Research Paper
Research Paper
Abstract
Background: Bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) vaccination may have nonspecific effects, i.e., effects on childhood
morbidity and mortality that go beyond its effect on the risk of childhood tuberculosis (TB). Though the available
scientific literature is mostly from observational studies, and is fraught with controversy, BCG vaccination at birth
may protect infants in high-mortality populations against serious infections other than TB. Yet, other studies
indicate that giving BCG later in infancy may modify immune responses to non-TB antigens and potentially
enhance immunity, potentially also against tuberculosis (TB). It is unclear whether BCG vaccination very early in life
offers adequate protection against TB and other infections among HIV-1-exposed children because even those who
remain uninfected with HIV-1 show signs of impaired immunocompetence early in infancy. This study will compare
BCG vaccination at birth with BCG vaccination at 14 weeks of age in HIV-1-exposed infants.
Methods: This is an individually randomized controlled trial in 2200 HIV-1-exposed infants. The intervention is BCG
vaccination within 24 h of birth while the comparator is BCG given at 14 weeks of age. The study co-primary
outcomes are severe illness in the first 14 weeks of life, and production of tumor necrosis factor, interleukin (IL)-1β,
IL-6 and interferon-γ in response to mycobacterial and nonmycobacterial antigens. The study is being conducted in
three health centers in Uganda.
Discussion: A well-timed BCG vaccination could have important nonspecific effects in HIV-1-exposed infants. This
trial could inform the development of appropriate timing of BCG vaccination for HIV-1-exposed infants.
Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov, identifier: NCT02606526. Registered on 12 November 2015.
Keywords: BCG, Vaccination, Infants HIV-1-exposed, Nonspecific effects, Trial
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Nankabirwa et al. Trials (2017) 18:152 Page 2 of 17
among low-birth-weight preterm infants indicated that currently no other, long-term, ongoing randomized trials
there may be an association between early BCG vaccin- with clinical endpoints similar to ours.
ation and lower perinatal mortality, but not lower infant
mortality [9]. In a birth cohort study in Uganda, we pre- Immunological reprogramming induced by BCG
viously showed that children between 1 month and In order to strengthen the medical literature, one of the
5 years of age who had received BCG had a substantially most important aims of the study is to identify any im-
lower mortality than those who had not [14]. In fact, this munological reprogramming induced by BCG, which
association was even stronger in the neonates but we has been recently suggested to be responsible for NSEs
decided not to display this potentially important finding [30]. The immunological responses thought to account
because of the possibility that some of the association for the NSEs of BCG may, in broad terms, be considered
could have been due to reverse causality, as vaccinators to involve two processes: trained innate immunity and
could to some extent have refrained from giving BCG to heterologous immunity. Trained immunity is a novel
sick babies. Other observational studies among older concept that describes the functional reprogramming of
children, adolescents and adults have shown mixed innate immune cells (such as monocytes, macrophages
results for the effects of the BCG vaccine against atopy or natural killer (NK) cells) after an infection or vaccin-
[15–18] and helminthic infections [19–21]. Nonspecific ation [31]. The molecular mechanism mediating trained
effects of vaccines, are now receiving increased atten- immunity is represented by epigenetic modifications due
tion, all the more so when the incidence of the TB is de- to changes in histone methylation and acetylation, lead-
creasing worldwide [22]. In fact, the World Health ing to a looser chromatin structure and increased gene
Organization (WHO) recently established a Strategic transcription [32]. Similar epigenetic reprogramming has
Advisory Group of Experts working group on NSEs of been described in monocytes of individuals vaccinated
vaccines [23]. with BCG [33]. In addition to trained immunity, a sec-
ond important immunological mechanism that is likely
Methodological challenges in existing studies to be involved in the NSEs is heterologous immunity:
The medical literature on the NSEs of vaccines is the capacity of memory T-lymphocytes to respond in an
fraught with controversy [7]. Much of this controversy interleukin (IL)-12/IL-18-dependent manner with in-
stems from interpretational challenges of the observa- creased production of cytokines upon stimulation with
tional studies carried out in high-mortality areas, and in different stimuli [34].
heavily burdened health care systems [24, 25]. It has
been argued that children with a lower morbidity and Timing of BCG vaccination among HIV-1-exposed children
mortality are more likely to be vaccinated than higher- Based on studies showing a nearly 1000-fold increased risk
risk children, resulting in a spurious nonspecific protect- of disseminated BCG infection among HIV-1-infected in-
ive effect of vaccines in observational studies [24, 25]. fants, recent WHO guidelines consider HIV-1 infection a
There is also the possibility of survival bias if death (a contraindication to BCG vaccination [22, 35, 36]. How-
common study outcome) is associated with missing ever, the practical implementation of this guideline has
vaccination cards. This has been observed in some retro- been difficult as HIV-1 diagnosis at birth (when the vac-
spective studies in Africa where child deaths were cine is to be given) is not available in many low- and
quickly followed by destruction or loss of vaccination middle-income countries (LMICs) [35, 37]. As a result, all
cards [1, 24, 26, 27]. These selection challenges can be HIV-1-exposed infants, including those yet to be diag-
alleviated by well-designed and well-executed random- nosed as HIV-1 infected, continue to receive BCG at birth
ized controlled trials. However, as most childhood in several LMICs [35, 37]. To circumvent this, an alterna-
vaccines are part of routine national and international tive approach has been proposed in which the vaccine is
child health programmes, it has been considered uneth- delayed until these infants are diagnosed as not having
ical to randomize children to not receive BCG. For this HIV-1 infection [35, 37].
reason, the medical literature on NSEs has continued to On the one hand, if vaccinating HIV-1-exposed babies
be overshadowed by controversy and continues to be with BCG at birth protects them against serious infec-
dependent on initial studies carried out several decades tions other than TB, i.e., through NSEs [7, 8, 11], delay-
ago when morbidity and mortality patterns, as well as ing vaccination could result in increased morbidity and
the vaccines themselves, were different from what they even mortality. In addition, delaying BCG vaccination to
are now [24, 25]. Two recent systematic reviews con- a later time when a definitive diagnosis is made could
cluded that the currently available evidence, which is reduce its coverage [37]. The Ugandan Ministry of
mainly from observational studies, was of low quality Health has decided that all infants, including those with
and reiterated the need for randomized controlled trials HIV-1 infection, but without symptomatic HIV-1
[28, 29]. To the best of our knowledge, there are disease, are to receive BCG.
Nankabirwa et al. Trials (2017) 18:152 Page 3 of 17
On the other hand, recent studies put into question reported robust T-cellular responses to Bordetella per-
the age at which the BCG vaccine is best given to HIV- tussis and tetanus toxoid in infants in whom BCG
1-exposed and uninfected children [35, 38–41]. It is vaccination was delayed to 8 weeks of age [49]. It is
presently unclear whether BCG vaccination very early in unknown, whether these effects of delayed BCG
life provides them with adequate protection against TB administration translate into enhanced protection
and other infections. HIV-1 infection during pregnancy against TB or, for that matter, against other serious
may transiently modulate their responses to the BCG infections.
vaccine [38]. It appears that they have an impaired The most appropriate timing for BCG vaccination that
response to purified protein derivative (PPD) and heat- maximizes both specific and possible NSEs, particularly
killed BCG in comparison to unexposed children [38]. in HIV-1-exposed children, is thus presently unknown.
These effects seem to be greatest among younger HIV- This uncertainty compels us to study the NSEs of the
1-exposed uninfected children. A recent study in Brazil BCG vaccine with a design that overcomes the methodo-
found the cellular immune response to BCG among logical challenges of observational studies.
younger HIV-1-exposed uninfected children to be im-
paired in comparison to their unexposed counterparts Purpose and rationale of this study
[35]. BCG-specific T-cell proliferation and interferon A rapid increase in the number of HIV-1-positive preg-
(IFN)-γ concentrations were lower in the younger than nant women receiving antiretroviral treatment (ART) to
in the older HIV-1-exposed uninfected infants and than prevent mother-to-child transmission (MTCT) of HIV-1
in the unexposed infants. This signified a delay in im- in the last 10 years [50], coupled with stagnating or in-
mune system maturation of HIV-1-exposed infants. creasing adult HIV-1 prevalence in LMICs, has resulted
Moreover, a Gambian study showed that children vacci- in an increase in the number of HIV-1-exposed unin-
nated at a median age of 14 days were less likely to de- fected children [51–53]. While data on HIV-1-exposed
velop a BCG scar if they were HIV-1-exposed uninfected uninfected children is scanty, available evidence suggests
than if they were HIV-1-unexposed and uninfected [39]. that these children have a higher morbidity and mortal-
A Rwandese study did not replicate this finding but ity in comparison to their unexposed counterparts [54,
found that HIV-1-exposed uninfected children vacci- 55]. In comparison to unexposed children, HIV-1-
nated at birth were substantially less likely than HIV-1- exposed uninfected children are more likely to contract
unexposed children to react to a tuberculin skin test at the common childhood infectious diseases in severe
6 months of age [40]. Other studies have linked negative forms [56–58], more likely to be hospitalized and more
tuberculin skin tests and absence of BCG scars to high likely to be resistant to treatment [59–62]. They are also
morbidity and mortality in children [41]. These BCG- vulnerable to diseases previously reported among im-
specific immune abnormalities are consistent with a munocompromised children, such as cytomegalovirus
wider range of other anomalies reported among very colitis [63], hemorrhagic chicken pox, Pneumocystis jiro-
young HIV-1-exposed uninfected children and are veci pneumonia and others [64].
thought to result from in-utero exposure to the HIV-1 Bearing the above considerations in mind, we believe
infection and/or antiretroviral drugs. These include: a re- that there is clinical equipoise between early and de-
duced CD4/CD8 ratio, reduced CD4+ and CD8+ naive ferred BCG vaccination in HIV-1-exposed, and probably
T-cell percentages, an increased percentage of activated even in HIV-1-unexposed infants. Moreover, the long-
CD8+ T-cells, augmented percentages of CD3(+)/4(−)/ term cost-implications and cost-effectiveness of the
8 (−) (DN) and DN/25(−)/44 (+) [42–44], altered cell- alternatives have never been investigated.
mediated immunity and T-cell maturation [42], reduced It is possible that well-timed BCG vaccination could
IL-12 production that persists until 6 months of age that have important NSEs in HIV-1-exposed children. We
could possibly be immunosuppressive [45], and several therefore propose a parallel-group superiority trial that
cytokine and other immune abnormalities [42, 43, 45– could inform the development of programmatically ap-
47]. Importantly, many of these anomalies appear to be propriate timing of BCG vaccination for HIV-1-exposed
transient, disappearing as children grow older. infants by measuring the safety, potential benefits or dis-
A small trial in South Africa in which newborn advantages, costs and cost-effectiveness of early versus
HIV-1-unexposed babies were randomized to receive late BCG.
BCG at birth or at 10 weeks of age, showed that
delaying the vaccination resulted in increased num- Methods/design
bers of BCG-specific CD4 T-cells, most importantly Hypotheses
polyfunctional T-cells co-expressing IFN-γ, tumor
necrosis factor (TNF)-α and IL-2, at 1 year of age 1. Compared to deferring BCG vaccination until
[48]. A recent study among HIV-1-exposed children 14 weeks of age, BCG administered within the first
Nankabirwa et al. Trials (2017) 18:152 Page 4 of 17
24 h of birth leads to at least a 30% relative risk To increase the diagnostic specificity, we will also try
reduction of severe illness1 among HIV-1-exposed to capture “clinical sepsis2,” where an infant with severe
infants illness and a negative blood culture, or from whom a
2. Delayed BCG results in at least a 30% higher blood culture could not be taken, has two or more of
production of TNF, IL-1β, IL-6, IL-10, IL-17, IL-22 the following findings: total lymphocyte count (TLC)
and IFN-γ in response to mycobacterial (from Myco- <5000 cells/mm3, absolute neutrophil count <1,500
bacterium tuberculosis and PPD) and non- cells/mm3, band to total polymorph ratio >0.2 and both
mycobacterial (from Escherichia coli, Candida albi- of two C-reactive protein (CRP) levels >1 mg/dl in two
cans and Staphylococcus aureus) antigens compared specimens taken 24 to 48 h apart. Because we are yet to
to when BCG is administered at birth in HIV-1- know in what proportion we can manage to collect the
exposed infants required blood specimens, the comparison between the
risk of “clinical sepsis” and/or “confirmed sepsis3” be-
tween the two trial arms will form part of our secondary
Primary objectives
analyses. Although it is unclear whether BCG scarring is
To compare
a marker of immune responsiveness in general and it
may be that such scarring is unrelated to protection
1. The risk of severe illness in the first 14 weeks of life,
against TB, it is being captured as a marker of “vaccine
and
take.” We will also explore whether children with a scar
2. The production of TNF, IL-1β, IL-6, IL-10, IL-17,
are less or more prone to severe illness during infancy.
IL-22 and IFN-γ in response to mycobacterial (from
The study will also examine the effect of the timing of
M. tuberculosis and PPD) and non-mycobacterial
BCG administration on infant growth.
(from E. coli, C. albicans and S. aureus) antigens at
birth (before BCG vaccination) and at 1, 14, 15 and
Intervention and co-interventions
28 weeks of age among HIV-1-exposed infants ad-
The study intervention is an intradermal administration
ministered BCG at birth with those administered a
to HIV-1-exposed babies of 0.05 ml Tubervac® BCG vac-
delayed BCG
cine from the Serum Institute of India, the vaccine cur-
rently provided by the Ugandan vaccination programme.
Secondary objectives After randomization within 24 h of birth, infants in one
To compare: trial arm will receive the vaccine immediately (BCG at
birth) while infants in the other arm will receive the
1. The risk of severe illness from 48 h after vaccine at 14 weeks of age (delayed BCG). Our study
randomization until 14 weeks of life among HIV-1- nurses, already experts in administering all childhood
exposed infants administered BCG at birth with vaccines, including Tubervac®, will ensure that the
those receiving delayed BCG vaccine is administered as scheduled.
2. HIV-1-exposed infants who received BCG at birth
with those administered a delayed BCG with respect Key outcome measures
to the occurrence of diarrhea, pneumonia and/or Primary outcome measures
severe illness from 14 weeks to 1 year of age
3. HIV-1-exposed infants who received BCG at birth 1. Severe illness in the first 14 weeks of life
with those administered a delayed BCG with respect 2. TNF, IL-1β, IL-6 and IFN-γ in response to mycobac-
to the occurrence of severe illness during infancy terial (M. tuberculosis and PPD) and non-
4. Occurrence of diarrhea, pneumonia and/or severe mycobacterial pathogens (E. coli, C. albicans and S.
illness during infancy in HIV-1-exposed infants vac- aureus) at 1, 14, 15 and 28 weeks of age
cinated with BCG at birth versus those who receive
delayed BCG Secondary outcome measures
5. The mortality from birth to 14 weeks of age in HIV-
1-exposed infants vaccinated with BCG at birth ver- 1. Severe illness from 48 h after randomization to
sus in those who are yet to receive BCG 14 weeks of life
6. Infant mortality between HIV-1-exposed babies vac- 2. Severe illness and/or diarrhea and/or pneumonia
cinated with BCG at birth versus in those who re- between 14 and 52 weeks and between 0 and
ceive delayed BCG 52 weeks of life
7. Through life-cycle modeling, long-term aggregate 3. Adverse events up to 52 weeks of life
health benefits and cost-implications of the delivery 4. Infant death
strategies, and estimate their cost-effectiveness 5. Growth up to 52 weeks of life
Nankabirwa et al. Trials (2017) 18:152 Page 5 of 17
Study setting
The study is being conducted in Kawaala Health Center
III, Kitebi Health Center III in Kampala district and in
Mukono Health Center IV, which is located in Mukono
district, 27 km east of Kampala. These centers were
chosen based on their proximity to laboratories essential
for specimen processing and their high number of HIV-
1-infected women attending their antenatal and birth
clinics. These three government facilities together con-
duct at least 1200 deliveries per month.
baseline characteristics and other social-demographic received tetanus toxoid during pregnancy as per national
variables is collected. recommendations.
in which she is instructed and trained to note down all physician or is admitted to a hospital. A child who
relevant events in her child. The front page of the book comes to a clinic with such symptoms is examined by a
will have clear reminders that she needs to contact the study nurse/midwife. If the child does not attend after
study team in case the child visits a health clinic, a the mother/caregiver has informed the study team of
Nankabirwa et al. Trials (2017) 18:152 Page 9 of 17
such signs or for a scheduled visit, the study nurse/mid- according to the Ugandan national guidelines. At week
wife will make a visit to the child’s house. If the nurse/ 14 and week 52, blood will be drawn by venipuncture
midwife classifies the condition as possible severe illness, for full/complete blood counts. TLC, differential count
a study physician will be called to examine the child. If and CRP will be captured as part of the sepsis screen in
the physician classifies the child as having severe illness, babies with clinical severe illness.
they will collect a blood specimen for blood culture
(using BACTEC) and a sepsis screen (CRP, TLC, differ- Functional immunology assessment
ential count, and band cell:neutrophil count ratio) as We will investigate both the induction of trained im-
soon as possible. A repeat specimen will be collected munity and heterologous immunity. Blood cells will be
again for CRP between 24 and 48 h. The study team will stimulated for 48 h with a lysate of BCG or M. tubercu-
do its utmost to obtain specimens for such a sepsis losis, and IFN-γ production will be measured by ELISA
screen from as many infants with signs of severe illness as a measure of classical adaptive immunity. Using the
as possible. However, we have yet to learn what percent- cell culture medium (RPMI) as a control stimulus,
age of them in this way can actually be screened for trained innate immunity will be assessed by stimulation
“clinical sepsis.” When 200 enrolled babies have been of blood for 24 h by unrelated nonspecific stimuli: lipo-
followed until the age of 6 months, the percentage of polysaccharide (LPS), heat-killed E. coli, C. albicans or S.
infants registered as having had severe illness who are aureus at 1, 15 and 28 weeks of age. Production of the
screened for clinical sepsis will be calculated. If this monocyte-derived cytokines TNF, IL-1β and IL-6 will be
percentage is less than 80%, measures will be taken to assessed by ELISA. Genome-wide gene transcription will
increase it above this value, if these measures are unsuc- be assessed in the unstimulated and stimulated whole
cessful, we will need to abandon the attempt to identify blood by ribonucleic acid (RNA) sequencing. Heterol-
clinical sepsis with the sepsis screen. Length and weight ogous immunity will be assessed by measurement of
measurements are taken twice at each visit, based on the both Th1 (IFN-γ) and Th17 (IL-17, IL-22) cytokines in
WHO guidelines, and z-scores calculated using WHO blood stimulated for 96 h with the nonspecific stimuli
child growth standards [68]. described above. The anti-inflammatory cytokine IL-10
will also be assessed at the 48-h stimulation time point.
Data collection and management Protein and messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA) assess-
All trial procedures have been standardized. Training ex- ment will be our main immunological readouts.
ercises were undertaken and refresher sessions are
scheduled during the trial. Using Open Data Kit (ODK, Quality assurance and quality control
https://opendatakit.org), we will use pre-coded elec- We will use the WHO Good Laboratory Practice Guide-
tronic Case Report Forms (eCRFs)/questionnaires with lines [69] as our reference when establishing quality con-
range and consistency checks. Entered data will be trol laboratory procedures. HIV-1 serology, CD4 counts,
checked for consistency and any errors corrected hematology/biochemistry and immunology assays are
Source documents and files will not be destroyed with- submitted to a stringent quality assessment programme.
out specific written permission from the PI. Only the PI, On-going training and monitoring will occur during the
Co-PI, study coordinator and authorized study personnel study.
will have access to the CRFs and supporting documents
that will be kept on password-secured computers to en- Handling losses, withdrawals and protocol
sure participant confidentiality. To ensure correct oper- deviations
ation according to standard operating procedures (SOPs) Protocol deviations
all system users have been trained in their use and evalu- If a protocol violation, such as an inadequate informed
ated on a regular basis. consent, inappropriate randomization or concealment or
wrongful enrollment of an under-age mother occurs, the
Clinical laboratory tests PI will inform the Independent Data Monitoring Com-
Heel-prick blood samples are obtained from the children mittee (IDMC), which consists of a pediatrician, a statis-
for HIV-1 diagnosis. Dried blood spots (DBS) using a tician and a pediatrician/immunologist), the Project
commercial PCR kit are used for HIV-1 diagnosis. This Management Team (PMT, which consists of some of the
testing is supported by standardized protocols that have authors of this paper) and the local Ethical Committee
been successfully validated in Uganda. Flow cytometry is as soon as possible and no later than five working days
used for CD4 count measurement while standardized after the event. Detailed documentation mentioning the
automated procedures and techniques are used for dates and reasons of these protocol deviations will be
hematological and biochemical plasma assays. ELISA kept by the PI. If continuing the child in the trial puts
and/or rapid tests are used for maternal HIV-1 diagnosis the health of the mother or her child at risk, the child
Nankabirwa et al. Trials (2017) 18:152 Page 10 of 17
will no longer be followed up, but their data will be in- modified Poisson regression model with robust variance
cluded in time-to-event analyses up to the time that they [71, 72].
were removed from the trial. Also, autoregressive correlation approaches will be
used to account for multiple and possibly correlated ob-
servations within the same study participant. These
Plan of analysis
methods take the correlation structures into account
The data will be analyzed using Stata version 14 or later
and thereby the fact that measurements taken closer in
(StataCorp LP, TX, USA) and SAS version 9.2 or later.
time for an individual are likely to be more correlated
Continuous variables with right-skewed distributions will
than two measurements taken farther apart for that
be log-transformed. Means with standard deviations will
same individual. Efficacy will be calculated as 100 × (1 −
be used to summarize symmetrically distributed con-
RR), 100 × (1 − IRR) or 100 × (1 − HR). The prevalence of
tinuous variables while medians with interquartile ranges
BCG scarring will be compared between the two study
will be used for non-normally distributed continuous
arms using the abovementioned approaches, as appro-
variables, and percentages for categorical variables.
priate. Linear regression and or t tests will be used to
Between-group comparisons for continuous variables
compare the TNF and IFN-γ responses between the trial
that are symmetrically distributed will be made using t
arms. We will consider adjusting for potential con-
tests or, if adjustment for other variables are required,
founders if: (1) there are baseline imbalances between
linear regression, while Wilcoxon rank sum tests will be
trial arms, (2) the variables for which there are such
used to compare continuous variables where even their
baseline differences are strongly associated with the
log-transformed values remains nonsymmetrically dis-
study event or (3) they cause a ≥5% difference in the ef-
tributed. Group comparisons for categorical variables
fect measures when they are added to the main model.
will use chi-square tests and regression with generalized
Full case analyses will be default, but appropriate impu-
linear models of the binomial family with a log link
tations will be considered for missing data.
(“relative risk regression”) or logistic regression. We will
In addition to the intention-to-treat analysis, where
use two-sided statistical tests and 95% confidence inter-
outcomes will be compared according to the random al-
vals for descriptive results, efficacy estimates and safety
location, instrumental variable analyses will be con-
estimates. All relevant data; from both scheduled and
ducted in an attempt to estimate biological/causal effects
unscheduled visits will be included in the analysis.
of the actual receipt of the vaccine. In these analyses,
random allocation will be the instrument. To enable
Primary analysis such analyses, actual receipt as well as the age of BCG
The main study outcomes are severe illness during the vaccination will be captured in all participants. We will
first 14 weeks of life and immunological parameters. Al- also perform per-protocol and as-treated analyses.
though the sample size estimations are based on speci- The primary analyses will include all HIV-1-exposed
fied relative risks, i.e., the occurrence of one or more infants, adjusting for any imbalance in HIV-1 status be-
illness episodes per child, our final analysis will also use tween the two trial arms, as appropriate. However, we
incidence density and use Poisson regression or, in case will also perform an analysis of the large subgroup of ba-
of overdispersion, negative binomial regression analyses, bies who remain uninfected with HIV-1.
to estimate incidence rate ratios (IRR), enabling us to
capture more than one illness event in each child. Fur- Secondary analysis
ther, children who are lost to follow-up will be included
in time-to-event analyses, censoring children during 1. Risk of severe illness from 48 h after randomization
periods when data could not be recorded. All random- until the first 14 weeks of life, after the 14 weeks of
ized children will be included in an intention-to-treat infancy and during the entire infancy period will be
analysis. analyzed as described above for the primary analysis
To take into account multiple study events occurring 2. As a hypothesis-generating effort to understand the
in the same child, we will in the regression models latency period after which BCG may induce NSEs,
utilize generalized estimating equations (GEE), as appro- we will calculate the protection against severe illness
priate. The effect of the intervention on the occurrence during the first 14 weeks of life on a sliding scale
of severe illness will be estimated using both relative starting from randomization until seven completed
(relative risks (RR), IRR and hazard ratios (HR)) and ab- days post randomization
solute (risk differences and incidence rate differences 3. Risk of child death in the first 14 weeks as well as in
(IRD)) measures of effect. In the event that the “relative the remaining 38 weeks of infancy: time-to-event
risk regression” model fails to converge, risk ratios will analysis will be used to estimate time to severe ill-
be obtained from logistic regression [70] or from a ness or death. Kaplan-Meier methods and log-rank
Nankabirwa et al. Trials (2017) 18:152 Page 11 of 17
tests will be used for descriptive analyses. The results of the delivery strategies, and to compare their cost-
from these analyses will be presented as Kaplan- effectiveness. The decision model will have two arms,
Meier probabilities of the endpoints by a specified one for early, the other for delayed BCG administration
time for every 1000 children. Cox proportional haz- (Fig. 4). A Markov life-cycle will be attached to each de-
ards regression models will be used to estimate the livery arm, in which infants are followed in weekly cycles
effect of the intervention on child death. For this from 0 to 14 weeks, monthly cycles between 14 and
outcome, data will be censored when a child is lost 52 weeks, and thereafter yearly cycles. The model will
to follow-up track one annual Ugandan cohort of HIV-1-exposed in-
4. Risk of clinical sepsis and of “confirmed sepsis” in fants until they are 5 years old.
the first 14 as well as in the remaining 38 weeks of The main focus of the model will be severe illness dur-
infancy ing the first year of life, and will rely on prospectively
5. Safety will be analyzed according to type, frequency collected trial data (Table 2). For each cycle (weekly,
and severity of adverse events (AEs) that occur in monthly or annual) children may experience disease, or
children during the trial they may remain healthy. Children aged below 1 year are
6. Subgroup analysis for potential effect measure assumed to be at risk of experiencing a disease other
modification will be on the strata defined by than TB which may persist or from which they recover
maternal CD4 counts (<350 or ≥350 cells/μL), low before the next period. In all health states, individuals
birth weight (<2500 or ≥2500 g) and the babies’ HIV may die from that illness or from other causes. At birth,
status, sex of the child, in addition to other baseline all children are assumed to be alive and well.
characteristics which we have reasons to believe may The model represents a simplification of clinical real-
interact with delayed BCG administration. Such ity, and a simplifying assumption is that BCG-induced
subgroup/interaction analyses will be defined based protection against severe illnesses occurs only during
on the available scientific literature before the first 5 years of life. This reflects the availability of
embarking on the analyses, will not be driven by primary data and follow-up from the controlled trial.
study data, and will be described in a detailed Modeling of the health outcomes may be divided into
analysis plan three phases: (a) the observation period, (b) the period
7. Survival analyses using nonparametric and of assumed but gradually waning impact of the vaccine
parametric methods to extrapolate over 5 years the (less than 5 years) and (c) the post-vaccine period, where
incidence of NSEs and death for use in economic no further vaccination effects are assumed. Extrapolation
evaluation is required to capture probable health benefits during
the second of these phases, but the actual functional
Plan of analysis for economic evaluation shape and other assumptions about continued treatment
A Markov life-cycle decision model will be developed to benefits need to be informed by data through survival
model long-term aggregate health and cost implications analyses, and cannot be decided ex-ante. Transition
Table 2 Economic evaluation data requirements and sources regardless of seriousness, severity, or presumed relation-
Parameter Source ship to study therapy, will be recorded using medical ter-
Epidemiology minology in the source document and on the AE page.
Age-specific disease incidence Primary data (for each condition)
Whenever possible, diagnoses will be given when signs
and symptoms are due to a common aetiology. Investi-
Background mortality Secondary data (Ugandan life table)
gators will record their opinion concerning the relation-
Effectiveness ship of the AE to BCG vaccination on the AE page. AE
Disease-specific efficacy Primary data reporting
Uptake of intervention Secondary data: effective coverage When the investigator, or trained physician, becomes
of vaccination aware that a serious AE (SAE) has occurred, the appro-
Aggregate health priate reporting form will be completed, and a copy
Years of life lost Secondary data (Ugandan life table) emailed to the local Institutional Review Board.
Disease weights Secondary data (Burden of Disease
Study) Management of SAEs
Costs In case of an SAE, the mother will be encouraged to im-
Intervention costs Primary data (prospectively costed)
mediately use the dedicated cell phone to contact the re-
search unit and or to bring the infant immediately to the
Treatment costs Primary data (retrospectively costed)
research unit. Infants will be seen by one of the research
midwives/clinicians and appropriate medical or surgical
probabilities are assumed to depend on vaccination interventions will be provided. All SAEs will be followed
strategy, and will be informed by the trial. More specific- up until resolution or until a stable clinical endpoint is
ally, transition probabilities, i.e., probabilities of moving reached. Insurance coverage is by BiomedicInsure
between the health states, will be calculated based on (http://www.biomedic-insure.com), and if any participant
hazard functions from the survival analyses (above). is harmed as a result of the BCG vaccine (within 2 years
After the extrapolation period, children are not assumed of the vaccination) they will be compensated
to be protected by BCG, but are assumed to experience
background mortality and morbidity for their remaining Monitoring
life time. Long-term health effects will be aggregated Independent Data Monitoring Committee (IDMC)
using disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) as the instru- A group of independent scientists with expertise in
ment, while incremental cost-effectiveness will be pediatrics, immunology, TB and statistics forms an
expressed in terms of US dollars per DALY averted. IDMC. After meeting shortly before trial start, it will
Costs will be collected from the perspective of the na- periodically review and assess available study data for
tional health care system, and include those related to safety, conduct and efficacy. The board will advise the
providing the BCG vaccine as well as those averted due project management on study continuation, modification
to the prevention of common illnesses in the short and or termination based on its reviews and pre-established
long term. stopping rules.
Interim analysis: an interim analysis for safety taking
AE reporting/clinical and safety monitoring into account the DAMOCLES group recommendations
An adverse event (AE) is defined as any harmful mani- [73, 74] will be performed by the IDMC when approxi-
festation occurring in a trial participant, whether this mately half of all the expected events have been
manifestation is related or not to the study BCG vaccine. recorded.
Potential AEs include localized abscess formation at the
injection site, suppurative lymphadenitis and dissemi- Auditing
nated BCG infection. The study will be monitored once a year by scientists
not involved in the day-to-day undertaking of the trial.
AE monitoring, recording and reporting
Potential AEs will be carefully monitored throughout the Protocol amendments
trial with specific questionnaires. The mothers will be Important protocol modifications (such as those result-
invited and encouraged to consult the study clinic in ing from changes to eligibility criteria, outcomes and
case of any disease or symptoms that arise between planned analyses) will be communicated to, and dis-
visits. AEs will be investigated at each follow-up visit. cussed among, the PMT members, discussed with the
Each AE will be reported spontaneously or in response IDMC and, when appropriate, the Ethics Committees.
to general, nondirected discussion with the attending Such modifications will also be reflected in amendments
midwife/researcher or physician/researcher. All AEs, to the description in ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT02606526).
Nankabirwa et al. Trials (2017) 18:152 Page 13 of 17
Dissemination of study findings 3. Higher incidence of severe illness during the first
Our study findings will be communicated in scientific 14 weeks of life among the children who receive
conferences and published in peer-reviewed scientific delayed BCG
journals. We will also prepare contextualized evidence
briefs for policy to relevant stakeholders including Ugan- To address the first concern, the study will exclude
dan authorities (Ministry of Health, National Drug Au- children with household members who have signs or
thority, Uganda National Academy of Sciences) and symptoms of TB or who have a diagnosis of TB. The risk
development partners supporting the Uganda National of TB infection among trial babies will, therefore, be
Expanded Programme on Immunization (UNEPI), WHO negligible [76]. In addition, the study will continue to ac-
(Vaccines and Biologicals) and UNICEF. We will, also in tively screen and refer suspected cases to the national
collaboration with CISMAC, prepare plain language TB clinics until the participating infants have received
summaries and press releases for consumer groups and BCG (at 14 weeks of age). The study will support diag-
mass media, respectively. Finally, we will engage the nosis and initiation of treatment at the TB clinics, of any
clinic staff and study participants and their communities of the participants’ household members with signs and
to inform them of our findings. symptoms of TB from randomization until 14 weeks of
age. Moreover, the study team will collaborate closely
with the families to identify, treat and actively follow up
Ethical considerations the babies should there be a history of exposure to active
According to WHO guidelines, BCG vaccination is con- TB or should they develop any symptoms indicative of
traindicated in children with known HIV-1 infection [22, TB. Should our study show that delayed vaccination is
35, 36] because of their increased risk of disseminated beneficial in terms of protecting HIV-1-exposed babies
BCG disease. But implementation of this guideline in against severe illness and in the long run it leads to a
many LMICs, including Uganda, is challenging. Accord- policy shift, with HIV-1-exposed children from house-
ing to the expanded programme of immunization, the holds without TB being vaccinated late, our findings will
vaccine is to be given as soon as possible after birth. inform subsequent programmes and would thereby con-
Diagnosing HIV-1 infection in infants requires a PCR tribute to improved infant health.
which is not accessible to Ugandan children at birth. To mitigate the second concern, an HIV-1 diagnosis
Therefore, Ugandan HIV-1-exposed newborns receive using DNA PCR is obtained at 6 weeks of age. All children
BCG at birth. On the one hand, receiving the vaccine at who are allocated to receive BCG at birth and are found to
birth could be of potential benefit through morbidity be infected with HIV-1 will be referred to a pediatrician for
and mortality reduction in the initial weeks of life. On assessment, while the HIV-1-infected participants allocated
the other hand, recent medical literature indicates that to receive BCG later will be referred to government clinics
HIV-1-exposed uninfected infants [35, 38–41], and for a decision to vaccinate or not. In a sample of 1100 chil-
maybe even HIV-1-unexposed infants [48], who receive dren, the probability of disseminated BCG is extremely low.
BCG somewhat later may yield more vigorous immune This is because in the presence of the current Ugandan
responses than those who receive it at birth. It is con- peripartum ART prophylaxis the risk of HIV-1 infection
ceivable that such a delay translates into better protec- assessed at 6 weeks of age is less than 3.5% [77]. Therefore,
tion against TB. Delaying vaccination may also carry the among the 1100 babies who receive BCG at birth, fewer
advantage of increasing the likelihood that HIV-1- than 40 children are likely to acquire HIV-1. Among chil-
exposed infants may be reliably diagnosed with respect dren with immunodeficiency, it is estimated that the risk of
to HIV-1 infection, both for logistic reasons but also be- disseminated BCG infection following vaccination is less
cause there is a genuine risk of HIV-1 transmission via than 1.6 per 1,000,000 vaccinated children [78]. Therefore,
breast milk during the first months of life [75]. This trial the likelihood of any child contracting disseminated BCG
will compare BCG take and risk of severe illness (includ- in our study is less than 0.015% if the government clinics
ing death) among HIV-1-exposed children receiving the decide to vaccinate all the HIV-1-infected infants at 14 years
vaccine shortly after birth to such a risk in infants re- of age, and 0.007% if they decide not to vaccinate any of
ceiving BCG at 14 weeks of age. them. So, this risk will be equal to, or lower than, that out-
The main ethical concerns specific to study are: side of the study, given that Ugandan HIV-1-exposed in-
fants receive BCG shortly after birth. In the study, we shall
1. Acquisition of TB before BCG has engendered a reduce this risk further with prompt standard TB prophy-
protective immune response (delayed BCG trial laxis using isoniazid as soon as an HIV diagnosis is made.
arm) With regard to the third concern, appropriate diagnos-
2. Severe BCG disease among HIV-1-positive infants tic procedures and treatment will be provided according
(early BCG trial arm) to national guidelines to all severely ill children.
Nankabirwa et al. Trials (2017) 18:152 Page 14 of 17
Ethics permission to conduct the study has been ob- among these infants, who will constitute an increasing
tained from the School of Medicine, Research and Ethics part of sub-Saharan African child cohorts in the years to
Committee (Makerere University) as well as from the come.
Regional Committees for Medical and Health Research
Ethics in Norway (REK) [79]. The trial has also been ap- Trial status
proved by the National Council of Science and Technol- Recruiting since July 2016.
ogy and the National Drug Authority in Uganda. The
study is performed in accordance with International Endnotes
Conference on Harmonization (ICH) guidelines for 1
Among children aged below 2 months of age, severe
Good Clinical Practice. Written individual informed illness (other than TB) will be defined as illness that is
consent in local language is obtained from each of the associated with any of the following danger signs ob-
participating mothers by trained study staff. The consent served or verified by a study clinician: inability to feed
process will explain the nature of the study, the risks or vomiting of everything, lethargy or unconsciousness,
and benefits of participating in the study, the interven- severe lower chest in-drawing, axillary temperature of
tion and that intervention allocation is by a random ≥37.5 °C or <35.5 °C, grunting, cyanosis, convulsions or
process. In situations requiring translation or in cases a history of convulsions, and/or results in hospitalization
where the mother is unable to read and write, the con- and/or results in death.Among children aged 2 months
sent process will take place in the presence of an inde- of age or older, severe illness (other than TB) will be de-
pendent third person, who will act as a witness and also fined as illness that: is associated with at least one of the
co-sign the Consent Form. Additional consent is ob- following danger signs observed or verified by a study
tained from study participants for the collection and clinician: inability to drink or breastfeed, lethargy or un-
storage of blood specimens for ancillary studies. Confi- consciousness, vomiting of all feeds, convulsions or a
dentiality of information and the right of the participant history of convulsions, and/or results in hospitalization
to withdraw from the study at any time during the study and/or results in death. Hospitalization and death result-
is explained to the mothers. All study staff are trained ing from violent injury or burns will not contribute to
on participant confidentiality and autonomy. the severe illness definition.
2
In infants from whom a blood culture was not per-
Discussion formed or in whom a blood culture was negative, clinical
This trial compares the effect BCG vaccination at birth sepsis is signaled by one of our study physicians (VN,
with BCG vaccination at 14 weeks of age in HIV-1- ON, JKT or GN) having initiated treatment for sepsis or
exposed babies on (1) severe illness in the first 14 weeks confirmed that such treatment was appropriate and/or
of life, (2) TNF, IL-1β, IL-6, IL-17, IL-22 and IFN-γ in by a positive sepsis screen. A positive sepsis screen is the
response to mycobacterial and non-mycobacterial patho- presence of any two of the following: total leukocyte
gens and (3) severe illness in 14–52 weeks of life and count <5000/mm3; absolute neutrophil count <1500/
throughout infancy. mm3; band cell:neutrophil count ratio >0.2; both of two
The study circumvents the methodological challenges C-reactive protein serum levels in specimens taken 24 h
of earlier observational studies that reported an associ- to 48 h apart >1 mg/dl.
ation between BCG vaccination and NSEs. The exclu- 3
Confirmed sepsis is signaled by a blood culture that is
sion criteria combined with the random allocation and positive for bacteria known to cause infant sepsis.
large sample size will substantially reduce the likelihood
that children with higher morbidity end up in either Additional file
group. There will be no survival bias linked to missing
vaccination cards as BCG is administered before out- Additional file 1: SPIRIT 2013 Checklist: recommended items to address
come measurement. This study will be further strength- in a clinical trial protocol and related documents. (DOC 122 kb)
ened by an exploration of immunological mechanisms
for the vaccine’s hypothesized NSEs. The study will ex- Abbreviations
AE: Adverse event; BCG: Bacille Calmette-Guérin; CD 4+: Positive to cluster of
plore the trained innate immunity and heterologous im- differentiation 4; CD 8+: Positive to cluster of differentiation 8;
munity processes that underlie the immunological CISMAC: Centre for Intervention Science in Maternal and Child Health;
responses thought to account for the NSEs of BCG. CRF: Case Report Form; DNA: Deoxyribonucleic acid; DPT: Diphtheria
Pertussis Tetanus; eCRF: electronic Case Report Form; ELISA: Enzyme-linked
This trial, comparing NSEs when the vaccine is given immunosorbent assay; eMTCT: Elimination of mother-to-child transmission of
at birth and when it is delayed, could inform the devel- HIV-1; GCP: Good Clinical Practice; HIV-1: Human immunodeficiency virus-1;
opment of programmatically appropriate timing of BCG IDMC: Independent Data Monitoring Committee; IFN-γ: Interferon gamma; IL-
x: Interleukin (x refers to number); LMIC: Low- and middle-income country;
vaccination for HIV-1-exposed infants. This, in turn MTCT: Mother-to-child transmission of HIV-1; NDA: National Drug Authority;
could importantly impact morbidity and mortality NK: Natural killer; PCR: Polymerase chain reaction; PPD: Purified protein
Nankabirwa et al. Trials (2017) 18:152 Page 15 of 17
derivative; SAE: Severe adverse events; TB: Tuberculosis; TNF-α: Tumor Publisher’s Note
necrosis factor alpha; WHO: World Health Organization Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in
published maps and institutional affiliations.
Acknowledgements
Author details
Makerere University: we thank Samuel Daniel Kagongwe, Stephen Kabanda, 1
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatics, School of Public Health,
Samuel Kirabira, Andrew Mark Vivian Kirabo, David Mukunya, Ekwaro Obuku
College of Health Sciences, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda. 2Centre
and Josephine Tumuhamye.
for Intervention Science in Maternal and Child Health, Centre for
We are also very grateful to Dr. Anthony Konde and all the staff at Mukono
International Health, University of Bergenhttp://www.cismac.org.
Health Center IV, Kawaala Health Center III and Kitebi Health Center III for 3
Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, School of Medicine, College of
their support and willingness to participate in the study and Isaac
Health Sciences, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda. 4Department of
Ssewanyana at the Central Public Health Laboratory in Kampala.
Internal Medicine and Radboud Center for Infectious Diseases, Radboud
University of Bergen and CISMAC: we are very thankful to Maharaj K. Bhan,
University Medical Center, Nijmegen, Netherlands. 5Global Women and
Rajiv Bahl, José C. Martines, Marte Emilie Sandvik Haaland and Solfrid Vikøren
Children’s Health, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.
for their valuable contributions.
Serum Institute of India: we gratefully acknowledge Serum Institute of India
Received: 21 September 2016 Accepted: 7 March 2017
for contributing the Tubervac® vaccine for the trial.
Funding
This study is funded by the Research Council of Norway through its Centres References
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