GRADE 10- MATHEMATICS
QUARTER 3 PERFORMANCE TASK - PROBABILITY
Instructions: Make a video on experimental and theoretical probability. Your video should not exceed duration of 7 minutes.
Materials needed:
-Six-sided die
-Coin
Activities that your group will do:
Experimental Probability
Rolling the die 50 times
Tossing a coin 20 times
Theoretical Probability
Roll the die once
Toss the coin once
Required output
Video presentation
PDF document
What should be included in the video?
- Introduction of the members.
- 4 activities
What should be included in the PDF document?
-Data of the Experiment
-Reflection on the experiment (not more than 300 words)
Guide Questions:
1. What did you observe in your activities? Did the outcomes of your experiments change as you increased the number of trials? If so,
how?
2. Were there any outcomes that were significantly different from the theoretical probabilities? Why do you think these differences
occurred?
3. Reflecting on the differences between theoretical and experimental probability, what insights did you gain about the practical
application of probability theory in real-world scenarios?
4. How could the results of your experiment be used to explain probability to someone unfamiliar with the concept?
5. Reflecting on your experimental process and outcomes, how would you design a future experiment to further explore the concept of
probability?
Please forward your submission via Gmail to the following address: [email protected]
Subject: Grade and Section_Surname#1_Surname#2_ Surname #3_Q3-PT
(Hard copy submissions are no longer needed)
Submission: April 2, 2024 (Tuesday until 11:59pm)
Experimental Probability - It is based on actual experiments or observations. It is found by comparing the number of times an event
occurs to the total number of trials, the times that an experiment is carried out.
Theoretical Probability- It is used to estimate the probability of an event when all outcomes are equally likely.
(This is the format you must follow)
GROUP MEMBERS:
GROUP NUMBER:
GRADE AND SECTION:
Experimental Probability Theoretical Probability
Activity: Activity
Rolling the die 50 times Roll the die once
Data: What do you get?
Event Number of times the event occurs
Rolling a 1 _______
Rolling a 2
Rolling a 3 For a fair six-sided die, there are six equally likely outcomes (1, 2,
3, 4, 5, or 6). Since there is only one favorable outcome (the
Rolling a 4
event that you get), the theoretical probability of rolling a ___ is
Rolling a 5
calculated as:
Rolling a 6
Given that the number of times the event (rolling a 1) occurs is
12, and the total number of trials (rolls of the die) is 50, we can
use the formula for experimental probability. = 0.1676
= 0.24
Event Probability of the event
Rolling a 1
Rolling a 2
Rolling a 3
Rolling a 4
Rolling a 5
Rolling a 6
Activity: Activity
Tossing the coin 20 times Toss the coin once
Data: What do you get?
Event Number of times the event occurs _______
Getting a HEAD
Getting a TAIL For a coin, there are two equally likely outcomes (HEADS or
TAILS). Since there is only one favorable outcome (the event
that you get), the theoretical probability of getting a ______ is
Given that the number of times the event (getting a HEAD) calculated as:
occurs is 10, and the total number of trials (tossing of coin) is 20,
we can use the formula for experimental probability.
= 0.5
= 0.5
Event Probability of the event
Getting a HEAD
Getting a TAIL
RUBRIC FOR RATING:
CRITERIA Excellent (4) Good (3) Fair (2) Needs Improvement (1)
Content All activities are executed Activities are executed well Activities are executed Execution of activities is
flawlessly with clear with minor inaccuracies or but with noticeable poor or significantly
demonstration and unclear explanations. errors or lack of inaccurate.
explanation. explanation.
Presentation Highly engaging and creative Engaging presentation with Satisfactory level of Presentation is not
presentation of content that some creativity evident. engagement, with engaging or creative,
enhances understanding. minimal creativity. lacking effort to enhance
understanding.
Reflection Insightful reflection that Reflection answers guide Reflection provides Reflection is incomplete or
and Analysis
thoroughly answers guide questions with good basic answers to guide does not adequately
questions with deep understanding, but lacks questions but lacks address guide questions.
understanding of experimental depth or insight. Analysis is detail or shows limited Minimal or incorrect analysis
and theoretical probability. sound, with some detail on understanding. Basic of similarities and
Provides an in-depth analysis of similarities and differences, analysis provided but differences.
similarities and differences but lacks depth. lacks detail or specific
between experimental and examples.
theoretical probability, with
clear examples.
Time The video is well within the 7- The video stays within the 7- The video approaches The video exceeds the 7-
Management minute time limit and effectively minute time limit and the 7-minute time limit, minute time limit or
and Length manages time for each section. manages time effectively, but some sections may significantly mismanages
Each concept is adequately although some sections be rushed or prolonged. time, making it difficult to
covered within the time may feel rushed or Some concepts may not cover all concepts
constraints. Submission is on prolonged. Each concept is be adequately covered adequately. Submitted very
time. covered within the time within the time late.
constraints. Submission is on constraints. Submitted
time. late.
16 = 100% 12 = 87% 8= 75% 4= 63%
16=100% 15=96% 14=93% 13=90% 12=87% 11=84% 10=81% 9=78% 8=75% 7=72% 6=69% 5=66% 4=63%
