Lab DEMOGRAPHICS DATA TABLE

LESSON 1

Lesson 1: Step 1
Population Population
Death Relative place Social Social Social
Country Birthrate Growth Growth
Rate in Transition Factors 1 Factors 2 Factors 3
2015 2050
Better
USA 1.98/women 1.16% 0.78% -0.15% Stage 5 Heathy Family
doctors
Better
Brazil 1.72/women 0.86% 0.86% -0.26% Stage 5 Healthy Family
doctors
Better
China 1.52/women 1.05% 0.47% -0.98% Stage 5 Healthy Family
doctors
Stage 2 Improving Families Kids live
India 2.26/women 0.99% 1.34% 0.46%
condition are small longer
Improving Families Kids live
Indonesia 2.07/women 0.95% 1.03% 0.21% Stage 4
condition are small longer
Improving Families Kids live
Iraq 3.15/women 0.63% 2.45% 1.75% Stage 2
condition are small longer
Stage 5 Better
Italy 1.41/women 1.34% 0.36% -1.17% Healthy family
doctors
Better
Japan 1.39/women 1.40% -0.10% -1.15% Stage 5 Healthy Family
doctors
To help Death rate
Nigeria 4.07/women 1.11% 2.65% 2.84% Stage 3 or 2 Work
with work high

Lesson 1: Step 2
Country Shape of Pyramid: Prediction Shape of Pyramid: Simulation
In 2050 it will get bigger at the top than the
USA Top got wider than the bottom
bottom
Brazil In 2050 it’s going to be skinnier Both got skinny
China In 2050 it going to widen out Bottom is more formed
In 2050 the bottom will be skinny and bottom
India It got wider at the bottom half
wide
Indonesia In 2050 it’s going to get wider Top became wider and bottom slimmer
Iraq In 2050 The top will shrink Bottom is wider and middle is also
Italy In 2050 The bottom will be slimmer Top is wider and bottom is slimmer
Japan In 2050 The bottom will be slimmer Bottom is skinny and grew at the top
Nigeria In 2050 The bottom is going to be wide out Bottoms is wide and the top is skinny

Responses to Questions
1. How do you suppose living conditions differ between the country furthest along in the demographic transition
compared to the country earliest in the transition? How would living conditions in these two countries affect both birth
and death rates?

The living conditions affect the demographic conditions because countries with better health care and technology have people
live longer and more people have bigger families. Technology advancements help the population’s survival rate. If better
attention to detail is placed on good health and medicine. Then their people will end up living longer than a country that struggles
to keep its people healthy and sanitary.

2. Think of three social factors that contribute to lower birth rates in the countries farther along. How might these social
Responses to Questions
conditions be encouraged to emerge in less developed countries?
Factors that contribute to low birth rates in countries are education on pregnancy, contraceptives and
career driven people. These factors help and can encourage the less developed countries because
there is a lower birth rate. It means more resources for people to be safe . These factors can help
families think more about their lives and their children's lives. Once these families in less developed
countries are more advanced to realize this. The birth rates in the countries will decrease in birth rates

3. In general, how do the concepts of "early, middle, and late demographic transition" map to the concepts of "first,
second, and third world countries"?

Early, middle, and late demographic transitions reflect the concepts of the first, second and third world countries, third
world countries may not have the advancements that can save lives and help wityh unexpected births from
happening. So, this may lead to it being in the middle or early transitions stages. For first world countries where
There is a lot of things to help with people to live longer. The birth rate and death rate are low.

STEP 2

1. How does the shape of the population pyramid differ from most developed to least developed country?

The more developed countries are seen to have a smaller size in the younger age than in the larger size of the older people.
Making the shape a upside down triangle. The least developed country is a triangle with a bigger number of young people having
kids and a tiny number for the older people.

2. People in the “prime of life” (aged roughly 20-60, depending on local conditions), support the populations younger and
older than themselves. How might this impact the quality of life in countries with the various shapes of demographic
pyramids?

The shape of the demographic pyramid shows how resources are distributed and how the economic and social environment of
people are managed. A country with a more equal pyramid tends to offer a more stable quality of life by helping people with
what they need in life, while a country with a bigger pyramid may have more challenges in various age groups. Managing these
dynamics correctly is crucial for improving quality of life for all the age groups.
Notes:

The overall population

Lesson 2: Step 1
Nigeria Original Prediction + 5 years +15 years -5 years
Birth rate going
Birth rate 4.07/women 3.94/women 3.67/women 4.17/women
up
Death rate goes
Death rate 1.11% 1.15 1.25% 1.05%
down
Population growth 2.65 Goes down 2.27 1.92% 3.51%

Sketch of Nigeria’s population pyramid in 2150 using USA birth and death rates:

Lesson 2: Step 2
Japan- before Prediction + 5 years +15 years -5 years
Birth rate
Increase 1.39/women 1.38/women 1.40/women
-1.39/women
Death rate-
Increase 1.69% 1.63% 1.75%
1.4%
Population growth- Decrease -1.03% -0.93% -1.24%
Lesson 2: Step 2
-0.10%

Responses to Questions:

1. How and why does the pyramid shape change?

The pyramid shape changes because birth rate is high making the Pyramid shift.

2. How does an increase or decrease in the average childbearing age group change the population? Why do “first world”
countries tend to have older childbearing women than “third world” countries?

Increasing the average childbearing age group makes it so the pyramid is small and as those children grow there would be less in
the middle. Decreasing the age would make it so there would be a lot of children which would make the population grow. First
world countries usually have women have kids later in life than third world countries because women in first world countries
want to have a career before they have a family. While women in third world countries stay at home to take care of the house and
the kids like old time while the men work and make money for the families.

3. Did the pattern of population change match your prediction? If not, why not? Compare the final
population pyramid for Japan to the one you sketched of Nigeria. How do they compare, and
why are they similar or different?

The pattern of population change did not match my predictions The population pyramids for Japan and Nigeria
show how the two counties are different. Japan’s pyramid shows an older population with low birth
rates, while Nigeria’s larger pyramid shows a younger population with higher birth rates. They are
differences mostly due to their strong economy, healthcare, and culture

4. How are Japan's numbers different from Nigeria's? What do you think accounts for the
difference?

The differences between Japan's and Nigeria's population numbers can be due to a lot of
factors related to location on the stage of demographic transition, their economy and how well
their healthcare systems are as well as cultural practices. Japan’s population has a lot of
elderly people and low birth rates which makes Japan decline because more people are dying
than being born. Nigeria’s population is growing rapidly because of the young people and their
high birth rates.
Responses to Questions:
5. Many Western European countries are giving monetary incentives to employees who have
multiple children. Why would they do this? How would a baby boom change Japan's
demographics?

Western European countries offer monetary incentives to address low birth rates and the challenges associated with children
because Many Western European countries face an aging population relative to the working population. This demographic shift
can lead to labor shortages and reduced economic productivity. A baby boom in Japan would make an increase in birth rate and
change the pyramid, making it so a more balanced age structure happens over time. It could help by increasing the future
workforce. However, it would also require a lot of time and investment in the kids’ education, childcare, and healthcare to help
growing number of kids at a time the boom can help Japan, but it must be planned or else too many resources are going to be
wasted.

DEMOGRAPHICS DATA TABLE

LESSON 3

Lesson 3: Step 1
Iraq- Prediction Simulated 1 Simulated 2 Simulated 3
Birth rate 3.29/women 1.25/women 1.24/women 1.13/women
Death rate 4% 0.63% 1.25% 0.17%
Population Growth 0% -0.37% -0.80% -0.00% (0.01%)
Lesson 3: Step 2
Predicted Predicted Simulated Simulated
Pyramid Pyramid Predicted Simulated
Country Death Population Death Population
Prediction Simulation Birthrate Birthrate
Rate Growth Rate Growth
Only the
It will get bottom
Brazil 2/women 1% -0.80% 1.72/women 1.42% -0.26%
skinnier became
slimmer
The top
will even Became
Indonesia 1.80% 0.85% 1.40% 2.07/women 1.32% 0.21%
out with like even
the bottom

Responses to Questions:

1. How close was your prediction to the actual model parameters that gave you a 0% growth rate? What factors did you
use to make your prediction?
My prediction was zero percent. I wish I had taken the picture, but it was the same numbers I used to get the 0.01. I don’t know
why it is not 0.00 now. The factors I used was to make the women only have one kid during their lifetime at a young age so when
the kid grew up to be the same age as their parents when they had them. It is like just replacing one person in the bloodline, it is
not completely gone. But when someone dies. Someone is still alive at a young age making another kid so the cycle can repeat
So after evey one death. One child is born.

2.

What would Iraq have to do in order to reach a zero-growth rate? What kinds of challenges might the Iraqi government
face in trying to implement these measures?
Responses to Questions:

To reach a zero-growth rate, Iraq would need to try to make its birth and death rates the same and balanced. Family
planning and education are important. The government would face challenges with health care, ways of making
families make enough money to support their families. Effective family planning services and educational programs
require significant financial resources. Iraq may face budget constraints and competing priorities, such as security and
infrastructure development.

3. Faced with mounting population pressure and the resultant drain on natural resources, many growing populations wish
to migrate, and other dwindling nations import labor. Where are the major sources and destinations of this population
growth differential in the world today? What issues do the immigrants bring with them?

Migration patterns monitor a widespread of different things among regions with a lot of population boom and people with a
declining one. Africa, South Asia, Central America, and the Middle East and North America, Western Europe. The issues that
immigrate bring with them are employment that they might not find. Not getting paid a good wage. Having to adapt to a new
style of living and making it hard to be accept as a native and not be seen as just an immigrant.

1. What are the most obvious similarities and differences between these two countries? What might account for the
differences?

Japan and Nigeria show both similarities and huge differences. They share the same for development and face
population- but they have a lot of different health care, and their economy is not the same. These differences are
influenced by the way people are raised, the way they live, and the way their environment is. Understanding these
factors helps the situation of each country and their current situation and for the future.

.
2. Brazil and Indonesia are home to the greatest tropical rainforests on Earth. In what ways might their population stories
affect the rest of the world?

Brazil and Indonesia, with their tropical rainforests, have impacts on global environmental health. Their population
deforesting the forest makes it a huge cause toward climate change. Trying to keep a balance between keeping nature
preserved and helping their people. Ways to stop companies from destroying the environment for animals so they can
keep the climate fine and not cause harm to the environment.

3. The United States, Canada, and Russia are three other countries with unusually generous shares of the world's natural
resources. What are the parallels between their resources and those of Brazil and Indonesia?

The United States, Canada, and Russia, like Brazil and Indonesia have a good supply in natural resources that help boost the
economy and their global power/impact. These countries face challenges that impact their environment and the way their people
behave. While they have the same resources and trade them all around the world. Each country uses their resources for different
things to help and benefit them. Balancing economic benefits with environmental stewardship remains a common challenge
across these resource-rich nations.
Notes: