the mean of the annual flood discharges
b. the standard deviation of the flood discharges
c. the mean of the logarithms of the flood discharges (give your answer in
natural and log units)
d. the standard deviation of the logarithms of the flood discharges.

b) Assume the discharges are log normally distributed and calculate the 1 in 20-year
flood.

Question 3:
Annual maximum floods in White Dog Creek are log-normally distributed. The average
and standard deviation of log Q are 3 and 0.5 respectively. Flows have been measured in
units of ML/d. What is the magnitude of the 100-year ARI flood.

Question 4
Annual maximum floods for the Burnett River at Mt Lawless are distributed according to the LP3
distribution. Calculate q100, the 100-year ARI discharge. Parameters for the LP3 distribution have
been estimated as shown in the following Table. Flows have been measured using units of m 3/s.

Statistic Symbol Value


Mean of the log q m 2.856
Standard of logq S 0.587
Skewness of logq g -0.15

Information for Black Rang Creek


The data from:
Taken from:

Title: Victorian surface water information to 1982 / State Rivers and Water Supply
Commission of Victoria.
Publisher: Armadale, Vic. : The Commission, 1984.
Description: 4 v. (x, 720; x, 773; x, 689; x, 523 p.) :

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