Preprints202408 1978 v1
Preprints202408 1978 v1
Honglin Wang *
doi: 10.20944/preprints202408.1978.v1
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Article
Abstract: With growing global emphasis on sustainable development and social responsibility,
Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) ratings have emerged as critical metrics to evaluate
commercial banks’ operating performance. The paper utilizes panel data spanning 2009 to 2022 from
large state-owned and joint-stock commercial banks in China. It employs a two-way fixed effect
model and robustness tests, alongside tests for heterogeneity analysis and moderating effect to
conduct empirical analysis. The findings of the fixed effect model indicate that improvements in
ESG performance have advantageous impacts on commercial banks’ operating performance,
particularly with higher growth rate for operating income Robustness tests including mixed
regressions, Tobit tests, variable substitutions, and tests of endogenous bias have validated that
initial regression findings still hold. Tests of heterogeneity analysis reveal that among large state-
owned commercial banks, banks with higher leverage, larger major shareholder ownership, and
larger banks scales, ESG performance can significantly affect the banks’ operating performance, and
the relationship exhibits positive. Furthermore, the paper finds that GDP growth rate, CPI and
analysts’ coverage can strengthen the relationship between ESG performance and commercial banks’
operating performance through moderating effects. The research provides policy proposals and
strategic recommendations tailored for policymakers, banks, and investors, building on these insights.
1. Introduction
In recent years, Chinese companies significantly demonstrated a notable acceleration in the
development of environmental, social, and governance (ESG) performance, in line with the ‘dual
carbon' goals. The Central Financial Work Conference of October 2023 emphasized the critical role
that finance plays in supporting domestic economic growth and improving core competitiveness. At
the same times, five major articles proposed in the conference have laid a theoretical foundation for
high-quality development in finance. The five major articles consist of Fintech Finance, Green
Finance, Inclusive Finance, Pension Finance and Digital Finance.
As a responsible major country, China made a solemn commitment to devote itself to the global
low-carbon transformation at the 75th United Nations General Assembly in 2020 and it introduced
‘dual carbon’ goal, whose purposes to achieve carbon peak in 2030 and carbon neutrality in 2060.
‘Dual carbon’ goal aims to reduce carbon dioxide emissions, which helps create green production
and operation models for businesses as well as a green transformation of the socioeconomic structure.
Emergence of green finance, to a certain extent, contributes to ‘dual carbon’ goals and set higher
standards in operations for enterprises, including business models and aspects of environmental,
social and governance.
ESG concept is spreading across the entire world, emphasizing that enterprises ought to align
with current trends and concentrate on green environmental protection, energy conservation and
low-carbon development meanwhile pursuing high-quality development. As a component of the
ESG concept, ESG performance measures an enterprise’s sustainability along three dimensions:
environment, society, and corporate governance. The dimensions are scored for their respective
performance, and these scores are then calculated into an ESG score, which aims to assign
comprehensive ratings for companies to evaluate their ESG performance. Incorporating ESG ratings
into business operations has been evidenced to have a positive impact on mitigating misconduct,
accelerating the green transformation of business models and achieving sustainable development
goals for enterprises.
As a pillar of the financial industry, China's commercial banks play a crucial role in driving
economic progress. This paper employs Stata to conduct regression analysis, investigating the impact
of ESG ratings on operating performance of Commercial banks in China. Innovations of the paper
are to explore determinants of commercial banks’ operating performance, for the purpose of
extending existing research and filling a gap between ESG ratings and financial institutions. Secondly,
econometric methodologies deployed in the paper are statistically rigorous. It mainly adopts fixed-
effect models controlling for year and individual effects, supplemented by bank-level variables.
Besides, robustness tests contain mixed regressions, Tobit models, and endogeneity analysis.
Meanwhile, heterogeneity analysis exists in the paper, considering different natures of commercial
banks, shareholder structures, and leverage ratios. Additionally, moderating effect analysis
incorporates GDP growth rates and CPI, along with analysts’ coverage, to explore their moderating
effects on banks’ operating performance. The database involved in this paper is a panel dataset, which
can reflect the real-time data and cover various banks. The research background aligns with the 'dual
carbon' goals and reflects the ESG trends. The findings provide practical insights for bank managers,
policymakers, and investors, offering guidance on strategic decisions and investment frameworks in
line with sustainable development objectives.
2. Literature Review
the benchmark for regulation and incorporated into systematic risk assessments, aiming to effectively
stabilize companies’ financial positions [6]. Besides, investment portfolios containing major stocks with
good ESG performance often outperform than those with poor ESG performance during financial crisis,
whereas the effect is relatively weak in the normal period [7]. The results imply that superior ESG
performance significantly eliminates financial related risks and can cope with the crisis.
Overall, ESG performance plays an important role in regulating decision-making process,
mitigating risk-taking, promoting effective investing practices. Besides, ESG performance can help
enterprises and investors manage with the impact of the global financial crisis and the COVID-19
epidemic. A robust ESG performance indicates an enterprise has the enhanced capacity to withstand
systemic shocks.
development but also enhances their financial performance constructs [23]. ESG performance has a
positive correlation between with corporate performance, which is more significant for large-scale
companies and those involved with high-risk cases [24]. Moreover, improvements in listed
companies’ ESG performance can increase their market value and have a positive role in operation
capabilities for state-owned listed companies through the mediation effect, which ultimately has
impacts on market value [25].
Besides, ESG performance of enterprises can positively promote improvements in corporate
financial performance, contributed by alleviating financial constraints and enhancing operation
efficiencies with the organization, which is more significant in non-state-owned enterprises, medium-
small enterprises and manufacturing enterprises [26]. Banks which engages in environmentally
friendly activities exert the greatest influences on their value, at the same times banks that prioritize
ESG initiatives can reduce the cost of equity and improve cash flows whereas cost of debt is not
impacted [27]. Furthermore, a trade-off exists between bank value and risk-taking, a more stable
financial system, because high ESG scores are accompanied by excessive investment of ESG practices,
thereby leading to lower bank values [28].
Overall, existing literature have conducted certain research on ESG performance and the
determinants of operating performance in banking sectors. However, as far as the author’s research
is concerned, the existing literature still has some shortcomings. The two main points are as follows:
firstly, most of the literature fail to consider factors that affects operating performance of commercial
banks and panel data of listed banks is not deployed for thoughtful analysis. Secondly, institution-
related variables such as analyst’s coverage and economic variables such as GDP as moderators, are
not utilized in the most of existing literature, nor does it test the moderating effect. The deficiencies
serve as an innovation and a breakthrough point for the research paper.
comprehensive measure of the profit generated by the total assets of a business, i.e. the total funds
invested by shareholders and creditors. Higher indicators signify that the bank is more profitable,
which translates to a higher return on investment for investors. In this paper, ROA is selected to
measure the operating performance of the bank.
3.2.4. Moderators
Three indicators are selected as moderators for the analysis, consisting of year-on-year growth
rate of GDP, CPI index and analyst coverage, and their impacts on ESG ratings and operating
performance of commercial banks in China are evaluated. The first two indicators are related to
economic factors, while the latter is an indicator of institutional investors activity.
GDP(YoY): Gross domestic product (GDP) is the most effective indicator of a country’s economy.
YoY measures year-on-year growth rate of a GDP in comparison to the previous year. Consumer price
index (CPI): CPI is a common macroeconomic indicator used for measuring inflation [30]. Analyst
coverage: The number of analysts and research reports focused on the specified bank as proxy
variables and the indicator is calculated by the natural logarithm of the number of analysts who paid
attention to the bank during the year, plus one [11].
4. Modelling
This paper firstly adopts fixed effects regression as the baseline regression model for the study
and considers the impact of individual and year effects on the model. The function of baseline
regression model as shown below.
5. Discussions
The two-way fixed effects model represents the benchmark regression model of this paper,
namely multivariate regression model implemented after controlling for individual and year effects.
The two-way fixed effect model eliminates a certain extent of omitted variable bias caused by
individual and year fixed effects [31]. Besides, endogenous bias is common in econometrics, referring
to the fact that a single explanatory variable is correlated with an error term, or two error terms are
correlated, which can lead to generate inaccurate estimates, misleading conclusions and wrong
theoretical explanations [32]. Besides, the paper also noted that although the sources of endogenous
bias are various, different approaches can address these issues. One approach deployed in the paper
is dynamic generalized method of moments (GMM) model and Stata as statistical software can be
utilized to perform GMM model tests in the panel dataset.
This paper employs a GMM model, mixed regression, Tobit test and explanatory variable
replacement to assess the robustness of the results. The whole group is divided into two groups based
on different characteristics and tested for heterogeneity. Moreover, three exogenous variables are
considered to explore the relationship between ESG ratings and commercial banks’ performance.
This section displays empirical findings of the models. Table 3 presents the outputs of the two-
way fixed effects model, while Tables 4–7 illustrate findings of the robustness tests, Tables 8–11
display the results of the heterogeneity tests. Finally, Tables 12–15 present the results of the
moderating effect analysis.
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are close to unbiased estimation and enhance the reliability of the constructed model. Three models
differing in their control variables are formed in the GMM model construction. There are six
regression models were constructed to assess the impact of each variable on the operating
performance of commercial banks. As shown in Table A7, it demonstrates that ESG ratings still
positively influence on ROA in the two GMM models and the five variables have varying degrees of
explanatory power with respect to the operating performance.
10
ownership and agency costs are reduced in a large degree. The likelihood of ESG practices thus has
been maximized and it brings more bank values.
The sample banks have been classified into two groups based on their average size, to undertake
the fixed effect regression. The first group consists of banks that were larger than the mean, while the
second group included those that were below the mean. The threshold variable value is 12.77. Table
A11 presents outcomes of the analysis based on bank size. The results indicate that there is a positive
correlation between the ESG rating and operating performance of the bank, especially in banks with
large size. It implies that one unit of increase in ESG rating can bring higher returns about 2.76%. But
the relation is limited in small or medium - scale banks.
The main rationale is that a large scale signifies that the banks possess sufficient assets and cash
flows to bear operating expenses, for the purpose of improving ESG performance, except for other
costs such as: administrative expenses, costs of goods sold. Sustainability practices are positively
related to enhanced social sustainability performance and better firm financial performance [23].
Thus, banks institutions which engages ESG practices are likely to receive better financial
performance.
11
misconducts within organizations and enhancing awareness of ESG practices, which in turn
improves banks’ ESG performance. Superior banks’ ESG performance can attract more attentions
from analysts, who are willing to write analyst reports for the banks. High ESG performance is linked
with the enhanced corporate stock price synchronicity [37]. Investors tend to focus on banks with
better ESG ratings as well and purchase stocks in banking sectors with outstanding ESG performance,
which incentives to upgrade banks’ value. Ultimately, the overall operational performance of
commercial banks is enhanced.
12
Data Availability Statement: The raw data supporting the conclusions of this article will be made available by
the author on request.
Acknowledgments: The author acknowledges anonymous peer reviewers for their dedicated time and expertise.
Their valuable feedback has enhanced this research paper’s quality and credibility.
Appendix A
13
0.1238 0.1938
IA
(0.1617) (0.1698)
-0.0591
FA
(0.0457)
14
-0.5815*** -0.7389***
IA
(0.1803) (0.1690)
0.2232***
FA
(0.0377)
0.0839 0.1188
IA
(0.5787) (0.1663)
-0.0281
FA
(0.0441)
R2
*Notes: *, **, *** indicate that coefficients in the regression models are significant at 10%, 5% and 1% respectively;
Values in parentheses are standard errors.
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15
R2 0.857 0.736
Id FE Yes
Year FE Yes
*Notes: *, **, *** indicate that coefficients in the regression models are significant at 10%, 5% and 1% respectively;
Values in parentheses are standard errors.
-0.7389*** 0.4477
IA
(0.1768) (0.3737)
0.2233*** -0.0953
FA
(0.0421) (0.0696)
16
Table A8. Regression outputs based on differences in the banks’ ownership nature
State-Owned Joint-Stock
0.0282* 0.0137
ESG
(0.0048) (0.0089)
0.0305*** 0.0410***
DTA
(0.0071) (0.0093)
39.4020*** 30.3006***
TAT
(2.6480) (3.6861)
0.0000 0.0025***
OI
(0.0008) (0.0010)
-0.7100*** 0.3226
IA
(0.2526) (0.2199)
-0.0321 0.0275
FA
(0.0311) (0.0995)
-3.0194*** -3.9225
Constant
(0.6417) (0.8911)
R2 0.902 0.612
Id FE Yes Yes
0.0351*** 0.0012
ESG
(0.007) (0.0064)
0.0260*** -0.0241
DTA
(0.006) (0.0145)
44.1324*** 21.8888***
TAT
(2.687) (4.0619)
0.0001 0.0001
OI
(0.001) (0.0012)
-0.0997 1.5032***
IA
(0.154) (0.3952)
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17
-0.0213 -0.4174***
FA
(0.040) (0.1521)
-2.8585*** 2.6141*
Constant
(0.516) (1.3518)
R2 0.804 0.700
Id FE Yes Yes
0.0446*** 0.0092
ESG
(0.0073) (0.0082)
0.0474*** 0.0270***
DTA
(0.0111) (0.0085)
21.6224*** 41.3878***
TAT
(4.2179) (3.7575)
0.0031*** 0.0002
OI
(0.0010) (0.0095)
0.1196 0.1104
IA
(0.2540) (0.3214)
0.0061 -0.0697
FA
(0.0817) (0.0624)
-4.3870*** -2.7441***
Constant
(1.0169) (0.8078)
R2 0.739 0.735
Id FE YES YES
0.0274*** 0.0066
ESG
(0.0061) (0.011)
0.0169** 0.0439***
DTA
(0.0084) (0.013)
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18
40.0110*** 25.7275***
TAT
(3.4476) (5.407)
0.0006 0.0017
OI
(0.0011) (0.001)
-0.3758 0.5018*
IA
(0.3328) (0.264)
-0.0239 -0.1254
FA
(0.0533) (0.130)
-1.8322** -3.9644***
Constant
(0.7519) (1.317)
R2 0.760 0.422
Id FE YES YES
0.0739 0.1541
IA
(0.1619) (0.1688)
-0.0714
FA
(0.0446)
19
0.0739 0.1541
IA
(0.1619) (0.1688)
-0.0714
FA
(0.0446)
0.2155 0.2119
IA
(0.158) (0.162)
FA 0.0050
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(0.044)
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